shaping our future transportation transportation trends influencing trends through land use...

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Under trend growth, travel in Contra Costa will grow faster than population : Population growth … 29% Employment growth … 46% Growth in vehicle trips … 40% Growth in miles of travel … 39%

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Shaping our Future Transportation Transportation trends Influencing trends through land use decisions Alternative futures: Base Case and Scenario Complementary transportation decisions Contra Costa has longest commutes in Bay Area: 34 minutes, compared to regional average 28 13% higher than next highest (Solano) Highest growth rate over last 20 years Source: 2000 Census Under trend growth, travel in Contra Costa will grow faster than population : Population growth 29% Employment growth 46% Growth in vehicle trips 40% Growth in miles of travel 39% Under trend growth, roads will become considerably more congested: % of Arterial Miles Congested 21% 34% (Peak hour LOS E or F) % of Freeway Miles Congested 65%90% (Peak hour LOS F in at least 1 direction) Under trend growth, travel will become significantly slower: Increase in congested miles of road 40% Increase in vehicle hours of travel 91% Increase in hours spent in congestion 140% Aside from I-80 Through Traffic is Minimal Almost half of Contra Costa BART rides begin and end in East Bay: Influencing Future Trends through Land Use Decisions (How 6Ds affect transportation demand) Development Form Compact uses Synergy through mix of use Trip linking opportunities Pedestrian, bicycle oriented Interconnected multimodal streets Walkable destinations Downtown Neighborhood center Infill development projects Large or small-scale activity center Main street Transit station area Urban or suburban neighborhoods Development Location Influencing Future Travel Trends through Land Use Decisions Development Density Diversification of Uses Traditional Neighborhood Design Accessibility to Regional Destinations Distance to Transit Demand Management Policies Higher development densities reduce trip lengths and vehicle travel Scenario increases development density for new growth, both on-average and near transit : Total development density 11% higher for Scenario than for Base Case Diversifying local land uses reduces vehicle trips and lengths Scenario increases local diversification of new growth Development mixing at local level 130% better for Scenario than for Base Case Traditional Neighborhood Design reduces vehicle trips and lengths Travel Reducing Aspects of Design: Dense, Interconnected Street and Sidewalk System Traditional Grid Typical Cul-de-sac Scenario increases amount of TND by new development Scenario has 25% to 30% greater potential for TND than Base Case Dense, diverse, well-designed development is more effective at infill or close-in locations Residents who live and work near transit, ride transit Scenario focuses growth around BART stations and other transit nodes Scenario places more population and employment near transit Under Scenario: 9% of new residents live within mile of transit (compared with 3.5% under Base Case) 12.5% of new jobs are within mile of transit (approximately the same as the Base Case) Projected Differences in Travel Base Case versus Scenario East County West County Central County Lamorinda South Central Change in Person Trips from Base Case Change in Vehicle Trips from Base Case Complementary Transportation Decisions Regional and local modal emphasis and planning guidelines. Programmed Regional Improvements Proposed Regional Improvements Direct next increments of transportation funds toward: Increased Capitol Corridor commuter rail service to Richmond, Hercules/ Rodeo, Martinez eBART through Pittsburg, Antioch, Oakley and Brentwood Express bus on HOV lanes and BART feeder service on I-80 and I-680 north and south. Bus Rapid Transit to Hilltop, Clayton, Oakley Ferry service to Richmond, Hercules/Rodeo, Martinez, Pittsburg/Antioch Recommended Transit Emphasis Recommended Local Emphasis Livable streets.. Context Sensitive Design Multi-modal corridors Balanced LOS standards Speed management Urban Network It is important that we work proactively with State and local transportation colleagues for designs that preserve the character of this Nation's communities. (FHWA) Context-Sensitive Corridor Design Context Sensitive Design Goals Change street design from sole emphasis on motor vehicles to: Multi-modal Safe and convenient for pedestrians, bikes Center of community activity rather than barrier Protect adjacent neighborhoods Create economic benefits Context Sensitive Design Objectives Provide balance for all modes Design to encourage driving at the speed limit Improve ability to cross the street Urban Network