sharon orrell at visitengland talks upcoming tourism trends for 2013

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Sharon Orrell November 2012 Tourism Trends – Understanding the Consumer

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Sharon Orrell, Head of Research and Insight at VisitEngland discusses the upcoming trends and how to understand your customer at the Visit York Tourism Conference 2012

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Page 1: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Sharon OrrellNovember 2012

Tourism Trends – Understanding the Consumer

Page 2: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

2011 saw growth across all types of domestic overnight trip, but 2012 holiday / VFR volumes are down year on year

Trips(m) Jan – July

2012

-7%

Holiday

VFR

Business

-7%

+6%

Source: GB Tourism Survey

Page 3: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

What’s Changed?

Page 4: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

1. On-going, widespread concern about the economy and personal finances

Source: VisitEngland Staycation Research

Page 5: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

2. More trips taken by the more affluent while the least well-off take fewer trips than before

Trips (m)

+28%

+18%

+13%

-13%

2006 vs 2011

Source: GB Tourism Survey

Page 6: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

3. Increased volumes driven by ages 35+

Trips (m)

+32%

+15%

-5%

2006 vs 2011

Source: GB Tourism Survey

Page 7: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Waiting to see what weather is like

31%

Waiting to see if I can afford it 28%

No reason, just prefer to decide at last minute

20%

Waiting for someone else to decide

19%

Waiting for deals / offers 19%

Not sure where to go 19%

Yes, Definitely

Reasons for Indecision

4. Last minute is now the norm

Source: August Bank Holiday Trip Tracker

Page 8: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

5. The rise and rise of online booking

Source: GB Tourism Survey

Source: GB Tourism Survey

Page 9: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

6. Holiday trips are getting shorter

Source: GB Tourism Survey

3.65

3.37

Page 10: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

2012The Story So Far

Page 11: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Changes in visitor numbers in most recent period

Source: VisitEngland Tourism Business Monitor

2012 trading conditions have been extremely challenging

Page 12: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Impact of Weather on 2012 holidays (%)

The poor weather has had a negative impact on performance and future intentions

19% say that this year’s poor

weather has put them off taking trips in England

next year

Page 13: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Impact of Diamond Jubilee/ Olympics/ Paralympics on 2012 holidays (%)

The 2012 events have had less impact on domestic trip taking this year – but represent an opportunity in 2013 and beyond

20% say that the events of 2012 make them more likely to

take holidays in England in future

(29% of under 35’s)

Page 14: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Visitor Satisfaction

Page 15: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

How Satisfied Are Visitors to English Destinations?

OverallPerformance

Likelihood to Recommend

Likelihood toRevisit

Competitive Advantage

TRI*MIndex:

92

90

50

70

30Likelihood to Recommend

85% excellent/ very good

86% definitely/ probably

76% definitely/probably

62% much/ slightly better

Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction TrackerSource: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker

Page 16: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

And Visitors to York?

OverallPerformance

Likelihood to Recommend

Likelihood toRevisit

Competitive Advantage

TRI*MIndex:

92

90

50

70

30Likelihood to Recommend

85% excellent/ very good

86% definitely/ probably

76% definitely/probably

62% much/ slightly better

York91%

York93%

York80%

York77%

York101

Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction TrackerNB Base size for Peak District = 55Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker

Page 17: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

94

92

ENGLAND

110Cornwall

106Lake District

105New Forest

105Northumberland

104Isle of Wight

103Yorks Dales

102Liverpool

101York

98

Cotswolds

97

Peak District 97

Skegness

84

Oxfordshire

74Birmingham

81Kent80

Bristol

81Manchester

81Gt Yarmouth

67Essex

76Leeds

76East Sussex

York is one of the best performing destinations in England!

92Brighton

95Torquay 92

B’mouth

96Chester

96London

93Suffolk

87Blackpool

96Bath

96Scarborough

97

Other Devon

88Stratford

95

Other Norfolk

92

Nottinghamshire

Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker

Page 18: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

% Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good

Compared to other destinations, York is attractive, distinctive, and offers good customer service

Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker

Page 19: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

York is close to the national average for value, welcome and entertainment, and just below for ease of pre-booking

% Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good

Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker

Page 20: Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

Sharon OrrellNovember 2012

Tourism Trends – Understanding the Consumer