sfm chapter 5 slides

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    The Strategic Role of

    Information in SalesManagement

    Sales & Distribution

    Management

    Marketing 3345

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    Information Drives Management

    Decision Making and Planning

    Sales forecasts

    Territory estimates

    Quotas

    Sales force size

    Sales territory design

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    Market Opportunity Analysis

    Market potentialestimate of possible sales ofa commodity, a group of commodities, or aservice for an entire industry in a market duringa stated period under ideal conditions

    Sales potentialthe portion of the marketpotential that the firm can expect to reasonablyachieve

    Sales forecastan estimate of the dollar or unit

    sales for a specified future period Sales quotassales goals assigned to a

    marketing unit for use in managing sales efforts

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    Sales budget

    Production budget

    Direct labor materials

    and overhead budgets

    Cost of goods sold budget

    Budgeted profit and loss

    statement

    Sales and

    administrative

    expense budget

    Revenue budget

    Sales forecasts

    Impact of Sales Forecasts on Budgeting

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    Percentage

    Percentage of of Firms Percentage of

    Firms that That Use Firms No

    Methods Use Regularly Occasionally Longer Used

    Subjective

    Sales force composite 44.8% 17.2% 13.4%

    Jury of executive opinion 37.3 22.4 8.2

    Intention to buy survey 16.4 10.4 18.7

    Extrapolation

    Nave 30.6 20.1 9.0

    Moving Average 20.9 10.4 15.7

    Percent rate of change 19.4 13.4 14.2

    Leading indicators 18.7 17.2 11.2

    Unit rate of change 15.7 9.7 18.7

    Exponential smoothing 11.2 11.9 19.4

    Line extension 6.0 13.4 20.9

    Quantitative

    Multiple regressing 12.7 9.0 20.9

    Econometric 11.9 9.0 19.4

    Simple regression 6.0 13.4 20.1

    Box-Jenkins 3.7 5.2 26.9

    Utilization of Sales Forecasting Methods of 134 Firms

    S&MM, February 2008

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    Choosing a Forecasting Method

    Which forecasting method should be used andhow accurate is the forecast likely to be?

    In general, the various forecast comparisons

    suggest that no method remains superior underall conditions.

    Good forecasters apply multiple forecastingmethods to the problem

    Scenario planning prepares a series of what-ifquestions and produces possible outcomes

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    Developing Territory Estimates

    Territory estimates effect:

    The design of sales territories

    Procedures for identifying potential customers

    The establishment of sales quotas

    Compensation and its subcomponents

    The evaluation of salesperson performance

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    Planning Tools

    North American Industry Classification System(NAICS) Developed by the US Bureau of the Census,

    organizes the reporting of business information

    Each industry in the US is assigned a two-digitnumber

    Buying Power Index (BPI) Generated and published by Sales Marketing

    Management Magazine, considers income,population and retail sales

    Most useful with low-priced convenience goods

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    Sales Quotas

    Goals assigned to salespeople

    Apply to specific periods and may be expressed

    in dollars or physical units

    Tool for sales managers planning and

    controlling field selling activities and results

    Benchmark for evaluating sales effectiveness

    Motivate sales people

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    Characteristics of a Good Quota

    Attainable

    Easy to understand

    Complete Timely

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    Types of Quotas

    Sales based quotas

    Sales activities quotas

    Financially based quotas

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    Determining Sales Force Size

    Salespeople are among the mostproductive assets of a company, and theyare also among the most expensive!

    How can an optimal sales force beestablished?

    Breakdown method:

    Number of sales

    personnel needed =Sales Volume

    Productivity

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    Determining Sales Force Size

    Workload methoduses the buildup

    method to estimate the work required to

    serve the entire market

    Incremental methodsuggests that sales

    representatives should be added as long

    as the incremental profit produce by their

    addition exceeds the incremental cost

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    Territory designThe Build Up Approach

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