september 15, 2017 - deborah weinswig€¦ · september 15, 2017 1) this week’s note “from the...

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1 September 15, 2017 Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director, FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2017 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. Chart of the Week Stat of the Week Deborah Weinswig Managing Director FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 September 15, 2017 1) This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses Apple’s recent announcement of its two new smartphone models—the iPhone 8 and the iPhone X. 2) Amazon’s splashy takeover of Whole Foods Market, complete with deep price cuts, did more than bring a surge of publicity to the chain: it boosted customer traffic by 25% week over week. 3) Footfall at British stores fell by 1.2% year over year in August. The decline was slightly greater than July’s 1.1% decrease. High street footfall declined by 2.6% and shopping center footfall fell by 0.8%. 4) UrWork, the unicorn that is competing with WeWork in China, is following its American rival’s lead by extending its reach in Southeast Asia. The move follows UrWork’s participation in a $3 million funding round for Indonesia-based ReWork. Most Popular Global Mobile Messenger Apps, by Number of Monthly Active Users (Mil.) All values are most recently reported figures as of January 2017. Skype figures as of August 2013. BlackBerry Messenger figures as of October 2014. Viber figures were taken from Rakuten’s first-quarter 2015 earnings presentation published May 2015. LINE figures were taken from fourth-quarter 2016 LINE Corp. reporting. *Registered users Source: TechinAsia.com/We Are Social/VentureBeat/company websites Source: BusinessInsider.com 50,000 Amazon announced that it is looking to find a city in which to build its second US headquarters. The company plans to invest $5 billion and employ up to 50,000 people in its Amazon HQ2 location. Boston and Chicago are among the cities that reportedly have a chance to host the new headquarters, which the company says will be a “full equal” to its Seattle head office. 1,000 1,000 877 846 300 300 249 217 100 100 49 0 500 1,000 1,500 WhatsApp Facebook Messenger QQ Mobile WeChat Skype* Snapchat Viber* LINE BlackBerry Messenger (BBM) Telegram Kakaotalk

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Page 1: September 15, 2017 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · September 15, 2017 1) This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses Apple’s recent announcement of its two new

1

September15,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

ChartoftheWeekStatoftheWeek

Deborah Weinswig Managing Director

FGRT

[email protected]

US: 917.655.6790

HK: 852.6119.1779

CN: 86.186.1420.3016

September 15, 2017

1) Thisweek’snote“FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig”discussesApple’srecentannouncementofitstwonewsmartphonemodels—theiPhone8andtheiPhoneX.

2) Amazon’ssplashytakeoverofWholeFoodsMarket,completewithdeeppricecuts,didmorethanbringasurgeofpublicitytothechain:itboostedcustomertrafficby25%weekoverweek.

3) FootfallatBritishstoresfellby1.2%yearoveryearinAugust.ThedeclinewasslightlygreaterthanJuly’s1.1%decrease.Highstreetfootfalldeclinedby2.6%andshoppingcenterfootfallfellby0.8%.

4) UrWork,theunicornthatiscompetingwithWeWorkinChina,isfollowingitsAmericanrival’sleadbyextendingitsreachinSoutheastAsia.ThemovefollowsUrWork’sparticipationina$3millionfundingroundforIndonesia-basedReWork.

MostPopularGlobalMobileMessengerApps,byNumberofMonthlyActiveUsers(Mil.)

AllvaluesaremostrecentlyreportedfiguresasofJanuary2017.SkypefiguresasofAugust2013.BlackBerryMessengerfiguresasofOctober2014.ViberfiguresweretakenfromRakuten’sfirst-quarter2015earningspresentationpublishedMay2015.LINEfiguresweretakenfromfourth-quarter2016LINECorp.reporting.*RegisteredusersSource:TechinAsia.com/WeAreSocial/VentureBeat/companywebsites

Source:BusinessInsider.com

50,000

• AmazonannouncedthatitislookingtofindacityinwhichtobuilditssecondUSheadquarters.Thecompanyplanstoinvest$5billionandemployupto50,000peopleinitsAmazonHQ2location.

• BostonandChicagoareamongthecitiesthatreportedlyhaveachancetohostthenewheadquarters,whichthecompanysayswillbea“fullequal”toitsSeattleheadoffice.

1,000

1,000

877

846

300

300

249

217

100

100

49

0 500 1,000 1,500

WhatsApp

FacebookMessenger

QQMobile

WeChat

Skype*

Snapchat

Viber*

LINE

BlackBerryMessenger(BBM)

Telegram

Kakaotalk

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2

September15,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig

TheNewiPhonesAreHere:ShouldYouBuythe8Now,orWaitfortheXinNovember?OnTuesday,Applelaunchednotonelong-anticipatednewiPhone—buttwo—whosespecificationsfellgenerallyinlinewithrumorsandindustrywatchers’expectations.Therearesomanypartnersandsuppliersinvolvedinthecreationofanynewgenerationofphones(includinganarmyoftalkativeworkersatApple’scontractmanufacturersinChina)thatitisnearlyimpossibletokeepthedetailsofsuchahotlyanticipated,high-volumenewproductunderwraps.Nottomentionthatlastweekend,anAppleemployeeleakedthelatestbetaversionoftheaccompanyingiOS11software,whichcontainedmanyofthedetailsofthenewproductreleases.

AswithpracticallyeverynewiterationoftheiPhone,thenewmodelsfeaturesharperdisplays,fasterprocessors,bettercamerasandmorememory,andApplestrivestomakeeachnewiPhonethinnerthanthelast.Bothnewmodelssupportwirelesscharging(usingtheQistandard)andruniOS11,whichincludesApple’sARKitsoftware,whichwillenableaslewofaugmented-realityapplicationsandgames.IKEAisalreadyworkingonanappusingARKitthatwillallowcustomerstovisualizehowthecompany’sfurniturelooksintheirlivingspaces.Applecallsitsnew-generationprocessorA11Bionic,anhomagetothesuperstrengthoftheman-machinecombointhe70sTVshowTheSixMillionDollarMan,andthenewphonesalsocontainanewgraphicchiptohelpsharetheload.

TheiPhone8/8Plusisessentiallya“speedbump”(i.e.,itusesafasterprocessor)basedontheiPhone7(andiPhone6).Inadditiontothefasterprocessor,itoffersabetter(12-megapixel)cameraandthenewsoftware.Thisphonecouldbethelastofthelinetoincludeaphysical“home”button.

TheiPhoneX,namedincelebrationofthe10thanniversaryoftheiPhone,containsamyriadoffeaturesthathavebeenrumoredtobecomingforsometime,suchasanall-glassdesignandtheabsenceofaphysicalhomebutton.Thedisplayrunstotheendofthecase,enablinga5.8"displayinanenclosureroughlythesamesizeastheiPhone7.Thedeviceusesasensorarrayandadvancedimagerecognitiontechnologytoidentifytheuserbyhisorherface,whichisnecessarybecausethismodeldoesnotincludeacombinationhomebutton/fingerprintsensorandbecausefacialrecognitionisusedtoauthenticateusersforApplePay.ThescreenontheiPhoneXalsohasagreaternumberofpixelstodisplay4KHDvideo.

ThenewversionoftheiOSsmartphoneandtabletoperatingsystemincludesseveralnewfeaturesthatmakeApple’stabletsworkmorelikedesktopPCs(likelyanefforttocatchupwiththeMicrosoftSurfacetablet),includingafilesystem,anewdock,multitaskingfunctionalityandotherfeaturesthatusethepencil.Usersalsogetbetterphoto-processingsoftware,animprovedSirivirtualassistantandtheabilitytosendmoneyviaApplePay(similartothefunctionalityofferedbythepopularVenmoapp).iOS11alsoprovidesuserstheabilitytosendanimatedemojitofriendsandfamily.

Notethatthe“X”inthenameofthelatestversionrepresentstheRomannumeralfor10andisnotmeanttobereadastheletter“X.”Thereisprecedenthere,asthefirstmoderngenerationoftheMacOSfollowingSteveJobs’returntoApplewasinitiallycalledOSX,representingversion10oftheMacintoshoperatingsystem.

BothnewiPhonemodelsincludewirelesscharging,whichcontinuesthetrendoffreeingtheuserfromtheburdenofneedingtocarryabundleofcables.First,Appleremovedtheconventionalheadphonejackinfavorofapower/headphonecomboconnectorintheiPhone7,encouraginguserstomigratetowirelessheadphones.Now,thecompanyhasmadethepowercordoptional.Wirelesschargingisatechnologywhosedevelopmentisstillinprogress,andAppledoesnotcurrentlyofferawirelesscharger.However,thecompanydemonstratedachargingmatthatcanchargetheiPhone,theAppleWatchandAirPods(thecompany’swirelessheadphones)together.

AppledetractorsnotethatSamsungsmartphonemodelshaveofferedfeaturessuchasbezel-freedisplays,wirelesschargingandwaterproofingforsometime—andthe$999pricetagoftheiPhoneXisboundtosting.However,hardcoreApplefanswilllikelyseetheirmaindilemmaashavingtodecidewhethertobuytheiPhone8for$699nowtogettheirhandsonthenewfeaturesrightaway,orwaituntilNovember2togettheiPhoneXandearntheassociatedenvyfromthetechnorati.TheiPhoneXrepresentsthefirstnewiPhonedesignandformfactorinthreeyears,whichwilllikelyleadalargenumberofuserstoupgradetoit—butthosewhoopttowaittopurchasetheXmayfindthatitshighpricetagreducestheamountofcashtheyhaveavailabletofillChristmasstockingsthisholidayseason.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

USRETAILEARNINGS

Company

Revenues(USDMil.)

YoY%Change GrossMargin(%)

Change(bps)

NetIncome(USDMil.)

YoY%Change StoreFleetEOP

Period TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

G-IIIApparelGroup 2Q18 538 442 21.6 37.7 35.2 250 (9) (1) NM 378 363

Kroger 2Q17 27,597 26,565 3.9 21.7 22.1 (40) 353 383 (7.8) 3,348 3,889

RestorationHardware 2Q18 615 543 13.2 33.4 33.1 35 (5) 12 NM 85 84Source:Companyreports

USRETAIL&TECHHEADLINESAlipayPushesintoUSRetail(September12)BusinessInsider.com• MajorChinesemobilewalletAlipayhaspartneredwithluxuryfashionretailerRebecca

MinkofftoenableChinesetouristsintheUStomakepurchasesusingAlipayatallRebeccaMinkoffretaillocations—includingthoseinNewYork,ChicagoandLosAngeles—andonline.

• ThispartnershipcontinuesAlipay’sefforttoexpanditsmassivenetworkof520millionactiveglobalusers.Inthelastyearalone,themobilewalletexpandedintoEurope,Asia,Australia,SouthAfricaandtheUS.ThepartnershipcontinuestheseriesofexpansioneffortsbyAlipaytotargetChinesetouristsglobally.

Harvey,IrmatoHitUSApparelRetailersMorethanRestaurants(September12)Reuters.com• Industry-wideretailsalesinAugustandSeptemberwillfallinthewakeofHurricanesHarvey

andIrma,withapparelretailersexpectedtotakealonger-termhitthanrestaurantoperators.USsame-storesalesatapparelchainsareexpectedtorisejust0.1%inthethirdquarterendingOctober,comparedwitha0.6%increaseseenbeforethestorms.

• Thetwohigh-intensityhurricanes,whichmadelandfallintheUSoverthepasttwoweeks,havekilleddozensanddamagedthousandsofhomesinTexasandFlorida.Asresidentsinthesestatesbegintorebuildtheirhouses,homeimprovementchainsincludingHomeDepotarewellpositionedtobenefit.

WalmartIsSimplifyingItsSprawlingUSStoreOperations(September12)Bloomberg.com• WalmartisreorganizingitsUSstoreoperationstosimplifythesprawlingbusinessaspartof

abidtomaintaingrowthandcompetewiththelikesofAmazon.Theideaistoreactmorequicklytochangesandbettercommunicate.

• TheretailerwillconsolidateitsUSbusinesstofourdivisions,downfromsix,eachofwhichismanagedbyaseniorvicepresident.InsimplifyingitsUSbusiness,Walmartsaiditisreturningtoanapproachitwasusingbeforeanotherreorganizationafewyearsago.ThenumberofUSregionswillbereducedfrom44to36,andexecutivesaffectedbythemovecouldtakeotherrolesinsidethecompany.

WEINSWIG’SWATCHING

Thisweek,theFGRTteamattendedtheTech.PoweredbyRetailWeekconferenceinLondon,theHOMIMilanolifestyletradefairinMilan,andtheVIPBeautyBreakfasthonoringinnovativewomenleadersinbeauty,retail,technologyandfashioninNewYork.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

Amazon’sWholeFoodsPriceCutsBrought25%JumpinShoppers(September11)Bloomberg.com• Amazon’ssplashytakeoverofWholeFoodsMarket,completewithdeeppricecuts,did

morethanbringasurgeofpublicitytothechain:itboostedcustomertrafficby25%.Thedata,culledfromshoppers’mobiledevices,wascomparedwiththesameperiodaweekearlier.

• ThetrafficdataisanoptimisticsignthatAmazoncansucceedinthebrick-and-mortarworld.Insomeareas,thejumpincustomerswasdramatic.AtstoresinChicago,35%moreshoppersvisitedWholeFoodsstoresintheweekafterthetakeover.

EUROPERETAILHEADLINESJDSportsReports1H18SalesGrowthof41%(September12)Companypressrelease• BritishsportswearandoutdoorretailerJDSportsreportedfirst-half2018salesgrowthof

41%.Salestotaled£1.4billion(US$1.9billion)intheperiod.Pretaxprofitjumped33%,to£102.7million(US$135.6million).Comparablesalesacrossallbanners,includingthoseinEurope,increasedbyapproximately3%.

• PeterCowgill,ExecutiveChairmanofJDSports,attributedthestrongperformanceto“thecontinuedstrengthofthecoreUKandIrelandsportsfashionfascias.”CowgillnotedthatsalesinthesecondhalfhavesofarcontinuedatasimilarrateasseeninthefirsthalfandthatmanagementexpectsJDSportstodeliverfurtherprofitgrowthforthefullyear.

Boohoo.comtoLaunchOwn-BrandBeautyLine(September11)RetailGazette.co.uk• UKonlinefashionpureplayBoohoo.comhasannouncedplanstolaunchitsown-brand

beautyrange,calledBoohooCosmetics,laterthismonth.Productsinthelinewillbepricedintherangeof£4–£19(US$5–US$25).

• ThisnewscomesjustaweekafteranotherBritishonlinefashionretailer,ASOS,launcheditsownlineofbeautyproducts,calledFace+Body.

BritishHighStreetFootfallDeclinesinAugust(September11)BRCpressrelease• FootfallatBritishstoresfellby1.2%yearoveryearinAugust.Thedeclinewasslightly

greaterthanJuly’s1.1%decrease,accordingtotheBritishRetailConsortium(BRC).Highstreetfootfalldeclinedby2.6%andshoppingcenterfootfallfellby0.8%,butfootfallatretailparksgrewby1.6%.

• BRCChiefExecutiveHelenDickinsonnotedthatwhilemostshoppinglocationswitnessedayear-over-yearfootfalldecline,retailparks“buckedthetrend,withshoppersattractedbytheconvenienceofaone-stopshopforpurchases,servicesandleisureactivities.”

ManoManoRaises€60MilliontoDriveExpansionacrossEurope(September11)BusinessInsider.com• FrenchDIYmarketplaceManoManohasraised€60million(US$72million)inseriesC

fundingfromgrowthequityfirmGeneralAtlanticandexistinginvestorsPitonCapital,PartechVenturesandBpifrance.

• Withthefreshfunds,ManoManoexpectstodriveexpansionacrossEurope,includinginBritain,whichisoneofitstoptargetmarkets.

EveSleepTiesUpwithKarstadt(September8)Retail-Week.com• EveSleep,aBritishmattressonlinepureplay,hastiedupwithGermandepartmentstore

chainKarstadttosellitsproductsinGermany.EveSleep’srangeincludesmattresses,pillowsandbedframes.

• OncethedealcomesintoforceonNovember1,customerscantryoutEveSleep’sproductsinashowroom-stylesettingatall79ofKarstadt’sstoresinGermanybeforeorderingthemonlinefromeitherretailer’swebsite.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

ASIATECHHEADLINESWeiboUsersGivenOne-WeekWarningtoProvideRealNames(September8)TechCrunch.com• The340millionusersofSinaWeibo,China’spopularmicrobloggingservice,havebeengiven

oneweektolinktheiraccountstoarealname.Thecrackdownisbeingconductedinordertocomplywithnewgovernmentrulesrestrictinganonymousonlineconversation.

• Therehaveactuallybeensimilarrulesinplacesince2011,butthecompanyneverreallyenforcedthem,asithasbeendemonstratedoverandoverthatenforcingareal-namerequirementiseasiersaidthandone.Manyuserswouldratherquittheservicethansubmittohavingtheironlinecommunications,previouslyanonymousorpseudonymous,attachedtotheirrealidentity.

JapaneseStartupPlansOne-StopICOPlatformFueledbyVCInvestmentandanICO(September8)TechCrunch.com• Chinabannedinitialcoinofferings(ICOs),alsoknownastokensales,anditisinvestigating

platformsthatfacilitatethem.Meanwhile,Japan’sTechBureauishatchinganambitiousplantoofferaone-stopservicetoletcompaniesacrosstheworldtakeadvantageofblockchaintechnologyandICOswithoutviolatingfinancialregulations.

• TechBureaucurrentlyhelpscompanieswithconsultancyandarangeoftechnicalservices,butitispreparingtointroducenewplatformstocovernearlyeveryaspectoftheICOprocess.

China’sUrWorkInvestsinIndonesia’sReWorkvia$3MillionDealasWeWorkRivalryHeatsUp(September7)TechCrunch.com• UrWork,theunicornthatiscompetingwithWeWorkinChina,isfollowingitsAmerican

rival’sleadbyextendingitsreachinSoutheastAsia.ThemovefollowsUrWork’sparticipationina$3millionfundingroundforIndonesia-basedReWork.

• UrWorkisvaluedat$1.5billionfollowingrecentfinancing.Ithas88locationsin22citiesinitsnativeChina,butitisplanninganaggressiveoverseasexpansioninto32citiesworldwideoverthenextthreeyears.ThiscomesjustasWeWorkdoublesdownonChina,whereitrecentlylaunchedalocalbusinessaimedatrapidlygrowingtheeightspacesitcurrentlyoperatesacrossGreaterChina.

BudgetHotelNetworkPioneerOYORaises$250Million,LedbySoftBank’sVisionFund(September7)TechCrunch.com• India-basedOYO,astartupthatpioneeredandpopularizedtheconceptofbudgethotel

networks,hasclosed$250millioninnewfundingledbySoftBank’sVisionFund.Thestartupwasfoundedin2013byThielFellowRiteshAgarwal,nowage24,andfocusesonstandardizingthequalityofIndia’swildlydifferentiatedaffordablehotelsandprovidingsomestructuretosimplifybookingsandcustomerservice.

• OYO’snetworkspans230citiesacrossIndia,MalaysiaandNepal,offeringmorethan70,000roomsinIndiaalone.Thecompanysaiditisgettingclosetogrowingitscapacityatarateof10,000roomspermonth,anditplanstopushonintomoreruralpartsofIndiaandmoveintoadditionaloverseasmarkets,too,althoughithasnotspecifiedwhichones.

LATAMRETAILANDTECHHEADLINESWhatsAppEyesEnterpriseGrowthinBrazil(September6)ZDNet.com• Instant-messagingappWhatsAppislookingtobuildonitspopularityinBraziltogrowits

footprintwithintheenterprisespace.BrazilianbankItaú,the10thlargestbankintheworldbymarketvalue,isthemostsignificantlocalorganizationtoadoptthebusinessversionoftheapp,whichiscurrentlybeingtestedwithalimitedpoolofusers.

• Thebankplanstostartatrialwithpremiumcustomersforcommunicationbetweenaccountholdersandbranchmanagers.Notificationsandalertsabouttheaccountarealsopossibilitieswithinthepilot,whichwillbeexpandedacrosstheentireclientbasegradually.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

BrazilianTelcoEmbratelAnnouncesItWillLaunchNewSatellitein2019(September8)ZDNet.com• BraziliantelecommunicationsfirmEmbratelhasannouncedthelaunchofits12thsatellite,

thelargestevermadebythecompany.Duetolaunchattheendof2019,StarOneD2willhavealifespanofmorethan15years.

• StarOneD2willhave28C-bandtransponders,24Ku-bandtranspondersand20GbpsofKabandcapacitytomeetbackhauldemandsofmobiletelephony.Thesatellitewillbethesecondinthecompany’sfourth-generationfleetandwillcomplementtheKabandcoverageofthelatestsatellitelaunched,StarOneD1.

LenovoBouncesBackinBrazilAfteraSlumpLastYear(September6)ZDNet.com• LenovohasstartedtoshowimprovementinitsBrazilianbusinessaftersomeyearsof

hardship.Thecompanyhasposted1.3%growthinnetprofit,reachingR$1.5billion(US$480million).

• Lastyear,Lenovopostedan82.6%slumpinnetprofit,withoperationallossesreachingR$1.16billion(US$371million).TheChinesecompanyranksthirdinPCsalesinBrazil,behindHPandDell,witha13%marketshare.

BrazilianPCMarketSustainsGrowth(September11)ZDNet.com• PCsalesinBrazilreturnedtogrowthinthesecondquarterof2017,accordingtofigures

releasedbyanalysisfirmIDC.BetweenAprilandJune2017,some1.243millionPCsweresold,a5%increasefromthesameperiodlastyear.

• Thisfollowsthepositiveperformanceseeninthefirstquarterof2017,whentheBrazilianPCmarketstartedtoshowsignsofrecoveryafterfiveconsecutiveyearsofdecline.NotebooksremainthepreferreddeviceofmostPCbuyersinBrazil.OfallthePCssoldinthesecondquarter,396,000weredesktops,whilenotebooksaccountedfor847,000units.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

MACROUPDATEKeypointsfromglobalmacroindicatorsreleasedSeptember6–13,2017:

1) US:TheISMNon-ManufacturingIndexreadingincreasedfrom53.9inJulyto55.3inAugust,pointingtoanexpansionintheservicessector.TheJobOpeningsandLaborTurnover(JOLTS)jobopeningsfiguretickedupinJuly,reflectinganimprovingjobmarket.

2) Europe:IntheUK,industrialproductionincreasedby0.2%monthovermonthinJuly,inlinewiththeconsensusestimate.TheConsumerPricesIndex(CPI)andhousingpricesintheUKedgedupfurtherinAugust,clearingthewayforaninterestratehikebytheBankofEngland.

3) Asia-Pacific:InChina,foreignreservesstoodat$3.09trillioninAugust,slightlybelowthemarket’sestimate.TheAugusttradebalanceinChinawasalsobelowtheconsensusestimate,at$42.0billion,duetohigherimportandlowerexportvalues.

4) LatinAmerica:InBrazil,inflationremainedatanacceptablelevelinAugust,increasingby2.5%yearoveryear.RetailsalesinBrazilincreasedby3.1%yearoveryearinJuly.InMexico,industrialproductiondroppedby1.0%monthovermonthandby1.6%yearoveryearinJuly.

*FGRT’sevaluationoftheactualfigure’simpactontheeconomyrelativetohistoricalbenchmarksandthecurrentmacroeconomicenvironment:+indicatesapositivesignalforthecountry’seconomy,–indicatesanegativesignaland=indicatesanegligibleormixedimpact.Source:InstituteforSupplyManagement(ISM)/USBureauofLaborStatistics/UKOfficeforNationalStatistics/Markit/Halifax/ThePeople’sBankofChina/ChinaGeneralAdministrationofCustoms/InstitutoBrasileirodeGeografiaeEstatística/InstitutoNacionaldeEstadísticayGeografía/FGRT

Country Indicator Period Actual Survey PriorImpactonEconomy*

US ISMNon-ManufacturingIndex Aug 55.3 55.6 53.9 +

US JOLTSJobOpenings Jul 6,170 6,000 6,116 +

UK IndustrialProduction(MoM) Jul 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% =

UK IndustrialProduction(YoY) Jul 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% =

UK CPI(MoM) Aug 0.6% 0.5% (0.1)% =

UK CPI(YoY) Aug 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% =

UK CoreCPI(YoY) Aug 2.7% 2.5% 2.4% =

UK HalifaxHousePrices(MoM) Aug 1.1% 0.2% 0.7% =

UK HalifaxHousePrices(3Mos./Year) Aug 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% =

CN ForeignReserves(USDBil.) Aug $3,091.5 $3,095.0 $3,080.7 +

CN TradeBalance(USDBil.) Aug $41.99 $48.45 $46.73 =

CN Exports(YoY) Aug 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% =

CN Imports(YoY) Aug 13.3% 10.0% 11.0% =

BZ IBGEInflationIPCA(MoM) Aug 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% +

BZ IBGEInflationIPCA(YoY) Aug 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% +

BZ RetailSales(YoY) Jul 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% =

MX IndustrialProduction(SA,MoM) Jul (1.0)% (0.1)% 0.1% –

MX IndustrialProduction(NSA,YoY) Jul (1.6)% (0.2)% (0.3)% –

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EARNINGSCALENDAR

Sales(Mil.) EPS

Company

EarningsReleasePeriod Date

ConsensusTY LYActual

ConsensusTY LYActual Currency

AscenaRetailGroup(ASNA) 4Q17 Sep18 1,575 1,812 (0.03) 0.17 USD

EspritHoldings(330.HK) FY17 Sep20 16,358 17,788 0.04 (0.25) HKD

Inditex(ITX.MC) 1H17 Sep20 11,747 10,466 0.46 0.41 EUR

Kingfisher(KGF.L) 1H18 Sep20 6,009 5,749 0.14 0.14 GBP

FinishLine(FINL) 2Q18 Sep22 477 509 0.38 0.53 USD

Nike(NKE) 1Q18 Sep26 9,100 9,061 0.49 0.73 USD

Boohoo.com(BOO.L) 1H17 Sep27 264 127 0.02 0.01 GBP

H&M(HM-B.ST) 3Q17 Sep28 53,678 48,982 3.10 2.91 SEK

RiteAid(RAD) 2Q18 Sep28 7,836 8,030 0.00 0.02 USD

Tesco(TSCO.L) 1H18 Oct4 27,997 27,338 0.04 0.01 GBP

CostcoWholesale(COST) 4Q17 Oct5 41,532 36,560 2.01 1.77 USD

SuperValu(SVU) 2Q18 Oct11(E) 3,792 3,865 0.37 1.03 USD

FastRetailing(9983.JP) FY17 Oct12 1,861 1,787 1,104 648 JPY

ASOS(ASC.L) FY17 Oct17 1,936 1,445 0.76 0.63 GBP

eBay(EBAY) 3Q17 Oct18(E) 2,367 2,217 0.48 0.36 USD

Skechers(SKX) 3Q17 Oct19(E) 1,069 942 0.44 0.42 USD

WalgreensBootsAlliance(WBA) 4Q17 Oct19(E) 29,988 28,636 1.21 1.18 USD

Kimberly-Clark(KMB) 3Q17 Oct23 4,658 4,594 1.55 1.52 USD

VFCorp.(VFC) 3Q17 Oct23 3,384 3,488 1.12 1.15 USD

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EVENTCALENDAR

Event Location Date(s)

FGRTPresenting/Attending

XRCLabsDemoDay NewYork,NY Sep15 HOMIMilano Milan,Italy Sep15–18 SmartSummit London,UK Sep19–20 √WWDDigitalForum NewYork,NY Sep19–20 Shop.org:ThisIsDigital LosAngeles,CA Sep25–27 √NRFProtect LosAngeles,CA Sep25–27 √ColliersRetailRoundtableLunch HongKong Sep27 eCommerceExpo London,UK Sep27–28 PepcomHolidaySpectacular!East NewYork,NY Sep28 2017RetailCyberIntelligenceSummit Chicago,IL Oct3–4 GMDCRetailTomorrow NewYork,NY Oct4–5 FashionTechForum2017:WestCoastDebut LosAngeles,CA Oct6 ShoptalkEurope Copenhagen,

Denmark Oct9–11 √Walmart2017InvestmentCommunityMeeting Bentonville,AR Oct10 RetailCongressAsiaPacific HongKong Oct10–11 KrogerInvestorConference NewYork,NY Oct11 2017TechstarsDemoDay Minneapolis,MN Oct11 REConLatinAmerica&Caribbean SanJuan,PR Oct15–17 SourcingJournalSummit2017 NewYork,NY Oct17 ICSCNewYorkNextGenerationBreakfastProgram NewYork,NY Oct17 SourcingJournalSummit2017 NewYork,NY Oct17 ExclusiveExecutiveConference Orlando,FL Oct17–19 √NACSShow2017 Chicago,IL Oct17–20 ICSCResearchConnectionsConference Toronto,Canada Oct22–24 BackEndofInnovation Orlando,FL Oct22–25 RetailWestSummit SanFrancisco,CA Oct24 WWDApparel&RetailCEOSummit NewYork,NY Oct24–25 √X5RetailGroupCapitalMarketsDay Moscow,Russia Oct26 AAFAExecutiveThinkTank HongKong Oct26 √FIT’sFashionistas&Financiers NewYork,NY Nov1 IDTechExShow:WearableUSAandPrintedElectronicsUSA SantaClara,CA Nov15–16 LBrandsAnnualInvestorMeeting Columbus,OH Nov22 Asia-GlobalDialogue2017 HongKong Nov22 HomeDepotInvestor/AnalystDay Boston,MA Dec6–7 FortuneGlobalForum Guangzhou,China Dec6–8 √ICSCNewYorkDealMaking NewYork,NY Dec6–8

Page 10: September 15, 2017 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · September 15, 2017 1) This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses Apple’s recent announcement of its two new

10

September15,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFGRTNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comKirilPopovSeniorAnalyst

JohnHarmon,CFASeniorAnalyst

JohnMercerSeniorAnalyst

StevenWinnickResearchAssociate

CharliePoonResearchAssistant

HongKong:2ndFloor,HongKongSpinnersIndustrialBuildingPhase1&2800CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,18thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017

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