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SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS JAAKKO ESKOLA Group Vice President, Ship Power JAAKKO ESKOLA 1 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

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Page 1: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS JAAKKO ESKOLA Group Vice President, Ship Power

JAAKKO ESKOLA 1 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Page 2: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Shipping has a future

JAAKKO ESKOLA 2 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

90% of world trade is still done by sea

NO SUPRISE it doesn’t cost a thing

LESS THAN 1.0% of the price of coffee comes from the cost of sea transportation

Sea transports are still the MOST SUSTAINABLE means of transporting goods

Page 3: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Shipbuilding activity development

•  2011: a significant shift in contracting activity –  Mix of vessels contracted favoured

specialised tonnage •  Shipyard order books continue to

decline –  Order books continue to be high

compared to historical levels, highlighting overcapacity in certain segments

•  Deliveries peaked in 2010, after a massive expansion in capacity during 2004-2010 –  Shipyards will face tough competition

to secure new orders and fill capacities

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50

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Orderbook (right side axis) Contracting Deliveries

JAAKKO ESKOLA 3 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Source: Clarkson Research Services

CGT Millions CGT Millions

Page 4: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Merchant: slow down and differentiation

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Contracting by vessel category

Crude & Products Tankers Chemical Tankers Misc Tankers Bulk Carrier Combined carriers Gas Carriers Containerships MPP Reefer Ro Ro Vehicle Carriers General Cargo

•  Strong niches and slow recovery •  Instability in Middle East drives up oil

prices •  LNG demand boosted by oil supply

uncertainty and increased anti-nuclear power sentiment

•  Shale gas projects in US are flooding the market with cheap gas, leading to increased export potential

JAAKKO ESKOLA 4 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Source: Clarkson Research Services

Number of vessels / Units

Merchant contracting activity, historical and 2012 forecast

Forecast

Page 5: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Offshore: good fundamentals

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200

400

600

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1,000

1,200

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Contracting by vessel category

Drilling Production Support

Fundamentals are good •  High global demand for oil and gas •  Increased concerns over tight

supply/demand balances drive further offshore exploration and production

•  Current oil prices support investments

•  No over ordering (during boom years) for exploration and production vessels

•  Good and vast list of projects (requiring newbuildings or conversions) in the pipeline

JAAKKO ESKOLA 5 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Source: Clarkson Research Services

Number of vessels / Units

Offshore contracting activity

Page 6: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Specials: market stabilising

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200

400

600

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1000

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1400

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Contracting years

Special vessels market demand responding to global financial crisis •  Significant increase in fishing vessel

contracting during Q1/2012 •  Strong list of newbuilding projects in the

pipeline, especially for dredgers, heavy-lift vessels, wind farm installation/support vessels, and inland waterways.

Cruise & Ferry fundamentals are good •  Stable demand for ferries and ROPAX vessels.

Renewals of older tonnage is driving current investments.

•  Some excessive ordering (during boom years) for certain vessel types, contracting levels are normalising

•  Increasing number of Asian C&F projects in the newbuild pipeline

JAAKKO ESKOLA 6 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Source: Marine Market Database Vessels included: Inland vessels and service vessels (fishing vessels excluded)

Source: Marine Market Database Vessels included: Cruisers, ferries, passenger vessels, passenger & cargo vessels/ROPAX

Specials

Page 7: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Shipbuilding has moved to Asia

0%  

10%  

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100%  

1971  

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China   Japan   South  Korea   Other  Asia   Europe   Rest  of  world  

JAAKKO ESKOLA 7 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Source: Wärtsilä’s Marine Market Database

Contracting volumes (DWT): share by region

Page 8: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Future challenges and opportunities

The fundamentals show risks and opportunities •  Risks of downturn in global economy are tangible •  High oil prices represent a risk towards global economic growth, however they

also stimulate investments in exploration and production for oil and gas •  Expansion of emerging economies continues to support growth of demand for

transportation of raw materials and energy Highlights about the present •  Earnings levels are comparable to all time low •  Overcapacity continues to cast shadows in the main merchant segments The future brings interesting challenges! •  Ship owner base is shifting and increasingly Chinese •  Increasing interest in the market for gas applications •  Increasing focus on energy efficiency and environmental performance •  Increasing competition from Asia

JAAKKO ESKOLA 8 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Page 9: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Ship Power’s focus on growth

JAAKKO ESKOLA 9 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

FOCUS ON GROWTH:

FOCUS ON EXCELLENCE:

China

Operational Excellence and Flexibility People & Culture

Brazil South Korea Russia India

Gas fuelled vessels

Environmental compliance /efficiency optimised vessels

Marine Lifecycle Solution System Integration Product Sales

Page 10: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Emission controlled areas will increase

Established Emission Controlled Areas

Emission Controlled Areas under consideration

Shipping critical points

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 10 © Wärtsilä

Page 11: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Alternatives for decreasing emissions

LNG •  Simultaneous reduction of GHG / SOx / NOx / PM •  Market: mainly ships with regular routes and limited autonomy requirements

operating in ECAs •  Infrastructure development is needed for larger uptake •  Conversion solution available HFO •  NOx: SCR or wet methods •  SOx: scrubbers •  Market: mostly merchant ships operating a significant time in ECAs MGO •  NOx: SCR or primary methods •  Market: ships operating a limited time in ECAs, small ships

JAAKKO ESKOLA 11 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Wärtsilä is developing a multi-solution approach to meet requirements for different ship types and operational profiles

Page 12: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Natural gas reduces emissions

GHG NOx

SOx

Particulates Dual-fuel engine

in gas mode

Diesel engine

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Emission values [%]

-20%

-85%

-99%

-99%

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 12 © Wärtsilä

Page 13: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Total newbuilding market forecasts-IHS Fairplay March 2012

Gas fuelled vessels market - LNG price<HFO price Gas fuelled vessels market-LNG in current price level

Gas fuelled vessels - market development & drivers

# of vessels

Estimated new building market (contracting)

Main drivers for the market are environmental legislation, fuel price and gas availability

Political & regulations

Technological

Economical

•  Environmental legislation

•  Gas handling regulations

•  Predictability of energy policies

•  Cost of gas vs. abatement technology •  Gas price vs. alternative fuels (HFO) •  Gas availability & bunkering infrastructure

•  Engine technology exists •  Onboard gas storage technology is

improving, but feasible already today •  Further application engineering needed

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 13 © Wärtsilä

*IHS Fairplay/Lloyds Fairplay = SAI (Institute of Shipping Analysis)

Page 14: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

© Wärtsilä

Clear leadership in dual-fuel applications

~180 installations à >5,000,000 running hours

Power Plants

DF power plants •  51 installations •  186 engines • Online from 1997

Merchant

LNG carriers • 108 vessels • 429 engines Conversion • 1 Chem. tanker • 2 engines conv. • Complete gas train

• Complete design

Offshore

PSVs/FPSOs • 20 vessels • 96 engines • Online from 1994 New orders: • Harvey Gulf; the first 4 LNG-PSVs to be operated in the Gulf of Mexico

Cruise & Ferry

LNG ferries • 1+1 vessels • 4 engines per vessel

• Complete gas train

• 2,800 passengers • In service in 2013

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 14

Page 15: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Solutions for LNG powered vessels

C. Dual-fuel main engine

A. Storage tanks

B. Evaporators

LNGPac: a complete and modularised solution for LNG fuelled ships

C B

A

D. Dual-fuel aux engines

D

E. Bunkering station(s)

F. Integrated control system

E

F

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 15 © Wärtsilä

Page 16: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Our low speed dual-fuel engines will comply with IMO regulations

•  Program announced in February 2011 •  Successful test announced in September 2011 •  Dual-fuel capability

–  Fuel flexibility enables low emissions and the lowest operating costs

–  LNG – MDO – HFO

•  Low gas feed pressure –  Safety: no high pressure piping –  Simple system: low installation and operating costs

•  No secondary equipment needed to meet IMO Tier III or 0.1% sulphur limits

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 16 © Wärtsilä

Page 17: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

FPSOs Drilling rigs FLNG Onshore LNG Regasification CNG

LNG & LPG carriers Oil and product tankers Cruise ships Dry merchant marine Naval

Hamworthy in a nutshell

•  Specialist provider of fluid handling equipment and services for marine and offshore

•  Leading position in key sectors

•  Significant long-term growth opportunities driven by environmental legislation and energy demand

•  Strong technology platform and R&D

JAAKKO ESKOLA 17 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Marine Offshore

Power generation

Marine Oil & Gas

Services Industrial

FY 2010 revenue by sector

Page 18: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Services

Service Replacement Upgrades Spares Training Retrofit

Flow solutions Oil & Gas systems Water systems Inert gas systems

LNG/LPG/Ethylene reliquefaction LNG regasification Small scale LNG plant LNG fuel systems Oil/water separation Hydrocarbon blanketing Flare gas recovery

Exhaust gas cleaning Inert gas systems Nitrogen generators

Deepwell cargo pump systems Pump room systems Fire fighting systems Seawater lift pumps Engine room pumps Ballast pumps Seawater valves

Grey & black water treatment Vacuum toilet systems Fresh water generators Air and water cooled condensers High pressure compressors Ballast water treatment

Products, solutions and services

JAAKKO ESKOLA 18 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Page 19: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Wärtsilä production (incl. JVs)

Wärtsilä sales & services

Hamworthy sales & services

Hamworthy production

Hamworthy will benefit from Wärtsilä footprint

Page 20: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Wärtsilä and Hamworthy: total offering

JAAKKO ESKOLA 20 © Wärtsilä 29 March 2012

Power drives Power distribution

Communication and control

Environmental Solutions

Automation

Propulsion

Seals & bearings

Engines

Service agreements Ship Design

Flow & Gas Solutions

Page 21: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

Supporting our customers in environmental compliance

Legislation à compliance with all requirements •  Wärtsilä’s solutions to receive early approval from all relevant authorities Functionality à technical risks to be minimised •  R&D competences and capacity •  Testing and validation on land and onboard, partnership with customers •  Design/engineering support: ship design and system integration •  24/7 support to customers Costs à focus on minimal total costs •  TCO optimisation (capex, installation, operation and maintenance) Delivery capacity •  Industrialisation ramp-up plans to manage rapid demand increases

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 21 © Wärtsilä

Page 22: SHIP POWER YOUR SHORTER ROUTE TO BIGGER PROFITS

29 March 2012 JAAKKO ESKOLA 22 © Wärtsilä