smarter choices – changing travel behaviour through soft policies dr sally cairns senior research...
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Smarter Choices – changing travel behaviour through ‘soft’ policies
Dr Sally Cairns Senior Research Fellow
TRL and UCL
Email: [email protected]
ECOMM 2005: 27th-28th October 2005, Parma, Italy
Measures assessedTravel plans Workplace travel
plans School travel plans
Information and marketing
Personalised travel planning
Public transport information and marketing
Travel awareness campaigns
More efficient use of cars Car clubs Car sharing
schemes
Tele options Teleworking Teleconferencing Home shopping
Study details Research for the UK Department for Transport, 2003-2004
Study team:Sally CairnsLynn SlomanCarey NewsonJillian AnableAlistair KirkbridePhil Goodwin
Main report published in conjunction with the 2004 UK White Paper on ‘The Future of Transport’
Background
7 previous UK assessments of the potential impact of such measures
Wide range of results, with both optimistic and pessimistic conclusions
Rapidly developing evidence base
Methodology
Worldwide literature review
24 case studies of current local authority practice
Looked at effectiveness and cost of current schemes,and their potential scale in 10 years time
↓ Two scenarios: low intensity and high intensity
High intensity scenario: assumed a step-change in activity and resources, but within the limits of what
would be practically achievable
Results of high intensity scenario:Potential traffic reduction in 10 years
11%
7%
14%
13%21%
0 20 40 60 80 100
urban peak
urban off-peak
non-urban peak
non-urban off-peak
national
% traffic
Findings consistent with re-interpretation of previous studies
Costs and benefits
For every 1000 vehicle kilometres removed:
Average cost = £15
Average benefit = £150 (for congestion relief alone)
↓ Benefit : cost ratio is at least 10:1 Higher ratios (up to 30:1) in congested city
streets
BUT…. Benefits will only be realised if traffic reduction is ‘locked in’ with restraint measures
Example: Workplace travel plans“a package of measures that an organisation puts in place to encourage and enable staff to travel more sustainably”
Support for: walking cycling public transport car sharing local recruitment / relocation teleworking
Car park management
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Birmingham Royal Orthopaedic hospitalCompass Group Birmingham
HM Prison BirminghamGenerics, Cambridgeshire
Stockley ParkBoots, Nottingham
Birmingham dental hospitalLocal Government Ombudsman, York
Oxford Radcliffe HospitalArup, Bristol
AgilentAstraZeneca
PfizerBirmingham city council transportation
VodafoneUniversity of Bristol
Cambridgeshire County Council (county hall) Marks and Spencer
Orange (Almondsbury)BP
St Helen's College, MerseysideEgg
Wycombe District CouncilGovernment Office for the East Midlands
Computer AssociatesNottingham City Hospital NHS Trust Chamber of Commerce, Cambridge
Northfield Medical Centre, BirminghamCambridge University
Buckinghamshire County CouncilCambridge City Council
Birmingham city council economicBirmingham Priory Hospital
Plymouth HospitalGovernment Office for East of England
Addenbrookes NHS Trust, CambridgeNorwich Union, Bristol
WS Atkins, BirminghamOrange, Temple Point Bristol
Bluewater
Reductions in car driver trips to work
Typical reductions: 10-25%
Local authority role in workplace travel plans
Having advisers who work with businesses
Using the planning processes
Offering grants or other incentives
Having a plan for their own staff
Local authorities have promoted workplace travel plans by:
Scale of workplace travel planning
% employees affected by a travel plan
0
10
20
30
Mer
seytr
avel
Buckin
gham
shire
Bristo
l
Cambs
(all)
Cambs
City
& S
York
Nottin
gham
Birmin
gham
Future scale: two urban areas estimated 40-50%; one rural area estimated 15%.
What happens next?
Research has shown the cost-effectiveness of individual Smarter Choice measures
…But they will only deliver major cuts in traffic if they become mainstream
The next stage: large-scale local Smarter Choice Programmes
Now being developed in London, and in three ‘Sustainable Travel Towns’ - Darlington, Peterborough and Worcester.
What an intensive Smarter Choices Programme might involve
Workplace travel plan team who also consider car-sharing, telework,
teleconferencing over 10 years, reach half the workforce target larger employers first
School travel plan team over 10 years, cover every school
Personalised travel planning over 10 years, reach a third of households target 5-10,000 people per year
SmarterChoices
Programme
Marketing of bus and rail increase ridership by 2-3% per year
Over-arching travel awareness campaign Innovative projects: car clubs, home shopping
(prepare for next phase)
SmarterChoices
Programme
Cost of an intensive Smarter Choices Programme
Step-change in priority / resources
Annual revenue spend ~ €8 per person to achieve ‘high intensity’ scenario
Capital funding needed too
e.g. safer crossings near schools, cycle route networks etc.
SmarterChoices
Programme
Conclusions ‘Smarter choice’ measures could reduce traffic by up to
21% in urban peak areas if they are given more priority if the benefits are ‘locked in’ with demand restraint
measures Such measures are relatively cheap
£15 to remove 1000 vehicle kilometres Benefit: cost ratios better than 10:1
Local authorities have a critical role to play
To achieve their potential, ‘smarter choice’ measures need to be given more priority at national and local level
For the study reports, go to:
www.dft.gov.uk
then → Sustainable travel
then → ‘Smarter choices’