siemens bullet train feasibility report's presentation
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Presentation on the feasibility report we did for Bullet train system in Pakistan.TRANSCRIPT
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Siemens-“Bullet Train”
Team members:• SYED USMAN WAZIR• SYED ALI NAQI• ANILA MUHAMMUD• QURAT-UL-AIN RAUF• ANUM SAFDAR KHAN• SADAF MANSOOR
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ANUM SAFDARINTRODUCTION
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Siemens AG (Berlin and Munich) is a global powerhouse in electronics and electrical engineering, operating in the industry, energy and healthcare sectors.
The company has around 400,000 employees (in continuing operations) ◦ working to develop and manufacture products,◦ design and install complex systems and projects, ◦ and tailor a wide range of solutions for individual
requirements
INTRODUCTION:
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Our stakeholders – customers, shareholders, employees, suppliers and the societies in which we operate – expect the highest performance and the highest ethical standards. Meeting these requirements is the ultimate determinant of our success.
Our Values and Vision: a guide to our business conduct
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Reaching this goal requires a new balance in which values, business operations and the pursuit of our vision co-exist harmoniously
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Our success depends on the success of our customers.
Innovation is our life blood.
Our employees are the key to our success
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Our ideas, technologies and activities help create a better world.
We generate profitable growth to ensure sustainable success.
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SIEMENS RAIL INDUSTRY
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Rail automation, which includes spare parts and up to date railway related accessories.
Locomotives, which are used for trams and intra city tracks.
Electrification, which include state of the art electric supply system for maglev and electric trains.
Light rails, which are also used for trams and intra city commutation.
Turnkey systems, which are specific trains designed for underground subway systems
Core Products
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Trains, which include high speed valario and other bullet trains
Integrated services, which include software and hardware solutions for railway logistics and supports.
Heavy rail, which are used for freight and cargo delivery.
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GLOBAL PRESENCE:
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CHINA:
◦ It has been engaged in providing several high speed trains to China and had also worked in collaboration with Shanghai Metro Group since 1989.
◦ It has also engaged in the expansion of the metro in Guangzhou since 1994.
◦ China is providing Siemens with a "strong base in a dynamic environment"
FOREIGN MARKETS ATTRACTIVE FOR SIEMENS
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INDIA:
◦ India has been one of the major countries where Siemens is catering to the electrical engineering and electronic market.
◦ The country is offering tremendous growth potential for infrastructure development for Siemens.
◦ India is a "key market for growth" for Siemens
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The SIEMENS consider the following as their major competitors in the market
◦ Alstom of France◦ Bombardier of Spain◦ Finmeccanica of Italy◦ Invensys of United Kingdom
COMPETITORS
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SADAF MANSOOR
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Rail Gauge◦ Narrow Gauge (about 3 ft 6 inches width)◦ Standard or International Gauge (4ft 8.5
inches)◦ Wide gauge (above 4ft 8.5 inches width)◦ Dual Gauge
RAILWAY TECHNOLOGY
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ELECTRIC TRAINS◦ Three Power Sources
Overhead lines Voltage capacity of AC 25,000v Maintaince : segments worked independently Power supply using different sources
Third Rail Hazardous than previous source Built up third rail for carrying current
Rechargeable Source
Types of Trains Chosen
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World’s fastest trains◦ Shinkensen of Japan and TGV of France
Characteristics of Electric trains◦ Maintenance costs low◦ Noiseless causing less pollution◦ Developed countries usage◦ Good source where oil reserves are
depleting◦ Infrastructure extremely expensive
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Diesel engine used to drive an electric generator
Suitable as infrastructure costs are lower Technology used in other areas as well More fuel efficient than electric locomotives
DIESEL ELECTRIC LOCOMOTIVE
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A revolution in the industry Record breaking speeds of above 581km/hr
◦ Travels above the ground◦ Almost no friction
Components included◦ Powerful electric power source◦ Magnets attached ◦ Track lined with metal coils
Siemens provided Maglev trains to China in 2001-2002
MAGLEV TRAIN
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Market growing on average 2% yearly Generates Business volume worth EUR103.3
billion Important Growth markets are Eastern
Europe, CIS and Asia-Pacific
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Reasons for Growth◦ Economic growth , heavy urbanization > growing
traffic volume◦ Increased Governmental support for development
of railways◦ Railways play important role in development of
economies◦ by 2015, passenger traffic increase by 30%,
freight traffic by 70%
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50% of world population lives in urban areas, will increase to 60% y 2020
High speed usage based on travelling time Countries economic growth favors
development Western Europe slow growth rates but
account for 32% of total business NAFTA region accounts for (EUR 22 billion)
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Up keeping, maintaining and replacing existing systems is a key revenue factor
Asia strong development because of increasing population, development and industrialization
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◦ Car transport has much higher transmission of CO, HC, NO than air and rail travel
◦ However rail travel emits greater SO when compared to road and air travel
◦ Emissions of SO greater than rail for shorter journeys
Environmental Factors
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SWOT analysisStrengths Shorter time (passenger/freight) Existing Expertise (China, India
etc) Customer preference to choose
Siemens 2.5million train users Employment opportunities for
local people Avoidance of double taxation
Weaknesses Overall Cost Infrastructure buildup starting
from scratch Pakistan's position on Global
Competitive scale(India 27th)
Threats Fuel shortages will create
problems China's position Delay in Project acceptability,
higher costs Political instability and
uncertainty Airline industry carries 70% of
domestic freight traffic
Opportunities First mover advantage Privatization hype of railways Growing needs of the market
where demand exceeds supply PR stagnant and slow growth
(10% passenger traffic, 5% freight traffic
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video
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QURAT-UL-AIN RAUF
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Rail Statistics of Pakistan total Length : 8,163 km
broad gauge: 7,718 km 1.676-m gauge (293km electrified) narrow gauge: 445 km 1.000-m gauge (2006)
CURRENT STATUS OF HOST COUNTRY
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◦ Peshawar-Karachi Route◦ Peshawar-Quetta Route◦ Lahore-Sialkot Route◦ Lahore-Faisalabad Route◦ Faisalabad-Khanewal Route
Our Focus◦ Islamabad-Lahore and vice versa
Major routes
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Year
Passenger FreightOther Earnings
(Rs)
Overall Earnings
(Rs)PKMs
Earning
(Rs)TKMs
Earning
(Rs)
2003-04 22.8 8.2 4.9 4.6 1.7 14.5
2004-05 23.2 8.6 5.5 5.2 1.9 15.7
2005-06 23.7 90. 6.3 5.9 2.0 16.9
2006-07 24.3 9.5 7.3 6.9 2.3 18.7
2007-08 25.0 10.0 8.4 7.9 2.5 20.4
2008-09 25.8 10.7 9.6 9.0 2.8 22.5
2009-10 26.8 11.7 11.1 10.4 3.1 25.2
2010-11 27.9 12.9 12.7 11.9 3.6 28.4
DATA OF REVENUE RECEIPTS
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Up gradation and improvement of track from Khanpur to Lalamusa
Dualization of Track from Khanewal to Raiwind and Shahdara to Lalamusa
Feasibility Study for provision of rail link from Dina to Mirpur AJK
Improvement and rehabilitation of old and obsolete signaling system on Karachi – Peshawar section in phases
Electrification of Lahore – Khanewal double line section with rehabilitation of existing single line Lahore – Khanewal section
Procurement/ manufacturing and assembly of 100 passenger coaches
PAKISTAN RAILWAYS DEVELOPMENTAL PLANS 2005-10
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Extensively regulated in all sectors
Government restrictions
Regulatory controls have led to the poor railway system
INTERNATIONAL GOVERNMENT POLICIES
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Government decision to restructure Pakistan railways
Focus on core business of rail services
Development of the manufacturing units of Pakistan Railways
NATIONAL GOVERNMENT POLICIES
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It would offload railway budget from the non- core activities
It would facilitate manufacturing units to have their autonomous entities for seeking business from the private enterprises
It would facilitate preparation corporate plans and feasibility for their future operations and implementation strategy.
BENEFITS RELATING TO THIS REFORM EXERCISE
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The manufacturing units will follow a policy for developing original capabilities of the new companies to design, manufacture coaches, locomotives and sleepers by developing research and development activity, design centre, human and capital formation
It would lessen dependence on foreign manufactures and develop potential to compete in foreign markets.
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Anila MuhammedTRENDS…
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Survey Sample size Location
◦ Daewoo Terminal Rawalpindi
◦ Airports Rawalpindi & Islamabad
◦ Railway Stations Rawalpindi & Islamabad
Trend Analysis
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50%
30%
20%
Is the Introduction of Bullet Train Fea-sible in Pakistan?Yes No May be
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57%
5%
10%
28%
Why would the Bullet Train Project not be Feasible?
InfrastructureGovernment PoliciesDemandAffordabilityTerrorism
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47%
29%
4%4%
16%
Percentage of People Travelling From Rawalpindi to Different National Routes
Lahore KarachiPeshawer QuettaAll the above mentioned cities
45%
29%
16%
10%
Percentage of People Travelling by Train
Rarely Ocassionally Frequently Never
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Siemens general status◦ 8% (China)
Segmentation
Consumer Behavior
Segmentation
Frequency of Visit
Income Level
Social Class
Occasions
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Express and Non-express Trains less than 4 hours
◦ Subak Raftar express◦ Islamabad non-stop◦ The Margala Express
Journey varies to 5 to 8 hours◦ Khyber Mail◦ Tezgam◦ Awam Express
MAJOR LOCAL COMPETITORS
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Strengths◦ Frequent trips
16 trains ◦ Lower costs ◦ Miscellaneous
Washrooms Snack items, meals newspapers & magazines
◦ Efficient in fuel consumption
Weakness◦ Lower quality(justified by the price)◦ Takes longer time
Trains
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Road travel in Pakistan carries about 80% Motorway
◦ M1 (ISB TO PSH)◦ M2 (LHR to ISB)◦ M4 (FSB to MUL)
NHA is managing 3% of the total entire road network◦ 75% of the country’s road traffic
M2◦ developed by Daewoo ◦ cost of Rs 36.7 billion
Roads (Motorways)
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SAMMI DAEWOO BUS SERVIVE◦ Travel 35 times daily◦ Capacity of about 40 seats◦ Security◦ Departure after every half an hour ◦ Snacks along with drinks◦ Stop over points
G7 sector of Islamabad ◦ Head phones and have LCDs ◦ Rs480 (Standard Bus)◦ Rs 750 (Royal Decker Buses)
Roads (Bus Service)
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Pollution◦ lesser implementation of environmental standards
Urbanization and growth in population has resulted in massive destruction of landscapes and trees.
Drawbacks
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PIA◦ 5 times daily◦ Ticket price is about Rs 7500 but it is subject to
change Drawbacks
◦ Expensive service◦ Limited option available
AIR TRAVEL
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SYED ALI NAQIPROJECT FEASIBILITY
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Sales Revenue
Revenues
Type of customer
Revenue per customer (excluding taxes)
Revenue per customer (Including taxes)
Total customer/year
Total Revenue
VIP class
1500 1725 547500 944437500
General Class
2500 2875 730000 2098750000
Total 1277500 3043187500
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Revenue from Cargo Handling
Revenue from marketing
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Basic Rate/car Per train Per month Per year
Rs.1509375 Rs.15093750 Rs.45281250 Rs.543375000
Basic Rate/car Per train Per month Per year
Rs.1000000 Rs.10000000 Rs.30000000 Rs.360000000
Sales cargo marketing Total
3043187500 543375000 360000000 3946562500
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Cost of land
costs
Land
Total Requiredsqft
100000000 Chakwal sqft 200
cost/sqft 350 jehlum 425
Total cost 35 billion gujrat 380
gujranwala 400
Average 350
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Cost of Track
Cost of Trains
Engineering/Materials
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Cost/ square meter
Total length Total cost
82500 500,000 41,00,0000,000
Cost of one unit Total Units total cost
6000000000 3 18000000000
Cost/ square meter
Total length Total cost
4000 500000 2000000000
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Sr. No Nature of cost Amount The bearer
1 Cost of Land 35000000000 GOP
2 Cost of Track 41000000000 GOP
3 Cost of Trains 18000000000 Siemens
4 Cost of Engineering etc
2000000000 Siemens
Total Cost 96000000000 -
5 Operating expenses
750 million annually
Siemens
Costs Bearing
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The project would be the sole property of state of Pakistan and can not be pledged by any entity other than state of Pakistan
The project would be leased out to Siemens for 20 years time
The Siemens would operate the whole system at its own & GOP would receive taxes only
Terms & Conditions
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After 20 years the whole project & infrastructure would be handed over to state of Pakistan
20% of free income would be given to government of Pakistan
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contract
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SYED USMAN WAZIRMARKETING PLAN
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BURAQ
LOGO & NAME
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Billboards Website Sponsorships Commercials Print media Others
MARKETING PLAN
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Recommendations◦ The project should be carried out by the
Government of Punjab with funding from Asian Development Bank;
◦ some basic regulation for providing legal cover on who is going to implement this project so as to avoid future conflict.
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◦ Otherwise if the current government changes hands the project may die too.
◦ Provincial legislature should do law making to give this project to either a subsidiary dept of provincial government OR a private company or make law for a brand new "mass transit authority" for the project
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Q&A, VOTING…