speeding up on curves - sponsored by avast software (177178035)

7/27/2019 Speeding Up on Curves - Sponsored by AVAST Software (177178035)

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Speeding Up on Curves

Brad Wheeler, Ph.D.

Indiana University Vice President for IT & CIO

Professor of Information Systems, IU Kelley School of Business


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Thank You


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There is Nothing New Under th

http://www.bubblews.c

For Information Technology

Ecclesiastes 1:9 What ha

what has been don

there is nothin


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Curves are Interesting


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Not Like Predictable Linear Li

Time

XY


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Ma

theCor

Time

X

X

Y

Y

Over t

Mor

Less

Less


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Oct 31st, 2007 = $247 November 17th, 2008 =

X

Y

2008


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2008 2002

X

Y

Y

X

X


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X= Inve

Y= Prof


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As the Australian iron ore magnate Lang Hancoc

remarked in similar circumstances, "Always do t

to what the mob is doing. Works every time.

Investors should remember that excitement and expenses

are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their

participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when

others are greedy and greedy only when others are fearful.

Warren Buffett, Chairmans Letter, 2004

http://www.wanowandthen.com/Langley-Hancock.html http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki


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Industrial Heroes Who Think Differe

ThoughtDifferently

Redefined andSaved a Company

Defined anIndustry

Foresaw and Shapedthe Curves

Jobs Bezos Gerstner


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What are the Relevant Curve

For Higher Education

What are the SmartBets? Why?


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At Least Three Curves

1. Public to Private Good(price/cost pressures)

2. Digital Favors Scale (rise of substitutes?)

3. Campus CIO Influence (whos driving?)


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1. Funding for Public Educati

(Higher Education in Increasingly a Private Good)


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28%27%

25%24% 24%

23%

22%

23%22%

20%19%

21%

23%

25%26%

27%28% 28%

31%

33% 33% 33%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

State Appropriation and Net Student Fees

as a Percent of Total Revenue

State Operating Appropriation Net Student Fees


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$300,000,000

$350,000,000

$400,000,000

$450,000,000

$500,000,000

$550,000,000

$600,000,000

$650,000,000

$700,000,000

1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 20

Operating Appropriation Increased at Inflation Rate

(1990 Dollars)

Actual State Operating Appropriation

State Operating Appropriation increased at CPI

State Operating Appropriation increased at HEPI


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$5,000

$5,200

$5,400

$5,600

$5,800

$6,000

$6,200

$6,400

$6,600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20

State Operating Appropriation per Student FTE


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Conclusion: Colleges and Universities

Substantially Change our Cost Struct

Minimal goal: Can We Reallocate at least 20%

the cost of Administrative Services

to the Mission by 2020?


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2. Digital Goes to Scale

What is our Path to Scale?(Particularly for Online Learning)


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Digital Economies of Scale

Analytics (Improvement)

Analytics (Triggers Improvement)

Behavior

ContentDistributionAnalytics

What role for universities?

Content

Textbooks, Simulations,

Media, etc.

Distribution

MOOCs, Courses, Lessons,Degrees, Badges, etc.

Markets

Students with Many

?

Bundles


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Is This Time Different?

Online Learning

Substitutes for colleges/universities?

Complements for colleges/universities?


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Four Revenue Models

1. Residential Education (flipped classroom

2. Online Courses / Degrees

3. Massive Online Courses (MOCs)

4. Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)Free

$

$$

$$$

Which are complements? Substitutes?


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SoWhatto Do?


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1. Independence

2. Dependence

3. Interdependence

3 Generic Campus Strategies for Curve Coping Shaping


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Campus Independence as a Str


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Campus Dependence as a Stra


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Campus Interdependence as Str


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PersonalInsights from

Three Strategies


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Involving Others

A Tale of Dependence and Interdependen

(Personal Insights)


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Aspiration


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Conflict


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Authority

Ownership


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Authority

Ownership

I fl


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Influence


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Achieve!

Repeat?


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Marketplaceof ideas for Intention

Interdependent Communities, but th

need a strongArchitectureto he

resolve inevitable Conflicts.

Marketecture of Communit

Marketecture Matrix


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Marketecture Matrix

Each University

Solo

Contracts

Open Source Software

Cooperative

Communities

Buying

Clubs

Internet2 Net+

Collaborative

Communities

HathiTrust or Kuali

Influence

Lower

Higher

Authority

Lower Higher

Marketplace(Use) Community(Own)

Wheeler & Hilton, EDUCAUS

(Examples from University Communities)


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R i S di U C


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Review: Speeding Up on Curves

Curves Price and Cost Pressure?

Path to Digital Scale?

Campus CIO Influence?

Generic Strategies Independence

Dependence

Interdependence*

* Lessons in the Marketecture of Community


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Curves are Interesting


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Speeding Up on Curves

Brad Wheeler, Ph.D.

Indiana University Vice President for IT & CIO

Professor of Information Systems, IU Kelley School of Business

speeding up on curves - sponsored by avast software (177178035)

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