san diego regional economic prosperity strategy transportation: helping address the three e’s
TRANSCRIPT
San DiegoSan DiegoRegional Economic Prosperity StrategyRegional Economic Prosperity Strategy
Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s
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Prosperity Strategy IdentifiesProsperity Strategy IdentifiesThree Major ChallengesThree Major Challenges
Quality of job growthQuality of job growth Widening wage gapWidening wage gap High cost of livingHigh cost of living
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Economy Has Created 8 Times More Economy Has Created 8 Times More Low than High Paying JobsLow than High Paying Jobs
Unbalanced Job Growth Affects Distribution of WagesUnbalanced Job Growth Affects Distribution of Wages
1990-2004 Growth
Compensation Category / Median Compensation Category / Median Wage ($2004)Wage ($2004)
Average Average Salary Salary
IncreaseIncrease($2004)($2004)
Real Salary Real Salary Growth Growth ’’90-’0490-’04 Job GrowthJob Growth
Highest Paying Jobs (Top 1/3) / $79,800 $19,977 33.4% 20,280
Mid Level Paying Jobs(Middle 1/3) / $51,000 $8,208 19.2% 57,310
Low Level Paying Jobs(Lowest 1/3) / $24,500 $2,000 8.9% 158,400
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We Are Falling Behind the State and NationWe Are Falling Behind the State and NationGrowth inGrowth in Real Per Capita Income Not Keeping PaceReal Per Capita Income Not Keeping Pace
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
19
70
19
72
19
74
19
76
19
78
19
80
19
82
19
84
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86
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88
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90
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92
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94
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96
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98
20
00
20
02
United StatesUnited States
CaliforniaCalifornia
San DiegoSan Diego
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Which Jobs Influence Which Jobs Influence Economic Growth Most?Economic Growth Most?
Export OrientedExport Oriented Unconstrained Market PotentialUnconstrained Market Potential
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16 Traded Employment Clusters 16 Traded Employment Clusters Drive Our EconomyDrive Our Economy
Biomedical ProductsBiomedical Products BiotechnologyBiotechnology CommunicationsCommunications Computer ElectronicsComputer Electronics Defense & TransportationDefense & Transportation Design ServicesDesign Services EntertainmentEntertainment Environmental Environmental
TechnologyTechnology
Financial ServicesFinancial Services Fruits &Fruits &
VegetablesVegetables HorticultureHorticulture Publishing ServicesPublishing Services Recreational GoodsRecreational Goods SoftwareSoftware Specialty FoodsSpecialty Foods Travel andTravel and
HospitalityHospitality
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Proportion of Jobs in Each “Driving” Employment Cluster-2005
(Traded Clusters Set the Pace of Economic Growth)(Traded Clusters Set the Pace of Economic Growth)
Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals
7%
Defense6%
Computer & Electronics5%
Other Clusters19%
Other Jobs
Communications8%Financial Services
11%
Travel & Hospitality11%
Entertainment & Amusement33%
Clusters
Traded
Employment
26%
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Low Paying “Driving” Cluster IndustriesLow Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries(Clusters with Average Wage Less than Region’s, $2004)(Clusters with Average Wage Less than Region’s, $2004)
$39,300
$32,200
$30,200
$27,800
$22,600
$16,100
$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000
San Diego Region
Specialty Foods
Horticulture
Travel & Hospitality
Fruit & Vegetables
Entertainment &Amusement
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High Paying “Driving” Cluster IndustriesHigh Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries(Clusters with Average Wage Greater than Region’s, $2004)(Clusters with Average Wage Greater than Region’s, $2004)
$39,300
$51,900$53,400
$61,800$65,100
$71,200
$71,300$73,100
$78,800$80,000
$82,000$112,800
$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000
San Diego Region
Recreational Goods
Publishing
Design
Biomedical Products
Defense & Transportation
Environmental Technology
Financial Services
Computer & Electronics
Biotechnology
Software
Communications
Estimating Economic Impacts of
Border Wait Timesin the
San Diego-Baja California Region
January 2008
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Binational Trade & Freight Facts
9% of U.S.-Mexico
trade value crosses at Otay Mesa and Tecate.
#1
Mexicois the
United States’ third largest
trading partner.
#3
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Binational Trade & Freight Facts
Mexicois
California’s number one
export market.
#2
#1
#3 The Otay MesaPort of Entry (POE) is the third ranking POE in trade dollar value between theU.S. and Mexico.
Otay Mesa POE
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Value of Trade Passing Through SD POE’s Rising Faster than GRP
Northbound Truck Crossings Otay Mesa & Tecate POEs
Num
ber
of
Tru
cks
(thousa
nds)
Tw
o-W
ay T
rade (in
$m
illions)
14
San Ysidro
San Diego-Baja California POEs: Current Conditions
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Cross-Border Personal Travel
Impact Category Total Annual Impact (2007)
Output Output (millions of U.S. (millions of U.S. dollars)dollars)
Labor IncomeLabor Income(millions of U.S. (millions of U.S. dollars)dollars)
Employment (FTE Employment (FTE jobs)jobs)
-$2,989-$2,989
-$1,256-$1,256
-40,450-40,450
Combined Regional Economic Impacts
(San Diego County & Baja California)
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Otay Mesa Commercial POECurrent Conditions
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Economic Impacts due to Cross-Border Freight Delay
Impact Category
2007 Total Annual Impact (U.S. $ in millions)
California United States
San Diego County
Output
Labor Income
Employment(FTE jobs)
-$ 539
-$ 155
-2,912
-$ 847
-$ 241
-4,323
-$ 1,487
-$ 415
-9048
MexicoBaja California
-$ 1,560
-$ 178
-8,207
-$ 2,451
-$ 280
-12,897
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Lost Economic BenefitsSan Diego-Baja California Personal Travel and Freight Movements (2007)
51,570 Lost Jobs =
8.5 Qualcomm8.5 QualcommCompaniesCompanies
3 3 1/2 San DiegoConvention
Centers
$5.1 Billion in Lost Output =$5.1 Billion in Lost Output =
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Projected Employment Impact of Border DelayPersonal Travel and Freight Movements (2007)
San Diego County & Baja California
United States & Mexico
2007
2014
0
-40,000
-80,000
-120,000
Em
plo
ym
ent
Loss -51,570
-62,357
-104,146
-123,682
2030 Regional2030 RegionalTransportation Plan: Transportation Plan:
Pathways for the FuturePathways for the Future
2211
A million new residents by 2030A million new residents by 2030
A half million new jobsA half million new jobs
2222
Chula Vista to Sorrento ValleyChula Vista to Sorrento ValleyTravel TimeTravel Time
00
4040
8080
120120
100100
2020
6060
AutoAuto
CurrentCurrent
Without InvestmentWithout Investment
64645151
9090
7777
5656
Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)
With InvestmentWith Investment
2233
Chula Vista to Sorrento ValleyChula Vista to Sorrento ValleyTravel TimeTravel Time
0
40
80
120
100
20
60
CurrentCurrentWithout Investment
5555
113108108110110
TransitTransit
With Investment
Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)
4444
103103
4949
2244
Chula Vista to Sorrento ValleyChula Vista to Sorrento ValleyTravel TimeTravel Time
00
4040
8080
120120
100100
2020
6060
CarpoolCarpool
CurrentCurrent5151
With InvestmentWith Investment
Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)
Without InvestmentWithout Investment
2929 3030
88557070
2255
Chula Vista to Sorrento ValleyChula Vista to Sorrento ValleyTravel TimeTravel Time
00
4040
8080
120120
100100
2020
6060CurrentCurrent
Without InvestmentWithout Investment 9595
5252 55554949
5454
79796969
With InvestmentWith Investment
Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)
All ModesAll Modes(weighted average)(weighted average)
Environmental Environmental
Mitigation Mitigation
Program Program
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May 2005May 2005
2828
RegionalRegionalHabitat PreserveHabitat PreservePlanning Area Planning Area with Mobility with Mobility NetworkNetwork
Environmental Mitigation ProgramEnvironmental Mitigation Program
2828
2929
40 Year Expenditure Plan40 Year Expenditure Plan
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ExtensionExtension
EEnnvviirroonnmmenenttalalMMiittiiggaattioionn$$00..66
SSmmaarrtt GGrroowwtthh$$00..2288
EEnnvviirroonnmmenenttalalMMiittiiggaattioionn LLooccalal$$00..2255
FFiinnaanncciinngg CCoosstt$$00..55
OOvveerrssiigghhtt CComommmiitttteee e ((NNoott sshhoowwnn))
$$00..0011
Major Highway&
Transit Projects (47)$4.65
Local Streets&
Roads$3.95
TransitServices
$2.24
((IInn BBillillioionnss,, 22000022 DDoollllaarrss))
NNeeww BBRRTT//RRaaiillOOppeerraattioionnss
$$11..11
AAddmmiinniissttrraattioionn$$00..1144 BBiikke &e &
PPeeddeessttrriiaann$$00..2288 Total Program $14 BillionTotal Program $14 Billion
3030
Environmental Mitigation Environmental Mitigation Program CostsProgram Costs
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ExtensionExtension
Total ProgramTotal Program$850 Million$850 Million
Plus up to $30m in financing costsPlus up to $30m in financing costsFor advanced habitat acquisitionFor advanced habitat acquisition
((InIn MMillilliioonnss,, 22000022DDoollllaarrss))
TTrraannssppoorrttaattiioonnPPrroojjeecctt
MMiittiiggaattiioonnFFuunndd$$66550m0m Major
Highway &TransitProject
Mitigation$450
$150
$50
LocalTransportation
ProjectMitigation
$200
RReeggiioonnaall HHaabbiittaattCCoonnsseerrvvaattiioonnFFuunndd$$22000m0m
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““Economic Benefit” based on:Economic Benefit” based on:
Purchasing mitigation land in advance Purchasing mitigation land in advance of need in larger blocks at a lower costof need in larger blocks at a lower cost
Preventing Mitigation Ratio “Creep”Preventing Mitigation Ratio “Creep”
Environmental Mitigation ProgramEnvironmental Mitigation Program
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Conservation Benefits:Conservation Benefits:
Large-scale acquisition, restoration and Large-scale acquisition, restoration and management of critical habitat areas management of critical habitat areas
Make good on conservation programs Make good on conservation programs promisespromises
Develop biological database make available Develop biological database make available to publicto public
Environmental Mitigation ProgramEnvironmental Mitigation Program
3232
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Transportation Benefits:Transportation Benefits:
Approach provides mitigation assurances Approach provides mitigation assurances for future transportation improvementsfor future transportation improvements
Reduces future mitigation costs andReduces future mitigation costs andallows for accelerated project deliveryallows for accelerated project delivery
Transportation project mitigation consistent Transportation project mitigation consistent with habitat conservation planswith habitat conservation plans
Environmental Mitigation ProgramEnvironmental Mitigation Program
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San DiegoSan DiegoRegional Economic Prosperity StrategyRegional Economic Prosperity Strategy
Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’sTransportation: Helping Address the Three E’s