richard essery and cécile ménard school of geosciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at swamp angel,...

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JULES performance in ESM-SnowMIP Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh

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Page 1: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

JULES performance in ESM-SnowMIPRichard Essery and Cécile Ménard

School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh

Page 2: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

ESM-SnowMIP

Page 3: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

Intercomparison projects with snow components

Forcing

Extent Coupled Uncoupled

Global

AMIP

CMIP

ESM-SnowMIP

GSWP

WaterMIP

ESM-SnowMIP

Regional

CORDEX

ReSCUES

PILPS2e

Rhône-Agg

ReSCUES

Local GABLS

PILPS2d

SnowMIP-1 and -2

ESM-SnowMIP

Page 4: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

ESM-SnowMIP reference sites

• BERMS pine, Saskatchewan

• BERMS spruce, Saskatchewan

• BERMS aspen, Saskatchewan

• Col de Porte, France

• Reynolds Creek, Idaho

+ additional glacier, tundra and ice sheet sites to follow

• Sapporo, Japan

• Senator Beck, Colorado

• Sodankylä, Finland

• Swamp Angel, Colorado

• Weissfluhjoch, Switzerland

Map: Sturm et al. (1995) seasonal snow cover classification

Page 5: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

ESM-SnowMIP models

ESM land surface schemes Ensemble models

BCC_AVIM ESCROC

CABLE FSM

CLASS Noah-MP

CLM SUMMA

CoLM

HTESSEL Hydrology models

ISBA AMUNDSEN

JULES MAPS

JSBACH SMAP

MATSIRO SPONSOR

ORCHIDEE SRGM

SWAP

Snow physics models VEG3D

Crocus

SNOWPACK

Page 6: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

JULES performance in ESM-SnowMIP

e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, ColoradoJULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false.

JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true.

Page 7: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

7-20 years and up to 5 evaluation variables at

10 sites →

> 105 daily evaluation data points

JULES performance in ESM-SnowMIP

Page 8: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

JULES performance in ESM-SnowMIPranked snow mass errors in FSM 32-member ensemble

JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false.

JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true.

Page 9: Richard Essery and Cécile Ménard School of GeoSciences ... · e.g. 2 winters at Swamp Angel, Colorado JULES nsmax = 0, l_spec_albedo = .false. JULES nsmax = 3, l_spec_albedo = .true

ESM-SnowMIP aims

• identify gross model errors and provide data for model improvement

• benchmark models – what is the best model performance that can be

obtained consistent with information and errors in driving and

evaluation data?

• understand model surface mass balance in terms of surface energy

balance – right answers for the right reasons

• use reference site simulations to understand model behaviour in

CMIP6 and GSWP3