rozee.pk survey elections-pakistan-2013
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ROZEE.PK Survey: Elections in Pakistan 2013
P A K I S T A N ’ S M O S T P O W E R F U L R E C R U I T I N G P L A T F O R M
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About ROZEE Research
ROZEE.PK's platform boasts over 16 Million unique visitors annually and 22 Million job applications processed to date, providing deep demographics of professionals across the country. This data provides a powerful platform for ROZEE.PK's research division to quickly and efficiently conduct statistically accurate online surveys
The insights discovered through its various research studies further reinforce ROZEE.PK's unique position as a leading online brand providing significant value to Pakistanis across the country
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Survey Methodology
The survey was carried out online and is broadly representative of the online population in Pakistan
Survey was undertaken from May 3-6, 2013
More than 10,000 users responded to the survey from across 174 cities in Pakistan
88% Males and 12% female respondents participated in the survey
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Predicted Voter Turnover
94% Nationwid
e Predicted
Voter Turnover
94% Males89% Females
93% employed93% students
94% Lahore90% Karachi
93% Islamabad18-24 (94%) 25-30 (94%)31-39(93%)
Above 35 (93%)
A whopping 94% male respondents said they would be turning up to vote on the election day
A surprisingly large percentage of female participation is also expected on May 11th elections in Pakistan
The expected voter turnover by age is fairly consistent as well with 94% respondents of varying age groups willing to vote in this years elections
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Reasons for Not Voting in Elections 2013
6.40%
93.60%
Expected Voter Turnout (2013)
No
Yes
Reasons for not voting
Expected Voter Turnover (2013)
A whopping 94% of the respondents intend to come out and vote on May 11th’2013
However, the rest (6%) are choosing not to vote primarily because they feel none of the contesting candidates are of sound character (33%)
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Predicted Voter Turnover (Lahore)
Electoral Area in Lahore
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%
%
Allama Iqbal Town
Johar Town
DHA
Samanabad
Model Town
Township
Cantt
Gulshan Ravi
Baghbanpura
Mughalpura
Shahdara 94.44%
100.00%
94.44%
100.00%
96.55%
96.67%
93.33%
97.30%
94.59%
97.67%
100.00%
5.56%
5.56%
3.45%
3.33%
6.67%
2.70%
5.41%
2.33%
The graph shows the areas with a majority of expected voter turnover
In Lahore, almost every registered voter is expected to come out and vote
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Preferred Political Party by Area
Lahore
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Predicted Voter Turnover (Karachi)
Electoral Area in Karachi
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%
%
Gulshan-e-Iqbal
Gulistan-e-Johar
North Nazimabad
Malir Colony
North Karachi
DHA
Fedral B Area
P.E.C.H.S
Nazimabad
Shah Faisal Town 92.86%
94.74%
91.67%
96.30%
100.00%
96.67%
96.67%
97.30%
90.57%
97.26%
7.14%
5.26%
8.33%
3.70%
3.33%
3.33%
2.70%
9.43%
2.74%
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Preferred Political Party by Area
Karachi
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Predicted Voter Turnover (ISB-RWP)
Electoral Area in Islamabad-Rawalpindi
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%
%
Satellite Town
I-10
Cantt
Chaklala Cantt
G-9
Westridge
Tench Bhatta
Adyala Road
I-8
G-8
Murree Road 100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
92.31%
92.86%
88.24%
95.24%
95.24%
95.45%
95.65%
7.69%
7.14%
11.76%
4.76%
4.76%
4.55%
4.35%
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Preferred Political Party by Area
Islamabad-Rawalpindi
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CPreferred Political Party by Working Status
Employed Respondents
Student Respondents
Unemployed Respondents
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CPreferred Political Party by Age Group
18-24 25-30
31-39 Above 40
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CPreferred Political Party by Age Group
18-24 25-30 31-39 Above 40
78.04% 76.47%74.00%
67.16%
20.49% 20.64%22.70%
26.33%
1.48% 2.90% 3.30%6.51%
PTI PML (N) JI Pakistan
% S
up
port
Age
With the increase in age of the respondents, the popularity of PTI is noticeably declining whereas for PML (N) and JI Pakistan, it rises.
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Road to Premiership
Shahbaz Sharif (4% )
Nawaz Sharif (16% )
Imran Khan (70%)
When asked who’d they like to see as the next Prime Minister of Pakistan as whopping 70% respondents chose Imran Khan. This preference is aligned with their choice of political party as well
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Gender Preference
Males Females
Not a major gender disparity is seen for the choice preferred Prime Minister with 70% males and 71% females choosing Imran Khan to be their next Prime Minister
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Vote Distribution
PTI(68.5% )
Lahore39%
Karachi33%
ISB-RWP28%
PML (N)(19.6% )
Lahore57%
ISB-RWP29%
Karachi
15%
18-2429%
25-3042%
31-3921%
Above 409%
By City By Age
PTI(68.5% )
PML (N)(19.6% )
18-2426%
25-3039%
31-3922%
Above 4012%
Looking at the close race between PTI and PML (N), it was noted that the majority of respondents from Lahore, Karachi, Islamabad-Rawalpindi have chosen to vote for PTI in the upcoming elections on May 11th, 2013
While respondents who chose PTI as their preferred political party hailed from more than 170 cities across Pakistan, respondents from 120 cities chose PML (N)
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Vote Distribution by Working Status
PTI (68.5% )
PML (N) (19.6%)
JI Pakistan (2.68%)
MQM (2.25%)
PPP (1.70%)
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Then Vs Now (Nationwide)
Where PPP was the most popular party for the respondents, for the upcoming elections it has failed to appear as the top favorite now being swept off by PTI who is a favorite of the majority of respondents (68.5%)
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Then Vs Now (Lahore)
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Then Vs Now (Karachi)
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Then Vs Now (Islamabad)
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Then Vs Now (Males)
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Then Vs Now (Females)
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Change of Loyalty
A large percentage of the voters that now intend to vote for PTI are new voters (who did not cast their vote in the last elections)
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Why Vote?
A majority of the voters have chosen the political party based on the party’s leadership (68%)
55% of the respondent are hopeful their preferred political party will improve Pakistan’s conditions
46% voiced their disappointment with the previous government
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What They Value
District Candidate (32.67%)
Political Party
(67.33%)
District Candidate (28.24%)
Political Party
(71.76%)
PTI PML (N) JI
Political Party
(77.38%)
District Candidate (22.62%)
For a majority of respondents (77%) who picked PTI as their chosen party to vote for in the upcoming elections, the most influencing factor in their voting preference is the political party’s reputation
Comparatively for those respondents who are voting for JI in the upcoming elections, the credentials of the local candidate seem more appealing
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What Needs to be Done
Eradicating corruption and nepotism
Wiping out terrorism from Pakistan
Creating employment opportunities
Getting Pakistan out of the current electricity crisis
Increasing access to education
Tackling Pakistan’s foreign policy problems
Increasing country's tax collection
Tackling Pakistan’s circular debt problems
Solving Pakistan’s escalating food prices
Combating health and other social issues
22% 20% 19% 19% 10% 3%
2%
2%
1% 1%
Given a choice, the majority of the respondents (22%) want the new government to eradicate corruption and nepotism from the nation
Following close are respondents who wish to see a peaceful Pakistan (20%)
Surprisingly a very meager percentage opts for the government to tackle the circular debt problems in the nation
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Optimistic Pakistan
A whopping 86% of the Pakistani are positive that elections will take place on time
70% of the Pakistanis are optimistic about the election outcome, saying in the aftermath of successful elections, the situation in Pakistan will become better
Better (70%)
Worse (6%)
Elections will take place on time (86%)
Elections won’t take place on time (2%)
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Expectations Vs Aspirations
While 68.5% of the respondents aspire PTI to clean sweep the elections, a comparatively lower percentage is optimistic about the party’s winning in the upcoming elections