scotland: attitudes towards eu membership

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January 2013: Over half of Scots (58%) think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union (EU) compared with just over a third who disagree (36%). Support for a referendum is highest among those living in Scotland’s most deprived areas, those aged 55 and over (64%) and men (62%). Conservative and SNP voters are also more likely to think there should be a referendum (65% and 63% respectively).

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Page 1: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor – Attitudes towards EU membership February 2013

Page 2: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Should there be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union?

Page 3: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, or not?

The majority of Scots think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union

Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

58%

36%

6%

Yes

No

Don’t know

Page 4: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, or not?

Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

34% 38% 43% 37% 40% 30% 32%

42% 30%

53%

62% 54% 47% 54% 56%

64% 63% 52%

65%

43% Yes No

Men Women 18-24 25-34 35-54 55+ SNP Labour Cons. Lib Dem

Support for a referendum is highest among men and older people

Page 5: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Should Britain stay in or leave the European Union?

Page 6: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the European Union, how would you vote?

The majority of Scots would vote for Britain to remain a member of the European Union

Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

53% 34%

13%

Stay in

Leave

Don’t know

Page 7: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the European Union, how would you vote?

Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

37% 30% 26% 29% 33% 38% 39%

28% 37%

20%

54% 53% 68%

57% 53% 48% 51% 60%

46%

70% Stay in

Leave

Men Women 18-24 25-34 35-54 55+ SNP Labour Cons. Lib Dem

Support for Britain remaining in the EU is highest among younger people

Page 8: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Should an independent Scotland be a member of the European Union?

Page 9: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum, which of the following comes closest to your view?

Six in ten think an independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union

Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

61%

33%

6%

An independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union

An independent Scotland should not be a member of the

European Union

Don’t know

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Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum, which of the following comes closest to your view?

Base: All certain to vote in the independence referendum (735). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013

65% 59%

34% 35%

An independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union An independent Scotland should not be a member of the European Union

Support independence Oppose independence

There are similar levels of support for an independent Scotland being an EU member between those who support and oppose independence

Page 11: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Technical details

• This presents the topline results from Scotland

• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents (adults aged 18+) conducted by telephone

• Fieldwork dates: 4th February – 9th February 2013

• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data

• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories

• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated

Page 12: Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

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Thank you [email protected] | 0131 240 3269 [email protected] | 0131 240 3264

This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006. © Ipsos MORI

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