september 21st 2011 - i mia · - location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission...

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Page 1: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design
Page 2: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

September 21st 2011Jaap Dekker

Page 3: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Mainport Rotterdam

Page 4: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Maasvlakte 2 Project

Hard sea defence ‘Partnering result’

Soft sea defence (beach & dunes)

Page 5: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Contract 1

27 February 2008

DCM: Design, Construct & Maintenance

Requirements Chart - Verification Matrix

Approximately € 1.1 billion , lumpsum

Page 6: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Euromax

APMT

RWG

Contract 1 Stage 1, 2013

Page 7: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Scope Contract 1Contract breakwater and first harbor areas (Stage 1)

Hard Sea defence 3.5 km

Sandy coast 7.3 km

Harbor basin 530 ha

Harbor areas 700 haQuay walls 3.5 km Roads 13 kmRailways 14 km

• 240 million m3 of sand• 7 million tons of rock• 20,000 concrete blocks

(40 tons each)

Page 8: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Last stage - 2030

Page 9: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Planning

2006 2008 2013 2018 2023

Ready for use Completion

Maintenance

Maintenance

Construction

Design

Sea defence

Sea defence

Page 10: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Division of risk

• PMV2- Change of scope outside initial requirements- Damage to the works by heavy storm (more than 1/50

jaar = chance smaller than 2% per year)- Location of sea defence- 5 primary licenses + planning permission

• PUMA- Durability of the construction- All other construction risks- Design sea defence and soil conditions- All other licenses

Page 11: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Hard Sea defence MV2Total length 3,5 km

Storm 1/10.000jaar +5,3m

msl=0

+14m

Page 12: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

December 2008

Page 13: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

July 2011

Page 14: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design
Page 15: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

RocksDelivering at Yangtzehaven

Page 16: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design
Page 17: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Kadebouw

Page 18: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design
Page 19: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Risk Management PUMA

• Objective: create a risk aware organisation through keeping insight in risks en control measures.

Goal reduction of failure costs

• Risk definition: Uncertain events which influencesachievement of objectives positive (Opportunity) or negative (Risk).

• Open communication is essential

• Risk-owners manage the risks and the action-takers are responsible for the preventive actions.

Page 20: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Risk ManagementTop 5 risks PUMA

1. Breakdown E-crane

2. Contractual interpretation between Client and Contractor

3. Damage of underlayers of Hard Sea Defence during storm conditions

4. Damage of temporary protection of Hard Sea Defence during storm conditions

5. Dredging of contaminated soil at Maasvlakte 1

Page 21: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Top 5 Opportunity’s PUMA

1. Design Change into Reef Breakwater with cobble beach

2. Improvement of Human development

3. Use of broken concrete

4. Encourage Knowledge sharing

5. Close cooperation with Client for Handing over work

Page 22: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Quantitative risk analyses

• Based upon risk register

• All risks and uncertainties are implemented (negative and positive!)

• Use of Monte Carlo simulation model

• Outcome: total sum of the risk exposure

• Prediction of future performance against key objectives

• Sensitivity of risks is made clear

Page 23: September 21st 2011 - I mia · - Location of sea defence - 5 primary licenses + planning permission • PUMA - Durability of the construction - All other construction risks - Design

Risk management Lessons Learned

Implementation in practice• Also contractual, communication and organisation risks,

not only technical risks• Risk Management stimulates pro-active measures• Opportunity & Risk Workshops• Frequent communication about risks and opportunities

is neccesary to keep it alive • Task forces of engineer, preparation and

superintendent• ‘Online’ Risk file