solar top 10

19
Bernhard Baumgartner [email protected]

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A detailed ranking of the TOP 10 solar producers. Presentation includes MW produced, 2011 previsions, price of panels, technology used... Plus analysis of the trends in the industry

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Page 1: Solar top 10

Bernhard Baumgartner [email protected]

Page 2: Solar top 10

Ranking

Page 3: Solar top 10

Current Ranking

MW installed

MW installed 2010

2011

MW installed 2009

2009 2011

Technology

Technology breakdown

Company logo

Green: above average Red: below average

Price mono Price poly Price thin film

Page 4: Solar top 10

1

2 400 MW

1 585 MW 2010

2011

704 MW 2009

2 1

C-Si

Mono Poly

Price mono

Page 5: Solar top 10

2

2 200 MW

1 463MW 2010

2011

520MW 2009

6 2

C-Si

Mono Poly

Page 6: Solar top 10

3

2 100 MW

1 412 MW 2010

2011

1 100MW 2009

1 3

CdTe

CdTe

Price thin film

Page 7: Solar top 10

4

1 500 MW

1 060 MW 2010

2011

525MW 2009

5 5

C-Si

?? ??

Price mono Price poly

Page 8: Solar top 10

5

1 700 MW

1 050MW 2010

2011

399MW 2009

8 4

C-Si

?? ??

Price mono Price poly

Page 9: Solar top 10

6

1 230 MW

1 014 MW 2010

2011

585MW 2009

4 9

C-Si CIGS

?? ??

Price poly

Page 10: Solar top 10

7

1 500 MW

945MW 2010

2011

360MW 2009

11 5

C-Si

?? ??

Page 11: Solar top 10

8

1 250 MW

910MW 2010

2011

595MW 2009

3 8

C-Si a-Si

?? ??

Price mono Price poly Price thin film

Page 12: Solar top 10

9

1 260 MW

827MW 2010

2011

368MW 2009

10 7

C-Si

mono poly

C-Si

mono poly

Page 13: Solar top 10

10

800 MW

650MW 2010

2011

400MW 2009

7 16

C-Si

?? ??

Price poly

Page 14: Solar top 10

Analysis

Company Comparisons Future growth Key factors for success

Page 15: Solar top 10

Producers Evolution

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Suntech JA Solar First Solar Yingli GreenEnergy

Trina SolarEnergy

Q-Cells Motech Sharp Gintech Kyocera

2009

2010

2011

Suntech will keep on leading te market. First Solar is the only Western company that keeps up with the Asian growth

Page 16: Solar top 10

Country Evolution

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

China USA Japan Taiwan Germany

2009

2010

2011

The heart of the industry gets closer to China and Taiwan The production of the historical producers( Japan, Germany) increases only slowely

Page 17: Solar top 10

Country Evolution

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2009 2010 2011

Germany

Taiwan

Japan

USA

China

China’s market share had a 23% increase in two years China and Taiwan will account for 70% of the Top 10 market share in 2011

Page 18: Solar top 10

Correlation Price-Ranking

0

0

Mono

Price Linéaire (Price)

0

0

Poly

Price Linéaire (Price)

The market is price driven: the lower the price the higher the sales An effort has to be made in the supply chain to drive down costs Risk of outsourcing for companies from Western countries

Pri

ce

Pri

ce

Ranking Ranking

Page 19: Solar top 10

Sources

• Photon Magazine April 2011 (French version)

Bernhard Baumgartner [email protected]