sabado 04 de junio nora

8/16/2019 Sabado 04 de Junio Nora

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Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión

0.954965

0.91195815R^2 ajustado 0.91167687Error típico 0.24776474

Obseraciones !15

"#$%&'&' (E )"R&"#*"Grados de libert a de cuadra io de los cua F

Re+resi,n 1 199.02567! 199.02567! !242.12748Residuos !1! 19.2142462 0.061!87!7

-ota !14 218.2!9919

Coefcientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

&ntercepci,n 5.5009557 0.0279865! 196.557249 0

)ariabe / 1 0.00874141 0.00015!52 56.9!96828 !.2927E1670.87

oeciente decorreaci,n m3tipe

oeciente de

determinaci,n R^2


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lor crítico de F

!.2927E167

Inerior 95 Superior 95 nerior 95!" uperior 95!"

5.44589018 5.55602122 5.44589018 5.55602122

0.0084!9!5 0.00904!47 0.0084!9!5 0.00904!47


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00287R 00!!6 00460&"

Ene90 n.d. !17.1!8950!7 n.d.

eb90 n.d. !!6.24!09017 n.d.ar90 n.d. 278.!1998887 n.d."br90 n.d. 2!5.985207 n.d.a90 n.d. 229.47874 n.d.

un90 n.d. 2!6.607482 n.d. u90 n.d. !22.06!80497 n.d."+o90 n.d. 216.01072207 n.d.'ep90 n.d. 169.94896467 n.d.Oct90 n.d. 174.7747061! n.d.#o90 n.d. 201.!28557!! n.d.

(ic90 n.d. 20!.99!789!! n.d.Ene91 104.07659047! 2!9.27614176 n.d.eb91 97.91462!1201 2!7.91022768 n.d.ar91 9!.16784209!7 2!!.42822507 n.d."br91 99.1988214!92 !0!.292!1!11 n.d.a91 116.!570!78899 288.21642!99 n.d.

un91 114.222!296997 289.54124525 n.d. u91 101.7681!18067 !5!.747792!8 n.d."+o91 92.1572856849 289.99289!78 n.d.'ep91 87.896!6048!8 !1!.55785751 n.d.Oct91 97.!469118199 !57.16054889 n.d.#o91 104.4284467492 !!!.8!4!8678 n.d.(ic91 98.50!74!211! !55.!4648754 n.d.Ene92 94.!497257844 !44.20104465 n.d.eb92 88.9002911!96 !51.64!51514 n.d.ar92 81.746764585! !!7.57212098 n.d."br92 84.871666810! 299.507668157 n.d.a92 90.9766194191 !25.!94720697 n.d.

un92 91.82949690! !09.460077!07 n.d. u92 92.9769164212 !!6.98677825 n.d."+o92 94.45809!0414 !21.51778262 n.d.

'ep92 98.564551505 !40.19241956 n.d.Oct92 107.91!0276679 !44.784612!8 n.d.#o92 108.8!11544795 !27.91607895 n.d.(ic92 105.4042821648 !62.21!11657 n.d.Ene9! 104.9894952464 26!.17716722 n.d.eb9! 106.14078!22!2 !17.226!80! n.d.ar9! 106.9068922502 !14.65195902 n.d."br9! 106.705088!062 !28.50666146 n.d.

:ndice de -ipo deambio Rea

iatera ;base2009'?=

& ;índice2007


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a9! 106.6742682151 !20.88451189 n.d. un9! 106.9840168455 !22.8!666611 n.d. u9! 106.4101551255 !25.168525!7 n.d."+o9! 105.488070!7!! !67.28604921 n.d.'ep9! 105.0!644!9804 407.0825!981 n.d.Oct9! 106.105496059! !44.5620264! n.d.

#o9! 105.92460608!6 408.87840!89 n.d.(ic9! 102.96224880!5 440.15819548 n.d.Ene94 102.0!41802608 !77.97050!45 n.d.eb94 100.6!!4750268 !57.25168798 n.d.ar94 98.5!0847!044 42!.27166869 n.d."br94 97.6717661!48 408.!5665158 n.d.a94 97.2164699274 45!.7262!608 n.d.

un94 96.67444!!5!2 407.86!76144 n.d. u94 96.!524421209 426.67821662 n.d."+o94 96.7!16447072 506.!9980!17 n.d.

'ep94 97.6161562424 491.80201966 n.d.Oct94 96.4440890544 508.46970401 n.d.#o94 9!.617240849! 57!.74!08425 n.d.(ic94 90.70!1795217 56!.67814911 n.d.Ene95 92.8552!16958 591.49144996 n.d.eb95 9!.1787261!81 525.65990848 n.d.ar95 94.002064788! 679.17214051 n.d."br95 9!.5874206267 572.!9001764 n.d.a95 92.7107!12!9! 677.19975965 n.d.

un95 91.8626411!59 6!9.9!82866! n.d. u95 90.8!590665!1 65!.78!!!722 n.d."+o95 90.5090671555 727.069!!92! n.d.'ep95 90.6!!591!742 649.85910504 n.d.Oct95 90.8691865175 650.59874464 n.d.#o95 91.886!589079 740.!890002! n.d.(ic95 91.7987298!81 625.!41!9775 n.d.Ene96 92.179!951658 628.89256799 n.d.eb96 91.!!068!8718 5!5.!1289914 n.d.ar96 90.6176411564 617.52494526 n.d."br96 90.5100122572 61!.2881849 n.d.a96 91.752569!014 748.595!6974 n.d.

un96 92.5!18749779 6!6.4905!026 n.d. u96 91.6404!26158 706.6726!758 n.d."+o96 91.755962902! 687.6151702 n.d.'ep96 92.68240!7182 6!7.78682699 n.d.Oct96 94.644078!177 7!4.6070!58! n.d.#o96 95.4718744645 665.76802478 n.d.(ic96 94.!412259416 651.65817591 n.d.Ene97 95.7119729074 720.22!69106 n.d.


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eb97 96.!9791046!9 560.54841665 n.d.ar97 95.244124278 625.17!!0284 n.d."br97 95.9948!90497 756.54900869 n.d.a97 95.!162!074!2 70!.50700552 n.d.

un97 94.12544!2485 671.!0221642 n.d. u97 9!.!266801848 719.066275!4 n.d.

"+o97 9!.!61882016! 808.78957482 n.d.'ep97 92.98!!8!002! 774.62269686 n.d.Oct97 9!.725098667! 74!.755609!4 n.d.#o97 95.6019042815 724.2089185! n.d.(ic97 94.76!24!6586 727.78982069 n.d.Ene98 95.051650!1 685.7251284! n.d.eb98 95.9164882177 670.5007!251 n.d.ar98 95.095!620742 71!.75!5842 n.d."br98 95.1!102!1417 756.8060748! n.d.a98 95.55529977! 690.16870079 n.d.

un98 97.285!2!2404 724.4276!285 n.d. u98 97.2210!7!066 698.44800!18 n.d."+o98 98.4661972057 69!.182!7548 n.d.'ep98 101.82470709!2 656.29!90876 n.d.Oct98 102.67127!1779 620.55575259 n.d.#o98 104.0770419985 616.!55!0!64 n.d.(ic98 104.8009481847 692.52277045 n.d.Ene99 108.8!6974670! 496.47!64118 n.d.eb99 11!.5505728!!2 489.!119907! n.d.ar99 112.6606242!09 554.00747054 n.d."br99 111.80!9526949 544.!8819!56 n.d.a99 110.71545929!! 516.21166!5! n.d.

un99 110.741!11211! 5!8.27294808 n.d. u99 110.278740!962 51!.60111074 n.d."+o99 111.6450525!54 567.59005544 n.d.'ep99 11!.5505460961 605.18760116 n.d.Oct99 115.6981912581 59!.85682191 n.d.#o99 115.7564681566 6!7.!7772712 n.d.(ic99 115.!2686!4!06 654.205!712 n.d.Ene00 116.107!457026 587.25826421 n.d.eb00 114.7922094517 569.5186487 n.d.

ar00 114.679818!099 618.4941041! n.d."br00 115.!57122996! 56!.549528!9 n.d.a00 116.28!!182!75 6!5.566!2!95 n.d.

un00 116.27511641!4 640.4659!747 n.d. u00 115.72!5000685 602.99650878 n.d."+o00 115.092!7!8!46 627.98655855 n.d.'ep00 115.296!187807 554.2!86!889 n.d.Oct00 115.7!69540! 711.79021821 n.d.


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#o00 116.6598!84986 640.04!24529 n.d.(ic00 116.1196985662 605.66!28!18 n.d.Ene01 116.7!77107294 591.59866!41 n.d.eb01 117.10896688! 64!.55401765 n.d.ar01 116.4958!54425 598.820!214! n.d."br01 118.74700!6025 581.265024177 n.d.

a01 120.6!9!40!959 649.819260267 n.d. un01 118.585!209448 526.965560917 n.d. u01 117.1!0585!68! 6!4.864941408 n.d."+o01 117.0927897105 6!0.15!521888 n.d.'ep01 117.4948091779 591.068049028 n.d.Oct01 116.05080455!9 615.272656514 n.d.#o01 115.7!91402697 586.895757584 n.d.(ic01 115.2466151117 554.200451554 n.d.Ene02 116.9!55477477 587.516756 n.d.eb02 118.015911475 5!2.2!027! n.d.

ar02 117.!52694!615 511.04!122 n.d."br02 116.564166726 650.979991 n.d.a02 116.82877!1785 658.8!!646 n.d.

un02 118.15!166476! 5!7.56!18 n.d. u02 120.0210229852 672.499471 n.d."+o02 121.5642288888 611.8!!721 n.d.'ep02 122.85227!514! 670.655867 n.d.Oct02 122.0426940!12 655.942689 n.d.#o02 121.456879!676 6!0.878405 n.d.(ic02 118.8927290062 672.81516 n.d.Ene0! 118.45512116!8 709.914780297 7!.222!699647eb0! 118.470602927! 61!.444!64162 71.0794!2501!ar0! 117.702796661! 705.7459198!7 74.!4272!!!79"br0! 117.0160626566 684.19265181 80.667711757a0! 117.4198045768 626.179585052 8!.222646104!

un0! 118.0256!827!7 659.469607871 80.85!7747227 u0! 118.0804516277 726.54!281096 79.207017!868"+o0! 118.816!512042 652.8156288!2 74.2120140865'ep0! 118.5608674!81 695.065410295 7!.8678!55991Oct0! 118.284!6176!2 724.817!42246 77.59891!75!5#o0! 117.7518066824 684.781594016 75.5725!88652

(ic0! 116.7471!15608 721.87860191! 78.0097!26574Ene04 116.5516!46758 692.99!258 75.91!2671626eb04 116.4680442546 656.!87817 74.0974!61472ar04 116.0645602418 768.861821 78.6!546!2251"br04 116.616122181 8!1.58!852 84.094472!95a04 117.477!6!8101 759.569101 86.5105704991

un04 116.8509!60624 826.4!54!1 8!.2874592709 u04 115.24020!1027 788.029757 82.10675157!2


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"+o04 11!.775774558 898.!64601 77.51462!1577'ep04 112.7257700989 854.099!2 77.4025940699Oct04 112.1118924921 85!.765054 79.6!24554116#o04 111.48!902659 905.!0776! 82.71956!7755(ic04 110.1092008678 969.!78205 85.650!02!424Ene05 109.7984117596 917.979251 79.979161!4!7

eb05 110.!7!4514951 806.797617 80.1!4460157!ar05 110.5!4490957 9!5.096576 81.!9641!2412"br05 111.0994!95762 1056.667!4! 87.07!4472979a05 110.7408077295 99!.648561 92.141455!919

un05 110.4!4!776!9! 956.1!6976 88.45577!276 u05 110.8052782784 1046.724811 87.276600902!"+o05 111.7541706461 1092.!95784 82.98948!!726'ep05 114.9708916876 1022.!9429! 82.0878667862Oct05 117.58!7596512 1089.705114 84.8027241979#o05 116.!9746!54!4 111!.658071 90.4951179011

(ic05 117.0909076177 1050.404!94 91.5459269782Ene06 116.!!4!860997 1069.649609 85.6590427599eb06 112.!607174782 1027.01887 84.628522!502ar06 114.1990479871 128!.817608 91.22869!1254"br06 114.!18720!58 111!.051012 91.7780026509a06 11!.6762!14289 125!.409968 97.761906647!

un06 11!.5!10199041 126!.142218 95.072900107 u06 11!.!28564!!66 1195.581!95 92.96160041!9"+o06 11!.0886455866 1249.872!75 91.55476!016'ep06 112.967647!!11 1225.122!54 88.769!298777Oct06 111.9504247589 1401.400576 92.1822069582#o06 111.5684614511 1!!6.52!167 94.7874215284(ic06 111.1240140629 1425.49294! 99.418!590716Ene07 111.0070949911 14!8.08! 89.948891875eb07 111.2!54980559 1!65.!77 88.6754172656ar07 111.69!8605845 1404.756 96.716680786"br07 111.9614514!74 1471.969 96.6!584!9215a07 111.7145269722 1485.147 104.74475!291!

un07 111.501918!126 15!!.249 101.2558606625 u07 110.6208071087 1759.12! 102.5!47!18114"+o07 110.1718!5698 1819.265 100.11!9504626

'ep07 109.0!08!41512 1710.448 100.22594!7165Oct07 104.8891!66002 20!4.678 10!.1548291615#o07 104.7!67890466 1771.!1! 104.1106572267(ic07 10!.49220501!4 1797.112 111.8824!9819!Ene08 102.7158!04902 2188.649 98.514977!292eb08 100.5!7!525625 1881.611 100.709860257!ar08 97.096205012 2196.167 104.115!07520!"br08 95.!46658171! 2!09.88! 110.287664!707


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a08 97.772805769 2480.625 112.12091!7267 un08 101.045!706!65 2762.444 112.21160996!7 u08 99.5060502284 2760.262 112.!205160165"+o08 100.0449190195 2469.462 108.9222926295'ep08 101.8686857488 2747.77 110.7250682487Oct08 10!.919!7484!6 2694.622 111.64104!579

#o08 102.1678201088 20!6.!26 110.6550012466(ic08 101.461!854411 1921.!65 117.49!52!4821Ene09 10!.016!5!1169 1772.252171 10!.01!1019771eb09 106.40085!0065 1540.958842 101.0198657582ar09 104.261909422! 1570.20896 107.1215468426"br09 101.5481!9685 167!.794195 108.8080829186a09 98.8807862549 1486.26612! 114.2246478617

un09 99.950528!26! 1666.595754 108.8876271!4! u09 100.!!965916!7 1749.415622 110.7177412267"+o09 98.7012926721 17!8.205947 109.7955!860!!

'ep09 97.479!646221 1842.590807 110.86582898Oct09 96.184884655 1950.61!251 112.9559975949#o09 96.7879!00504 2014.115!48 11!.6242052999(ic09 96.0774502102 2005.670556 122.42557721!1Ene10 95.4190621612 2074.570715 106.15!0256!9!eb10 95.05!588!701 187!.81!054 106.146!228279ar10 94.686664241 2!87.4256!5 115.8!!7!17299"br10 94.84602824!5 2227.928462 117.4845252727a10 94.8827112149 2088.208512 12!.0289025922

un10 94.!05!40146! 2294.014928 12!.1627057!99 u10 9!.4786986571 25!8.805262 121.8944258882"+o10 92.6694441!!8 2578.924988 119.60786048!!'ep10 92.!76092749! 2697.525481 122.292!1724Oct10 92.6502200076 266!.!82418 12!.8!509!5989#o10 9!.1506827847 2704.5!0841 12!.7610846897(ic10 9!.4791691601 2686.18917 1!2.1020001411Ene11 92.60791!4!29 271!.784249 116.607!510!0!eb11 92.1605271715 2582.04826 114.9492816055ar11 92.705772849 2901.99!709 125.021518!911"br11 9!.8800710176 !1!4.91642! 126.5570445669a11 92.9810176475 !2!0.4!8229 1!0.0!0006299

un11 92.4256041601 !241.59809 126.941054549! u11 91.0241!7!782 !040.922441 129.!929472042"+o11 90.9689100696 !458.446!2 127.4!6!492929'ep11 90.9514277821 !192.661569 128.!1094414!6Oct11 90.082722!557 !155.162154 129.418112541#o11 88.7!85087917 !250.1746 129.6448129444(ic11 87.9968875477 !249.!75556 14!.601!58!!28Ene12 88.!554718!02 !285.080152 122.8225900887


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eb12 88.1569886778 2861.154786 122.917522!071ar12 87.7!985!7479 !!78.420809 1!2.1!0558417!"br12 87.08168!!007 !188.97!591 1!0.1582168021a12 87.!460482188 !554.5!0094 1!8.8076698441

un12 87.2925480199 !2!0.!62951 1!6.276188454 u12 85.91!2658851 !717.!574!7 1!8.5505987402

"+o12 85.!!22899722 !790.516065 1!6.1860!!978!'ep12 84.8210107215 !482.645289 1!6.75100066Oct12 84.4!07662251 !760.740804 1!8.7!!9087161#o12 84.50492!8587 !589.!!5892 1!7.252468!787(ic12 8!.0!!2272!55 !178.81927 148.240007751Ene1! 82.697!!77804 !944.0!649! 1!0.4509291422eb1! 84.!0224!19! !175.049568 128.68!6682685ar1! 84.2802!9!279 !275.682095 1!5.9!6908!48"br1! 84.0956811254 !514.591854 141.4059897021a1! 85.600!7!5914 !797.288927 144.6592276029

un1! 88.9188621189 !202.70725 144.4801765526 u1! 89.409!552626 !760.469!14 145.4061782425"+o1! 89.8!591!225 !945.285051 14!.6515228112'ep1! 89.0997816821 !424.067778 14!.2258967001Oct1! 88.5!411!8291 !782.648044 147.68!2110!97#o1! 89.47404!255! !!88.11!687 148.0181998606(ic1! 88.907280!!82 !146.244654 158.4182605721Ene14 89.7125401679 !845.0089!9 1!5.8!98845727eb14 89.6249789769 2969.92!897 1!5.6968256608ar14 89.5!68172476 !!70.547117 14!.9462477189"br14 89.097!!8!!4 !570.!56747 145.468691400!a14 88.9715758906 !486.425295 148.41102018!

un14 89.22748!!102 !!06.79!74 144.875529!807 u14 88.549051!98 !561.591514 148.1665644952"+o14 89.!78164788! !647.0!4267 145.6952210771'ep14 90.8720224209 !!74.788!58 147.4!672!8516Oct14 91.628754!65 !555.287862 150.9261!!1806#o14 91.868088406 !255.5!5015 147.7658688!15(ic14 92.27!497!828 !098.857799 160.2201!66!98Ene15 9!.0460769058 !254.87!566 1!7.8910668297eb15 95.4!0!5294!9 2762.680249 1!7.2!01997908

ar15 95.676992176 !2!8.86272! 148.0!4!211541"br15 96.!718127516 !0!1.075815 151.5201889625a15 97.260970082 !021.505666 150.20679!5272

un15 97.6114769788 !291.5227!9 150.742988!206 u15 97.7951!56107 !166.7!8417 15!.4561108477"+o15 99.0!60909414 !161.!87097 149.6581!10904'ep15 98.2519991177 !116.686216 152.464!161!49Oct15 98.9745740972 !112.214622 156.1028995487


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#o15 101.1015608742 !224.47!654 15!.82426945!6(ic15 101.6925951724 !00!.16096! 170.45820!!711Ene16 10!.1224529881 2980.2!7242 142.6094127708eb16 105.08!5296585 2576.101606 145.7115275975ar16 101.960!76!648 2801.5524!4 15!.5411970781"br16 98.9797814!27 n.d. n.d.

a16 n.d. n.d. n.d.


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@"%%"#(O %n

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5.759!400071 1

5.8178!4!81 25.6287714909 !5.46!7691209 4

5.4!5810!89 55.466402574 65.774749678 7

5.!75!280457 85.1!54981842 9

5.16!497751 105.!049!81871 11

5.!180895489 125.4776182898 1!5.47189!4079 145.4528746426 155.7146970702 165.66!7116701 175.6682977575 185.868584208! 195.6698564185 205.74798!8965 215.878185!975 22

5.810645022 2!5.87!09!!!47 245.8412259188 255.862617921! 265.821779179! 275.7021400204 285.7850!89706 295.7!48290929 !05.82004!6959 !15.77!05285!6 !2

5.829511!974 !!5.8429199101 !45.7927577188 !55.8922!27584 !6

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5.7710812824 415.7771465176 425.784!4!5875 4!5.9061409701 446.0090159654 455.8422741219 46

6.01!4178108 476.0871!41975 485.9!48161594 495.8784405417 506.0480142157 516.0121409!86 526.1174940119 5!6.0109!!2006 546.0560!01!81 556.227!264821 56

6.1980762!64 576.2!14056!46 586.!521817077 59

6.!!448!4!1 606.!826472285 616.2646544418 626.5208746161 6!

6.!49820608 646.517966295! 656.461!717446 666.4827760079 676.5890218502 686.4767555779 696.47789!0845 706.6071757241 71

6.4!82977!7 726.44!960444 7!

6.2828514!41 746.4257194649 756.4188!49476 766.6181986102 77

6.4559695401 786.5605675284 796.5!!229!!58 806.4580041005 816.599!!57111 826.5009412987 8!6.4795201544 846.5795618458 85


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6.6117124988 946.585079912! 956.5900122987 96

6.5!047686 976.5080247952 986.5705!77826 996.6291070447 1006.5!69!60616 101

6.585!818711 1026.5488607!52 10!6.54129!1!26 1046.486608720! 1056.4!06154517 1066.42!82!5889 107

6.540!41119 1086.2075!0!928 1096.19!000!0!9 1106.!171781714 1116.29966258!5 112

6.246516882 11!6.288!657699 114

6.241446915 1156.!41!994248 1166.4055!84945 1176.!866!82498 118

6.457!62458 1196.48!421!254 1206.!754646962 1216.!447915281 122

6.427287659! 12!6.!!425522!8 1246.4545164502 1256.4621959!88 126

6.401911407 1276.4425187627 1286.!17595!501 1296.56778!2!07 1!0


14/72

6.4615!57448 1!16.406!2419!! 1!26.!828284716 1!!

6.467005967 1!46.!949615889 1!56.!652068046 1!6

6.47669426!1 1!76.2671!51971 1!86.45!4122856 1!96.44596!4752 140

6.!819!115! 1416.42206551!5 142

6.!74847219 14!6.!175264472 1446.!759047665 1456.2770762!97 146

6.2!645!9741 1476.4784789059 1486.4904710686 1496.287046297! 1506.511001!249 1516.4164605479 1526.5082561!95 15!6.48607!4208 1546.44711!1419 1556.5114706411 1566.5651449!51 1576.4190895741 1586.5592552858 1596.5282!95!27 160

6.4!96!7207 1616.4914!58875 162

6.588298056 16!6.4812947446 1646.5440059567 1656.5859196814 1666.5290999466 167

6.58185698!4 1686.5410202704 1696.4867517987 1706.6449112668 1716.72!!!21!78 1726.6!2751!001 17!6.7171217908 1746.6695!58518 175


15/72

6.8005760004 1766.7500474868 1776.74965604!5 1786.8082749555 1796.8766548402 180

6.822174788 181

6.69!0728524 1826.84064981!8 18!6.962875218! 1846.901!8!58!8 1856.86290118!1 1866.95!421!406 1876.9961285!02 1886.9299025016 189

6.99!662401 1907.0154054!5! 191

6.9569!05061 1926.9750864056 19!6.9!441558!7 1947.15759!424! 1957.01486018!1 1967.1!!62!0905 1977.141!57719! 1987.086!878691 1997.1!07967251 2007.1107959988 201

7.245227427 2027.1978268695 20!7.2622729578 2047.2710662557 205

7.21918586 2067.2476189012 2077.294!562!9! 2087.!0!2690!62 2097.!!5144292! 2107.4725706684 2117.506187852! 212

7.44451060!5 21!7.6180928544 2147.479476!585 2157.49!9!62109 2167.6910!97!75 2177.5!988!60!8 2187.6944688471 2197.7449521529 220


16/72

7.81626582!5 2217.92!8710741 2227.92!0808817 22!7.8117555921 2247.9185449526 2257.89901!21!8 226

7.6189024827 2277.5607911499 2287.4800064297 2297.!40160126! 2!0

7.!5896!985 2!17.422848!014 2!27.!040222961 2!!7.4185!8!542 2!47.4670!70809 2!57.4606087954 2!6

7.5189279075 2!77.5758990898 2!87.6079!5!447 2!97.60!7!!7257 2407.6!75095269 2417.5!57!07001 2427.7779709242 24!7.7088274919 2447.6440618061 2457.7!80588051 2467.8!94488801 2477.8551279198 2487.90009014!2 2497.887!521797 2507.90268!7!48 2517.8958788027 2527.906099!417 25!7.856!!82622 2547.97!15!2656 2558.050!5779!4 2568.080!7!0816 257

8.08!8217248 2588.0199161829 2598.1485747267 2608.0686101956 2618.0567951695 262

8.08646!997 26!8.0862181202 264

8.097146!! 265


17/72

7.95898059!6 2668.12516!66! 267

8.067454!857 2688.1759781518 2698.080!497786 2708.220768!284 271

8.24025745!7 2728.1555474245 27!8.2!2!712!9! 2748.1857224761 2758.0642651081 2768.2799599685 2778.06!07852!2 2788.094281!997 279

8.164678682 2808.2420426508 281

8.0717517467 2828.2!22990461 28!8.2802764869 284

8.1!85845!2 2858.2!81795841 286

8.128028611 2878.05!964847! 2888.2545!12068 2897.9962916076 2908.1228!0!594 2918.1804207989 2928.1566!22195 29!8.10!7!4!40! 2948.1779627784 2958.2016695867 2968.1240878926 2978.176191!128 2988.088111908! 2998.0!87888706 !008.0879087109 !017.92!9565922 !02

8.0829775!57 !0!8.0166728899 !04

8.01!510551 !058.099105575! !068.0604574467 !07

8.058766165 !088.0445256061 !098.04!0898489 !10


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8.0785250078 !118.007420667! !127.9997581877 !1!7.8540!25298 !147.9!792898!2 !15


19/72

00287R 00!!6 00460&"

Ene90 n.d. !17.1!895 n.d. an0!eb90 n.d. !!6.24!09 n.d.ar90 n.d. 278.!19989 n.d."br90 n.d. 2!5.985207 n.d.a90 n.d. 229.47874 n.d.

un90 n.d. 2!6.607482 n.d. u90 n.d. !22.06!805 n.d."+o90 n.d. 216.010722 n.d.

'ep90 n.d. 169.948965 n.d.Oct90 n.d. 174.774706 n.d.#o90 n.d. 201.!28557 n.d.(ic90 n.d. 20!.99!789 n.d.Ene91 104.07659 2!9.276142 n.d.eb91 97.91462!1 2!7.910228 n.d.ar91 9!.1678421 2!!.428225 n.d."br91 99.1988214 !0!.292!1! n.d.a91 116.!570!8 288.216424 n.d.

un91 114.222!! 289.541245 n.d.

u91 101.7681!2 !5!.747792 n.d."+o91 92.1572857 289.992894 n.d.'ep91 87.896!605 !1!.557858 n.d.Oct91 97.!469118 !57.160549 n.d.#o91 104.428447 !!!.8!4!87 n.d.(ic91 98.50!74!2 !55.!46488 n.d.Ene92 94.!497258 !44.201045 n.d.eb92 88.9002911 !51.64!515 n.d.ar92 81.7467646 !!7.572121 n.d."br92 84.8716668 299.507668 n.d.a92 90.9766194 !25.!94721 n.d.

un92 91.8294969 !09.460077 n.d. u92 92.9769164 !!6.986778 n.d."+o92 94.45809! !21.51778! n.d.'ep92 98.5645515 !40.19242 n.d.Oct92 107.91!028 !44.784612 n.d.#o92 108.8!1154 !27.916079 n.d.(ic92 105.404282 !62.21!117 n.d.Ene9! 104.989495 26!.177167 n.d.eb9! 106.14078! !17.226!8 n.d.ar9! 106.906892 !14.651959 n.d."br9! 106.705088 !28.506661 n.d.

:ndice de -ipo deambio Reaiatera;base2009'?=

& ;índice2007


20/72

a9! 106.674268 !20.884512 n.d. un9! 106.984017 !22.8!6666 n.d. u9! 106.410155 !25.168525 n.d."+o9! 105.48807 !67.286049 n.d.'ep9! 105.0!6444 407.08254 n.d.Oct9! 106.105496 !44.562026 n.d.

#o9! 105.924606 408.878404 n.d.(ic9! 102.962249 440.158195 n.d.Ene94 102.0!418 !77.97050! n.d.eb94 100.6!!475 !57.251688 n.d.ar94 98.5!0847! 42!.271669 n.d."br94 97.6717661 408.!56652 n.d.a94 97.2164699 45!.7262!6 n.d.

un94 96.67444!4 407.86!761 n.d. u94 96.!524421 426.678217 n.d."+o94 96.7!16447 506.!9980! n.d.

'ep94 97.6161562 491.80202 n.d.Oct94 96.4440891 508.469704 n.d.#o94 9!.6172408 57!.74!084 n.d.(ic94 90.70!1795 56!.678149 n.d.Ene95 92.8552!17 591.49145 n.d.eb95 9!.1787261 525.659908 n.d.ar95 94.0020648 679.172141 n.d."br95 9!.5874206 572.!90018 n.d.a95 92.7107!12 677.19976 n.d.

un95 91.8626411 6!9.9!8287 n.d.

u95 90.8!59067 65!.78!!!7 n.d."+o95 90.5090672 727.069!!9 n.d.'ep95 90.6!!5914 649.859105 n.d.Oct95 90.8691865 650.598745 n.d.#o95 91.886!589 740.!89 n.d.(ic95 91.7987298 625.!41!98 n.d.Ene96 92.179!952 628.892568 n.d.eb96 91.!!068!9 5!5.!12899 n.d.ar96 90.6176412 617.524945 n.d."br96 90.510012! 61!.288185 n.d.a96 91.752569! 748.595!7 n.d.

un96 92.5!1875 6!6.4905! n.d. u96 91.6404!26 706.6726!8 n.d."+o96 91.7559629 687.61517 n.d.'ep96 92.68240!7 6!7.786827 n.d.Oct96 94.644078! 7!4.6070!6 n.d.#o96 95.4718745 665.768025 n.d.(ic96 94.!412259 651.658176 n.d.Ene97 95.7119729 720.22!691 n.d.eb97 96.!979105 560.548417 n.d.ar97 95.244124! 625.17!!0! n.d."br97 95.9948!9 756.549009 n.d.


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a97 95.!162!07 70!.507006 n.d. un97 94.12544!2 671.!02216 n.d. u97 9!.!266802 719.066275 n.d."+o97 9!.!61882 808.789575 n.d.'ep97 92.98!!8! 774.622697 n.d.Oct97 9!.7250987 74!.755609 n.d.

#o97 95.601904! 724.208919 n.d.(ic97 94.76!24!7 727.789821 n.d.Ene98 95.051650! 685.725128 n.d.eb98 95.9164882 670.5007!! n.d.ar98 95.095!621 71!.75!584 n.d."br98 95.1!102!1 756.806075 n.d.a98 95.5552998 690.168701 n.d.

un98 97.285!2!2 724.4276!! n.d. u98 97.2210!7! 698.44800! n.d."+o98 98.4661972 69!.182!75 n.d.

'ep98 101.824707 656.29!909 n.d.Oct98 102.67127! 620.55575! n.d.#o98 104.077042 616.!55!04 n.d.(ic98 104.800948 692.52277 n.d.Ene99 108.8!6975 496.47!641 n.d.eb99 11!.55057! 489.!11991 n.d.ar99 112.660624 554.007471 n.d."br99 111.80!95! 544.!88194 n.d.a99 110.715459 516.211664 n.d.

un99 110.741!11 5!8.272948 n.d.

u99 110.27874 51!.601111 n.d."+o99 111.64505! 567.590055 n.d.'ep99 11!.550546 605.187601 n.d.Oct99 115.698191 59!.856822 n.d.#o99 115.756468 6!7.!77727 n.d.(ic99 115.!2686! 654.205!71 n.d.Ene00 116.107!46 587.258264 n.d.eb00 114.792209 569.518649 n.d.ar00 114.679818 618.494104 n.d."br00 115.!5712! 56!.549528 n.d.a00 116.28!!18 6!5.566!24 n.d.

un00 116.275116 640.4659!7 n.d. u00 115.72!5 602.996509 n.d."+o00 115.092!74 627.986559 n.d.'ep00 115.296!19 554.2!86!9 n.d.Oct00 115.7!6954 711.790218 n.d.#o00 116.6598!8 640.04!245 n.d.(ic00 116.119699 605.66!28! n.d.Ene01 116.7!7711 591.59866! n.d.eb01 117.108967 64!.554018 n.d.ar01 116.4958!5 598.820!21 n.d."br01 118.747004 581.265024 n.d.


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a01 120.6!9!4 649.81926 n.d. un01 118.585!21 526.965561 n.d. u01 117.1!0585 6!4.864941 n.d."+o01 117.09279 6!0.15!522 n.d.'ep01 117.494809 591.068049 n.d.Oct01 116.050805 615.272657 n.d.

#o01 115.7!914 586.895758 n.d.(ic01 115.246615 554.200452 n.d.Ene02 116.9!5548 587.516756 n.d.eb02 118.015911 5!2.2!027! n.d.ar02 117.!52694 511.04!122 n.d."br02 116.564167 650.979991 n.d.a02 116.82877! 658.8!!646 n.d.

un02 118.15!166 5!7.56!18 n.d. u02 120.02102! 672.499471 n.d."+o02 121.564229 611.8!!721 n.d.

'ep02 122.852274 670.655867 n.d.Oct02 122.042694 655.942689 n.d.#o02 121.456879 6!0.878405 n.d.(ic02 118.892729 672.81516 n.d.Ene0! 118.455121 709.91478 7!.222!7eb0! 118.47060! 61!.444!64 71.0794!25ar0! 117.702797 705.74592 74.!4272!!"br0! 117.01606! 684.192652 80.6677118a0! 117.419805 626.179585 8!.2226461

un0! 118.0256!8 659.469608 80.85!7747

u0! 118.080452 726.54!281 79.2070174"+o0! 118.816!51 652.815629 74.2120141'ep0! 118.560867 695.06541 7!.8678!56

Oct0! 118.284!62 724.817!42 77.59891!8

#o0! 117.751807 684.781594 75.5725!89(ic0! 116.7471!2 721.878602 78.0097!27Ene04 116.5516!5 692.99!258 75.91!2672

eb04 116.468044 656.!87817 74.0974!61ar04 116.06456 768.861821 78.6!546!2

"br04 116.616122 8!1.58!852 84.0944724a04 117.477!64 759.569101 86.5105705

un04 116.8509!6 826.4!54!1 8!.287459! u04 115.24020! 788.029757 82.1067516

"+o04 11!.775775 898.!64601 77.51462!2

'ep04 112.72577 854.099!2 77.4025941Oct04 112.111892 85!.765054 79.6!24554#o04 111.48!90! 905.!0776! 82.71956!8

(ic04 110.109201 969.!78205 85.650!02!Ene05 109.798412 917.979251 79.979161!eb05 110.!7!451 806.797617 80.1!44602


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24/72

ar09 104.261909 1570.20896 107.121547"br09 101.54814 167!.7942 108.80808!a09 98.880786! 1486.26612 114.224648

un09 99.950528! 1666.59575 108.887627 u09 100.!!9659 1749.41562 110.717741"+o09 98.7012927 17!8.20595 109.7955!9

'ep09 97.479!646 1842.59081 110.865829Oct09 96.1848847 1950.61!25 112.955998#o09 96.7879!01 2014.115!5 11!.624205(ic09 96.0774502 2005.67056 122.425577Ene10 95.4190622 2074.57072 106.15!026eb10 95.05!5884 187!.81!05 106.146!2!ar10 94.6866642 2!87.42564 115.8!!7!2"br10 94.8460282 2227.92846 117.484525a10 94.8827112 2088.20851 12!.02890!

un10 94.!05!401 2294.0149! 12!.162706

u10 9!.4786987 25!8.80526 121.894426"+o10 92.6694441 2578.92499 119.60786'ep10 92.!760927 2697.52548 122.292!17Oct10 92.65022 266!.!8242 12!.8!5094#o10 9!.1506828 2704.5!084 12!.761085(ic10 9!.4791692 2686.18917 1!2.102Ene11 92.60791!4 271!.78425 116.607!51eb11 92.1605272 2582.04826 114.949282ar11 92.7057728 2901.99!71 125.021518"br11 9!.880071 !1!4.91642 126.557045

a11 92.9810176 !2!0.4!82! 1!0.0!0006 un11 92.4256042 !241.59809 126.941055 u11 91.0241!74 !040.92244 129.!92947"+o11 90.9689101 !458.446!2 127.4!6!49'ep11 90.9514278 !192.66157 128.!10944Oct11 90.0827224 !155.16215 129.41811!#o11 88.7!85088 !250.1746 129.64481!(ic11 87.9968875 !249.!7556 14!.601!58Ene12 88.!554718 !285.08015 122.82259eb12 88.1569887 2861.15479 122.917522ar12 87.7!985!7 !!78.42081 1!2.1!0558"br12 87.08168!! !188.97!59 1!0.158217a12 87.!460482 !554.5!009 1!8.80767

un12 87.292548 !2!0.!6295 1!6.276188 u12 85.91!2659 !717.!5744 1!8.550599"+o12 85.!!229 !790.51607 1!6.1860!4'ep12 84.8210107 !482.64529 1!6.751001Oct12 84.4!07662 !760.7408 1!8.7!!909#o12 84.50492!9 !589.!!589 1!7.252468(ic12 8!.0!!2272 !178.81927 148.240008Ene1! 82.697!!78 !944.0!649 1!0.450929eb1! 84.!0224!2 !175.04957 128.68!668


25/72

ar1! 84.2802!9! !275.6821 1!5.9!6908"br1! 84.0956811 !514.59185 141.40599a1! 85.600!7!6 !797.2889! 144.659228

un1! 88.9188621 !202.70725 144.480177 u1! 89.409!55! !760.469!1 145.406178"+o1! 89.8!591!2 !945.28505 14!.65152!

'ep1! 89.0997817 !424.06778 14!.225897Oct1! 88.5!411!8 !782.64804 147.68!211#o1! 89.47404!! !!88.11!69 148.0182(ic1! 88.907280! !146.24465 158.418261Ene14 89.7125402 !845.00894 1!5.8!9885eb14 89.624979 2969.92!9 1!5.696826ar14 89.5!68172 !!70.54712 14!.946248"br14 89.097!!8! !570.!5675 145.468691a14 88.9715759 !486.425! 148.41102

un14 89.22748!! !!06.79!74 144.875529

u14 88.5490514 !561.59151 148.166564"+o14 89.!781648 !647.0!427 145.695221'ep14 90.8720224 !!74.788!6 147.4!6724Oct14 91.6287544 !555.28786 150.9261!!#o14 91.8680884 !255.5!502 147.765869(ic14 92.27!4974 !098.8578 160.2201!7Ene15 9!.0460769 !254.87!57 1!7.891067eb15 95.4!0!529 2762.68025 1!7.2!02ar15 95.6769922 !2!8.86272 148.0!4!21"br15 96.!718128 !0!1.07582 151.520189

a15 97.2609701 !021.50567 150.206794 un15 97.611477 !291.52274 150.742988 u15 97.7951!56 !166.7!842 15!.456111"+o15 99.0!60909 !161.!871 149.6581!1'ep15 98.2519991 !116.68622 152.464!16Oct15 98.9745741 !112.21462 156.1029#o15 101.101561 !224.47!65 15!.824269(ic15 101.692595 !00!.16096 170.45820!Ene16 10!.12245! 2980.2!724 142.60941!eb16 105.08!5! 2576.10161 145.711528ar16 101.960!76 2801.5524! 15!.541197"br16 98.9797814 n.d. n.d.a16 n.d. n.d. n.d.


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%n&


27/72

4.5825!49986 414.55464!9669 424.5!21865091 4!4.5169!72962 444.4860412061 454.52!7671288 46

4.5516!67162 474.599!!67955 484.499241641 49

4.4849827062 504.571785888 51

4.5709497275 524.6515264696 5!4.6176505874 544.6!02015881 554.606!090419 56

4.6074270745 574.6!62!1055! 584.645454!45! 594.7174486756 604.5902085907 614.61224!7121 624.6454990111 6!4.70!0920829 644.7195778758 654.720!8646!! 66

4.721!565!44 674.6906!4716! 684.7070502662 694.715288756! 704.706417264! 714.766!8!2128 724.6!485618!8 7!4.615!171882 744.67!9641416 754.68958562!2 764.7!81671046 774.690!164067 784.7069840909 794.6986198962 804.708!20722! 814.726998!411 824.7!28965584 8!4.80750!!124 844.6648816912 854.664818546! 864.7521558157 874.766!066251 88


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29/72

4.999985588 1!74.9758749557 1!84.998!!70767 1!94.9815169129 1404.99!!990929 1415.0167905!29 142

4.99562905!8 14!5.07654872!6 1444.9264640026 1454.9216598062 1464.9974441466 1475.0207188765 1485.0120129682 1495.015576!226 1505.0!!41460!! 1515.008!5!5669 152

5.0269!05761 15!5.050515402! 1545.0!581084!4 1555.1!84901252 1564.960109514 157

4.9816288288 1585.0!!9689159 159

Resumen


0.97742151

0.955!5281

R^2 ajustado 0.9550684!Error típico 0.0488806Obseraciones 159

"#$%&'&' (E )"R&"#*"Grados de libert a de cuadra io de los cua F

Re+resi,n 1 8.02679922 8.02679922 !!59.45859Residuos 157 0.!7512219 0.002!89!1

-ota 158 8.40192142


&ntercepci,n 4.!2050522 0.00778968 554.644546 2.2585E260

)ariabe / 1 0.00489525 8.4458E005 57.9608!67 6.6!64E1080.49

oeciente decorreaci,n m3tipe

oeciente dedeterminaci,n R^2


30/72


31/72


32/72


33/72


34/72


35/72


36/72

lor crítico de F

6.6!64E108


4.!051191! 4.!!5891!2 4.!051191! 4.!!5891!2

0.0047284! 0.00506207 0.0047284! 0.00506207


37/72


38/72


39/72


40/72

00287R 00!!6 00460&"

Ene90 n.d. !17.1!895 n.d.eb90 n.d. !!6.24!09 n.d.ar90 n.d. 278.!19989 n.d."br90 n.d. 2!5.985207 n.d.a90 n.d. 229.47874 n.d.

un90 n.d. 2!6.607482 n.d. u90 n.d. !22.06!805 n.d."+o90 n.d. 216.010722 n.d.

'ep90 n.d. 169.948965 n.d.Oct90 n.d. 174.774706 n.d.#o90 n.d. 201.!28557 n.d.(ic90 n.d. 20!.99!789 n.d.Ene91 104.07659 2!9.276142 n.d.eb91 97.91462!1 2!7.910228 n.d.ar91 9!.1678421 2!!.428225 n.d."br91 99.1988214 !0!.292!1! n.d.a91 116.!570!8 288.216424 n.d.

un91 114.222!! 289.541245 n.d.

u91 101.7681!2 !5!.747792 n.d."+o91 92.1572857 289.992894 n.d.'ep91 87.896!605 !1!.557858 n.d.Oct91 97.!469118 !57.160549 n.d.#o91 104.428447 !!!.8!4!87 n.d.(ic91 98.50!74!2 !55.!46488 n.d.Ene92 94.!497258 !44.201045 n.d.eb92 88.9002911 !51.64!515 n.d.ar92 81.7467646 !!7.572121 n.d."br92 84.8716668 299.507668 n.d.a92 90.9766194 !25.!94721 n.d.

un92 91.8294969 !09.460077 n.d. u92 92.9769164 !!6.986778 n.d."+o92 94.45809! !21.51778! n.d.'ep92 98.5645515 !40.19242 n.d.Oct92 107.91!028 !44.784612 n.d.#o92 108.8!1154 !27.916079 n.d.(ic92 105.404282 !62.21!117 n.d.Ene9! 104.989495 26!.177167 n.d.eb9! 106.14078! !17.226!8 n.d.ar9! 106.906892 !14.651959 n.d."br9! 106.705088 !28.506661 n.d.


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a9! 106.674268 !20.884512 n.d. un9! 106.984017 !22.8!6666 n.d. u9! 106.410155 !25.168525 n.d."+o9! 105.48807 !67.286049 n.d.'ep9! 105.0!6444 407.08254 n.d.Oct9! 106.105496 !44.562026 n.d.

#o9! 105.924606 408.878404 n.d.(ic9! 102.962249 440.158195 n.d.Ene94 102.0!418 !77.97050! n.d.eb94 100.6!!475 !57.251688 n.d.ar94 98.5!0847! 42!.271669 n.d."br94 97.6717661 408.!56652 n.d.a94 97.2164699 45!.7262!6 n.d.

un94 96.67444!4 407.86!761 n.d. u94 96.!524421 426.678217 n.d."+o94 96.7!16447 506.!9980! n.d.

'ep94 97.6161562 491.80202 n.d.Oct94 96.4440891 508.469704 n.d.#o94 9!.6172408 57!.74!084 n.d.(ic94 90.70!1795 56!.678149 n.d.Ene95 92.8552!17 591.49145 n.d.eb95 9!.1787261 525.659908 n.d.ar95 94.0020648 679.172141 n.d."br95 9!.5874206 572.!90018 n.d.a95 92.7107!12 677.19976 n.d.

un95 91.8626411 6!9.9!8287 n.d.

u95 90.8!59067 65!.78!!!7 n.d."+o95 90.5090672 727.069!!9 n.d.'ep95 90.6!!5914 649.859105 n.d.Oct95 90.8691865 650.598745 n.d.#o95 91.886!589 740.!89 n.d.(ic95 91.7987298 625.!41!98 n.d.Ene96 92.179!952 628.892568 n.d.eb96 91.!!068!9 5!5.!12899 n.d.ar96 90.6176412 617.524945 n.d."br96 90.510012! 61!.288185 n.d.a96 91.752569! 748.595!7 n.d.

un96 92.5!1875 6!6.4905! n.d. u96 91.6404!26 706.6726!8 n.d."+o96 91.7559629 687.61517 n.d.'ep96 92.68240!7 6!7.786827 n.d.Oct96 94.644078! 7!4.6070!6 n.d.#o96 95.4718745 665.768025 n.d.(ic96 94.!412259 651.658176 n.d.Ene97 95.7119729 720.22!691 n.d.eb97 96.!979105 560.548417 n.d.ar97 95.244124! 625.17!!0! n.d."br97 95.9948!9 756.549009 n.d.


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a97 95.!162!07 70!.507006 n.d. un97 94.12544!2 671.!02216 n.d. u97 9!.!266802 719.066275 n.d."+o97 9!.!61882 808.789575 n.d.'ep97 92.98!!8! 774.622697 n.d.Oct97 9!.7250987 74!.755609 n.d.

#o97 95.601904! 724.208919 n.d.(ic97 94.76!24!7 727.789821 n.d.Ene98 95.051650! 685.725128 n.d.eb98 95.9164882 670.5007!! n.d.ar98 95.095!621 71!.75!584 n.d."br98 95.1!102!1 756.806075 n.d.a98 95.5552998 690.168701 n.d.

un98 97.285!2!2 724.4276!! n.d. u98 97.2210!7! 698.44800! n.d."+o98 98.4661972 69!.182!75 n.d.

'ep98 101.824707 656.29!909 n.d.Oct98 102.67127! 620.55575! n.d.#o98 104.077042 616.!55!04 n.d.(ic98 104.800948 692.52277 n.d.Ene99 108.8!6975 496.47!641 n.d.eb99 11!.55057! 489.!11991 n.d.ar99 112.660624 554.007471 n.d."br99 111.80!95! 544.!88194 n.d.a99 110.715459 516.211664 n.d.

un99 110.741!11 5!8.272948 n.d.

u99 110.27874 51!.601111 n.d."+o99 111.64505! 567.590055 n.d.'ep99 11!.550546 605.187601 n.d.Oct99 115.698191 59!.856822 n.d.#o99 115.756468 6!7.!77727 n.d.(ic99 115.!2686! 654.205!71 n.d.Ene00 116.107!46 587.258264 n.d.eb00 114.792209 569.518649 n.d.ar00 114.679818 618.494104 n.d."br00 115.!5712! 56!.549528 n.d.a00 116.28!!18 6!5.566!24 n.d.

un00 116.275116 640.4659!7 n.d. u00 115.72!5 602.996509 n.d."+o00 115.092!74 627.986559 n.d.'ep00 115.296!19 554.2!86!9 n.d.Oct00 115.7!6954 711.790218 n.d.#o00 116.6598!8 640.04!245 n.d.(ic00 116.119699 605.66!28! n.d.Ene01 116.7!7711 591.59866! n.d.eb01 117.108967 64!.554018 n.d.ar01 116.4958!5 598.820!21 n.d."br01 118.747004 581.265024 n.d.


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a01 120.6!9!4 649.81926 n.d. un01 118.585!21 526.965561 n.d. u01 117.1!0585 6!4.864941 n.d."+o01 117.09279 6!0.15!522 n.d.'ep01 117.494809 591.068049 n.d.Oct01 116.050805 615.272657 n.d.

#o01 115.7!914 586.895758 n.d.(ic01 115.246615 554.200452 n.d.Ene02 116.9!5548 587.516756 n.d.eb02 118.015911 5!2.2!027! n.d.ar02 117.!52694 511.04!122 n.d."br02 116.564167 650.979991 n.d.a02 116.82877! 658.8!!646 n.d.

un02 118.15!166 5!7.56!18 n.d. u02 120.02102! 672.499471 n.d."+o02 121.564229 611.8!!721 n.d.

'ep02 122.852274 670.655867 n.d.Oct02 122.042694 655.942689 n.d.#o02 121.456879 6!0.878405 n.d.(ic02 118.892729 672.81516 n.d.Ene0! 118.455121 709.91478 7!.222!7eb0! 118.47060! 61!.444!64 71.0794!25ar0! 117.702797 705.74592 74.!4272!!"br0! 117.01606! 684.192652 80.6677118a0! 117.419805 626.179585 8!.2226461

un0! 118.0256!8 659.469608 80.85!7747

u0! 118.080452 726.54!281 79.2070174"+o0! 118.816!51 652.815629 74.2120141'ep0! 118.560867 695.06541 7!.8678!56Oct0! 118.284!62 724.817!42 77.59891!8#o0! 117.751807 684.781594 75.5725!89(ic0! 116.7471!2 721.878602 78.0097!27Ene04 116.5516!5 692.99!258 75.91!2672eb04 116.468044 656.!87817 74.0974!61ar04 116.06456 768.861821 78.6!546!2"br04 116.616122 8!1.58!852 84.0944724a04 117.477!64 759.569101 86.5105705

un04 116.8509!6 826.4!54!1 8!.287459! u04 115.24020! 788.029757 82.1067516"+o04 11!.775775 898.!64601 77.51462!2'ep04 112.72577 854.099!2 77.4025941Oct04 112.111892 85!.765054 79.6!24554#o04 111.48!90! 905.!0776! 82.71956!8(ic04 110.109201 969.!78205 85.650!02!Ene05 109.798412 917.979251 79.979161!eb05 110.!7!451 806.797617 80.1!44602ar05 110.5!4491 9!5.096576 81.!9641!2"br05 111.09944 1056.667!4 87.07!447!


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%n-


48/72

4.5769401408 414.571!490796 424.5680127409 4!4.5719405951 444.58104!015 45

4.56896!4524 46

4.5!921456!6 474.5075924119 484.5!10416!19 494.5!45194!5! 504.54!!167479 514.5!88959794 524.529484229 5!

4.5202944!02 544.5090546552 554.5054500!5! 56

4.5068249101 574.5094209615 584.520552584! 594.519598461! 604.52!7!66258 614.5144868086 624.5066489088 6!4.505460477! 644.5190954898 654.52755!1795 66

4.5178725784 674.5191!24756 684.5291786!49 694.55012!!117 704.5588!16959 714.5469182727 724.561!4!!994 7!4.5684845257 744.55644!!247 754.5642944!01 764.557200108! 774.544628!95! 784.5!61060282 794.5!648!1465 804.5!24207998 814.540!660154 824.5601927!91 8!4.551!81609 84

4.5544204!1! 854.56!4778985 864.5548801994 874.5552551!24 88


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4.5597051!51 894.5776481!75 904.5769871212 914.58971!!1!7 924.62!252777 9!

4.6!15!2!619 94

4.6451!141!! 954.6520628194 964.6898511174 974.7!2248!1!! 984.724!79974! 994.7167469151 1004.70696!480! 1014.7071969518 1024.70!0111642 10!4.715!24665 104

4.7!22480778 1054.750985001 106

4.7514885718 1074.747770!874 1084.7545151572 1094.74!12!6197 1104.7421440567 1114.7480!27!!9 1124.7560296119 11!4.755959076! 114

4.75120!7257 1154.7457!50567 1164.7475054995 1174.751!199785 1184.759262!!69 1194.75462154!! 1204.7599296296 1214.76!1048422 1224.7578555251 12!4.7769952098 1244.7928054!67 1254.7756!27095 1264.76!2894267 1274.7629666949 1284.766!941554 1294.7540280655 1!04.751!!8868 1!1

4.747074!115 1!24.7616229091 1!!4.7708194584 1!44.76518!8821 1!54.7584419087 1!6


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4.760709!858 1!74.77198180!7 1!84.787666919 1!9

4.8004427559 1404.8109826052 1414.804!709!46 142

4.7995592975 14!4.7782216497 1444.7745!41645 1454.77466485!2 1464.7681627749 1474.762!1121! 148

4.765755586! 1494.7709018744 1504.771!661856 1514.7775790!!9 152

4.775426478 15!4.77!0915709 1544.7685790762 1554.760010!272 1564.758!!4!909 1574.7576169!71 1584.7541465901 1594.7588875!!5 1604.7662456666 1614.7608990718 162

4.7470186726 16!4.7!42296217 1644.7249580559 1654.7194974127 1664.71!8802097 1674.7014726085 1684.6986460641 1694.70!869629! 1704.705!276076 1714.710425652! 1724.707192405! 17!4.704421477 174

4.7077744111 1754.716!01554 176

4.7446789806 1774.7671509277 1784.7570107442 1794.762950621! 1804.75646868!1 1814.721714!877 1824.7!79429608 18!

4.7!8990!4 184


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4.7!!!54!!25 1854.7!20761027 1864.7!02912487 1874.7281719854 1884.7271014709 1894.7180561!72 190

4.7146!84065 1914.7106468215 1924.7095941181 19!4.711649558 194

4.7157617411 1954.7181546285 1964.7159467511 1974.714041795! 1984.7061082008 1994.7020412896 200

4.6916!0724! 2014.65290!9505 2024.6514504!2 20!4.6!9496296 204

4.6!19662481 2054.610529!257 2064.5757022912 2074.55751928!4 2084.5826464788 2094.6155696!02 210

4.6002184486 2114.605619275! 2124.62!684589! 21!4.64!615!566 2144.6266167565 2154.6196782871 2164.6!488774!8 2174.66721!59!9 2184.64690609!2 2194.6205!29687 2204.59!914945! 2214.604675!468 2224.6085610222 22!4.59209804!! 2244.5796407107 2254.5662722212 2264.5725222969 2274.5651546!92 2284.558278!715 2294.5544408207 2!04.55057!1692 2!14.5522548214 2!2


52/72

4.55264151 2!!4.5465!78174 2!44.5!77!!5885 2!54.5290!87972 2!64.5258682087 2!74.5288!1!27! 2!8

4.5!4218427 2!94.5!77!86217 2404.528!745962 2414.52!5!19171 2424.5294!07452 24!4.5420181275 2444.5!2!95!61 245

4.5264040416 2464.511124717! 2474.5105178006 248

4.510!2560!4 2494.500728!855 2504.48569!9416 2514.477!014451 2524.481!681!04 25!4.4791191874 2544.474!762289 2554.4668465667 2564.4698777948 2574.4692650986 258

4.45!!!82511 2594.4465529288 2604.44054!2801 2614.4!59!186!9 2624.4!680980!2 26!4.4192408558 2644.4151874102 2654.4!4408474! 2664.4!41474286 2674.4!19552116 2684.4496896475 2694.487724292! 2704.49!225!217 2714.4979848199 2724.4897568842 27!4.48!!879447 2744.49!94856!7 2754.4875940!27 2764.4966105605 2774.4956!40644 2784.4946499066 2794.4897294612 280


53/72

4.488!169467 2814.491189101 282

4.48!5566516 28!4.4928764106 2844.5094521697 2854.5177451!47 286

4.520!5!7265 2874.5247569647 2884.5!!0948211 2894.558!966929 2904.56097785!4 291

4.56821!76 2924.577!97779 29!

4.5809950785 2944.5828748!77 2954.595484!!87 296

4.5875!55978 2974.5948629898 2984.6161255648 2994.6219544899 !004.6!59171461 !014.6547555545 !024.6245842708 !0!4.594915601! !04

Resumen


oeciente de correaci 0.18990075!1oeciente de determi 0.0!6062296R^2 ajustado 0.0!2870449!Error típico 0.10!5111452

Obseraciones !04

"#$%&'&' (E )"R&"#*"Grados de liberta a de cuadra io de los cua F

Re+resi,n 1 0.12105579 0.12105579 11.2982544Residuos !02 !.2!579627 0.01071456

-ota !0! !.!5685206


&ntercepci,n 4.6562!6!916 0.0119029 !91.185159 0

)ariabe / 1 0.000227!92 6.7650E005 !.!6128761 0.000875590.02


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56/72


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58/72


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60/72

lor crítico de F

0.00087559


4.6!281!27 4.67965951 4.6!281!27 4.67965951

0.000!6052 9.427E005 0.000!6052 9.427E005


61/72

00287R 00!!6 00460&"

Ene0! 118.455121 709.91478 7!.222!7eb0! 118.47060! 61!.444!64 71.0794!25ar0! 117.702797 705.74592 74.!4272!!"br0! 117.01606! 684.192652 80.6677118a0! 117.419805 626.179585 8!.2226461

un0! 118.0256!8 659.469608 80.85!7747 u0! 118.080452 726.54!281 79.2070174"+o0! 118.816!51 652.815629 74.2120141

'ep0! 118.560867 695.06541 7!.8678!56Oct0! 118.284!62 724.817!42 77.59891!8#o0! 117.751807 684.781594 75.5725!89(ic0! 116.7471!2 721.878602 78.0097!27Ene04 116.5516!5 692.99!258 75.91!2672eb04 116.468044 656.!87817 74.0974!61ar04 116.06456 768.861821 78.6!546!2"br04 116.616122 8!1.58!852 84.0944724a04 117.477!64 759.569101 86.5105705

un04 116.8509!6 826.4!54!1 8!.287459!

u04 115.24020! 788.029757 82.1067516"+o04 11!.775775 898.!64601 77.51462!2'ep04 112.72577 854.099!2 77.4025941Oct04 112.111892 85!.765054 79.6!24554#o04 111.48!90! 905.!0776! 82.71956!8(ic04 110.109201 969.!78205 85.650!02!Ene05 109.798412 917.979251 79.979161!eb05 110.!7!451 806.797617 80.1!44602ar05 110.5!4491 9!5.096576 81.!9641!2"br05 111.09944 1056.667!4 87.07!447!a05 110.740808 99!.648561 92.1414554

un05 110.4!4!78 956.1!6976 88.45577!! u05 110.805278 1046.72481 87.2766009"+o05 111.754171 1092.!9578 82.98948!4'ep05 114.970892 1022.!9429 82.0878668Oct05 117.58!76 1089.70511 84.8027242#o05 116.!97464 111!.65807 90.4951179(ic05 117.090908 1050.404!9 91.545927Ene06 116.!!4!86 1069.64961 85.6590428eb06 112.!60717 1027.01887 84.6285224ar06 114.199048 128!.81761 91.22869!1"br06 114.!1872 111!.05101 91.7780027


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62/72

a06 11!.6762!1 125!.40997 97.7619066 un06 11!.5!102 126!.14222 95.0729001 u06 11!.!28564 1195.5814 92.9616004"+o06 11!.088646 1249.872!8 91.55476!'ep06 112.967647 1225.122!5 88.769!299Oct06 111.950425 1401.40058 92.182207

#o06 111.568461 1!!6.52!17 94.7874215(ic06 111.124014 1425.49294 99.418!591Ene07 111.007095 14!8.08! 89.9488919eb07 111.2!5498 1!65.!77 88.675417!ar07 111.69!861 1404.756 96.7166808"br07 111.961451 1471.969 96.6!584!9a07 111.714527 1485.147 104.74475!

un07 111.501918 15!!.249 101.255861 u07 110.620807 1759.12! 102.5!47!2"+o07 110.1718!6 1819.265 100.11!95

'ep07 109.0!08!4 1710.448 100.225944Oct07 104.8891!7 20!4.678 10!.154829#o07 104.7!6789 1771.!1! 104.110657(ic07 10!.492205 1797.112 111.88244Ene08 102.7158! 2188.649 98.514977!eb08 100.5!7!5! 1881.611 100.70986ar08 97.096205 2196.167 104.115!08"br08 95.!466582 2!09.88! 110.287664a08 97.7728058 2480.625 112.120914

un08 101.045!71 2762.444 112.21161

u08 99.5060502 2760.262 112.!20516"+o08 100.044919 2469.462 108.92229!'ep08 101.868686 2747.77 110.725068Oct08 10!.919!75 2694.622 111.641044#o08 102.16782 20!6.!26 110.655001(ic08 101.461!85 1921.!65 117.49!52!Ene09 10!.016!5! 1772.25217 10!.01!102eb09 106.40085! 1540.95884 101.019866ar09 104.261909 1570.20896 107.121547"br09 101.54814 167!.7942 108.80808!a09 98.880786! 1486.26612 114.224648

un09 99.950528! 1666.59575 108.887627 u09 100.!!9659 1749.41562 110.717741"+o09 98.7012927 17!8.20595 109.7955!9'ep09 97.479!646 1842.59081 110.865829Oct09 96.1848847 1950.61!25 112.955998#o09 96.7879!01 2014.115!5 11!.624205(ic09 96.0774502 2005.67056 122.425577Ene10 95.4190622 2074.57072 106.15!026eb10 95.05!5884 187!.81!05 106.146!2!ar10 94.6866642 2!87.42564 115.8!!7!2"br10 94.8460282 2227.92846 117.484525


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a10 94.8827112 2088.20851 12!.02890! un10 94.!05!401 2294.0149! 12!.162706 u10 9!.4786987 25!8.80526 121.894426"+o10 92.6694441 2578.92499 119.60786'ep10 92.!760927 2697.52548 122.292!17Oct10 92.65022 266!.!8242 12!.8!5094

#o10 9!.1506828 2704.5!084 12!.761085(ic10 9!.4791692 2686.18917 1!2.102Ene11 92.60791!4 271!.78425 116.607!51eb11 92.1605272 2582.04826 114.949282ar11 92.7057728 2901.99!71 125.021518"br11 9!.880071 !1!4.91642 126.557045a11 92.9810176 !2!0.4!82! 1!0.0!0006

un11 92.4256042 !241.59809 126.941055 u11 91.0241!74 !040.92244 129.!92947"+o11 90.9689101 !458.446!2 127.4!6!49

'ep11 90.9514278 !192.66157 128.!10944Oct11 90.0827224 !155.16215 129.41811!#o11 88.7!85088 !250.1746 129.64481!(ic11 87.9968875 !249.!7556 14!.601!58Ene12 88.!554718 !285.08015 122.82259eb12 88.1569887 2861.15479 122.917522ar12 87.7!985!7 !!78.42081 1!2.1!0558"br12 87.08168!! !188.97!59 1!0.158217a12 87.!460482 !554.5!009 1!8.80767

un12 87.292548 !2!0.!6295 1!6.276188

u12 85.91!2659 !717.!5744 1!8.550599"+o12 85.!!229 !790.51607 1!6.1860!4'ep12 84.8210107 !482.64529 1!6.751001Oct12 84.4!07662 !760.7408 1!8.7!!909#o12 84.50492!9 !589.!!589 1!7.252468(ic12 8!.0!!2272 !178.81927 148.240008Ene1! 82.697!!78 !944.0!649 1!0.450929eb1! 84.!0224!2 !175.04957 128.68!668ar1! 84.2802!9! !275.6821 1!5.9!6908"br1! 84.0956811 !514.59185 141.40599a1! 85.600!7!6 !797.2889! 144.659228

un1! 88.9188621 !202.70725 144.480177 u1! 89.409!55! !760.469!1 145.406178"+o1! 89.8!591!2 !945.28505 14!.65152!'ep1! 89.0997817 !424.06778 14!.225897Oct1! 88.5!411!8 !782.64804 147.68!211#o1! 89.47404!! !!88.11!69 148.0182(ic1! 88.907280! !146.24465 158.418261Ene14 89.7125402 !845.00894 1!5.8!9885eb14 89.624979 2969.92!9 1!5.696826ar14 89.5!68172 !!70.54712 14!.946248"br14 89.097!!8! !570.!5675 145.468691


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a14 88.9715759 !486.425! 148.41102 un14 89.22748!! !!06.79!74 144.875529 u14 88.5490514 !561.59151 148.166564"+o14 89.!781648 !647.0!427 145.695221'ep14 90.8720224 !!74.788!6 147.4!6724Oct14 91.6287544 !555.28786 150.9261!!

#o14 91.8680884 !255.5!502 147.765869(ic14 92.27!4974 !098.8578 160.2201!7Ene15 9!.0460769 !254.87!57 1!7.891067eb15 95.4!0!529 2762.68025 1!7.2!02ar15 95.6769922 !2!8.86272 148.0!4!21"br15 96.!718128 !0!1.07582 151.520189a15 97.2609701 !021.50567 150.206794

un15 97.611477 !291.52274 150.742988 u15 97.7951!56 !166.7!842 15!.456111"+o15 99.0!60909 !161.!871 149.6581!1

'ep15 98.2519991 !116.68622 152.464!16Oct15 98.9745741 !112.21462 156.1029#o15 101.101561 !224.47!65 15!.824269(ic15 101.692595 !00!.16096 170.45820!Ene16 10!.12245! 2980.2!724 142.60941!eb16 105.08!5! 2576.10161 145.711528ar16 101.960!76 2801.5524! 15!.541197"br16 98.9797814 n.d. n.d. '>"a16 n.d. n.d. n.d. ROE(&O


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%n %n& %n-

6.5651449!51 4.29!50097 4.7745!4166.4190895741 4.26!79802 4.774664856.5592552858 4.!086858 4.768162776.5282!95!27 4.!90!!8!9 4.762!11216.4!96!7207 4.4215195 4.76575559

6.4914!58875 4.!9264227 4.770901876.588298056 4.!720649 4.771!6619

6.4812947446 4.!0692605 4.7775790!

6.5440059567 4.!0227749 4.775426486.5859196814 4.!5155!4! 4.77!091576.5290999466 4.!2509297 4.768579086.58185698!4 4.!568!!6 4.760010!!6.5410202704 4.!2959147 4.758!!4!96.4867517987 4.!05!809! 4.757616946.6449112668 4.!6482278 4.754146596.72!!!21!78 4.4!194084 4.7588875!6.6!2751!001 4.46026661 4.766245676.7171217908 4.42229799 4.76089907

6.6695!58518 4.40802025 4.747018676.8005760004 4.!504666 4.7!4229626.7500474868 4.!49020! 4.724958066.74965604!5 4.!7742174 4.719497416.8082749555 4.41545614 4.71!880216.8766548402 4.45027275 4.701472616.822174788 4.!8176612 4.69864606

6.69!0728524 4.!8!70598 4.70!8696!6.84064981!8 4.!99!!121 4.705!27616.962875218! 4.46675198 4.710425656.901!8!58!8 4.52!!2495 4.707192416.86290118!1 4.48250269 4.704421486.95!421!406 4.4690824 4.707774416.9961285!02 4.41871!89 4.716!01556.9299025016 4.40779022 4.744678986.99!662401 4.440!2767 4.7671509!

7.0154054!5! 4.5052959 4.757010746.9569!05061 4.51684078 4.762950626.9750864056 4.450!748 4.756468686.9!441558!7 4.4!8271!5 4.721714!97.15759!424! 4.51!!6947 4.7!7942967.01486018!1 4.519!7265 4.7!8990!4

%nt


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lor crítico de F

9.0948E096

sabado 04 de junio nora

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