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RISK ASSESSMENT Reliance on Databases: Identifying existing risks 16/03/16 1

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Page 1: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

RISK ASSESSMENT

Reliance on Databases:

Identifying existing risks

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Page 2: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Sc. Committee&

Sc. Panels (8)

Food Authority

Risk Communicat

ion

RISK BASED ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE

Page 3: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets
Page 4: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Managing Risks

GENERALFOOD SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

MEASUREMENT

RISK PROFILE

PERFORMANCE

FSSAI - 16. 3b

SURVEILLANCE MONITORING & EVALUATION

CONTROL RISK - FACTORY INHERENT RISK - MARKET

GHP-GMP-GLP

HACCP

INSPECTIONS

3P AUDIT

PROCESS STDS (SELF CONTROL) STANDARDS

PRODUCT

Labeling

Food Additive

Contaminant

Pesticide

Ingredient

ProductCERTIFICATION

SELF AUDIT

TRACEABILITY

RECALL PLAN

SAFETY OBJECTIVE

AntibioticsCategory

Other . . . .

Page 5: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

RULE MAKING

RULE IMPACTRISK

ASSESSMENT CELL

DATA

FACTORY INSPECTION

(Source)

LAB RESULTS

(Market)

FOOD RISK INSTITUTION NETWORKING SYSTEM

FRINS

NATIONAL CENTER DISEASE CONTROL

NCDC

DATA DATA DATA

SPECIFIC FOOD SURVEYS

PACT

TOTAL DIET STUDY

TDS

Support Systems for Risk Assessment

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Page 6: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

1. MONITORING & CONTROL & SURVEILLANCE

Enforcement - directed - result based - consumer benefit measured Preventive (Safety) - trend rising (e.g. color additives) Emerging risk -

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Page 7: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

GNCT database Analysis

Pre-requisite learning

Conceptualizing -

Risk based data base for FSSAI

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Page 8: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Analyst Test Reports

S. No Data requested from No. of reports received

Time period

1. Delhi (GNCT) online August 2011

2 Maharashtra 114 January-March, 2016

3 TamilNadu 50 January-March, 2016

4 Gujarat 18 January-March, 2015 and 2016

5 KarnatakaNot Received6 CFL, Kolkata

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Page 9: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

GNCT - Data base 1. Good Data base - perhaps one of its kind in the country

– Gives a wealth of information

2. Overview of All Tests done – 2011 - 2016 (50months)

– 2015 (12 months)

3. Data mining of 2015 -– Most frequent failure (GMSUV)

– Which food sector/products failing

– What parameter is it failing

– Why is it failing ???

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Page 10: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Beverages (not

dairy, fruit, veg)2%

Cereal & Cereal Prdts

9%

Dairy Prdts & Analogs

20%

Fats, Oils, Fat Emulsions

13%Fruits &

Vegetables5%

Non Standard

36%

other0%

Salt Spices

& Cond13%

Sweetening Agt1%

Sweets & Confection

1%

[50 month] Beverages (not

dairy, fruit, veg)

2%

Cereal & Cereal Prdts

9%

Dairy Prdts & Analogs

17%

Fats, Oils, Fat

Emulsions9%

Fruits & Vegetable

s4%

Non Standard

45%

other0%

Salt Spices &

Cond12%

Sweetening Agt1%

Sweets & Confectio

n1%

[12 month]

Beverages (not

dairy, fruit, veg)1%

Cereal &

Cereal Prdts

5%

Dairy Prdts & Analogs

22%

Fats, Oils, Fat Emulsions

15%

Fruits & Vegetables

5%

Non Standard

41%

other1%

Salt Spices

& Cond9%

Sweetening Agt0%

Sweets & Confection

1%

12m 2013-14 Inspection & Analysis

Reflects similarity - routine 36-45% Non Standard Foods (always highest)

17-22% Milk & Milk Products 9-13% Spices 9-13% Oils 4-5% Fruits & Vegetables

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Page 11: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

GENUINE89%

MISBRANDED3%

SUBSTANDARD

3%UNSAFE

4%

VIOLATION1%

50 Month (2011-16)

GENUINE

MISBRANDED

SUBSTANDARD

UNSAFE

VIOLATION

GENUINE85%

MISBRANDED6%

SUBSTANDARD

3%UNSAFE

4%

VIOLATION2% 12 Month: 2015

GENUINE

MISBRANDED

SUBSTANDARD

UNSAFE

VIOLATION

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Page 12: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

2013-14 (12 months)

2015 (12 months)

In 2015

NSF 45% of total samples NSF 64% up in 2015

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16/03/16

Genuine79%

Misbranded9%

Substandard1%

Unsafe7%

Violation4%

Failure Type

Genuine

Misbranded

Substandard

Unsafe

Violation

NON STANDARD 12M

FAILURE TYPE No

Genuine 601

Misbranded 65

Substandard 6

Unsafe 57

Violation 31

13

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16/03/16

UNSAFE: 2015

TOBACCO

NOODLES

SWEETS

WHEAT/SELA RICE/ROLLED OATS

PREPARED FOODS

AMCHOOR CHUTNEY

/IMLI CHUTNEY

SUGAR COATED SAUNF

MURMURA/POP CORN

PAPARI NAMKEEN

SOYA CHAP

ROYAL MUNG VADI

CUT RED PAPRIKA IN BRINE

POORI

TANG ORANGE CONCENTRATE

DAL CHINI WHOLE

FOODS UNDER NON STANDARD NOTOBACCO 9NOODLES 12SWEETS 13

WHEAT/SELA RICE/ROLLED OATS 3

PREPARED FOODS 6AMCHOOR CHUTNEY /IMLI CHUTNEY 2SUGAR COATED SAUNF 2MURMURA/POP CORN 2PAPARI NAMKEEN 2SOYA CHAP 1

ROYAL MUNG VADI 1CUT RED PAPRIKA IN BRINE 1POORI 1TANG ORANGE CONCENTRATE 1DAL CHINI WHOLE 1TOTAL 57

COLOR 50%

LEAD26%

TOBACCO18%

INSECT /FUNG

6%UNSAFE TYPE

COLOR

LEAD

TOBACCO

INSECT /FUNG

14

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

mg/

kg

Noodle

TASTEMAKER

CAKE

Sample CAKE TASTEMAKERN31 0.33 2.9N33 0 6.98N35 1.97 6.48N36 0.27 4N37 0 3.54

N38 0.89 3.89N39 0.93 3.91N40 1.25 4.59N41 1.43 3.05N42 0 3.95N43 0 4.09

N44 0 3.6N45 1.76 4AVG 0.68 4.2

1. “Tastemaker’ tests higher for lead2. Reasons - sources3. Remedy - long term

15

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s4 S5 S6 S7 S8 S9 S10 S11 S14 S20 S21 S27 S52

SAMPLE 119 131 149 145 135 115 123 118 234 124 220 157 133

0

50

100

150

200

250

m

g

/

k

e

INDIAN SWEETS

1. Maximum Limit 100 ppm2. Average 146 ppm

Exceeding ML -

o legal infringement

Exceeding ADI -

o determines safety

Reason for excess ?

o Insufficiency of limit?o Inability to test ?

Remedy ?

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Page 17: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

NON STD79%

CEREAL10%

SPICE4%

SWEETENER4%

F&V3%

UNSAFE FOODS 2015

NON STD

CEREAL

SPICE

SWEETENER

F&V

TOTAL UNSAFE 2015

NON STD 57

CEREAL 7

SPICE 3

SWEETENER 3

F&V 2

TOTAL 72

What is the ‘ story ‘

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Page 18: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Genuine Misbranded Substandard Unsafe Violation

Sample Tested in 2015

Food Category

No. of sample tested

Genuine 1431

Misbranded 101

Substandard 41

Unsafe 73

Violation 33

“Sub-standard” an article of food shall be deemed to be sub-standard if it does not meet thespecified standards but not so as to render the article of food unsafe

SUB STANDARD

Page 19: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

0

2

19

6

1

0 0

6

1

5

0

1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Analysis Report of Substandard Food Products

A-BeveragesB-Cereal and Cereal ProductsC- Dairy Products and AnaloguesD- Fats, Oils and Fat EmulsionsE-Irradiation Of FoodF- Meat and meat ProductsG- Non StandardH- Salt, Spices and CondimentsI- Sweetening agentJ- Sweets and Confectionery

TOTAL 41

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

A B C D

Milk Fat less than prescribed limit

BR reading exceeds, RM Value

less than prescribed limit, Baudounin test

positive

Milk fat and SNF less Milk SNF less than the presribed

Reason Behind the Substandard Food Product

Page 21: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Pasteurized Full

Cream Milk

Standarized Milk

Toned MilkFull Cream

MilkFull Cream

MilkToned Milk Mixed Milk Mixed Milk

Pasteurized Full

Cream Milk

Observation 8.59 8.16 8.24 8.64 8.6 8.24 7.14 8.21 8.76

Standard 9 8.5 8.5 9 9 8.5 8.5 8.5 9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Page 22: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Data-based Surveillance and monitoring

1. Risk based inspections/analysis - food sector wise

Fish, meat, poultry - low to nil

Fresh fruit, vegetables - pesticide residues, contaminants - low to nil

Food grains, nuts - toxins - low to nil

2. Failure reductions - intent and measure?

E.g. Indian Sweets - exceeding color limits

Milk - Solids non fat (SNF)

Review of standards/analytical reproducibility

3. Targeted Enforcement Action

Directed V/s Routine actions

4. Review Analyst decisions -

Quality of citing offences

Role of FSO/DO - in safety and risk reduction (review)

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Page 23: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Analyst Test Reports -

FDA Total Reports Non Conforming Conforming

Maharashtra 114 64 50

Tamilnadu 50 42 8

Gujarat 18 18 0

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1. Failures declared as “Non conforming”2. Not grouped as: Misbranded, Substandard, Unsafe and Violation3.

Page 24: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

MAHARASHTRA

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Page 25: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

S. No Food Category Genuine Misbranded Substandard Unsafe Violation

1 Cereal & Cereal Products

8 2 0 0 0

2 Dairy Products & Analogues

21 1 17 0 5

3 Fats, Oils & Fat Emulsions

11 0 11 0 0

4 Non-Standard 1 5 2 6 6

5 Fruit & Vegetable Products

3 0 0 1 0

6 Salt, Spices, Condiments & Related Products

5 0 2 4 0

7 Beverages 1 2 0 1 1

8 Other Food Products and Ingredients

0 0 0 1 2

9 Total 50 10 32 13 14

25

Food Category wise Sample Taken in January-March,2016

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16/03/16 26

0

1

2

3

4

Milk Fat and SNF Milk Fat Milk Protein SNF BRR, R Value Milk Fat & Milk Solid

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Factors for substandard food

Reason for substandard food in Dairy products and Analogues

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Factors

Reason For Unsafe Food

Page 28: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

2. GUJARAT

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Page 29: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

S. No Food Category Misbranded Substandard Unsafe

1 Cereal & Cereal Products

0 1 1

2 Dairy Products & Analogues

0 3 0

3 Fats, Oils & Fat Emulsions

0 7 0

4 Non-Standard 2 0 3

5 Beverages 1 0 0

6 Total 3 11 4

29

Food Category wise Sample Taken in January-March,2016

Page 30: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Analyst Report Data: PHL, Vadodara

S. No Year Month Total No. of samples received

Total no. of samples analyzed

Total no. of samples passed

Total no. of samples failed

1 2015 January 112 112 112 00

2 2015 February 106 106 100 06

3 2015 March 94 94 89 05

TOTAL 312 312 301 11

4 2016 January 92 92 90 02

5 2016 February 96 96 90 06

6 2016 March (up to 29.03.2016)

50 47 46 01

TOTAL 238 235 226 09

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Page 31: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Reason for Substandard Food Sample

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(Cottonseed Oil)BRR, Iodine Value, BTT, AV

64% (7)

(Besan)Foreign Starch

9%

(Paneer), BRR9%

(Kulfi) TSS, Milk Fat, BRR

9%

(Ghee) BRR, RM Value

9%

Page 32: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

TAMILNADU

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Page 33: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

S. No Food Category Genuine Misbranded Substandard Unsafe Violation

1 Cereal & Cereal Products

5 0 0 1 3

2 Dairy Products & Analogues

0 1 8 1 0

3 Fats, Oils & Fat Emulsions

0 5 2 0 1

4 Non-Standard 0 2 1 6 3

5 Fruit & Vegetable Products

1 3 2 1 3

6 Salt, Spices, Condiments & Related Products

1 1 1 4 1

7 Beverages 1 1 1 1 1

8 Sweetening agent including Honey

0 1 1 2 0

9 Sweets & Confectionery

0 1 1 1 0

10 Total 8 15 17 17 12

33

Food Category wise Sample Taken in January-March,2016

Page 34: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Reason for Substandard Food for Dairy Products and Analogues

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0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Milk Fat and SNF SNF Milk Fat BRR, Reichert Value

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Factors

Hot Milk &

Buffalo Milk

Cow Milk

Paneer

Ghee

Page 35: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Unsafe Food Analysis

16/03/16 35

5%5%

33%

6%

28%

6%

6%

11%

Cereal & Cereal Products

Dairy Products & Analogues

Non-Standard

Fruit & Vegetable Products

Salt, Spices, Condiments & Related Products Beverages

Sweets and Confectionery

Sweetening agent includig honey

Fats, Oils & Fat Emulsions

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Synthetic Colour Live Insects, Acidity Extracted Fat

Mineral Oil, Starch

Sulphur DioxideP

erc

en

tage

Factors

Reason for unsafe food

Page 36: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Moving Forward: 1. Monthly Analyst Test Reports (10th every month)

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Page 37: RISK ASSESSMENT · namkeen soya chap royal mung vadi cut red paprika in brine poori tang orange concentrate dal chini whole foods under non standard no tobacco 9 noodles 12 sweets

Summary• National database

• Risk based test reports

• Risk based inspection reports (FSMS)

• Categorize food failures (by risk)• Safety (microbiological, contaminants, residues etc.

• Quality/Composition

• Economic fraud

• Monitoring trends

• Enforcement Prioritization

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16/03/16 38

FSSAI

Thank You