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Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary [email protected]

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Page 1: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management

Sandor SzalaiMembet of TT-DM

Szent Istvan University, [email protected]

Page 2: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Content

• main activities and results • outlooks for future (Work Programme 2013 –

2017) • joint climate-hydrology aspects • potential links with other RA VI activities

Page 3: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To review and evaluate drought monitoring capacities in RA VI countries• Ali Umran Komuscu• 1.1 Review and evaluate drought monitoring

systems in RA VI countries with respect to droughts occurrence;

• 1.2 Review and evaluate development of benchmarks and indicators for drought monitoring

Page 4: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 1

• 1.3 Assess the use of various drought indices in drought monitoring, assessment and forecasting both in non-operational and operational sense;

• 1.4 Identify ways of promoting the exchange of data and products, as well as of forecasts and warnings, during drought and pre-drought periods

Page 5: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 1

• 1.5 Propose ways for ensuring effective cooperation with other international and regional bodies involved in drought monitoring

Page 6: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Results

• Surface based or satellite measurements• SPI but…• EDO, EDC• DMCSEE• List of indeces• Lincoln Declaration

Page 7: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Make recommendations on addressing the needs for capacity building in RA VI

countries, pertinent to drought monitoring

• Sandor Szalai• 2.1 Assess previous efforts to enhance

capacity building in RA VI countries • 2.2 Identify limitations and restrictions of the

current drought monitoring systems;

Page 8: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 2

• 2.3 Identify current needs to enhance capacity building in RA VI countries in terms of both infrastructure and human resources;

• 2.4 Identify training needs (assessment, monitoring, mitigation of drought) in RA VI countries at national and regional level;

Page 9: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 2

• 2.5 Assess benefits of pilot application projects that demonstrate value of using drought monitoring information;

• 2.6 Recommend future actions to be implemented to improve capacity building in RA VI countries.

Page 10: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Results

• UNISDR 4 pilar system• Many drought project sometimes with missing

met/clim info• EU projects on stakeholder meetings, SPI• Integrated Drought Management Programme

(GWP)

Page 11: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To develop and provide guidelines on the implementation, use, and evaluation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in

drought monitoring• Andreas Becker• 3.1 Investigate potential use of SPI in drought

monitoring in RA VI countries: advantages and disadvantages

• 3.2 Assess current use of SPI in drought monitoring outside and inside RA VI countries for meteorological, hydrological and agricultural purposes: learned lessons & experiences

Page 12: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 3• 3.3 Determine SPI drought trigging thresholds to set on-

set and termination of drought as well as its severity

• 3.4 Set up guidelines on the implementation and use of SPI in drought monitoring at NMHSs of RA VI countries including assessment of training requirements for staff in charge: i. To investigate requirements to develop software tools to implement SPI in drought monitoringii. To investigate possible assimilation of NWP outputs into SPI to predict near drought occurrences

Page 13: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Results

• SPI and PDSI• RA VI!

Page 14: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To explore and propose effective ways of exchanging drought information (alerts) among RA VI countries prior to expected

and evolving dry conditions and during the periods of drought events, in order to provide valuable decision-making

information for policy-makers

• Antonio Mestre• 4.1 Assess possible communication tools to

disseminate drought related information and alerts in most efficient and effective ways

Page 15: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 4

• 4.2 Assess tools to display for drought related information and alerts in most efficient and effective ways for policy-makers

• 4.3 Assess potential use of web site applications disseminate drought related information and alerts in most efficient and effective ways

Page 16: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 4

• 4.4 Investigate potential use of temperature, precipitation, soil moisture and drought indices outlooks through web sites

• 4.5 Assess development of drought alert system in RA VI countries

Page 17: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 4

• 4.6 Propose ways and methods for effective use of drought related information and alerts for the decisions makers

Page 18: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To identify and report on the scope for, and implementation of integrated drought monitoring approach in RA VI countries with respect to water

resources and agriculture• Giuseppina Monacelli• 5.1 Develop an index to measure the

implementation

• 5.2 Assess challenges for an effective development and implementation of integrated drought monitoring approaches in RA VI countries with respect to water resources and agriculture;

Page 19: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 5

• 5.3 Assess adequacy of the meteorological and hydrologic networks in RA VI countries to develop and implement an integrated drought monitoring system with respect to water resources and agriculture;

• 5.4 Recommend concrete actions related to tackle current and projected challenges in integrated drought monitoring water resources and agriculture;

Page 20: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 5

• 5.5 Recommend ways and means to improve education and awareness of policy makers and the public regarding the importance of improved drought monitoring as a part of integrated water resources management;

Page 21: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To propose ways for ensuring effective cooperation of NHMSs with other international and regional bodies

involved in drought assessment and mitigation, particularly through Drought Management Centre for

South East Europe (DMC/SEE), JRC, ADO• Andreja Susnik• 6.1 Assess needs of NHMSs for effective

cooperation in drought monitoring with other international and regional bodies involved in drought assessment and mitigation both in terms of technical infrastructure and human resources

Page 22: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Task 6

• 6.2 Recommend ways and means to facilitate exchange of knowledge, know-how and understanding to provide better services in drought monitoring among the NHMSs and other international and regional bodies as well;

• 6.3 Propose ways and means to facilitate exchange of expertise between NHMSs and other international and regional bodies involved in drought assessment and mitigation, particularly through Drought Management Centre for South East Europe (DMC/SEE)

Page 23: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

To submit reports in accordance with timetables established by the WG-CH Chair/Co-Chairs and/or Management

Group• Ali Umran Komuscu• Collect progress reports from TT DM members

• Compile and submit the TT report in accordance with timetables established by the WG-CH Chair/Co-Chairs and/or Management Group

Page 24: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Coordinate activities of the TT-DM and cooperation with other bodies

• Ali Umran Komuscu• 8.1 Conduct coordination meetings if possible• 8.1 Establish communication links within the

TT-DM and with other TTs and WGs• 8.3 Act upon the feedbacks and

recommendations of the TT-DM members

Page 25: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Future

• Strenghten the cooperation on the field of drought projects

• Strenghten the observation/modelling interaction

• Support the Climate Services• Observations, data management, research,

capacity building (SPI, stakeholders)• Hotspots (mountains)

Page 26: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Climate-Hydrology

• Using more complex indicators• Cooperation with the agriculture (wider

sense)• Common part in the EWS• Common part in teh CS

Page 27: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

Other Activities

• Most of the WGs

Page 28: Status Report on Task Team of Drought Management Sandor Szalai Membet of TT-DM Szent Istvan University, Hungary Szalai.sandor@mkk.szie.hu

THANK YOU!