robotsexoskeletonsandrobots, exoskeletons, and smart homes pt 1.pdf · gartner hype cycle (2016)...
TRANSCRIPT
Management, Operations & Technology
Robots Exoskeletons andRobots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes
The Coming LTC Delivery Revolution
Isn’t this just i fi ti ?
Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 2
science fiction?
Isn’t this just i fi ti ?
Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 3
science fiction?
Isn’t this just i fi ti ?
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science fiction?
Isn’t this just i fi ti ?
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science fiction?
“B i d“But our industryis different…”
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BEFORE & AFTER
Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 7
BEFORE & AFTER
Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 8
BEFORE & AFTER
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BEFORE & AFTER
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BEFORE & AFTER
Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 11
BEFORE & AFTER
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BEFORE & AFTER
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BEFORE & AFTER
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BEFORE & AFTERCOMING SOONCOMING SOON
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BEFORE & AFTERCOMING SOONCOMING SOON
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But We Already Have Assistive Technology!
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Nursing & home care is still the #1 most dangerous workplace for non-fatal injuries
*This is despite No Lift policies and wideand wide availability of assistive technology
The 6 most dangerous LTC maneuvers
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Gartner Hype Cycle (2015) – Ignore at your peril…
Peak of Inflated Expectations
IoT PLATFORMCONNECTED HOMES
AFFECTIVE COMPUTINGSMART ROBOTS
Plateau of Productivity
HUMAN AUGMENTATIONBRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE
Slope of Enlightenment
Trough of Disillusionment
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Technology Trigger
Gartner Hype Cycle (2016) – Ignore at your peril…
Peak of Inflated ExpectationsCONNECTED
HOMES
IoT PLATFORM
HOMES
AFFECTIVE COMPUTING
SMART ROBOTS
Plateau of ProductivityAFFECTIVE COMPUTING
HUMAN AUGMENTATIONBRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE
Slope of Enlightenment
Trough of Disillusionment
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Technology Trigger
Rise of the Care Robots
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Is this real really? Follow the money
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Is this real, really? Follow the money
Is this real really? Follow the money
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Is this real, really? Follow the money
Multi-billion investments by Goldman S hSachs, Google, and IBMIBM
$15B per year$15B per year by 2021
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Robots in LTC: “Robear”
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Human Augmentation: Exoskeletons
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Exoskeletons
Affective Computing
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Smart Homes and the I f ThiInternet of Things
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When is it going to hit the market (mass adoption)?2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Peak of Inflated Expectations
CONNECTEDHOMES
SMART ROBOTS
BRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE
IoT PLATFORM
AFFECTIVE COMPUTING
HUMAN AUGMENTATION
Plateau of Productivity
Slope of Enlightenment
Trough of Disillusionment
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Technology Trigger
So, what’s this mean for today’s policies? And tomorrow’s?
% f1. 95% of consumers who will need care have rejected LTCi for the past 25 years.
2. Consumers will be more receptive to tech-based care than human-provided care.
3. We need to broaden our thinking about how to support older adults (we’re still d i i t i li i ith ALF b fitadministering policies with no ALF benefit
from 30 years ago).4. This is coming. Either we figure out how to
work with it, or someone else in another i d t ill
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industry will.