stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · stable isotopes in precipitation and...

52
Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners region Crystal L. Tulley-Cordova 1,3 , Gabriel J. Bowen 1 , Courtenay Strong 2 , Irving Brady 3 , Jerome Bekis 3 , Raquel Whitehorse 4 , Annie Putman 1 , Donovan Quintero 5 1 University of Utah Department of Geology & Geophysics, 2 University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, 3 Navajo Nation Department of Water Resources, 4 Navajo Tribal Utility Authority, 5 Navajo Times

Upload: others

Post on 10-Aug-2020

8 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners region

Crystal L. Tulley-Cordova1,3, Gabriel J. Bowen1, Courtenay Strong2, Irving Brady3, Jerome Bekis3, Raquel Whitehorse4,

Annie Putman1, Donovan Quintero5

1University of Utah Department of Geology & Geophysics, 2University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences, 3Navajo Nation Department of Water Resources, 4Navajo Tribal Utility

Authority, 5Navajo Times

Page 2: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Shí éí Crystal Tulley-Cordova yinishyé.

2

Page 3: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Tó éí iiná áté

3

Page 4: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

4

Page 5: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

NEWS

5

Page 6: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Navajo Nation• Navajo reservation was established in 1868• Over 71,000 km2

• Largest land-based tribe in the U.S. • Primary water source is ground water

ArizonaColoradoNew Mexico

Utah

Hopi

NavajoNation

Page 7: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Entities involved with Navajo Water

Page 8: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Changes in precipitation

Page 9: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Church Rock, NMJuly 15, 2018

Photo credit: Earl Tulley

Page 10: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Leupp, AZ

Photo credit: Donovan QuinteroPhoto credit: Donovan Quintero

June 2018

Page 11: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Lake, stream, spring, and ground water recharge

Page 12: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Photo credit: Donovan Quintero

Kayenta, AZ

Frequency of dust migration and strength of winds

Photo credit: Donovan Quintero

Chilchinbeto, AZ

Page 13: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Flow in ephemeral and perennial streams

June 2017 July 2017

Red Valley Wash near Navajo, NM

Page 14: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Aquatic species populationsJune 2013

Whiskey CreekApril 2018

Page 15: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Deer populations

Photo credit: Sam Diswood

Navajo Fish & Wildlife 2018

Page 16: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Chilchinbeto, AZ

Photo credit: Donovan QuinteroWallace et al. 2017

Wild Horse populations

Page 17: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Bark Beetles

US Forest Service

Photo credit: Donovan Quintero

Narbona Pass

Page 18: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Wildfires

Sawmill, AZJune 3, 2018

Photo credit: Donovan Quintero

Page 19: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

19Photo credit: Neil Damon

Mushroom Peak fireSeptember 2018

Page 20: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

change in vegetative cover and possible

alterations in species composition

2014

2015Dennehotso, AZ

Page 21: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

U.S. Drought Monitor

21

droughtmonitor.unl.edu

November 27, 2018 March 5, 2019

Page 22: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Navajo Nation, USA, precipitation variability from 2002 to 2015

22

Page 23: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Previous studies• individual location sites and data collection

dates vary• few sites have remained operational, but

others have not due to funding

Crimmins et al., 201323

Page 24: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Hydrometeorological network

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE24

Page 25: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Precipitation Collectors

A) Bodaway, AZ, B) Dennehotso, AZ, C) Shiprock, NM, D) Todacheene Lake, NM, E) Bluff, UT

A) B)

C) D) E)

25

Page 26: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

NN data collection

26

Page 27: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Research questions

• Are there different hydroclimatic regions on the Navajo Nation?

• Is there a bimodal precipitation regime?• What are the seasonal precipitation patterns?• Are the length and onset of monsoon different

for each region?• What is the major contributor to total annual

precipitation?

Page 28: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Hydroclimate regions of the Navajo Nation

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE 28

Page 29: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Precipitation climatology

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE

South North West Mtns. East Avg

Page 30: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Seasonal precipitation

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE 30

Page 31: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Year-to-year comparison

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE31

Page 32: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Seasonal patterns compared with climate indices

Tulley-Cordova et al. 2018, JCWRE

Winter Summer

32

Page 33: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

• Climatology on NN varies depending on region• Length and onset of monsoon different for each

region• Summer and winter precipitation contributions to

annual precipitation variable• Extremes in winter and summer independent of

each other• Winter precipitation sensitive to PNA• Summer precipitation responds weakly to major

climate modes

Inter- & intra- annual precipitation conclusions

33

Page 34: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric water: Recording the North American monsoon in Arizona, New

Mexico, and Utah

34

Page 35: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Stable isotope ratios of hydrogen and oxygen can be used to distinguish the origin of water in precipitation, surface and ground waters

waterisotopes.org

Why study stable isotopes?

35

Page 36: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

North American monsoon

Barron et al. 2012

Page 37: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

North American monsoon region

Hu & Dominguez 2015

37

Page 38: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Research questions

• What are the spatio-temporal distributions of water isotopes in precipitation and associated waters across the Navajo Nation?

• Are ground waters derived from monsoonal precipitation?

• Will ground water and associated waters be sensitive to future changes in the monsoon?

Page 39: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep39

Page 40: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

North American monsoon temporal patterns

Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep40

Page 41: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Oxygen-18

41

Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Page 42: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Precipitation event sampling2015 to 2017

43Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

LMWL δ2H = 6.8 * δ18O – 2.2‰

Page 43: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

44

Vapor source for North American monsoon precipitation

Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Page 44: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Seasonal effect on monthly

precipitation

45Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Page 45: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Altitude effect

46Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Page 46: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Amount effect

47Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Page 47: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Tulley-Cordova, Putman & Bowen 2018, in prep

Relationship of Navajo waters to precipitation

Page 48: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Stable isotopic conclusions

• Evident monthly and inter-annual temporal patterns for precipitation.

• Weak spatial patterns across the Navajo Nation for precipitation.

• Stable isotopic signature of ground water, springs, streams, and lakes are more similar to winter than summer precipitation

• Navajo ground waters are less likely to be sensitive to future monsoonal changes.

49

Page 49: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Ahéhee’

50

University of UtahGabriel Bowen (Chair)Kip SolomonCourt StrongBrenda BowenAnnie PutmanSagarika BanerjeeSuvankar ChakravortyWil Mace

University of ArizonaKarletta Chief

University of New MexicoLani Tsinnajinnie

Navajo Nation Water Management BranchJason JohnIrving BradyJerome BekisLinda Lee

Navajo Tribal Utility AuthorityRaquel WhitehorseDavid WhiteWinona ShirleyJonathan Shirley

Navajo Environmental Protection AgencyYolanda Barney

Citizen scientistsTulley and Cordova families

Page 50: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Ahéhee’ nitsaago

51

Page 51: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

References

• Barron, J.A., Metcalfe, S.E., Addison, J.A. 2012. Response of the North American monsoon to regional changes in ocean surface temperature. Paleoceanography, 27(3), 1-17.

• Crimmins, M.A., Selover, N., Cozzetto, K., and Chief, K. 2013. Technical Review of the Navajo Nation Drought Contingency Plan – Drought Monitoring.

• Hu, H., & Dominguez, F. (2015). Evaluation of Oceanic and Terrestrial sources of moisture for the North American monsoon using Numerical models and precipitation stable isotopes. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(1), 19-35.

• Tulley-Cordova, C.L., Strong, C., Brady, I.P., Bekis, J., and Bowen, G.J. 2018. Navajo Nation, USA, precipitation variability from 2002 to 2015. Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education, 163, 109-123.

• Tulley-Cordova, C.L. and Bowen, G.J. 2018. Stable isotopes in precipitation and associated waters: Recording the North American Monsoon in Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. Manuscript in prep.

52

Page 52: Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters ... · Stable isotopes in precipitation and meteoric waters: Investigating the North American monsoon across the Four Corners

Questions