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REPUBLIC OF RWANDA

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RWANDA INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND MASTER PLAN

2010-2020

Achieving global competitiveness

MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY

September 2010

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THE FIRST RWANDA INDUSTRIAL MASTER PLAN 2010-2020

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THE FIRST RWANDA INDUSTRIAL MASTER PLAN 2010-2020

CABINET VERSION

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Figure 1: Strategic objectives of the Rwanda Industrial Policy and Master Plan ____________________________ 5!

Figure 2: Climbing the ladder: export growth from 2010 to 2020________________________________________ 6!

Figure 3: Rwandan industry by 2020, planned locations _______________________________________________ 7!

Figure 4: Framework for implementing the Industrial Policy and Master Plan _____________________________ 8!

Figure 5: Reaching Vision 2020 – sector targets for Rwandan GDP in $ millions ___________________________ 9!

Figure 6: Rwanda’s relative position in sophistication of production: 1963 - 2005 _________________________ 10!

Figure 7: Detailed breakdown of Rwandan GDP in 2009 _____________________________________________ 11!

Figure 8: Location of large Rwandan enterprises ___________________________________________________ 12!

Figure 9: Electricity demand forecast for Rwanda___________________________________________________ 17!

Figure 10: Proposed transnational infrastructure projects ____________________________________________ 19

Figure 11: Human resource challenges facing Rwandan businesses_____________________________________ 23!

Figure 12: Rwanda’s recent export performance ($ millions): 2002-2009 ________________________________ 24!

Figure 13: Rwanda’s key ‘other’ exports: 2002-2009 ($ millions) ______________________________________ 25!

Figure 14: Intra-EAC exports by technological composition: 1995-2008 ($ thousands) _____________________ 26!

Figure 15: Registered investments in Rwanda: 2004-2009 (RwF billions) ________________________________ 28!

Figure 16: Registered investments in Rwanda by sector in billions of RwF: January-September 2010 __________ 28!

Figure 17: New loans authorised by banks in the first half of the year (billions RwF): 2006-2009 _____________ 30!

Figure 18: Time based model for providing sector-specific support _____________________________________ 32!

Figure 19: New export clusters according to assessment criteria _______________________________________ 34!

Figure 20: Climbing the ladder: export growth from 2010 to 2020______________________________________ 34!

Figure 21: Rwandan industry by 2020, planned locations _____________________________________________ 35!

Figure 22: Rwandan agro-processing by 2020, planned locations ______________________________________ 37!

Figure 23: Industrial zones by 2020, planned locations_______________________________________________ 38!

Figure 24: Framework for implementing the Industrial Policy and Master Plan ___________________________ 39!

Figure 25: The policy cycle that should be put in place for industrial policy ______________________________ 41!

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Table 1: Energy costs: Rwanda and comparator countries......................................................................................... 16!

Table 2: Condition of Rwanda’s road network ............................................................................................................ 17!

Table 3: Rwanda’s progress in World Bank Doing Business Reports: 2007-2010 ..................................................... 21!

Table 4: Rwanda’s top 15 imports in 2009: $ millions................................................................................................ 27!

Table 5: Sectors and types of organic pollution generated in the city of Kigali.......................................................... 31!

Table 6: Framework for cluster selection .................................................................................................................... 33!

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 These projections would lead Rwanda to achieve over $900 GDP per capita in 2009 prices. Industry will be at 23 per cent of GDP, agriculture 27 per cent and services 50 per cent. The projection assumes that population growth will remain at 2.78 per cent for the period (CIA World Factbook). 2 NISR (2007) Labour market and economic activity trends in Rwanda: Analysis of EICV2 Survey 3 According to the CIA World Factbook, there are 4.4 million Rwandans aged 0-14 years – assuming they are equally distributed in this range, 294,000 will turn 15 every year. 4 Figures used here for population (10.5 million), urban population (18 per cent) and rate of urbanisation (4.2 per cent) come from the CIA.!


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!5 Hidalgo, Cesar A. (2009) “The dynamics of economic complexity and the product space over a 42-year period” Centre for

International Development, Harvard University. Working Paper No.189. 6 Source: NISR. An average exchange rage of RwF 580 = $1 (US Dollar) to translate the NISR figures into dollars.


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!7 Source: NISR. Current prices definition of GDP used. 8 The industrial sector is defined in the national accounts to include manufacturing, construction, mining and quarrying, crafts,

electricity, water and gas production. 9 NISR (2007) “Labour market and economic activity trends in Rwanda: Analysis of EICV2 Survey”. 2001 data from EICV1 Survey. 10 PSF (2008) “Rwanda business operators census report”


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11 GTZ (2010) “Economic & Trade Atlas of Rwanda 2010”


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!12 This is due to another market failure in which firms under-invest in skill acquisition since they cannot ensure that this investment benefits themselves as opposed to other firms in the market.


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!13 Lall, Sanjaya (2003) “Reinventing industrial strategy: The role of government policy in building industrial competitiveness” The Intergovernmental Group on Monetary Affairs and Development (G-24). The region here includes China. 14 Lall (ibid.) and Pack, Howard and Westphal, Larry E. (1986) “Industrial Strategy and Technological Change: Theory versus Reality” Journal of Development Economics 22, pp.87-128 15 An original equipment manufacturer, or OEM, manufactures products or components that are purchased by a company and retailed under that purchasing company's brand name. It is a form of outsourcing.!16 Office of the President and Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA). “Building Development Capacity of Strategic Areas in Rwanda” May 2009. 17 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!18 Rodrik, D., (2007), “Normalizing Industrial Policy”, Paper prepared for the Commission on Growth and Development, Revised September 2007.!


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!19 MININFRA (2009) National Energy Policy and National Energy Strategy: 2008-2012. 71MW figure comes from communication with MININFRA. 20 DFID (2008) Growth diagnostic: Sources of and obstacles to economic growth in Rwanda: An analytical overview. 21 Ibid. “Namely, SNEL, the DRC power utility and Sinelac, a hydro-power generation company jointly owned by the governments of Rwanda, Burundi and DRC.” 22 Ibid. 23 Source: World Bank (2009) The Republic of Rwanda, Investment Climate Assessment: Strategy for sustained employment and export growth. Rwanda data from MININFRA.!


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!28 Ibid. 29 World Bank (2005) Diagnostic Trade Integration Study!30 Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda are members of both COMESA and the EAC and are therefore not double counted.


CABINET VERSION

!

19

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CV"H,E!32 DFID (ibid.) 33 GTZ (2010) “Economic & Trade Atlas of Rwanda 2010”


CABINET VERSION

!

20

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!34 Source: DTIS 35 DFID (ibid.)


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!36 World Bank Doing Business Report, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010


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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!37 Source: MINICOM 38 Dr. A.S. Ma!aji, Augustine Rutamu and Rutagambwa Théogène (2009) Mapping Science and Technology for Industrial Development in Rwanda. Office of the President and African Development Bank.


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23

Major problem Neutral Not a problemMajor problem Neutral Not a problem

57%

57%

53%

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37%

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38%

31%

32%

36%

44%

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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Uncompetitive salary levels

Employees leave for other companies once trained

Transport of employees to the business

Lack of other incentives for employees e.g. medical cover

Local availability of relevant training

Shortage of skilled labour

Skills and attitudes of school leavers

Cost of relevant training

Caisse Sociale requirements

Ease of hiring and firing workers

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!39 Source: Per Ronnås (ILO), Elina Scheja (Sida) and Karl Backéus (Sida) (2009) RWANDA FORGING AHEAD: The Challenge of Getting Everybody on Board. 40 Ibid. 41 PSF (2008) Business Investment Climate Survey (BICS)


CABINET VERSION

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24

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!42 Dr. A.S. Ma!aji et al. (ibid.)!43 Source NBR. Import figures are CIF.!44 Source: NBR. * The figures for 2009 are based on actual figures for the first half of the year as well as projections for the second half. Projections are based on the first half data as well as seasonality trends in the tea and coffee sectors.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Other

Re-Exports

Wolfram

Coltan

Cassiterite

Tea

Coffee


CABINET VERSION

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25

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!45 Source: NBR. Horticulture includes cinchona, chillies, bananas, other fruit, flowers and cuttings.

0

1

2

3

4

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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Hides and skins

Pyrethrum

Handicrafts

Horticulture

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CABINET VERSION

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!46 Source: MINICOM (2010) Regional comparative advantage study. Draft version.

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!47 Source: UN Comtrade accessed by WITS. The nine areas are the high level classifications under SITC Ver.3.


CABINET VERSION

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28

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!48 Source: RDB. Registered investments are not necessarily operational but simply indicate the expected level of investment. 49 Ibid.!

0

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Local

FDI


CABINET VERSION

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!50 Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning (2010) Special Economic Zones Policy. Draft. 51 FIAS (2006) Sources of Informal Economic Activity in Rwanda!52 DFID (ibid.) Sources of and obstacles to economic growth 53 Ibid. 54 Source: NBR


CABINET VERSION

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62,/-/9$:!82.!$='760$!&#$(!'!F$$B$$6/(;!F+,/($,,!#$06,!'!#2.-/3+0-+.'0!6.2)+3$.!)+$!-2!-#$!6200/('-/(;!

F$#'9/2+.!28! /-,! F$$,W! F+-! $=-$.('0/-/$,! 3'(! '0,2!F$!($;'-/9$:!&#$.$! -#$!&',-$!6.2)+3$)!F4! /()+,-./'0!

6.23$,,$,!/,!#'.78+0!-2!-#$!$(9/.2(7$(-!'()!-2!-#$!F+,/($,,$,!'()!6$260$!&#2!.$04!2(!/-<!*-!/,!-#$.$82.$!

6'.'72+(-!-#'-!7/-/;'-/(;!7$',+.$,!'.$!-'B$(!,2!-#'-!;.2&-#!3'(!-'B$!60'3$!/(!'!,+,-'/('F0$!02(;D-$.7!

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*-! /,! $,-/7'-$)! -#'-! 302,$! -2! \@! 6$.! 3$(-! 28! /()+,-.4! /(! %&'()'! /,! 023'-$)! /(! _/;'0/:! &#/3#! /760/$,!

32(3$(-.'-/2(!28!6200+-/2(!/(!-#$!3'6/-'0b@<!R#/0$!72,-!/()+,-./'0!8/.7,!#'9$!-.')/-/2('004!F$$(!,$6'.'-$)!

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!55 Source: NBR!56 DFID (ibid.) 57 Ibid. 58 Ibid. 59 Source: Interviews with private sector operators. 60 Kigali Master Plan of Waste Water Management (2008)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2006 2007 2008 2009

Other categories

Investment

Leasing

Mortgage

Vehicle

Consumer loans

Seasonal Campaign

Treasury loans


CABINET VERSION

!

31

8.27! )&$00/(;! #2+,$,:! -#$4! #'9$! 28-$(! F$$(! 60'3$)! /(! -#$! 9'00$4,! 2.! 7'.,#$,! F2.)$.$)! F4! #$'9/04!

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6.2)+3-,!-#$.$!#',!-#$.$82.$!F$$(!'!)'(;$.!28!32(-'7/('-/2(!28!023'0!&'-$.!,+660/$,!'72(;!2-#$.!./,B,<!

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6.2)+3$)!'()!-#$/.!62-$(-/'0!/76'3-bN<!!

U,/:&'H)'*&-+.%2',78'+<B&2'.3'.%#,7"-'B.::$+".7'#&7&%,+&8'"7'+4&'-"+<'.3'`"#,:"N>'

Sector of activity Waste produced, pollution caused and effects

Slaughterhouses Easily biodegradable pollution flowing in the River Mpazi and directly in the Nyabugogo River without going

through the marsh.

Transmission of parasitic diseases a problem.

Refineries Solid sugar cane pollution of the Nyabugogo River bringing eutrophisation.

Obstruction of riverbanks and canals by the solid losses.

Drinks Sickening odour from liquid water. Polluted water flowing openly in residential areas.

Contamination of the soil and water through organic pollutants and chemicals. Transmission of disease

parasites to the population. Residual wastewater flows openly before falling into a ravine.

Residual organic wastes with high risk of reducing oxygen in the water and environment with negative

impact on the living organisms.

Beauty products Sickening odour and contamination of the soil and water by oils. Flowing through residential areas.

Tanneries Chemical pollution including DDT and arsenic in the soil and waters of the river Mpazi attaining the Nyabugogo without going through the marsh. Risks of contamination to the population using the waters of

the two rivers.

Metal producers Poisonous effect to the population using the waters of Nyarugenge by the heavy metals and chrome salt.

Paints Contamination of the soils and water by the oils and chemical pollutants, affecting the population indirectly.

Textiles Contamination of the soil and waters of Kagugu by the remainder of the residues of the dyes and chemical

pollutants, which include hydrogen peroxide and sodium silicate. Dyes could present a carcinogenic effect

for mammals.

Waste dumping Pollution of underground waters by the lixiviation of the wastes from domestic, hospital, industrial, muds

from septic pits, engine oil, etc.

Risks of contamination of the source of River Nyacyonga, ground waters of the Kagarama sector and of

various streams.

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!61 Unfortunately this level of information is not easily available for outside of Kigali 62 Kigali Master Plan (ibid.)!63 UNEP (2009) Rwanda State of Environment and Outlook


CABINET VERSION

!

32

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!

!

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!64 Rwanda Tourism Policy (2009)!

SHORT-TERM MEDIUM-TERM LONG-TERM

Improve the feasibility

of desirable industries

and promote feasible

sectors

!

Promote new desirable

sectors as they become

feasible

!

Reduce support to

successful sectors and

provide support to new

feasible sectors


CABINET VERSION

!

33

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!65 Haussman et al. (ibid).!


CABINET VERSION

!

34

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formulation

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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

FWC(tons) 32 334 726 1,100 3,100 3,150 4,800

Ordinary

(tons)

19,394 14,078 28,074 17,500 22,900 11 650 16,200

Total (tons) 19,426 14,412 28,800 18,600 26,000 14,800 21,000

% FWC on Total 0.16 2.3 2.5 5.9 12 21.2 22.9

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#############################################################72 Survey carried out by OTF Group and quoted in Rwanda Coffee Strategy 2009-2012 73 Source: Rwanda Coffee Strategy 2009-2012 74 Source: OCIR-Café#

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115

4

21

18

8

41

12

10

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

Average

2005-07

New trees Yields Processing Investments Marketing Roasting &

Packaging

2012

Re

ve

nu

es

($

US

mil

lio

ns

)

Source: OCIR CAFE and OTF Group analysis, October 2008

Use of inputs will increase yield/tree from 4.4kg to 5.2kg

Best practices will reduce the processing ratio from 7.8 to 7.1

Investments in washing station capacity and management will raise FW processing from 3,000 to 19,000 tons

Good management of trees and seedlings will secure a 24% increase in production

Toll roasting 1,500 tons of coffee by 2012 will bring in an additional $4m

The 2008 Rwanda Coffee Strategy

The coffee sector can achieve revenues of $115m in 5 years

Improved marketing will ensure Fully Washed prices continue to rise

#

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#############################################################75 Source: Coffee Strategy 2009-2012 76 Source: UN Comtrade accessed through WITS. Rwanda data adjusted to that from OCIR-Thé. Tanzania figures for 2007.

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#############################################################77 Source: OCIR-Thé##78 Ibid.

0

5000

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20000

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1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

YEAR

Tea E

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Volu

me (

Tons)

0

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Receipts Objectives

Extractive Industries could generate an estimated $US 106 Million by 2011

Source: OTF Group Objective Setting Survey Jan-Feb 2006 (n=23) and Quarries, Precious Stones and Metals Objective Setting Meetings Feb 2006

Rwandan Extractive Industry Exports ($US M)

Performance and Targets (2002 - 2011)

$16$11

$30

$38

$46$54

$63

$75

$89

$106

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Export

Revenues (

$U

S M

)

Metals Precious Stones Quarries

Metal substances

Precious stones

Quarry Products

Double export volume: – Regional mineral consolidation – Tripling in local production

10% increase in revenue/T due to transformation

Formalization and upgrade of mining practices

Sorting, cutting and design

Increased local participation in aggregate production

Import substitution for construction materials

Product base expansion

!

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#############################################################82 Source: UN Comtrade 83 RDB and AH Consulting (2009) Medium Term Support Pilot Program for Rwanda Companies with High Growth Potential for Export

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#############################################################84 Source: UN Comtrade accessed through WITS. Tanzania data for 2007. Leather goods include handbags, clothing, accessories, footwear, trunks and cases, belts and goods.

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##############################################################85 OTF Group and RDB (2009) Situation analysis: Rwanda ITO/BPO Cluster 86 OTF Group and RDB (ibid.)

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#############################################################87 OTF Group and RDB (ibid.)

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N(#(608%#;.-08B#<8,%&,#6,(#,#;*0,&-2#4,10'*,;-.#/-+5,).#40*#)6.#5,%'4,/)'*.#04#(+-C#).>)+-.(9#d.(?+).#

%0)# 6,1+%3# ,# 6+()0*2# 8+)6# (+-CB# 5'-;.**2# )*..(# 6,1.# %08# ;..%# ?-,%).&# +%# )6.# I'2.# *.3+0%# ,%&# +%#

`:Rg<ENB# <8,%&,# 6,(# ,%# ,%/60*# 4+*59# c,*)-2# )6*0'36# .>?,%(+0%# +%)0# 6,%&+/*,4)(# ,%&# ?,*)-2# )6*0'36#

.>?-0+)+%3# NbZN# ,%&# &.5,%&# 40*# 6+36# F',-+)2# (+-C# +%# 0)6.*# +%).*%,)+0%,-#5,*C.)(B# ,# ()*,).32# +(# ;.+%3#

&.1.-0?.&# )0# &.1.-0?# )6.# (.*+/'-)'*.# +%&'()*29# S'*)6.*50*.B# <8,%&,=(# 50&.*,).# /-+5,).# ,%&# 4.*)+-.#

10-/,%+/#(0+-(#,*.#+&.,-#40*#3*08+%3#)6.#5'-;.**2#)*..(#)6,)#(+-C80*5#-,*1,.#.,)9#

#############################################################89 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters 90 RDB and AH Consulting (ibid.) 91 RDB and OTF Group (2009) Unleashing the potential of the Rwandan silk industry

!

HX#

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&"#$%&$!'()*!+,-./0(0(1/!&($-,%&23!

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`:Rg<EN# 6,(# ,# h*.5,*C,;-2# 50&.*%+(.&# 4,/+-+)2# ,(# ,# ?*0&'/)+0%# .%)+)2# +%# OdU(iW"9# :6.# /05?,%2#

/'**.%)-2# .5?-02(# ,;0')# H!A# 80*C.*(# ,)# +)(# ?-,%)# +%# \+3,-+9# $)# +(# ,%# +%).3*,).&# ).>)+-.(# ,%&# /-0)6+%3#

/05?,%2# .%/05?,((+%3# ?*0/.((+%3# 4'%/)+0%(# 4*05# (?+%%+%3B# 8.,1+%3B# ?*+%)+%3# )0# 3,*5.%)Y5,C+%39#

`:Rg<EN#6,(#01.*#!BAAA#(?+%%+%3#(?+%&-.(#,%&#,#/,?,/+)2#04#0%.#5+--+0%#C3#04#2,*%#?.*#,%%'59##

N//0*&+%3# )0# )6.# /05?,%2=(# 5+&Y).*5# 5,%,3.5.%)# ?-,%B# +)# 6,(# ,%# ,5;+)+0'(# 2.)# &.4+%+).# ?-,%# )0#

;./05.#,# -.,&+%3#).>)+-.(#/05?,%2# +%#)6.#RNU#?*0&'/+%3#(.1.*,-#()*,).3+/# +).5(#86+-.#*./*'+)+%3#'?#)0#

GBAAA# -0/,-#?.0?-.# +%# )6.#%.>)# 4+1.#2.,*(WV9#N#C.2#1.%)'*.# +%#`:Rg<EN=(#.>?,%(+0%# +(# )6.#(+-C# +%&'()*29#

:6.#/05?,%2#6,(#%08#-,'%/6.&#+)(#(+-C#?*0&'/)+0%#-+%.#40*#).()#?*0&'/)(9#:6.(.#?*0&'/)(#,*.#)0#;.#(0-&#

'%&.*#)6.#;*,%&#%,5.#04#jQ+-C#I+--(=9#:6.#/05?,%2#6,(#,-*.,&2#+%1.().&#@X#5+--+0%#)0#+5?0*)#5,/6+%.(B#

,%&#+%).%&(#)0#.>?0*)#4+%+(6.&#(+-C#?*0&'/)(#+%#DAXA9#:6.#/05?,%2#,+5(#)0#/,?+),-+(.#0%#?*0/.((+%3#,%&#

1,-'.Y,&&+)+0%9##

N#%'5;.*#04# /6,--.%3.(#,*.# ()+--# 4,/.&#;2# )6.# /05?,%2#,%&# +%# )6.# (+-C# +%&'()*2#50*.#3.%.*,--29# :6.(.#

+%/-'&.W!a#

• $%('44+/+.%)#-,%&#40*#5'-;.**2#/'-)+1,)+0%B#0%-2#DX#6./),*.(#/'**.%)-2#0')#04#?*0_./).&#DHA#6./),*.#

*.F'+*.5.%)#

#############################################################92 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters 93 Office of the President and KOICA (ibid.) 94 Ibid. 95 RDB and AH Consulting (ibid.)

!

HD#

#

• U,?,/+)2#+(#*.F'+*.&#40*#/00?.*,)+1.(#)0#+5?*01.#0*3,%+(,)+0%#04#(+-C#?*0&'/)+0%WG#

• E+)6# +)(# .>+()+%3# /,?,/+)2B# +)# +(# &+44+/'-)# 40*# `:Rg<EN# )0# 3.%.*,).# )6.# ./0%05+.(# 04# (/,-.9# $)(#

?*+5,*2#).>)+-.#?,*)#+(#)00#(5,--9#$)#+(#(,+&#)6,)#)6.#(5,--.()#1+,;-.#'%+)#80'-&#;.#;.)8..%#DVBAAA#

)0#"ABAAA#(?+%&-.(WH9##

/'.20$1!M! 7"(15!81+7./02!

:6.#40'*)6#(./)0*#+&.%)+4+.&#,(#,#?0).%)+,-#,-).*%,)+1.#+(#+%#&,+*2#?*0&'/)(9#N(#(608%#;.-08B#<8,%&,#6,(#

,# ;*0,&-2# 4,10'*,;-.# .%1+*0%5.%)# 40*# ;.+%3# /05?.)+)+1.# +%# &,+*29# :6.*.# +(# 6+36# &.5,%&# 40*# ?*0&'/)(#

8+)6#,#/'-)'*.#04#5+-C#/0%('5?)+0%#,%&#6+36#?.%.)*,)+0%#04#/,))-.#*,+(+%39#:6.*.#+(#,#?0).%)+,-#)0#.>?0*)#

)0#)6.#*.3+0%#,(#8.--#,(#)0#(';()+)').#40*#.>+()+%3#+5?0*)(#+%#)6.#(./)0*9#:6.#C.2#)0#('//.((#+%#)6.#+%&'()*2#

+(# +5?*01.5.%)(# +%# F',-+)29# :6+(# +(# 862# )6.# ,;(.%/.# 04# ,# ()*0%3# *.3'-,)0*2# ,3.%/2# .%40*/+%3# F',-+)2#

(),%&,*&(# +%# )6.# (./)0*# +(# ,# /0%()*,+%)9# UZPRQN# 6,(# ()*+%3.%)# .>?0*)# (),%&,*&(# )6,)# .>?0*)(# )0# )6.#

*.3+0%#5'()#5..)9#

"#$%&$!&$(45!+,-./0(0(1/!&($-,%&26!

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:6.*.#,*.#,#%'5;.*#04#,/)0*(#+%#)6.#&,+*2#1,-'.#/6,+%B#86+/6#,--#/,%#6,1.#,#-,*3.#+5?,/)#0%#)6.#('//.((#04#

)6.# (./)0*9# :6.# 4+3'*.# ;.-08# (608(# C.2# ?-,2.*(# +%# )6.# /-'().*# ,%&# &.50%()*,).(# )60(.# )6,)#8+--# %..&#

+5?*01.5.%)#7#+%/-'&+%3#)6.#.&'/,)+0%#,%&B#*.(.,*/6#,%&#(),%&,*&(#0*3,%+(,)+0%(B#1.).*+%,*2#80*C.*(B#

#############################################################96 Office of the President and KOICA (ibid.) UTEXRWA is trying to set up a cooperative network with farmers! group that will be a mutually beneficial project. Each worm produces about 1.2 km (0.7 miles) of yarn. Rwandan silkworm rearers could net about $4,000-$5,000 per hectare per year, three times more than coffee growers do. (Source: UTEXRWA) 97 Office of the President and KOICA (ibid.) 98 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters

!

H"#

#

;,%C(#,%&#PS$(B#,(#8.--#,(#4,*5(#,%&#&,+*2#?*0/.((0*(9#N#;*0,&#*,%3.#04# +%()+)')+0%(#)6.*.40*.#*.F'+*.#

),*3.)+%3#40*#)6.#&,+*2#(./)0*#)0#;./05.#('//.((4'-9#

@&W%2&3-#2%$8&1+&,"%&./#+0#&0#1$2&)-*8,%$HH!

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/'.20$1!T! 0+.1(2-!"#7!/.'0.1$!

<8,%&,=(#6,%&+/*,4)#(./)0*#6,(#;..%#0%.#04#)6.#('//.((#()0*+.(#+%#*./.%)#2.,*(#8+)6#)6.#&.1.-0?5.%)#04#

()*0%3# ?*+1,).# (./)0*# /05?,%+.(# 80*C+%3# 8+)6# )60'(,%&(# 04# 805.%# )0# .>?0*)# <8,%&,%# &.(+3%.&#

6,%&+/*,4)(# )0# )6.#`Q# ,%&# .-(.86.*.9# :6.# 3*08)6# +%# )6.(.# .>?0*)(# (608%# ;.-08B# +(# ).()+50%2# )0# )6.#

+5?0*),%/.#04#,#&2%,5+/#?*+1,).#(./)0*#,%&#)0#&2%,5+/#.%)*.?*.%.'*(9##

<8,%&.(.#6,%&+/*,4)#.>?0*)(#K)60'(,%&(#04#`QdMXAA#

Items

2007

actual

2007

target

2008

actual

2008

target

2009

target

2010

target

2011

target

2012

target

Handcrafts 422 340 1,945 391 447 533 639 730

$%#,--B#)6.*.#,*.#50*.#)6,%#""LA#805.%#+%10-1.&#+%#)6.#?*0&'/)+0%#04#N3,(.C.B#.1.%#)60'36#,--#04#)6.5#

/,%%0)#;.#,//0550&,).&#+%#)6.#6,%&+/*,4)#/.%).*(9#:6.#5,+%#/6,--.%3.#40*#)6+(#(./)0*#+(#)6.#+%1.()5.%)#

*.F'+*.&#)0#)*,+%#50*.#?*0&'/.*(#04#6+36#F',-+)2#6,%&+/*,4)(#40*#)6.#*.3+0%,-#,%&#+%).*%,)+0%,-#5,*C.)9#

:6.#(./)0*#,-(0#%..&(#)0#+%1.()#+%#5,/6+%.*2#)0#?*0/.((#)6.#+%?')(#40*#)6.+*#F'+/C#)*,%(40*5,)+0%9#

#############################################################99 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters 100 Source: MINECOFIN, 2009

!

HV#

#

:6.# (./)0*# 6,(# ()*0%3# -+%C,3.(# )0# )6.# )0'*+(5# (./)0*# ,%&# )6.# ?08.*# )0# ;*,%&# <8,%&,# 01.*(.,(9# J2#

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3.%.*,)0*#04#40*.+3%#*.1.%'.#+%#<8,%&,#7#,)#@DAW#5+--+0%#+%#DAAWXAX9#I08.1.*B#)6.*.#+(#/0%(.%('(#)6,)#

<8,%&,# +(#%0)# 4'--2#*.,-+(+%3# +)(#?0).%)+,-B#?,*)-2#&'.#)0#,%#01.*Y*.-+,%/.#0%#,#(+%3-.# 4-,3(6+?#?*0&'/)#7#

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+%&'()*29#S0*#.>,5?-.#)6.#c0-+/2#(.)(#0')#,#%'5;.*#04#%.8#?*+0*+)2#0;_./)+1.(XADa#

• 7%(1'4$* 1,=,3(-9,)$* 0)1* 1"=,%#"+"40$"()# 7# d.1.-0?# ,# *,%3.# 04# F',-+)2# )0'*+(5# ?*0&'/)(# ,%&#

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• 5(99')"$",#*0)1*@B@C##7#c*01+&.#('??0*)#)0#PQPR(B#.%('*+%3#)6,)#)6.2#6,1.#)6.#/,?,;+-+)+.(#

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)0#,%&#;.%.4+)#4*05#)6.#)0'*+(5#+%&'()*29##

• D44,##*$(*./0)10*0#*0*1,#$")0$"()#7#R%('*.#)6,)# +%).*%,)+0%,-#)0'*+()(#6,1.#5+%+5,-#6,((-.# +%#

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)0#&.1.-0?#+%#,#4,()#2.)#('(),+%,;-.#5,%%.*9##

• 6)+%0#$%'4$'%,* 1,=,3(-9,)$# 7# c*+0*+)+(.# )6.# ?*01+(+0%# 04# +%4*,()*'/)'*.#8+)6+%# )6.# &.()+%,)+0%#

5,%,3.5.%)#,*.,(#KdPN(M#,%&#)6.+*#,((0/+,).&#/0**+&0*(9##

• F0)1#7#R%,;-.#)0'*+(5#+%1.()5.%)(#)6*0'36#.%('*+%3#)6.#,1,+-,;+-+)2#,%&#(./'*+)2#04#-,%&#).%'*.#

40*#&.1.-0?5.%)9##

• C)="%()9,)$03*#'#$0")0&"3"$<#7#R%('*.#)6,)#)6.#)0'*+(5#(./)0*#+(#?-,%%.&#,%&#&.1.-0?.&#)0#)6.#

;.%.4+)# 04# 4')'*.# 3.%.*,)+0%(#04#<8,%&,%(B# +%# ).*5(#04# )6.# ('(),+%,;+-+)2# 04# *.(0'*/.#'(.B# )6.#

?*0)./)+0%#04#8+-&-+4.#,%&#)6.#.%1+*0%5.%)9##

• 6)=,#$9,)$* 0)1* +")0)4")8# 7# d.1.-0?# +%/.%)+1.(# ,%&# ,# 4+%,%/+,-# ,*/6+)./)'*.# )6,)# ('??0*)(#

+%1.()5.%)#+%#)6.#)0'*+(5#+%&'()*29#

#############################################################101 Source: RDB 102 Rwanda Tourism Policy (2009)

!

H!#

#

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+4#)6.#&+1.*(+4+/,)+0%#+%)0#(?./+,-+(.&#)0'*+(5#+(#)0#;.#,#('//.((9#N(#(608%#;.-08#)6+(#+%/-'&.(#)*,%(?0*)#

,3.%/+.(B#60).-(B#<dJ#:0'*+(5#KZ<:cTM#,(#8.--#,(#,#%'5;.*#04# ('??0*)+%3# +%()+)')+0%(#,%&# )6.#?*+1,).#

(./)0*9#

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04#3-0;,-#.>?0*)(9#:6.#5,*C.)#(6,*.#04#Q';YQ,6,*,%#N4*+/,#04#+*0%#,%&#()..-#?*0&'/)+0%#+(#,*0'%&#X9H#?.*#

/.%)#+%#3-0;,-#.>?0*)(#04#)6.#?*0&'/)(#+%#DAALXA!9##

<8,%&,#6,(#(+3%+4+/,%)#+5?0*)(#04#5.),-(#,%&#5,/6+%.*2#8+)6#,)#-.,()#@!W#5+--+0%#04#()..-#,%&#+*0%#,%&#

*.-,).&# ?*0&'/)(# +%# DAALXAG9# :6.*.# +(# )6.*.40*.# ,# (+3%+4+/,%)# &05.()+/#5,*C.)# ,%&#8+)6# ()*0%3# +%/05.#

.-,()+/+)2#40*#5.),-(B#+5?0*)(#/,%#;.#.>?./).&#)0#+%/*.,(.#4'*)6.*#+%#/05+%3#2.,*(9#P.),-(#,%&#5,/6+%.*2#

+(#,%#,))*,/)+1.#+%&'()*2#;./,'(.#+)#6,(#(+3%+4+/,%)#)./6%0-032#)*,_./)0*+.(#,%&#./0%05+.(#04#(/,-.B#8+)6#

)6.#?0).%)+,-#)0#3.%.*,).#4,*Y*.,/6+%3#?0(+)+1.#.44./)(9#

b+1.%#)6,)#)6.#*,8#5,).*+,-(#<8,%&,#6,(#&0#%0)#+%/-'&.#)60(.#40*#)6.#5,%'4,/)'*+%3#04#+*0%#,%&#()..-B#

5.),-#5,%'4,/)'*.#/0'-&#/0%/.%)*,).#0%#)60(.#)6,)#,*.#+%#,;'%&,%/.#('/6#,(#/,((+).*+).#,%&#80-4*,59#

<8,%&,#6,(#,#()*,).3+/#-.,&.*#+%#)6.#+%&'()*2B#+%#U6+--+%3)0%#<8,%&,B#86+/6#?*0&'/.(#,#1,*+.)2#04#5.),-#

#############################################################103 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters 104 UN Comtrade accessed via WITS. 105 Ibid. 106 Ibid.

!

HG#

#

?*0&'/)(# 5,+%-2# 40*# ,3*+/'-)'*.# ,%&# 5,/6+%.# ?,*)(XAH9# :6.# /05?,%2# 6,(# )6*..# 5,+%# ?,*)(a# 40*3+%3B#

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)0#;./05.#,#('//.((4'-#,-).*%,)+1.#(./)0*#+%#<8,%&,XALa##

• **F"9"$,1*90%A,$K# O0/,-#5,*C.)# +(#%0)# -,*3.#.%0'36# )0# /*.,).# )6.#./0%05+.(#04# (/,-.B# )6'(# -0/,-#

?*0&'/.*(#/,%%0)#-08.*#?*0&'/)+0%#/0()(#)6,)#/,%#/05?.).#,3,+%()#40*.+3%#+5?0*)(9##

• **L"82* 4(#$* (+* ,3,4$%"4"$<* 0)1* $%0)#-(%$0$"()K# Z?.*,)+0%# 04# )6.# +%&'()*2# +(# .-./)*+/+)2Y+%).%(+1.B#

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#############################################################107 Office of the President and KOICA (ibid.) 108 Ibid.

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#############################################################109 RDB and OTF Group (ibid.) Priority Clusters 110 Source: UN Comtrade accessed through WITS. 111 WTO (2009) - http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/its2009_e/section2_e/its09_highlights2_e.pdf 112 Office of the President and Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA). (ibid.)#113 UN Comrade – SITC Ver.3 Code 542 Medicaments

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#############################################################114 Office of the President and Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA). (ibid.) 115 Ibid. 116 Ibid. 117 Ibid.#118 Ibid.

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#############################################################121 Source: COMTRADE 122 OTF Group (2009) “Upgrading Rwanda!s Quarrying Industry”, RDB Executive Briefing.

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