soldani 5 g tth and healthcare_vtc_spring_2017

1 © Nokia 2017 Customer Confidential

5G to the Home and for HealthcareVTC Spring 2017

5th June, 2017

Dr. David Soldani- Head of 5G Technology, e2e, Global, Nokia- Industry Professor, UTS, Australia

2 © Nokia 2016

Application and 5G requirements

5G DEPLOYMENT AREAS

Use cases Application description 5G requirements

In Vehicle Infotainment

Video-driven mass infotainment inside fast moving public and private vehicles

Increased capacity (10/3 Gbps DL/UL) Lower latency for AR/ VR (< 5-10ms)

Connected Vehicles

Truck platooning as an entry point into autonomous driving solutions

Ultra-low-latency and high reliability for extreme safety / security

5G hot spots (overlay)

Virtual Reality streaming from event onto user devices on site at large scale

Ultra-High throughput 1-2Gbps; lower latency (<10 ms) required for AR/VR; very high capacity (>500 Users/cell)

5G to homeFixed Wireless Access to homes (FWA) with low fiber penetration via 5G

Fiber-like speeds to multiple 10s of households from one site

Wireless Robotic Platforms

Robots for Logistic, Cleaning, Monitoring, Manufacturing (Industry 4.0) and Surgery

Ultra-reliable (failure rate <10−7) low E2E latency communication (5-25 ms)

UAV Traffic Management

Ultra-low-latency and high reliability for safety/security. Increased uplink capacity (10 Gbps UL)

E2E fleet management for delivery drones: Traffic Management for UAV (TMUAV)

Imm

ers

ive

an

d i

nte

racti

ve

exp

eri

en

ce

Mach

ine

(T

ruck/R

ob

ot/

Dro

ne

)

as a

Se

rve

3 © Nokia 2016

Smart City Applications and Requirements

5G DEPLOYMENT AREAS

Use cases Application description 5G requirements

Fleet mgmt. & Remote Vehicle monitoring

Tracking of fleet vehicles, including real time remote vehicle diagnostics, location, driver behavior, etc.

Low Tput, Low to Medium Latency

Connected Emergency Vehicles

Embarked mobile tele-medicine for remote/nomadic diagnostics, access to patient files, etc.

High QoS via enhanced Tput for 2-way video (~10-20Mbps UL &

DL) ; Very-low-latency and high reliability for safety

Mobile / Static Video Surveillance

High resolution UL camera video surveillance, remote control (zoom, pan, etc.). Includes offender identification, Missing Person, etc.

Very-High UL Tput and Overall Capacity, driven by camera resolution & units / cell (e.g. 15-20Mbps per camera).

Very Low latency for high resolution offender identification

Autonomous Driving Assistance

Real Time support for Assisted Driving – traffic indications, warnings, map updates, etc.

High Tput DL in high density traffic scenarios (~10Mbps / vehicle); Increased location positioning accuracy

Emergency Responder (ER) Support

Combined with surveillance, video feed and tactical information available to Emergency Responders

High DL Tput (~15Mbps / responder), with high reliability and low E2E latency communication (<50ms e2e)

Remote Out-patient Monitoring

Very-low-latency and high reliability for safety/security; increased UL Tput (~20Mbps)

Remote patient monitoring for out-of-premises care, includes wearables, tele-medicine

Co

nn

ecte

d C

ars

He

alt

h

Mo

nit

ori

ng

Pu

blic s

afe

ty

Vehicle to Pedestrian Notification / Warnings

Pedestrian awareness of vehicles (e.g. intersections)

High density (e.g. intersections), Low V-to-P latency (< e2e 100ms)

This document contains preliminary options which are subject to appropriate information and/or consultation of the relevant employee representative body/ies where applicable and subject to necessary legal procedures and approvals.

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© Nokia 2016

5G deployment areas and use cases requiring 4.5, 4.9 and 5G connectivity5G DEPLOYMENT AREAS

5G EXCLUSIVE USE CASES

5 © Nokia 2016 - confidential

Business case

• 5G-to-home

• Healthcare


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© Nokia 2016

5G -TO-HOME

100 Mbps DL BW/household sustained

Height 9m

mmWave

One access antennaper household(indoor or outdoor) and WiFi distribution inside the home

Feeder route

Fiber distribution point

mmWave

Distribution

Main difference with Fiber ttH is the last +/-100m

5GttH or Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) use case – Massive Broadband to the Home

cmWave and mmWave

radios (possibly with

Massive MIMO)

5G to the Home


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© Nokia 2016

Detailed business model logic 5G-TO-HOME - BUSINESS MODEL 5G to the Home

9 © Nokia 2016

Assumptions on the revenue calculation (1/2)5G-TO-HOME - BUSINESS MODEL

Chosen Option

5G to the Home

Key revenue assumptions

OptionsAssumptions Rationale

Addressable households• We used 100k households in the

example, but this has impact only on absolute numbers, not in payback

1

Fiber households, % • Based on historical data

%

1 5 10 2015

Operator market share• Based on the historical data of 4G

market share2

%

1 10 20 4030

Take rate of the service• Based on the historical data of 4G

market share3

%

1 10 20 4030

Current year roll-out distribution % • Based on the 3GPP 5G release

availability in late 2018 and SoCavailabilities

• 2019 - 10%• 2020 - 15%• 2021-25 - 15%

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10 © Nokia 2016

Assumptions on the revenue calculation (2/2)5G-TO-HOME - BUSINESS MODEL 5G to the Home

Key revenue assumptions

OptionsAssumptions Rationale

Households per site • Can be specified in the model5

Households/site

10 20 30 5040

Average ARPU per HH

• Price per SLA based on the current ARPU level in the European market; Traffic mix estimate

• Average ARPU 51.5€• Average SLA of 285 Mbps/HH

6

SLA (Mbps) ARPU/month Traffic Mix

50 20€ 10%

100 30€ 20%

200 40€ 40%

300 50€ 10%

500 75€ 10%

1 000 150€ 10%

Chosen Option

Capacity per cell promised

• 3 Cells/site assumed• Net tput per cell based on 2.5

overbooking ratio • Nokia Operator release (5G TF17A)

promises 5Gbps/cell max Tput• First 3GPP release content not

available – assumption: Tput > 5 Gbps

N. households/site

Average SLA/ Cell

2.5 overbooking

10 0.95 Gbps 0.38 Gbps

20 1.9 Gbps 0.76 Gbps

30 2.85 Gbps 1.14 Gbps

40 3.8 Gbps 1.52 Gbps

50 4.75 Gbps 1.9 Gbps

60 5.7 Gbps 2.28 Gbps

7

5G 200 MHz

500 MHz 2000 MHz4.0 Gbps 4x4 MIMO 10 Gbps 4x4 MIMO 20 Gbps 2x2 MIMO

/10 per cell

11 © Nokia 2016

Business case is highly sensitive to number of HHs/site and ARPU5G-TO-HOME – BUSINESS MODEL 5G to the Home

12 © Nokia 2016 - confidential

Business case

• 5G-to-home

• Healthcare


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© Nokia 2016

Wireless Tele Surgery (WTS): A surgeon in one location performing an operation in another with the aid of a robot

HEALTHCARE Connected Healthcare


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© Nokia 2016

100 ms (latency) / 30-50 Mb/s

(encoded bit rate) / 10-7 (failure rate)

< 25 ms (latency) / 30-50 Mb/s

(encoded bit rate) / 10-7 (failure rate)

5 ms (latency) / 1 Gb/s (encoded

bit rate) / 10-7 (failure rate)

Target functional architecture/ technology

Connected Health and Tele Care - Wireless Tele Surgery (WTS) T

ech

no

log

ica

l ju

stif

ica

tio

n a

nd

sp

eci

fica

tio

n

Haptic

Holo

gra

phic

Audio

/Vis

ual

Tactile and light field support engine – cloud service intelligence

Audio/Video

Audio/Commands

Core

Network

Audio/Video

Audio/Commands

Audio/Commands

Audio/Video +

Haptic feedback

Audio/Commands

Audio/Video +

Haptic feedback

Audio

Light field (multi views) +

Pressure field (ultrasound)

Pressure field

Light field (multi views) +

Pressure field (ultrasound)

Audio

Pressure probe

Ensuring SLA

MEC

Dedicated slice

Public 5G option

Connected Healthcare

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aoxQ1Un5N5M

17 © Nokia 2016

Robotics with Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the Edge Cloud

WIRELESS ROBOTIC PLATFORMS

• Use Cases: Logistic, Cleaning, Monitoring and Companion• No wireline connectivity between the mobile robotic platform and reasoning systems

Connected Healthcare


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Robotics with Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the Edge CloudWIRELESS ROBOTIC PLATFORMS Connected Healthcare


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© Nokia 2016

Parameters for the Operator and Care Service Provider business case calculations

• From 2020 to 2029, the number of service robots in

hospices, residential floors and homes is expected to

grow year on year of 12%, 10% and 33%,

respectively

• In the operator case, we assumed a Discount Rate

(PV) of 8%, an EBIDTA margin of 33%, an ARPU

decline multiplier of 2%, an equipment price erosion

multiplier of 8%, and an OPEX erosion multiplier of

1%

• In the case of Care Provider, the corresponding cash

flow (PV) in 2020-29 is derived assuming a Discount

Rate (PV) of 8% and an EBIDTA Margin of 40%

5G for Telecare

20 © Nokia 2016

Wireless Service Robot (WSR) implications for ID coverage HEALTHCARE – BUSINESS MODEL 5G for Telecare

Robots

replacement

21 © Nokia 2016

Summary

• 5G fundamental enabling technology for immersive and interactive experience and machine as a service

• Operator business case: • Infotainment: Straightforward if 5G/LTE ARPU increases as 4G/3G did

• Hotspots: Straightforward with 5+ events/month

• 5G to the Home: Requires Average ARPU >40€ (Premium) and 30+HH/site

• Platooning: Needs partnership with OEM and logistic companies, and two digits share of savings to the operator

• Wireless service robots: B2B is where a RoI business can be easily made, as long as the price a month to lease the robot is much cheaper than hiring people

• Smooth evolution from PoC, 5GTF (KT/VzW), to 3GPP NSA/SA R15/16 compliant offering with Nokia AirScale/AirFrame 5G ready products

© 2017 Nokia23

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