SESSION 4IDENTIFYING A PORTFOLIO OF MEA POLICIES FOR ACHIEVING DESIRED FUTURE OUTCOMES

#1 Clarify Focal MEAs, Status and

Linkages with Development

Priorities

#2 Identify Synergies

Among Focal MEAs

#3 Articulate Desired Future

Outcomes

#4 Identify Portfolio of

MEA Policies for Achieving

Future Outcomes

MEA Outcome Planning

#6 Prepare MEA Policy

Planning Brief

Tool #1: MEA Priorities Mapping using Ecosystem - Wellbeing Linkages [Day 1 am/pm]

Tool #2: MEA Synergy Mapping using DPSIR Analysis[Day 2 am]

Tool #3: Setting the Challenge Scenario[Day 2 pm]

Tool #5: Policy Stress Testing using Existing Scenarios [Day 3 pm]

Tool #4: Policy Mapping and Back-casting[Day 3am]

Tool #6: Policy Planning Brief[Day 4 am]

IMPLEMENTATION AND REPORTING

#5 Assess Risks and

Opportunities and Improve and Adapt as

Necessary

Workshop Agenda

Sustainablefuture = ?

current reality

time

Backcasting... (i.e. ”what do we want?”)

Strategies and actions = ?

(What are some basics?)

David Waldron

University of Delft, 2008

Creating the desired future outcomes

Desired future outcomes expressed as indicators

(qualitative and quantitative) relevant for

the area/country

Present Future

How can we achieve the desired future goals and outcomes?

- Some of our current policies and actions could get us there

- Need to account for long-term trends and surprises

- New policies could be adopted to get us to the desired future

Desired future goals based on the MEAS

Completed

Completed

Our current focus

Creating the desired future outcomes

Desired future outcomes •Decrease the monoculture forestry by 30%•Maintain high and stable timber supply (mil m3 of wood)•Achieve at least 80% of current economic returns from forest sector

Present Future

How can we achieve the desired future outcomes? For example:

- Current economic diversification policy could be used to explore new types of products (from different species)

- Revising species and planting guidelines to include native tree species

- Setting quotas for species composition

- Estimate how the revenues are sensitive to changes in wood prices and new construction demands (what if questions)

6

Examples of policy types

• Economic Instruments• Tradable permits• Deposit refund• Performance bonds• Taxes• Earmark taxes and funds• User fees• Subsidies• Administered prices

• Direct Expenditures• Programs and projects• Green procurement• Research and development• Moral suasion

• Regulatory– Legislative instruments– Enforcement activities– Liability– Competition and

deregulation policy

• Institutional– Internal education– Internal policies and

procedures

Tool #4Policy Mapping

Using the Driving Forces- - Pressure – State – Impact – Response analysis framework to map existing policies from a systems perspective

STATE and TRENDSWater

IMPACTS

Aspects of human wellbeing

PRESSURES

Anthropogenic and natural

Sectors

Human influences

Natural processes

DRIVERS

Indirect influence through human development

Ecosystem services impacted

Map of Existing Policies

Policy 3

Policy 4

Policy 5 Policy 6

Policy 8

Policy 7

Policy 1 Policy 2

STATE and TRENDSWhat is the key environment state addressed by the MEA?

IMPACTS Aspects of human wellbeing

PRESSURES

Anthropogenic and natural

Sectors

Human influences

Natural processes

DRIVERS

Indirect influence through human development

Ecosystem services impacted

MEA Policy Map

Policy 3

Policy 4

Policy 5 Policy 6

Policy 8

Policy 7

Policy 1 Policy 2

Creating a Policy Map – A System Perspective

STATE and TRENDSRiver Water Quality

IMPACTS Nutrition and hydrationLivelihoodsRecreational and Cultural enjoyment

PRESSURES

Sewage Discharge

Sectors

Human influences

Natural processes

DRIVERS

Urban Growth

Decreased fish catchesLess drinking water

MEA Policy Map

Infrastructure expenditures

Sewer charges

Water quality standards

In-situ treatment

Food imports

Water imports

Job creation

incentives

Spatial development regulations

Creating a Policy Map – Example

Policy Analysis Questions

• Is the current portfolio of policies directed at the MEA sufficient to achieve the desired long-term outcome target?

• What are the leverage points (D, P, S, I) and are effective policies being directed at these leverage points?

• Is a mix of instruments being used (economic, regulatory, expenditure, institutional)?

Breakout Group Exercise #4 [45 min]Policy-mapping

• Task #1: Create a policy map for your MEA using the template provided

• Task #2: Analyse the policy map by addressing the three policy analysis questions (previous slide)

• Task 3: Make recommendations to address the policy gaps

STATE and TRENDSWhat is the key environment state addressed by the MEA?

IMPACTS Aspects of human wellbeing

PRESSURES

Anthropogenic and natural

Sectors

Human influences

Natural processes

DRIVERS

Indirect influence through human development

Ecosystem services impacted

MEA Policy Map

Policy 3

Policy 4

Policy 5 Policy 6

Policy 8

Policy 7

Policy 1 Policy 2

Policy Mapping Template