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Sampling Techniques MS&E348 Winter 2011/2012 Professor Gerd Infanger

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Page 1: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Sampling Techniques

MS&E348 Winter 2011/2012

Professor Gerd Infanger

Page 2: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Multidimensional integration

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 2

Page 3: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 3

Page 4: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 4

Monte Carlo methods

• Monte Carlo Methods are promising for multidimensional integration • For example, determine the average height of a board:

v1

v2

Page 5: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Crude Monte-Carlo

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 5

Page 6: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 6

Page 7: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 7

Motivational example: importance sampling

v1

v2

F1 F2

F = F1 + F2

z1, assume z2 = 0

Page 8: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 8

Page 9: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9

Variance reduction techniques

• Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Page 10: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Importance sampling

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 10

Page 11: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 11

Page 12: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 12

Page 13: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

The best importance distribution

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 13

Page 14: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Additive and multiplicative approximation functions

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 14

Page 15: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Multiplicative marginal cost model

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 15

Page 16: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Variance Estimation

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 16

Page 17: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Additive marginal cost model

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 17

Page 18: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Sample size and variance

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 18

Page 19: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Control variates

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 19

Page 20: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Variance estimation

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 20

Page 21: Sampling Techniques · Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 9 . Variance reduction techniques • Stratified sampling • Importance sampling • Control variates • Antithetic variates

Approximation functions

Winter 2011/2012 MS&E348/Infanger 21