sdcwa board meeting 09242015 final 2016 background materials part 2/sdcwa bo… · 2010 irp...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
1
![Page 2: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Drivers
2
![Page 3: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Water Use Efficiency Conservation and recycling to achieve a 20% reduction at the regional level Commitment is above and beyond 20x2020 legislation
Local ResourcesSought to develop just over 100 TAF of additional local supplies through groundwater recovery, seawater desalination, and recycling
State Water ProjectPursue short, mid, and long‐term improvements to help stabilize delta suppliesShort‐term examples: emergency preparedness actions, Complete BDCDPMid‐term examples: Implement BDCP, implement flood control protectionLong‐term examples: Water supply conveyance, ecosystem restoration
Colorado RiverContinue to develop dry‐year supply programs on the Colorado River SystemProvide flexibility in conjunction with Lake Mead ICS to provide a full CRA as needed
4
![Page 5: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
• Things we’ve learned since 2010 (“the claim for change”)
5
![Page 6: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
![Page 7: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
2015 IRP draft forecast includes adjustments to account for decline in water use due to the drought.
Includes conservation: active + passive + MELO (50% new home compliance)
2035:2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 MAF
2015 IRP Forecast: 3.87 MAF2915 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.76 MAF
About 600 TAF less demand in 2035
7
![Page 8: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
2015 IRP draft forecast includes adjustments to account for decline in water use due to the drought.
Includes conservation: active + passive + MELO (50% new home compliance)
2035:2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 MAF
2015 IRP Forecast: 3.87 MAF2915 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.76 MAF
About 600 TAF less demand in 2035
8
![Page 9: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
![Page 10: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
![Page 11: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
![Page 12: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12
![Page 13: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Message, we are prepared for a dry year!
2013 ending balance ‐ 2.353 MAF, rounds to 2.4 MAF
13
![Page 14: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
SWP/CVP Supply Range
• Pre‐Court ‐‐ 5.9 million af
• With BDCP – 4.7 to 5.3 maf
• No BDCP – 3.9 to 3.2 maf
• Earthquake ‐‐ 0 to 1.5 maf
Status Quo
• Ecosystem decline
• Pumping restrictions (supply reduced 30%)
Major Levee Failure
• Up to three‐year disruption of water deliveries
• $40 billion estimated impact to California’s economy
14
![Page 15: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
![Page 16: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
![Page 17: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Message: with risks and resource constraints, effort needed on more local supply and conservation going forward
17
![Page 18: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Staff is proposing that IRP Update be completed in a two phase process
The first phase will be a Technical Update of the IRP• This effort would largely involve metropolitan staff and member agencies• I will show you a proposed schedule at the end of the presentation
The second phase of the update would begin following completion of the Technical Update• This effort would largely be a board process to discuss policy issues • And would be fed by discussions raised in the technical process
Both phases will have extensive interaction through the IRP subcommittee• ???
18
![Page 19: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Internal Process –Ongoing
MA Technical Process –MA workgroup meetings twice a month April through August, as needed through OctoberWUE meetings monthly standing meeting April through July
Board –Reporting in Feb and March (IRP Committee)Monthly Updates from MA tech processWrapping up around the end of the year, head into Board Policy Process
Following slides breakdown activities at Board and MA levels
19
![Page 20: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Internal Process –Ongoing
MA Technical Process –MA workgroup meetings twice a month April through August, as needed through OctoberWUE meetings monthly standing meeting April through July
Board –Reporting in Feb and March (IRP Committee)Monthly Updates from MA tech processWrapping up around the end of the year, head into Board Policy Process
Following slides breakdown activities at Board and MA levels
20
![Page 21: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
21
![Page 22: SDCWA Board Meeting 09242015 Final 2016 background materials part 2/SDCWA Bo… · 2010 IRP Forecast: 4.51 MAF 2010 IRP Forecast with 20x2020 Target: 3.92 ... Message, we are prepared](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022071100/5fd96b36bcab926dc278d448/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
22