some considerations about artificial intelligence and …
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JOURNAL OF SMART ECONOMIC GROWTH
www.jseg.ro ISSN: 2537-141X Volume 3, Number 3, Year 2018
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SOME CONSIDERATIONS ABOUT ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE AND ITS IMPLICATIONS
Dorin Lixăndroiu
Transilvania University of Brasov (Romania)
Abstract: The article showcases a few considerations with regard to the implications
generated by artificial intelligence in universities and on the labour market, by leading to the
appearance of new professions which entail new abilities. One possible paradigm change at
university level is given by the Open Loop University Stanford model. The article also
presents Romania‟s status within the context generated by the development of artificial
intelligence.
JEL classification: O33
Key words: artificial intelligence (AI), open loop university, STEM skills
1. INTRODUCTION
The overall evolution of economic systems has entailed the processing of large volumes of
data. Alan Turing, in the article Computing machines and intelligence, published in 1940 in
the Mind journal, by stating the phrase: I propose to consider the question “Can machines
think?”, was the first one to anticipate the possibility of automatic thinking1. Alan Turing
defines an investigation method in order to determine if a computer is capable or not of
thinking like a human being, known as the Imitation Game2.
Artificial intelligence, considered a field of computer science, was defined as a scientific
research field after the disappearance of Alan Turing in 1954. The first researchers who
1 L'intelligence artificielle dans la banque : Emploi et competences (source Athling), available at:
http://www.observatoire-metiers-
banque.fr/mediaServe/Etude_IA_emploi_competences.pdf?ixh=3741881147685077070 2 Delahaye J.P., L’intelligence artificielle et le test de Turing, available at:
https://culture.univ-lille1.fr/fileadmin/lna/lna66/lna66p04.pdf
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became known in this area are: John McCarthy (Dartmouth College), Claude Shannon
(Princeton University), Marvin Minsky (Princeton University), Nathaniel Rochester (IBM).
The term artificial intelligence appears for the first time in the invitation to a research seminar
which took place in the year 1956 at Dartmouth College in the USA. It was the moment that
marked the beginning of several important research programs in the field of artificial
intelligence within the American universities, some of which were carried out in collaboration
with large companies (IBM, AT&T-Bell, ...) or with government agencies, such as the
Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA).
The first expert medical diagnosis system, MYCIN, was developed at Stanford University in
1972. Between 1980 and 1990, AT&T-Bell improves the software for optical recognition of
handwriting, required by the postal services.
After the year 1990, remarkable progress is made in terms of applications of artificial
intelligence in the field of gamming. Thus, in 1997, the IBM Deep Blue computer beats Gary
Kasparov at chess, in 2016, in Seoul (South Korea), the AlphaGo program, developed by
Google DeepMind, wins a game with Go champion, Lee Sedol, and in 2017, the Libratus
poker program (running on a supercomputer at the Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center) wins a
game with the world’s best top four poker players.
The concept of artificial intelligence is difficult to define. There are several definitions,
among which two are worth mentioning. Yann LeCun, professor at the New York University
and FAIR-Facebook AI Research director, defines the concept as follows: Artificial
intelligence is an ensemble of techniques which allow machines to perform tasks and solve
problems which are normally reserved to people and certain animals3.
Andrew Ng, professor and director of the AI Laboratory at Stanford University, states,
referring to AI, that: If a typical person can do a mental task with less than one second of
thought, we can probably automate it using AI either now or in the near future4.
The concept of artificial intelligence is further clarified by means of the fields of application
and the techniques used. The main fields of application are: Robotics, Neural Networks,
3 Qu’est-ce que l’intelligence artificielle?, available at:
https://www.college-de-france.fr/site/yann-lecun/Recherches-sur-l-intelligence-artificielle.htm 4 Andrew Ng, What Artificial Intelligence Can and Can’t Do Right Now, Harvard Business Review,
2016, available at: https://hbr.org/2016/11/what-artificial-intelligence-can-and-cant-do-right-now
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Fuzzy Systems and Fuzzy Logic, Complex Adaptive Systems, Intelligent Agents, Machine
Learning (Deep Learning), Pattern Recognition, Knowledge Representation.
2. THE IMPACT OF THE AI ON THE LABOUR MARKET
The digitalization process we are currently witnessing throughout the entire global economy
will allow for an increase in productivity, which will lead to a decrease in prices, to obtaining
genuine increased incomes using fewer resources. For example, companies that have
understood the importance of information systems assisting in decision-making processes
manage to obtain a higher level of productivity. An interesting analysis of the strategic
importance of IT is performed by Frank Bannister and Dan Remenyi in the article Why IT
Continues to Matter: Reflections on the Strategic Value of IT5 which is meant to be a response
to the famous article in the Harvard Business Review, belonging to Carr, IT Doesn‟t Matter 6
.
The most recent estimations indicate an increase by 1.3 million new jobs in IT by 20207.
Digitalization creates a significant amount of well paid jobs for specialists in the IT field, but
also for other areas of economy as well.
McKinsey declared in 2011 that the United States was suffering from a deficit of between
140,000 and 190,000 individuals with analytic abilities, as well as of 1.5 million analytical
managers capable of analysing data and making decisions using on-line transaction processing
(OLTP), on-line analytical processing (OLAP) or advance search techniques (Data Mining) of
information hidden within the data in a Data Warehouse8.
By integrating AI within companies, in the operating processes and in the systems assisting
the decision-making process, an increasing transfer of tactical decisions which imply the
analysis of large volumes of data (Big Data) will be made towards AI.
The development of artificial intelligence will lead to the gradual disappearance of several
professions considered to be traditional. Intelligent learning systems, based on deep learning 5 Bannister, F and Remenyi, D (2005), Why IT Continues to Matter: Reflections on the Strategic
Value of IT The Electronic Journal Information Systems Evaluation Volume 8 Issue 3, pp 159-168,
available online at www.ejise.com 6 Carr, N. (2003), IT Doesn’t Matter, Harvard Business Review, May, pp 41-49.
7 European Commission, Communications Networks, Content &Technology (CONNECT), May 2017.
A concept paper on digitisation, employability and inclusiveness - the role of Europe. available at:
https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/document.cfm?doc_id=44515 8 https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Business%20Functions/McKinsey%20Digital/
Our%20Insights/Big%20data%20The%20next%20frontier%20for%20innovation/MGI_big_data_exec
_summary.ashx
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and neural network, allow for a series of complex activities to become accessible and
programmable. Deloitte, in a study carried out in 2018, estimates that 42% of the activities in
the financial fields, in audit and insurance will be processed by intelligent systems9.
For example, in the financial sector, AI applications are capable of processing large volumes
of data, financial statements, press releases and other information, exceeding the capacity of
the human factor. This renders obsolete the workforce engaged at present in such activities.
The progress of new information technologies, based on artificial intelligence, generates a
simplification of tasks, therefore entailing the possibility that a number of professions might
not any longer require the same abilities as before.
AI must not be considered as being a simple instrument for substituting the human workforce,
by means of robotization and automation. The development of this field is much more
complex by means of the innovation it implies and it creates a large number of highly skilled
professions required in AI applications and an increase in highly skilled jobs required in
assisting the new technologies. In response to AI and the inherent risk of job automation, we
are currently witnessing a shift of the workforce towards professions which emphasize
abilities that intelligent algorithms are not yet capable of acquiring. At present, research is
being carried out with regard to this matter, but the evidence is inconclusive.
In a September 2018 study, The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Work10
, prepared for the
Royal Society and the British Academy by Frontier Economics, a deep analysis is made, with
forecasts with regard to the development of AI.
There are concerns related to the fact that digital technology will allow large companies to
consolidate their position on the global market to the detriment of smaller companies that will
not be able to make the same investments in AI.
9 Deloitte: Talent for survival. Essential skills for humans working in the machine age,
available at: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/uk/Documents/Growth/deloitte-uk-
talent-for-survival-report.pdf 10
Frontier Economics: The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Work (An evidence review prepared
for the Royal Society and the British Academy) , available at:
https://royalsociety.org/~/media/policy/projects/ai-and-work/frontier-review-the-impact-of-AI-on-
work.pdf
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3. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND THE UNIVERSITY SYSTEM
The development of software packages as applications of artificial intelligence represents a
threat to a significant number of qualified jobs but also to the system providing training for
the new professions facing profound reforms.
Susskind, R. & Susskind, D., in the paper The Future of the Professions: How Technology
Will Transform the Work of Human Experts11
, argue that in a society based on Internet
technology professions are affected by:
the efficiency of the automation process which leads to a decrease in the number of
individuals required for a variety of traditional tasks;
the innovation aspect which creates new means of sharing practical expertise.
Susskind’s state that: „in the post-professional society, we predict that practical expertise will
be available online„ 12
, based on the possibility of digitalizing knowledge belonging to experts
and that of democratizing the information provided on the Internet.
Greenleaf G., in Review Essay: Technology and the Professions: Utopian and Dystopian
Futures13
, makes a critical analysis of Susskind & Susskind’s vision on the models proposed
for generating and sharing expertise.
The development of AI implies new requirements in terms of specialty, such as data scientists
or knowledge engineers, but it also implies the creation of new qualified professions14
. The
new abilities imposed by AI and the transformation of existing professions15
entail a work
environment with a higher degree of performance and a better balance between the
professional and private life of an individual. In a study performed by Deloitte (2014)16
, it is
11
Susskind, R. & Susskind, D. (2015), The Future of the Professions: How Technology Will
Transform the Work of Human Experts, Oxford University Press. 12
Ibidem 13
Greenleaf G., Review Essay: Technology and the Professions: Utopian and Dystopian Futures,
UNSW Law Journal Volume 40(1), available at:
http://www.unswlawjournal.unsw.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/40-1-5.pdf 14
France Intelligence Artificielle, Une stratégie pour la France en matière d’intelligence artificielle,
available at: https://www.economie.gouv.fr/files/files/PDF/2017/Dossier_presse_France_IA.pdf 15
HTS Consulting: Nouvelles compétences, transformation des métiers à horizon 2025 : réussir
l'accompagnement au changement, available at:
http://www.observatoire-metiers-banque.fr/mediaServe/Etude_competences_metiers _2025
_web.pdf?ixh=4036006186068213780 16
The Millennial Survey, Deloitte (2014), available at:
https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/global/Documents/About-Deloitte/gx-dttl-2014-
millennial-survey-report.pdf
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estimated that employees belonging to the Y generation (also known as Millenials or Digital
Natives, comprising individuals born between 1978 and 1994), wish a more qualitative
assessment of their work and reject almost unanimously (92%) profit as the only measure of
their performance.
The magnitude of AI on the workforce market raises the issue of training. A rather significant
discrepancy can be noticed between the needs of the employers and the current university
system. At present, the workforce market favours a pluridisciplinary qualification focused
around specific hard skills, knows as STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics), and on digital skills. The continuous evolution of AI and the rapid rate of
degradation of knowledge prompt a reconsideration of the training period. This period should
not be considered as a stage in an individual’s life, but rather a continuous process of lifelong
learning.
Such a model is proposed by the Stanford University, under the designation Open Loop
University17
. The model is imposed by the frequency with which graduates have changed
professional careers. These changes require advanced learning at variable intervals during an
individual’s lifetime. The idea behind this model is clearly shown in figure 1.
Figure 1. The Open Loop University Model
Source: http://www.stanford2025.com/open-loop-university/
17
Open Loop University Stanford 2025, available at:
http://www.stanford2025.com/open-loop-university/
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We consider that such an approach requires a profound understanding of the idea of focus on
abilities rather than on knowledge. This idea is probably the closest one to becoming a reality.
Practical implementation implies a reorganization of academic courses based on a broader
scope of abilities: scientific analysis, quantitative reasoning, efficient communication etc.
Within the lifelong learning model, another issue appears in relation to the training of adults,
issue which must be approached in another manner, different than that used in the case of
children and adolescents. If pedagogy is the art and science of educating children and it is
based on the conviction that the teacher should adhere to a standardized curriculum,
andragogy (the science of teaching adults) must take into consideration that:
adults have a high degree of epistemological curiosity;
they are more motivated to learn and are more perseverant;
they know exactly what they want to learn;
they are more receptive to practical applications of theoretical knowledge.
4. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND THE EU STRATEGY
In April 2018, the European administration presented a plan for AI in the European Union.
The European Commission positions itself as a coordinator for the development of national
policies in this sector, in its desire to catch up with USA and China. (China announced in
2017 a public investment plan of 18 billion Euros until the year 202018
).
In this regard, 24 EU countries, joined by Norway, signed a declaration of commitment to
modernizing national policies in view of developing research in the field of AI. The only
states that did not sign this declaration are: Cyprus, Romania, Croatia and Greece19
.
EU is expecting an investment in AI of 20 billion Euros from the signatory states and the
private sector until the year 2020. The European Commission contributes with an investment
of 1.5 billion Euros for the timeframe 2018-2020 within the programme Horizon 202020
,21
.
18
La Commission européenne veut promouvoir l'intelligence artificielle dans l'UE,
available at: https://www.touteleurope.eu/revue-de-presse/la-commission-europeenne-veut-
promouvoir-l-intelligence-artificielle-dans-l-ue.html 19
24 pays européens signent un pacte pour développer l’intelligence artificielle,
available at: https://www.euractiv.fr/section/economie/news/twenty-four-eu-countries-sign-artificial-
intelligence-pact-in-bid-to-compete-with-us-china/ 20
La Commission européenne veut promouvoir l'intelligence artificielle dans l'UE,
available at: https://www.touteleurope.eu/revue-de-presse/la-commission-europeenne-veut-
promouvoir-l-intelligence-artificielle-dans-l-ue.html
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The coordinated plan at the level of the European Union in the field of AI has the purpose of
guaranteeing the complementary aspect and the synergies between the measures taken at
national and EU level, in order to maximize the impact and disperse the positive effects of AI
across Europe. EU countries are encouraged to develop their own national strategy in terms of
AI until the mid of the year 2019. Until now (December 2018), the following countries have
adopted national strategies with corresponding budgets: France, Finland, Sweden, the United
Kingdom and Germany22
. Other countries, such as Denmark, Luxembourg, Netherlands and
Ireland are integrating the measures relating to AI in a broader strategy for digital
transformation.
"The member states have a level of excellence in certain sectors, but they cannot achieve
much on the international scene. Nevertheless, the EU can be a driving force", stated Mariya
Gabriel, European commissioner for digital economy and digital society, at a press conference
in Bruxelles on the topic of investments in technology and artificial intelligence23
.
We consider that, by positioning itself outside the common strategy of the EU countries,
Romania will only increase the existing gap in digital competition, given the evolution of the
main indicators in this regard24
: Digital Economy and Society Index (EU28 DESI) defined for
the countries in the European Union, International Digital Economy and Society Index (I-
DESI), an extension of the UE28 DESI index, E-Government Development Index (EGDI),
Human Capital Index (HCI) and IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook.
At present, in Romania, scientific research backed by the government in the field of computer
science is carried out through isolated projects, lacking magnitude. The absence of a database
for scientific research leads to the possibility that several universities and research institutes
are carrying out parallel work on the same topic, without performing a synergic activity. In
21
HORIZON 2020, available at:
https://ec.europa.eu/programmes/horizon2020/sites/horizon2020/files/H2020_RO_KI0213413RON.pdf 22
Questions et réponses: Plan coordonné dans le domaine de l'intelligence artificielle «fabriquée en
Europe», available at: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-18-6690_fr.pdf. 23 24 pays européens signent un pacte pour développer l’intelligence artificielle,
available at: https://www.euractiv.fr/section/economie/news/twenty-four-eu-countries-sign-artificial-
intelligence-pact-in-bid-to-compete-with-us-china/ 24
Lixăndroiu D., Digital Competitiveness Indicators and the E-Government Process in Romania,
JSEG - Journal of Smart Economic Growth, Volume 3, Number 2, Year 2018, available at:
https://jseg.ro/ojs/index.php/jseg/article/view/98/68
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the National Strategy regarding the Digital Agenda for Romania 202025
, the phrase artificial
intelligence appears only once, in the SWOT analysis for innovation in IT&C in economics,
as an opportunity: “The increasing demand for autonomous systems incorporating elements of
artificial intelligence”.
Nevertheless, in Romania, there are Romanian companies that carry out activities in the field
of artificial intelligence, creating important applications in the area of cyber-security
(antivirus software), in the field of education etc.
We consider that Romania’s adherence to the great European research concert in the field of
AI could have represented a good opportunity to carry out major research with multiple
applications in various areas of interest.
5. CONCLUSIONS
Artificial Intelligence has an interdisciplinary nature: mathematics, computer science,
statistics. By combining various approaches from these disciplines, an attempt is carried out
to imitate the cognitive processes of the human brain (memory, recognition, language,
reasoning).
In terms of the evolution of AI and the possibility of imitating emotional processes, we
believe that the horizon 2030, set by some researchers, is too optimistic.
The changes brought on by AI creates unease: workers are afraid of losing their jobs due to
automation, a large number of individuals are asking who will be responsible if a wrong
decision is made by an AI governed system, the business environment is concerned by the
international competitiveness in the field of AI, taking into account the massive investments
made in various parts of the world which will influence productivity and costs.
Gilles Babinet raised the issue of the End of nation states, given the loss of sovereignty
induced by technological development and the process of globalization26
.
25
Strategia națională privind Agenda Digitală pentru Romania 2020
https://www.juridice.ro/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Strategia-Nationala-AD.pdf 26
Babinet G., Institut Montaigne, La fin de l’Etat-nation? Partie 1, les glissements de souveraineté
induits par la technologie, available at:
https://www.institutmontaigne.org/blog/la-fin-de-letat-nation-partie-1-les-glissements-de-
souverainete-induits-par-la-technologie
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It is difficult to provide a certain answer to all these issues, given the phenomena with which
human kind is currently confronted al a global level, but AI evolution will certainly clarify
these matters over the course of the following years.
REFERENCES
1. 24 pays européens signent un pacte pour développer l’intelligence artificielle,
available at: https://www.euractiv.fr/section/economie/news/twenty-four-eu-countries-
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2. Babinet G., Institut Montaigne, La fin de l’Etat-nation? Partie 1, les glissements de
souveraineté induits par la technologie, available at:
https://www.institutmontaigne.org/blog/la-fin-de-letat-nation-partie-1-les-glissements-de-
souverainete-induits-par-la-technologie
3. Bannister, F and Remenyi, D (2005), Why IT Continues to Matter: Reflections on the
Strategic Value of IT The Electronic Journal Information Systems Evaluation Volume 8
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4. Carr, N. (2003), IT Doesn’t Matter, Harvard Business Review, May, pp 41-49.
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deloitte-uk-talent-for-survival-report.pdf
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available at: https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/document.cfm?doc_id=44515
9. Greenleaf G., Review Essay: Technology and the Professions: Utopian and Dystopian
Futures, UNSW Law Journal Volume 40(1), available at:
http://www.unswlawjournal.unsw.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/40-1-5.pdf
10. La Commission européenne veut promouvoir l'intelligence artificielle dans l'UE
JOURNAL OF SMART ECONOMIC GROWTH
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available at: https://www.touteleurope.eu/revue-de-presse/la-commission-europeenne-
veut-promouvoir-l-intelligence-artificielle-dans-l-ue.html
11. L'intelligence artificielle dans la banque : Emploi et competences (source Athling),
available at: http://www.observatoire-metiers-
banque.fr/mediaServe/Etude_IA_emploi_competences.pdf?ixh=3741881147685077070
12. Lixăndroiu D., Digital Competitiveness Indicators and the E-Government Process in
Romania, JSEG - Journal of Smart Economic Growth, Volume 3, Number 2, Year 2018,
available at: https://jseg.ro/ojs/index.php/jseg/article/view/98/68
13. Open Loop University Stanford 2025, available at:
http://www.stanford2025.com/open-loop-university/
14. Rapport CIGREF: Nomenclature des métiers du système d’information, (2018), available
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«fabriquée en Europe», available at:
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-18-6690_fr.pdf.
16. Qu’est-ce que l’intelligence artificielle ?, available at:
https://www.college-de-france.fr/site/yann-lecun/Recherches-sur-l-intelligence-
artificielle.htm
17. Susskind, R. & Susskind, D. (2015), The Future of the Professions: How Technology Will
Transform the Work of Human Experts, Oxford University Press.
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cant-do-right-now
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https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Business%20Functions/McKinsey%20Di
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/MGI_big_data_exec_summary.ashx
20. Frontier Economics: The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Work (An evidence review
prepared for the Royal Society and the British Academy) , available at:
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https://royalsociety.org/~/media/policy/projects/ai-and-work/frontier-review-the-impact-
of-AI-on-work.pdf
21. HTS Consulting: Nouvelles compétences, transformation des métiers à horizon 2025 :
réussir l'accompagnement au changement, available at:
http://www.observatoire-metiers-banque.fr/mediaServe/Etude_competences_metiers
_2025 _web.pdf?ixh=4036006186068213780
22. France Intelligence Artificielle, Une stratégie pour la France en matière d’intelligence
artificielle, available at:
https://www.economie.gouv.fr/files/files/PDF/2017/Dossier_presse_France_IA.pdf
23. The Millennial Survey, Deloitte (2014), available at:
https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/global/Documents/About-Deloitte/gx-
dttl-2014-millennial-survey-report.pdf
24. Strategia națională privind Agenda Digitală pentru Romania 2020
https://www.juridice.ro/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Strategia-Nationala-AD.pdf