samuel p. huntigton - the third wave: democratization in the late twentieth century (part 1)

20
Sa wus-( grr<l) * /l,t / P. $v"*'"-r*o" - -T"he T[irJ t..)ante I De-^ocra..f.r'za"{r'.=,, f ,r 4 lL e L^f e Ju.te.^ * ulrh €e*^1-"1 fiav& | = /Artrrar{ *n &'*n "/ te'r,€ Ea *rrrl|X /oA**^ t? ?S *ne/ tq ?ej / s/o*/"d on 2{/4 A,en'/ f??+ u,y'{ a tou^F 4'e*4-l ,b /,'sbon, fo.hge*e)' o/8 rm,o.,Jle o/ 4tr*-.)/'frlb*a/t lr/ i#\ a- yr?uten--arac-+1 oLne'/ ) A^Jd*,}' 4o,*a//".€ane{, tFru{;/o/; / J /-/ tuen. ) : ),rfun hg h, t' J, n /, "s 4 /^**A's Jd - ce-* & * reo I r''.''d,#-" t E*eH* ar') 'dann o cta"A ' J-* J/e a*y/itr 'J{''e/ '/r A" ,l o " r**rre t ao//e "/'* 4e n"F ''* o ?A&'* b e*r e"'re ;J"r/#"*J{i,ro. /*;r, *}1, **-/ Fe"nbJ''' Jr"J b a t ;4 /- A * ;,, /, .to/ o' , f4-; l" 6e n^,ee/s tr y.c /es *, / ' t,.i - ,r/* *; - t,', ALt/1"4 '4/''.. '/oJu //- '-"r*lLil;o ' "ig e/':3; t /e -/o U'o/o ' -c '/ ^/, ola"*'r* " ,* u!, f inno /eet #u V4" 'ft at€'nstba t * &Etx*es{a - />,t **A P?, J ^'V* lt^*-^ 7 r'-/"*/ F* 6 e* 1 'D*l / f.u*'i 4J en'h'cet # A;t tt 7ap (y1'e /o- * eP *+.] n" f" {y e'" * t"tr ' f o,Lo tn,F fi'*,! ./ ta er, ifta ru '**i -J#to ,!'*,4 **-y' p/'- i @.t'{71)h:;" i f;; {, ii:;I; *i* *fr,/- Or*g-n'sd /'/rt/ ,P t'e Y 7t€ c9'tt'a.-,u) fr pt ^{d lte a*^ i*e/ of *f*q*"A ,# *o d^g*ep a r, )

Upload: cameron-paige

Post on 14-Nov-2014

118 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

137 FPA

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

Sa wus-(grr<l)

* /l,t /

P. $v"*'"-r*o" - -T"he T[irJ t..)ante I De-^ocra..f.r'za"{r'.=,, f ,r4 lL e L^f e Ju.te.^ * ulrh €e*^1-"1

fiav& | = /Artrrar{ *n &'*n "/ te'r,€ Ea *rrrl|X /oA**^t? ?S *ne/ tq ?ej /

s/o*/"d on 2{/4 A,en'/ f??+ u,y'{ a tou^F 4'e*4-l ,b/,'sbon, fo.hge*e)' o/8 rm,o.,Jle o/ 4tr*-.)/'frlb*a/t lr/i#\ a- yr?uten--arac-+1 oLne'/ ) A^Jd*,}' 4o,*a//".€ane{,tFru{;/o/; / J

/-/ tuen. )

: ),rfun hg h, t' J, n /, "s 4 /^**A's Jd - ce-* & * reo I r''.''d,#-" tE*eH* ar') 'dann o cta"A ' J-* J/e a*y/itr 'J{''e/ '/rA" ,l o "

r**rre t ao//e "/'* 4e n"F ''* o ?A&'* b e*r e"'re

;J"r/#"*J{i,ro. /*;r, *}1, **-/ Fe"nbJ'''

Jr"J b a t ;4 /- A * ;,, /, .to/ o' , f4-; l" 6e n^,ee/s

tr y.c /es *, / '

t,.i -

,r/* *; -

t,', ALt/1"4 '4/''..'/oJu //- '-"r*lLil;o ' "ig

e/':3; t /e -/o U'o/o ' -c '/ ^/,ola"*'r* " ,*

u!, f inno /eet #u V4" 'ft at€'nstba t * &Etx*es{a -

/>,t **A P?, J ^'V* lt^*-^ 7 r'-/"*/ F* 6 e* 1 'D*l / f.u*'i 4J

en'h'cet # A;t tt 7ap (y1'e /o- * eP *+.] n" f" {y e'" * t"tr ' fo,Lo tn,F fi'*,! ./ ta er, ifta ru '**i

-J#to ,!'*,4 **-y' p/'-

i @.t'{71)h:;" i f;; {, ii:;I; *i* *fr,/-Or*g-n'sd /'/rt/ ,P t'e Y 7t€ c9'tt'a.-,u) fr pt

^{d lte a*^ i*e/ of *f*q*"A ,# *o d^g*ep a r, )

Page 2: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

' /n lle k/e /48Ot, 4, /.e-e'>/-/--r. elcc/art e*,'l*t 'dn

;f"-"'-fu"bry /e.o-e ,,rtpre useVt,/ 4 4t /4er4tr-4b"672;yohbo/ o/ "/.",1ors 4 ,1p-6trb*o4 fr*,/t'dFlt\-ro .t. ,rlrl

"-/; -bed' /r*o/d u/rue /*o/rr/di, hin in( a y'arrc..u4'atuf aurrl7r a.ou// -J1 k ,

ry%, r"Ti,n "'fu::i-r;; :, lnTflzr-;:; o/ ,',/-€-,,;; r}/oi'J'u', *'d '/ -4e

al,ranars 'tu fuae/ 4e e/ec'1bns 44 ;:;"1{f 4''t>u>'a/

d-,,tud, Ti''-;;i ;;, rt/ne?t ) u

' /f porouh*t */"o/b , J //- hr' /**'tzba r'*'/ *r " 4|trA/t "/ ,/tr*ote,, //d."'-4t a,r1,*/,f"''I ')r

/la ,7raa€rt ,/ #;*e A'znlbo ir /li ff?'|;1fte , T.rlori- )7 -E

t*G 3'u*t1'a i.( /l{ ,/e-P h-'e'-n^at^t{ ;/ a ' eoyortt*te.r/ /b/ a,e ,*o/ oAI ta J-Lr

ua,t 4i o,l 7/ti",i ra/crfi h a-oftee2 .ofl, i-'j;{ !arl;,, fle av*4 Tera,aa a/-/fu**/'-

/ ,or/r, /e;i,e *n/ */k ?*J e/eL-/an, hn"t*te r'

; v.ruo44" *^n /'* *!d 7'ela'ug a/' /* 'o se/oe!'';-;F#ff '7. ; f/ -/$,,on/e **a,o'lL re?'r'e)

Tffu;,,**b, "f;t, -r&)*J'itz mQ) "/d

#a /15 - ;,lo/'A/a' ,/ 4e af€t"a ":*: rtr*

hfuryg*)7', t'? *''*-!1 -'t nUe 'fe4/!t f:F-^:(T;y'4-;ato-,:o* tnl^ 'r*r* "F *;"fr.fr,J;-mhil *;*' n/)p t"4 *''6e$n*r- YTr./,tul

hTer,'at*p oalto-;'L itfYec ;'-*t re-/ea-'a tr'pnroa&1, 7f f,;;- f ,i,i)" 7/ ;;;'- *udore',/*r*o .l3rr#, ryonder ))u.hrnr/7; "/f".ifur/ste l-4/e /Po&, [;;i' do-a'l€ '"'*t/'4 '/ ^a

/

soae4, o-/t &t" ryil ")q tn Q -y'*Lryl'

4fi',,tlbo, h'/h,/ r;; ilh H ryr" /;^')7"- ̂ '-t *' *

He et*&ro.t ks/. 4;6ea4,I'ffi1 *ry '*/-'G* et"5"&"ff'w'rT*

n n^y'- a*Aon,/ao/ h /*/* **/e /e-'*{ta}"f

/*rg , /6t/in5tul.l. '*te dt,l'*,n"i 4 {T"tY !-_'Tffi*{

/*T-o "-i"^': /,./ //,-/ /s

'io /,,/,

Page 3: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

".6" ! 'fr y'l" exb

eue h ea

e / lZel

'd;*q / sh4,/;

a //ec/'ut

a^/1s/;an st

c t- rla.t

,tr"rF(/h /{

4aater - t/u**P ./ /w4*t u'/// ^ 't./ / r/ ^ ^-.a- .;

/,,7'/rtt t/*rd^.,'/ /"r f!fn:/

*r,4 "a/-/z- f"/t '',/ tJ r/ 1^/ oL.z-*r*

{t

,b-[ /t -rb7

1d /n t,"/ e

GT,; h {a/.""r. C/,zoetoulfr,'I

o^/.// /1th.oa a{ea*

'P*** on-A'/e /.{&/e,7A€ rvU,4, /

b^r a.4nq,,-t-,*/ errddre.

@r

a.

l./'/42r€

Th€ ofrV rS oT De t"o C?ATI Sr+T |er N:.-.::,r:B+pltrqrr, :,':.1 ' -_

.--- - I t

rb f,I.r' T' :!"Yf::'X:.5"/ o Fra-a4 -e4,a /u /1, r

fr'r,*#*r, €i"i"* * /ua ,r'fa,'q, f. (u/"u n)'eAcea/( -

,ur:fr" )l /'r-./. fp/dr"^a e-J'Le/ i+,'r\1rre/ Je*nu- ,

*--// ffu/t,y 1'4 r4e c.on,Qr/ d Jl&r' .aL', "

(r'so'y''7^;,J,// na/a vt€ tf'l'l/e h -o4tt he1er : :?r#{:^"^)fu,f*,I:v._t*^t** ftvo.|hfu'a ry"3 l//

'*-,r>drt

te/ P*t''o*a*J 1' 4 'A6;a" in /ff tl; e'/ectbnrt

Tra y'.# ,ev*e i^"::ifS"/;::ilr,!"lJn f,oh /?zar, c rle A n^/,.u,r,^t,r/! %;.::;6"',h^ !/"**de,/ /?jof ,"-/ 4e 4**-ft*.,ho^_/ 44,^, cfc*d a'/'/,r*' #' re&ri. I' fi tr ^/' rr&d ,wn*ot&n'tb-|e*'' r"/e ef 4 'ht1o&c*|bn % :'^

/ee/ t rTro lQ J'o'h{ *-/ t2u '/a t'' vc -f"'-' -/

he"6e;*;6ry' Tle '*)*aL/' *ce*''r'/' b-,"tv t4

*t;,se co',*4,es /r"/ ^7-; tE2*. !tr #:$',;I :r T_ f 'f,:,"ux;', K :" ;,7 ;ho n

l,rtu nao. ) ( f>"+ , ft or.F/,*'',r tA" b)

Page 4: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

Ve 56an.4 ,,re-,,rG e/ oy'en-".ro-/'fa]>n { oppr* /f 4 3 : / r) ' i

,/*t/*/ r'/t irl on,/ L'q s,yVti{ /./ 4 /lc I egnnnyt/ 4tr" e, y' '/ /Je-b*n tu#^*t ,u /e .u L/ "e-*q a ,/Jy'l,nee ruoo !;-t+cies war6 ),4t./r rrt4J/.o^/ frpne

4t 'e've4d*/r /' *^'/oU7 ru/e;

7/e JeaortJ a,a2sr (t?tP - "f ) :

,g9J l/*

,*r/. ' /n L*o1'n pv'n*{'.o '/ bvr**uttl'. c-Jbn'h-'/ce*n'Cz', '/ .he I o v&v. /LLr'/,h *f @rf i *4"r € fuff"*;fia An'a , /he/'/e rre. n r6,h '4/ f7-ia o/ //e Af*hunrh'es //*/ /e *o"*a' ,nQeen Jr*, / /e h,ee-* /? r€pn / t4 ?o . //-'.h - // ree ' 7 " e;,'fr.e a-'r'/1'on''/44 2''n

- 4 ,n//e* d.n er vP-,n'l J/',nrJq 4k* 'o/e.-,?e^/-*,r*/ 77e /a*h*,/o/'3/n "r/ 4h-' /"/ /- '/le//o-?oth nruHpnrerlan 4 .nn !eo^ds-* ooJ/on''4' -;'dL f n*io6.*J, ,a t/i"+g.ry

' fl*r* r&7n^e r1e, A"Ae ^f ,rn/ .*,$ "1 ;r-, /"-/.J $e

Jlenr-t fo/ lu.a*are-A'o * o ufrn.'6n;r-*,bh h €r?/e'i)

/l^Ldh-lr' *^t*r'c&+t ,/e""f et, 7,2"1 eho ^f *^'/e/

a- ,rrut $maJ* ,Fte r6'i!*'*- "/X/ /L Yfl*6'/,

.y' /aroare n tn Uu*t hf'* eo*nJn eJ ;"d '//4*'-t";';"'Ll UiD hrt&a *9"1 4. ,,'ro6, /,.+ -*^{[fr,]el,;; t/ &*nne-ei, *t+tott*p ,#4 d#**7e/aotn*L'ec

o'j)u tl fu'/u eos# fr' /e'e''rr )

/t >/ *a,r'€ "/ /**o r-o /'rn ,{ n * (* / 7 7/t - ) "

( /o 4e ,r4'1/r*^ g##-d 74//,"-.,y /e u'/, { rte,^.F:tL*go* r*- kLA*"ti(p ;4 / te ? q ;' Je**oa,rs A, t^c'F t'tt'€!

f;o.-;;-'-;:i-{. rb ne+, o'r:tf , *, L.evn he, t 4 4 ur ryf'e , tilt, '* , *'*{'i' Jo /kt iult/e&r"eJ .r J "-ri rtu, o#to l'Le r*'A' Js' qlan

atktrec{ , h 44Jd* 'l' &* A^ fQa-z'rn a'r' /' nl'// e /funr"y'lL,o y6,,j,**;

__^;,**roAV du-** ( *J f* "ed *4**y/(

*nd $t,*e-y I

Page 5: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

! ' 7/n dirl;e /an le h c&1,

l,; e,"h/ /h'I r t, t / ..1 ,.^nl /a''h'"b:ef

"t €&+r ,f/en a.o / / d rm,or€

il" At.l'n.-rlbn /.Loh /a,^-*""-rafel J/*/ d'nrlq-/a, r't *&, u-%*t

h r .fe verut r&aanil ^ t t. tL+'r"/'/dft

t).'a&-4r*

L+ (t

un/s/rtb

t-,-> " &, esJ &*,*, J "*'{

'a4 S

faae r&y n.na-.y'.fua 2/ v-4 /et ; '€,/

ilar re - /er,- a''e-\ e"{e

/,y' He no/ a//a ?a//

Orrl

EX,te( /'/

'r/r i/a/i e-, &-

m , ,'nltvllnenn/

or/ &"'iceld

t-+

/'te*$ans

.' ( o, /te @-"/gu ""e*; b/,*- 7w-

s4 / t@/r> r'rb

/r/e4/ 1 dle:ffia *Jo*

*J>n r.r ta,fe

,u*-l'an t

O{r

@ ,re/* e t,n€lh

'&l ,'/rt, , iA^re.k-"t

&4.ea f,,

4"1

4

t,

r4e A*, dt /e"o ap/-apt5ba ,, ea 6e fttre n\ae'^4 /tu'etq

ey4;VAnc Elceua , / '(

n/u.,u arcol -

/Bde

/'//a

/hY4Ar/* re t o/' u*-/ur/ dl

77e

/-lz:>

lhqnule ) on 1/8- /*.o o7t

Page 6: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

EK

4t -+

xl

aZ

-*

fZQr-Xj

.Z xt

.2 ".\ x_Lt+ x, \ x.? r

-\ \6

l--za'ja"s

W

!k '-" fuoro/>,lPtl

*ffiffi tr-.4{Esi?1'l1t'r'srg8.gfi gp-4'tre-e{*'E*iE3

-t'frl #c &' /arJ(t)

&t+lz+cgl

7-x1Z4 XZ

74 ls

'), f,*l'J' rhe$)

/ e* olun y-g*. '?1 -K " L-J r t q t; *ffi*; i/"*;? 4,,"e,/

Q/

n''#lb, lavd/,rc-r:i:.,r...:].1r;.iii::ijlil<r*!Eaix'1.',. I " i

*, ,aC ;

(>)

GIJ -,/ ooa/>+4,ii41-' ete ry.-o/n&7-e{k'

T ,ll<le ,*fon t)

Page 7: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

*

eL'l la h"?+ oJo'/ 4'--^{'? , //'/ '4,o p*/e plli .rs Hrft'un/ o'/'

F, 'fu[ffi:*|2' /4 a€a4t/ 'f'*Y

,-'#g*htg | '/o. erpbn'a /c-,-o,*A rc-./aa en € d,o"// /o, Ii'7/(e / rr4o/*4 o-u*,L//-/)/,D

h #.tote et/-r.- ,fee/ ecrolZ" r&rolu Ao, . r

Eufeq&t @vn a'a /4 4" /n'n€ /.*-/1 'e?ttu rn ' f n":^[{-Jr,

graa,e-l) t coua/-'*t .b" 4'- 'Lfuc"A"/

*,i^, T/r,.i^^*, "o {: ^4.t" ::*y :::::{

e'/4,a,s ,&)' fd*/"/', i futr,c ltae-??ur€2 h ,4iln4B? (,*,, oi76,/:, i?, g :,7 | Zr;3*:*

ftila.Ai2, /la*, 7e,g.-'d- @I / //e ^if:*t/

.7v "-\ - "t{"r_ ^fh-Ars fuotar, *nd ,% wr€ ryt*

}:lri" "/14,*rt -

o*, vola'l/e ,'H /"'{tru sca'e+1 ' 'r

$rea.V*/fi ., froka{"/'*' o-4o' an'o'rcqed el^anoua*

T';;:i lgre€-sa*rbr "/ ,AE rnua'{" /# /o'o-lorel 'efut**, p,n/'*{1u*" le,fi'e /?oe a'-ere

i[*"T^',,e/h fre k- /o*1,^, ruii{ar t e -fo n' 1'1"

ve A/, "/ 4e /Ju'/+"/ *//''' ' )'n oil/ o'4,Lle /,t;';d''*F{'/ .*f,''; J/*-t a14u"{ e//+-//L A,u fr'rn'/ "*r4

{/;*l "/c-,* o'--{ se"1ln '

*Ac o*;/;#7.H# @ua./ne,- fi,*L-4,,';:AZ /rab-r/ - 'adr€ ro6.('-et1 dvcz"rfi/ '4sotb );*e a/rr,* ore*t t-wz/* ;' +/'J'*o"t'^14,ir*j.sd sttc< erra r ,h*#o, / H. Eonen Q ", /hf 'd"'J)

Page 8: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

a."4 / /h /*- z.o 1/e+'" e'rr'tf t'/ €-r u€-re ,"o/' /, l -'"1 // e

lrv np,n ,h , h.s *F." a//e fr, //4 Od;'r/ ' *. 4

'/"",*/r* I'*-l>- #*' ,L 2a eao,,o!n-'. o^/ ro^b2

aluuohpmc* /2 4e ".*n.oruZ *n/ tocra/ €-*trt'rann**/,/ /{ frr'&'s[ "4/e. ao*o$ es, *^ol ,/./-- n,LL.y ./-',/lo rJet/ua H/,'at /r? Pr"f *n/ //,2 re.ru//'*pu/nulr7o/ /* /Pn

n ^f ( za n /'"2* /'/ "ry ires J rI

f, ^(1,-/ oor/ ^'L /-n 7*i/,t /H ./zp-/i

tr<d'-,.r-.*/ ,'4 /-h f€*ir'' a.'e-ve "/ 1*no{1 '*o1a' '

/r-t; u,/ t/* &un ln'er /'*l /44'" i+"1 h #a'"*o'n1',; /,A;' ,"*t* /r# 'nL on€ o/,,,"'.*,^/ffifi:'

6)r/ , /- n'J'An7"' tJ;' /a'n ::^".".o , ,i-!, ae:zm'e_,,4 t

;1 Apa l* ry, Vo,, *-/-tft*, i" r4'Ja" 6"tte,

-/rrhur, 6.e-u'/, fuE{-n'1'"-^ , F*!'rUe1*@&t, Ven€z*-i;, ht*-o .' ft^/,ot, /-/t' *i.-*ly "/ A. ,!*/cr"6/atler b. Jle ke-r *n,/ 4e n'n4 " ^er1e *a-h 77 'a

/r^: ; oLr*, *h*^'Q( /"1 /ti /- 'L'J'J7 4oFrecarz 4 /u-"-hr-'tel'?n. 4

'ag'r* /'a*4 "uJ*- 4

fl;'-"; rh4.r t/*L) "i '4 ko"***e",r '^#4 ,eftrc,,) /-.4' /stet '^'Ju 6vtk'r;*d &""*^^J'',nsr*44ea 'f o{e, 2 reryo cJ*l /t f-,*d "/ J'a€ ' ?/'4

n '"Anr oJ / tL h L4/,'dL/ i^b' "tG'*"*

c'e e"'?!-;:" -Vur"b

*-/ ute.,*o bn-"ro"A'an L, //rp:e "b"'* 4{8- *

&.e( odb /./z **; lC^.,r E'^i*4 E.font'."//e

T"' ;I]*"o^o/ ^re.-ve Tete "u-% tl134n'et-/4

'lrlrrrr*/, t'e*k" z/'e -/'A''/ +'@ve kt h E'#

d{*^ L Ap)*t r+;x "/ d"&.'vte5 ' )

Page 9: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

'4 A e-h/ D ede ,/Je/ +, r€f€4e*J re/-/'-*4 oJ* 6/e

)^; h"4-bAa 6*//*,J'*r'"L o-/ /o^.-to^Kt 'ey'2-'''"te(Z"l ;J^) t ;" ura/ .b rarat'** /en 'Lfi" o*4o/'o,b - /ived /ryra€'r, ' f'o #-t 7o4e-'" "/ :"f''"oloruhf o*,"/ ,9, le ,**, lf"/ ;1 f"'Jry*a E.')

,h //o' "

,bt t 7l* qrrnrA'on t /e a-ata*e/ ir.'tJ/,p* Jo"'Vot .r'q

,r; /J/t ,; /ya,,/t-,/ van a4/1r ,:i , ,''or/ Jp*/*6t, ,'+1, tf 6o:- f / iq Zor f*/-ced' /tc /i**J:/ra,no6/e, dprcocf?l'o'ff 'ry1)- A'**,"t o'n llc

/?7o,r a,/ /?Pg.t i dn,t/ e'al /"/a*t dtu' /-

/o-e r4,d nrf)l ^"iJ" '; /""U:f *1o*/

/le './4"E;" ;4 //',*"o,Ib'r /a /k [t*/"* tt atlo"e

JA>"/ '-&e 7*v*ra4,aa/le ,

4 u' 7Ze Lou n /,'., "/ /LaZ f /. ,*.#e.^ r ^ / /4.t'ra€v-a- /,7rl

/^rA., ol'oto/ o*/ ok*'J.ttt,-

oeeurt /*//*n'-

t

, // P l*te ' a{et'-o c-'o' r<

(E,l ah-*L*, re-/ba i-' D/a- - l-

a-

(r) "rke

-Jl*

r? a-.?.^tP L.4t{at-4 A'=:--.--e: --- :-- Jt '/t

,i7'u"a+-*"e'f -f

= 7 ll-F lI T,lzt/a,'/ {t4.ecct

l1 7J- ? o*,-*rta€'ezc.^,<q

€xge*6Jn an t ,'7l* /o.-/n'n e q!,4 o../'n,'l'o

@4

(r) "scaprld-/.r,le @(=l;i./ar7/Y/ /*-*a-7t 4-n-o- n(r) /,?rJ t|* h'A'on r. '4

- .D

(r)# -{_- e^.

r&/"< WtP

Page 10: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

(4)/'4 // t"/6vr e G m rn u*'.

.bt'.o-t -il,. 4rrr*of'o.

/',,04U,t ew-/-r442.,

in /q */i^'!tbrr',o* n'6'X.

/4

),,

4+r'nL

rt*t ltt@'t

r l,1'A 5'Jz'r*-u/a-f t

n />. et ?", orle r-lE-/-1e /f f,ot -t'e/ no /,i

J'err'e- / t'/€ .. ei

'or*{

4+€-tn -

,*/({)

cfr

Page 11: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

'

ffJ^ * ry, 3 f, # 2,fr*Se ^t ";I,^Wfaie ,n ra-A7"J, *-d /4tt4'-4'o'vo

1e''ra'/-7 :h /:'/q,2 es.] .*k **2 l'u o

/,W "mr#r'm'Ar'' ^ %'2 :"7^ rdrat 74,o17 4 i{"7; ^

", " L'J

/ta ae+?r,,,*,L.e ,'r'ffi'.'ii /t "tA)

ae*4 /'" t'o @me

/o 2p>r{ {o-r'/ *!'' ve 7'c,a * / /12,") f*"^i€

7".67rtfr'e ' /n '*!/'"t' rd/- f^4 t z

iofr f*t/e*" .&' *o-HP;'#, 'T>et) *J

t ! Jr^ rc- -(' * * rf ' ^yt- 7 F, -pnrl^-/"/a *'f'*/" / ,

*7 "/ ,U"d"c 1/'?'' '

o ft" on-h- r6-*'a-- fer,'rtot t/ /l- /ra1 t aal /? ?'or

/o/c &,&n/- to*t t%*t "r i>e4 ' /: /"1 '/-

T;*"*o-,* e-" ( lTL 6;f 6;r/daurl€ / /T/''"^o-^,' ( / t:J;,

q,o.,z ,nie r'

'W Zi:4Tftr:ffi?'*;.r+!*i4s;":d"@4

ri*:"*,JzJ *'4 '/"'-b nn,U /J-/'cn/'-"

/ lh r;4flf - if: Z*; i;*, *. / _y3'/:f trfrff4T; #*t/"-'2y7'fA'""rf o*,/tu o/u.- ea€-*h,/;rff::7; /f'rao&'d,".rf,

:r,*"rry,//*- /uP

c I oaLl ug'*.*'? ^:::*:'o';,,ffi -4'*',ouuklo-1" L,te ,/. /??3- + ) *:f,r'frt;;l,ff"2:'-""#:;,'mH:- iW"=**

ew&eh6- o'J, e.,1 e, /'lp r're,, f &" -

?r.^' #;;#i ";) :;Hn' :: ;:ry;If , -

M"", c*a /,'l'J a r 2 u / ;) i "/fu

u n /tu"*'if, ^(L7 "-

Page 12: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

' T/. /a/,1'*'*7 t/ a'q

oZ, ,!"d*";1"/' '/ 'y'

Lr€ eo& L*/ A r'lz/ */ /aan* /-* au4on'-' /7V? *n/ '/???,./h Plt t lr a/o 'n''e'4a- *7/

e.-r//on'b*'o* 7q>he het/ 4 /a4'ne-* / o' '4r

(;;;1 *r/d ,rO ILo eLraa

t€4

-,t--t^ - - I In -'rfuvFttEilvt- ''

)

J, Sa,7 *'V€

lt *a

ffi-*^/-4-

{,;)

(;")

(*) rytu

/afT',#ifr&+

a

/::':t',*,u a,/ai/'dd-/ h /,-e Jool onde"t147'brl

'* foda zu J/,t-1 / vd -

-*Au*td file/ )

l/,^, , y' )* ur/ )7 lfit-* '*/ 'J'to- *f "o// un*i ')/ {' krl*} ^'/4 JLu Qefroa q1 /u'/'ry'+ b'f

/en-/e'-t ;'' -fu /*l ''gpfu-n'*-*,a*" ,a -, / ,t,tz t^ai4qrc .'

,a

r furQ2r'i r 'rtl , tf-

- / 7' t€ a,a,V "an€ ot/ "a'o/e 7 ' /'

. . -'^ oh., ra.dse & 64 aT'*n//, he(9 ,/'

7t) tt SsQsletl

' v*'r'rv *t/ Jch -

tor6lnvr fl/'T;,4 ( Z/r*:;''e e**A nn I

rev,n,e &e's^ t/ /oue OF

I' f( o,i*rfr fti 2r"*rffi*/a,.X*?^"' .Jk,*-l'n, I- L-tt -.JA-Jdi^ 4 *y bf)

Page 13: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

ftd (2) .#tffil'*'fou.e /er,l*?o*e* e*d €nrc.^, L &1^f€G.'

'l* /avo/ o,n F&o,

./ €c,o+.o,ctt-< /e".Lp^r-Ji/r*// a4n-' 4 € ce:>rz a-'4 o, f.f4^'a/ / h 6-.'

il.!/ Jh"-t-J'p4>! t,4/

l+, /

14

/o

ce A'l.c .

//. ;4bn , r, //z

-J

'lal-+f .'

,/"o*r',

,,,/1 &1.'t /,,4e

". /- ,\ 8t)

/4

ov

,/e.gh'b,, )

Caena.a-L sL-.Ars -/c"L/ ./1* 4^.J ?,+1/e /ole rn**A' {ool g , /'4 I l/ ,.o 1^^2,),1/, :

Page 14: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

( f)nre t..u "/.$ tWc ^p/e""'Z/,o-h.( /r*/)

)4o, u'

ei@ t?O.rv C

/1o r<

s"Zbl t e.r

p-CheMt 'otr 4.t-r

- eceryna.

//Ws d"#

na&(ur,

,r*' /'fl, (ar-,/2 e@lwe

-*-/ta

&

uftrG

Fr

t4 a

o/,**f ..t,L d_h,, t

t+ 'y'/" /e"n./ a, &aa*elwttoor c

/qcc -A>,1-4A a;,

g:S ;,/+ l4oaotr*a

,rr*-r-/

/awLn ia fuu

a,

raoulj

fiA

&r 4@'t?;*Q 1"

,h// Jln

I*%^tr",,ff6'3,ateourajfe / /A,* eacJra -

Uto-*r)C "

,e^/ola il--

r

/e% wI

l/44e€ Z't*jq'.44fe ;

/?6o c *" /

0m rr*rrtu'a,l1bnt

&ea

t/"r

LJ A4f ra

Page 15: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

b-ee.r V,"-'dJ/c clft2

*-) 'r ,//. /*/*/,'/'o'rf r-/ ?r Qr'e2a"*+t2 an'x>t

oecals -A) --';L[-o/ / 1/r-e+-,11'"'r^7n"uultt) //e ar//on"b-a' rQtmet ,W ffia--l,/ .(ak- rybJ*-/ ^4 Lnp - /

';^,dx{{MqWt#/ena/s ,/ Joo*a-b /uu&^n"'a-t c

-/&n t .*^antaz a-hl { tfuh'l .a /le

€ ao,vo,^'e- e-*";f i*&"*- #:/"o.e;/'-^

'ft: a

fn*nn^tJ. )

Page 16: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

' /t, . rtort - aentn rn, b / ae t n7h er, //€ ,&'l o,nt Je-Aree4a ,4,CLrJ *./ e-o/,u'/e'. r. Prtun"**A

^ t) r' | , /

k^da/ h

,Ct

rte ,*/b*t orLuno/^tr /.o,.q'{/, YI /ea@et'ce'/' 7o

,4a'r uar oqo';i/-' ;-/A)'*-''oty'*- ( ) P '?t'r., a- Jyaler/o h'/o,/ ""1'o,*t 7o/'1""{n^a'aL'te'

,t, t ! ^ J l,/ ..r r l^ f/ ar|e-s/r, ntnt,t* ***-:; **,t,f."r,rc'ff?frTV'-"ri;*tan f*LJ"{'/, olo/'/b, t "/ c.ovrr€,l /L L/r,cl o42 4'-b;n tna/'o'e/' o7**iu'Ab'' )

' n'*ll, , C/-,,ro/ /*/*' */ "rflf''^'(azlbnr ;! /;er

,'nh-'/*,e/ v,;4*27 et ;:4; ;^a^4 "n //'

/a^"- cr-/ '**'- V/'-ot )

r 4// ,a ,Z , y' ;/ aae ,no/ /. 4 /z--Pt -'4nlL [*ft-/z 't*,,J *-/ //z (7r,"/477 *:"'r/",(n-'fav 2c (..4atr zq a-' 7r

i-^-^, ,*, _-,n ,z) A ,.r, /d ,4(l ura4 Lry'no/ e//'an-h44>*'ffit 'ft"'";*71^" /* /*ry7 /'^a/Y ?",,alhu€ /-r-.r*'r15^" /* 4e^oryft A'?? r 2

ocaare/ e-^/ ref ,,e] dry'/recuf t'o'// /'n-'e

acoal e./ t*J& - tt'/

Page 17: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

fral (4) Na,, fod'aar / c*bo,eJ ez'/,,'r '

' ryar^^n ar*A *-Ao- )4 & aaoo/g l1+P2 /t 'hA' ei' --^-/ A-"< -luo:n,'n*A, L- "4

o"/'{ns ^40 rr uf" -;E; &ro,'n4,4 "4 nol{ns J{s?ver1,*dfr o"/ ''"-"*-A-:;' e*hn"*-'/ h -4"//*:-t't

t ' / ' '^''^1 o''/ €.PrtP-' A/a+ G,tn l'' n, ,en cl a ttt h- n Fe ab"'l o* / eza

rv-Z /*na( , //oi c*'b * rloo-lil'a' Aet '-/n*e'

/l,L r#1,4/ '1 y'/*,., ry:'f-') o /a"'qn*J'al,r/cloo ::/.;

'7Lti/h a prhara ;r44a'"c4

npat leo / /' 4 n*'-'*4 Jlo': '/4'* /lLy' 'e

u(r rh'er rr*+1 . l/t/ ?e/'e -o t' h

/ no*' ietQ-' /

or Vreni,r7- e;*71 -*}.{n'4 u''^d;t' '!'irevd ,ia/./ 1/"-4 /eoc-/ "/7 /*fr:*n(e q S'v'e/ '''/e'-t€'-+t4o'

/* L*'+1 $a+ a&-p, '

hf J*rftnoL'a , lA"*qG'*) e'/ /'f'- / 4 /"'n -

/o^',rorlbn -

Zft:n '/ 47,e/

*i:rr ^ffi E ;:t r ;Y.^6:' $.X*r z,

/n Loun A'., /'/e 4.r"".:/ .fo "t'rye'( Y E"L' /, ahj /, r/ ne^l / . o/**ereo1 /^4

nlcan% , /* Ji€ur€ ''A" caan-Lo /"-t/k :/funmt/lt'7 ,r**J*n// , ooy' h-/?ur'?' h

'ry/* /i

zra4 re, d2.2 a- &;/< )/ * unL/'/t

* &*ot*3 t /,-t}e

6e,qr'a&4'a,p 4 /4* ,&'/ ttaetE /t^,/e 6" /etr

to)o^/d/":W I. bi^hn'. a''1 f,ecu--h e*/6c7e,*lba ,h eo.o72, (.ct'4 l+!K/Ln'I-( 4'/,

f3;fi66X'"';5;tV*^'l-r''t-" n /

('>) @ (-r44uAr Aiont o r

Page 18: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

e/ (;) rle fi;,^/ Ac/a,t,

"nd A/o.// O&zlpe,t/77r - e^e "/ /e.t

l^t t*a-- ' .l , o-^7 /,rn

UnCa'en.e . aa--/

.f -"a

" res

3{ Eorqh,eL/

f/. 'c rG h,fe' "r*/'4 ^ hnr/+"o'a o^. /'Qh *-, p|*+ztt aba I ^

t:l 'tQ {'k

'te'?Pn'/neel'4 I ttt hlq /e^qu io /"e /1?as

'oon oJrJ/ ,L f*^or;/i*t'vc & nn*JJth"a4 /'/* *tr oy' tu,, -4:*'7,

,;:' fr{ F ;{2 /"e" f, " {i i. * t:> larr. *1" dos,(ce ,,2/ //n/Ti'/"e

::= r-*' n'o (

" f' "7

"'ffii'"/tu nn-,,'

- ffi - i{.Zf ";1Ei *"/ #Y: :tr";,ZT /'6a*A'q/ oal

lo^lF e of

'l^l*hA{nt ' )

ol (,',)'+,,, !.i'# '#4:,

' ' fu'utv-o J' (o'e -z!)>ffi

thod, d ( i rro -el)t :^f,'*SJ''rtfr:!1Itu4.

hod"d ( f rro-83)., :^L',',\)v) #"-t€s';/Hff ' e:";{

":tri; "',7 )1: o77'' r'/,te.t*;n ..i"f,;. ,rr,-. &.ie 4 u,,,br, I Llh^'2 *J:'::*n**u.has os y'.;rtatba g/'f\^!

n *-/ h d"/l1l4lsai,L' f ;'j^}o,,--,, tPrfech-, ."/+4a1'on /4 *:i

' 1T J^o ca b'n;1 -

pu A'cu /a4' v'b lo'l; * -'#o re /'a fr' ;1

-u{r. )

Page 19: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

ad (,.) '/ui Orlov *,/ o/*. f,-r''e/ *,r*'/e-"'Ls

tl^.,/ ,//e /'"/, t'"/ f f 'Lru /7+4' o/,'J ,,/ t) ,4 /t"'" 1 fi "4e/ 2ze

r/n-u/e- '?/ 44ouq "/l ao *+VnuJ /e *-'n'1-c/--"la /++ f"/f cY'l: /n'V7e/'

/ee s in ./h 'a'n'1'a1 fl e te oPst,, t f I Y

"Jhn, per{^C c"ta r'&{a /n&* ,) la'?e-

ft^//t c /',14' e-f ta

ep4ea.

r'nc€-a J'1, o--/ 4 a*e/den

udC /r1 e-Ab*'PA'a %!oc"'e*1'ec^-;'-

f J '

,fle ezrap*^ 6-- r*,1 ^J'.4 f*/-/i;,*A/r-'/',. n.u +-/ *n : 7"* : :;.2,"7ffi 7tn 4ttze e- .r*ea'?f,'W

brn,-'#.f ;:-';';J w"?"'{"^A * 46*o-

L'ze * d 4-/*t '*-"ruT;' 2' e/Q'/s "/

nk*'*( -fr'o/u{+ o'*'4 frfq tr/ua-nah /- 'L duce //^z'* A ' '

/, ,rle Uh, a-v, kar,ho/rr"t^/ * ,fl: :h IUZL i;, ";"Lh;;^;;a./ /n r/, -lt,ons A'//tt>,/ ' D.or,'t{ J/J he e-#a"'ndtrrc *uH /<'ir* fh kun ln.et' T",t*, o/ ff's ,ro/*r1'oa J/- t

^* n'&*1 4,- M /-// ?r"n'4s-'/ ,frta4r;) /^'; *;#; 4;kg /'/Z hun'4s-'/ ,rfrn'l

lfu /r--' 'J;; ;;/*ay r@ea! /- Jl ''o')

fro^ 4* ah /?fQc ' /tre 0's . ^l-l'at a'ront/ hcaar(,'ua/r, FrLLh /*,a:fi'- k4" ''^ 6"y'1

b rn rruJ t) ' *-l 2,'o4 - te *a m? *' tl 4 '.yo hf &f tr,

guiT*/a /,'a'4 '* ;om"--/ma-/ on'A +4t holUn/f +k- lt^J'o,"ol €i'J'oa'tvt4'* ^f ' ?eec'#, '

f"r ,if a-'/t tu f,*,i *-o( &lJ :d:y^;r rt7 */, fu &,r/*." *-a/ f-ra7*-, o4o*'#J".hbns /r/r4 J. //. .CJ h,ry'/on '/ t{,o rcJ '6c'42 /)

T{,;^J; 6, f-frry t^'^*- 'fo cn'J

->>

^r(":7: :,rr,*f/Ar,a Ct'zn a$reaa\-/

Page 20: Samuel P. Huntigton - The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Part 1)

'/o .4e 4L r,/ aatVl 2 4L U*;/e1 t;h-/-u pr'e-! ,,ne--* ut./a ' ",zi)'efi ./ rneutr - lpe l'A'*t ) €oene r-,i (2 )p h "-"/z) .

a/, 44r-r,! f:Jh ila.on1'eo--r1bo. rTV 'hJ'-/"/ //. ?'r,FA;(/) t4"4 " fa"r6o'€J 4 -^4,o"aA ?aJrbi ea4

7@Hf'A"rrY ;;4";,0 ol"ra '"/ "12-e *7 d/;

L)- s. 6/or*tb''*7t'1, d" ':/ fr^e-';t /-

free ltn.Te , oll JtnJ'a t^'lai ;L.

(z) c-'-,*"-'-, /'fsri'e'., f',f ^T =/:+:t;:*^l:

(3) t7/'"-*-/,7 e.r{bo ;tlr

aG>*,re c&'6 Z& -

(t)

(f I n-'l'fu C-.4'oa 1e q 2O tnt nt 4&.n fc7ou6 he .n ' r- ./

-

,-,oz? r)- - -^E .; -lqar ).. lhrr:W / ? fit Pe,*on*a-'' -' P r7)i,/ /r,<h olu*na.re-A rp/l+t e-/p:4* lP"ota+n 'v'

/- r'af,urq€-aa i

n/A-lJ/o,a-( l>b

'^!), i"?,lTE : ;:" "ff; ^'n''i ? /'o- 4. 1 ;

" //"--

care! ). on,/ n&f 4*,r€"-'f-;;;* dr iL/*-^'n" '-'''4

..'pe./ /- hCn' , ^'il:L*-*t y'>*'*a J,'n'rr|'rL l'oa s ;

'' 4ratrf t*'/4

^ ff ,-1-) , r I , A ^o^^,a?r ^^-l l2.*rto'*l,fu>Fo'tnooff tl - l*in,?l th f'rJ7^lt:u ivt4&tA€J t' e+tc+ 4n'-'"V/

-raan-a{ateeraA c

e- ,re-o-) e cr1 'rrrr

;:;' t-',

tk o+r€-r'aHl /u-*,<--a- /'*/'u bu' ''/,n"'qLj le oo-/A.'/ g /4L'!,'|eAr4> c,b-'-Pe 'bW ./h; 4/ 4z D./*-La-/ ./t** "), o /cn'*t 6uppe ,/ .h, Je*o.*o/" 44rees , /) J4'*p

+ lntL/r/,-^ /1* /cn,, 4to */2' , 4e;'e7 fr" /'/+-'^'+1a*/,o*t pe-z-h7^12

^,-,( /L *{* 7:f -:;: