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"Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

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Page 1: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

"Single CMO" Management CommitteeMarket situation for Sheep & Goat

18 April 2013

EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

Page 2: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 2

Sheep Balance sheet 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2012/11 2013/12

Slaughter (Tonne) 986.915 915.243 929.127 901.135 904.723 -3,0% 0,4%

Live import 4 10 150 0 0 -99,8%

Live export 3.725 10.904 21.692 26.342 27.000 21,4% 2,5%

GIP 990.636 926.137 950.668 927.477 931.723 -2,4% 0,5%

Meat import 271.440 239.163 221.603 189.298 195.000 -14,6% 3,0%

Meat export 7.730 13.131 15.805 25.370 25.000 60,5% -1,5%

Internal use 1.250.625 1.141.276 1.134.925 1.065.062 1.074.723 -6,2% 0,9%

Consumption (kg/ cap) 2,5 2,3 2,3 2,1 2,1 -6,4% 0,6%

Self suff. In % 79,2% 81,1% 83,8% 87,1% 86,7% 4,0% -0,4%

Price heavy (€/100kg) 412 436 498 498 521 0,0% 4,6%

Price Light (€/100kg) 638 584 591 600 604 1,6% 0,7%

Page 3: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 3

250

350

450

550

650

750

| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

€ur

o / 1

00kg

Development of the EU average market price for Heavy and Light Lamb carcases

Light lamb

Heavy Lamb

Page 4: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 4

350

400

450

500

550

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

€uro

/100kg

Heavy Lamb prices in the EU2010 - 2013

2010

2011

2012

2013

Page 5: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 5

500

550

600

650

700

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/100kg

Light Lamb prices in the EU2010 - 2013

2010

2011

2012

2013

Page 6: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 6

2009S1 2010S1 2011S1 2012S1 2013S1 2009S2 2010S2 2011S2 2012S2 2013S2

total 36 158 34 813 34 785 35 325 34 801 31 815 32 060 30 626 31 081 30 869

goat 4 943 4 909 4 881 5 059 4 829 2 661 2 799 2 563 2 696 2 536

sheep 31 216 29 904 29 905 30 266 29 972 29 153 29 260 28 063 28 386 28 332

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

Axi

s Ti

tle

GIP Production forecast in the Sheep & Goat sector13 MSs

Page 7: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 7

985

985

971

1 0

21

949

748

717

730

707

714

179157

178178 178

75 73 6872

7860

5959 54 51

27

8

25

6

26

3

22

6

22

6

22

2

17

5

15

5

11

1

11

1

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Sh

ee

p C

arc

as

e w

eig

ht

in K

G

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Sheep and Goat meat supply in the EU2003 = EU 15 2004 = EU 25 2007 = EU 27

sheep Non official goat Imp - Exp (Pw) Cw Heavy Cw light

Page 8: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 8

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

EU 1 059.980 1 058.470 1 039.060 1 093.649 1 026.970 986.916 933.160 967.299 939.548 943.136

UK 314.406 331.593 330.189 324.843 325.744 302.716 281.027 289.506 276.055 284.493

España 246.975 238.600 238.250 227.081 166.239 133.254 133.986 142.119 133.090 133.264

0

300

600

900

Sheep & Goatmeat production inthe EU, UK and Spain in '000 Tonnes

official slaughter onlyEU

UK

España

Page 9: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 9

0

100

200

300

400

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Lamb production in the UK and Spain compaired to "Others" in 1000 Tonns

Other UK ES

Page 10: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 10

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

25,0%

de ie gr es fr it uk Other

Breakdown of Slaughter in Headsin % of EU Total sheep & goat slaughter - 2012

Goat

sheep

Page 11: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 11

150

250

350

450

550

| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

€u

ro

/ 1

00

kg

Community average and international market prices for Heavy Lamb carcases

EU 27 avg. Heavy lamb Uruguay N. Zealand (avg N&S island)

Page 12: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 12

300.00

500.00

700.00

900.00

1100.00

1300.00

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

NZ$/

100kg

New Zealand lamb and wool prices(NZ Farmers weekly)

North Island lamb YM-13.5 North Island lamb YX-17.5 South Island lamb YM-13.5

South Island lamb YX-17.5 Wool 25 μ Wool 37 μ

Page 13: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 13

1

1.25

1.5

1.75

2

2.25

2.5

I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I

1 E

uro

= ..

...…

Nw

. Z

ea

lan

d $

Exchange rate NZ$ & AUS$ - Euroquotation: 1st day of the month

NZ$

AUS$

http://ec.europa.eu/budget/inforeuro/index.cfm

Page 14: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 14

50%

75%

100%

125%

150%

I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I

Exchange rate NZ$ & UK£ - EuroPercentual change: I/2004 = 100

NZ$ UK£http://ec.europa.eu/budget/inforeuro/index.cfm

Page 15: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 15

EU imports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

OriginsOriginstonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

New Zealand 240 921 83.5% 211 349 82.8% 192 907 82.4% 169 567 84.9% 28 286 86.3%

Australia 23 359 8.1% 22 046 8.6% 21 099 9.0% 17 554 8.8% 3 459 10.6%

Uruguay 5 722 2.0% 4 533 1.8% 4 975 2.1% 3 441 1.7% 443 1.4%

Chile 5 727 2.0% 5 856 2.3% 5 317 2.3% 3 225 1.6% 295 0.9%

Argentina 7 610 2.6% 5 982 2.3% 4 301 1.8% 1 942 1.0% 212 0.6%

For.JRep.Mac 2 598 0.9% 2 173 0.9% 2 574 1.1% 2 024 1.0% 48 0.1%

Iceland 2 047 0.7% 2 382 0.9% 2 073 0.9% 1 102 0.6% 22 0.1%

Falkland Is. 479 0.2% 532 0.2% 607 0.3% 616 0.3% 0 0.0%EXTRA EU15-25-27 288 621 255 117 234 136 199 750 32 775

% change - 11.6% - 8.2% - 14.7% + 22.5%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Feb 132012

Page 16: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 16

EU imports of sheep & goat and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)

30 727

24 10228 286

3 906

1 595

3 459

36 423

26 753

32 775

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13

To

nn

es

cwe

IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat into EU(Tonnes cwe)

New Zealand Australia Argentina Uruguay Chile Other Origins

143 264 135 795 127 374

18 6339 649

12 426

169 811

150 713143 415

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

180 000

Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13

1,00

0 E

UR

IMPORTS of Sheep & Goat into EU (1000 EUR)

New Zealand Australia Argentina Uruguay Chile Other Origins

Page 17: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 17

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

|Jan 06

2006 |Jan 07

2007 |Jan 08

2008 |Jan 09

2009 |Jan 10

2010 |Jan 11

2011 |Jan 12

2012 |Jan 13

in T

on

ne

s c

we

Imports of Sheep & Goat products

FRESH FROZEN OTHERS

Page 18: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 18

EU exports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

DestinationsDestinations

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

Hong Kong 616 4.4% 1 350 5.0% 4 404 10.6% 14 014 24.8% 3 040 32.4%

Sw itzerland 1 404 10.0% 2 213 8.2% 2 661 6.4% 2 839 5.0% 758 8.1%

Lebanon 1 460 10.4% 2 418 8.9% 2 774 6.7% 2 336 4.1% 703 7.5%

Jordan 352 2.5% 4 408 16.2% 5 235 12.6% 5 836 10.3% 313 3.3%

Turkey 77 0.5% 4 029 14.8% 12 788 30.8% 3 081 5.5% 134 1.4%

Vietnam 2 563 18.3% 3 008 11.1% 3 405 8.2% 1 744 3.1% 25 0.3%EXTRA EU15-25-27 14 032 27 142 41 526 56 425 9 392

% change + 93% + 53% + 36% + 107.8%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Feb 132012

Page 19: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 19

EU exports of sheep & goat and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)

1 086

3 040

3 038

482

64

703

418

424

758

1 9131 901

1 720

5 2794 520

9 392

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13

Ton

nes

cw

EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (Tonnes cwe)

Hong Kong Libya Lebanon Switzerland Turkey Other destinations

5 042

15 653

3 378

3 661

4 684

4 1285 831

5 200

19 12517 216

33 604

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

Jan-Feb 11 Jan-Feb 12 Jan-Feb 13

1,00

0 E

UR

EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (1000 EUR)

Hong Kong Libya Lebanon Switzerland Turkey Other destinations

Page 20: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 20

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

|Jan 06

2006 |Jan 07

2007 |Jan 08

2008 |Jan 09

2009 |Jan 10

2010 |Jan 11

2011 |Jan 12

2012 |Jan 13

in T

on

ne

s c

we

Exports of Sheep & Goat products

FRESH FROZEN LIVE OTHERS

Page 21: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 21

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Total 2010 =652 950 H

Total 2011 =1 471 259 H

Total 2012 =1 624 412 H

II / 2013 =188 854 H

Export of live lamb and sheep by destination in heads

Other

Lebanon

Libya

Jordan

Turkey

Page 22: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 22

0

40.000

80.000

120.000

160.000

200.000

240.000

| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013

Export of live sheep, in headsexcluding pure-bred breeding

A = LIVE LAMBS "SHEEP UP TO A YEAR OLD"

B = LIVE SHEEP excl. A

2010 = 652 933 heads2011 = 1 467 049heads2012 = 1 624 412heads

Page 23: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 23

EU Sheep and Goat Meat Trade Balance, tonnes cwe

27

1 0

34

28

2 6

24

28

0 8

84

27

9 7

74

28

1 7

28

29

2 8

04

29

8 0

57

29

6 2

39

30

7 0

25

28

9 8

55

29

7 3

81

30

2 5

77

28

4 9

27

28

4 7

78

28

8 6

21

25

5 1

17

23

4 1

36

19

9 7

50

32

77

5

6 9

83

7 9

93

4 1

98

4 2

32

4 7

94

5 6

10

6 2

07

6 7

53

6 5

50

6 6

83

7 1

27

6 0

97

10

82

4

9 9

51

14

03

2

27

14

2

41

52

6

56

42

5

9 3

92

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Feb13

To

nn

es c

we

IMPORTS EXPORTS

Page 24: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 24

Annual quota

Balance (remaining

amount)

Actual import

Balance (remaining

amount)

Actual import

Balance (remaining

amount)

Actual import

Argentina 09.2011 23.000 22.849 151 22.794 206 22.693 307Australia 09.2012 19.186 16.492 2.694 15.401 3.785 14.122 5.064New Zealand

09.2013 228.254 210.689 17.565 190.964 37.290 173.464 54.790

Uruguay 09.2014 5.800 5.580 220 5.266 534 5.090 710Chile 09.1922 6.800 6.740 60 6.606 194 6.341 459Norway 09.0781 300 300 0 300 0 300 0Greenland 09.0693 100 100 0 100 0 100 0Faeroes 09.0690 20 20 0 20 0 20 0Turkey 09.0227 200 200 0 200 0 200 0Others 09.2015 200 200 0 200 0 200 0Erga Omnes

09.2016 200 73 127 0 200 0 200

0104 10 300104 10 80 00104 20 90

286.051 265.184 20.867 243.790 42.212 224.455 61.547

1.832 18

92

Period: 01/01/2013 - 12/04/2013

TOTAL

Period: 01/01/2013 - 15/02/2012

Period: 01/01/2013 - 19/03/2012

1.850 1.848 209.0790 1.846 4

3Erga Omnes

09.2019 92 92 0 92 0

1 0204

2

0204 0210 99 210210 99 290210 99 60

Iceland

UTILISATION OF SHEEPMEAT AND GOATMEAT TARIFF QUOTAS IN EU-27 : January > December 2013

COUNTRY GROUP No

CN CODES ORIGINORDER

NUMBER

Page 25: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 25

300

400

500

600

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Actual and Forecasted prices for Heavy and Light lamb

EU Heavy FC

EU_H

EU Light FC

EU_L

Page 26: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 26

-40,0%

-30,0%

-20,0%

-10,0%

0,0%

10,0%

20,0%

30,0%

40,0%

50,0%

1-9 10-19 20-49 50-99 100-199 200-499 > 500

Eurofarm Structure survey 2007 - 2010% of Sheep in the total flock and their change in the EU

% of the flock Change in class flock size

Page 27: "Single CMO" Management Committee Market situation for Sheep & Goat 18 April 2013 EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation

DG AGRI, Management Committee – 18 April 2013 27

0

100

200

300

400

EU27

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EI EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK eu15

eu12

Eurofarm Structure survey 2007 - 2010Average Sheep flock per holding by Member State

Anim/ Hold 2007 Anim/ Hold 2010