results of the 1999/2000

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1 Results of the 1999/2000 Household Expenditure Survey and the Rebasing of the Consumer Price Indices 九九九九九九九九九 九九九九九九九九九九 九九九九九九九九九九九 1

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一九九九至二零零零年. 住戶開支統計調查結果. 及重訂消費物價指數基期. Results of the 1999/2000. Household Expenditure Survey. and the Rebasing of the. Consumer Price Indices. 1. 住戶開支統計調查. 按月零售物價統計調查. Household Expenditure Survey. Monthly Retail Price Survey. 食品. Food. 住屋. 27%. Housing. 30%. 開支權數. 價格. Price. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Results of the 1999/2000

1

Results of the 1999/2000

Household Expenditure Surveyand the Rebasing of theConsumer Price Indices

一九九九至二零零零年住戶開支統計調查結果及重訂消費物價指數基期

1

Page 2: Results of the 1999/2000

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消費物價指數 Consumer Price Index

Monthly Retail Price Survey按月零售物價統計調查

Price價格

Household Expenditure Survey

住戶開支統計調查

開支權數Expenditure Weights

食品Food

Housing住屋

30%

27%

CPI

Page 3: Results of the 1999/2000

3

一九九九年十月October 1999

雙周期一 ...................….....…......….Bi-weeklycycle 1

雙周期二十六Bi-weeklycycle 26

September 2000二零零零年九月

Page 4: Results of the 1999/2000

4

households in sample7 700 住戶樣本

6 100co-operative households

合作住戶

Page 5: Results of the 1999/2000

5

回應率Response Rate

住戶開支統計調查HES

1984/85 68.3%1989/90 70.9%1994/95 76.2%1999/2000 79.5%

Page 6: Results of the 1999/2000

6

Consumer Price Index消費物價指數

6

Page 7: Results of the 1999/2000

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消費物價指數Consumer Price Index

甲類 CPI(A) 50 乙類 CPI(B) 30 丙類 CPI(C) 10

住戶所佔百分比 % of households指數數列 Index series covered

7

綜合 Composite CPI 90

Page 8: Results of the 1999/2000

8

Index series 指數數列

1999/20001994/95

綜合 $4,000 - $59,999 $4,500 - $65,999Composite CPI 甲類 $4,000 - $15,999 $4,500 - $18,499CPI (A) 乙類 $16,000 - $29,999 $18,500 - $32,499CPI (B) 丙類 $30,000 - $59,999 $32,500 - $65,999CPI (C)

Monthly Household Expenditure住戶每月開支

消費物價指數的開支範圍Expenditure Brackets of CPI

Page 9: Results of the 1999/2000

9Composite CPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CPI(C)

Miscellaneous services

Transport

Miscellaneous goods

Clothing & footwearAlcoholic drinks &

tobaccoElectricity, gas

&water

Housing

Food

雜項服務交通

雜項物品

衣履 耐用物品煙酒電力、燃氣 及水住屋

食品 29.50 26.67

37.3031.88 29.37

25.9420.38 21.38

28.5329.91

24.92

27.9029.68

33.82 31.22

6.66

5.12

6.958.04

5.496.24

4.344.96 5.85

6.93 6.31

6.73

6.145.70

6.035.25 6.44

5.58 5.79

6.43

7.779.01

7.178.23 7.57

9.05 8.799.94

11.90 14.429.27 11.70 12.30 14.68 14.42 17.34

29.13

2.44 2.81 2.66

2.98

3.79 3.99

1.68 2.02

1.18 1.350.94

2.06 1.50

0.860.77 0.39

3.36

4.13 4.47

4.55

1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000

Durable goods

綜合消費物價指數 甲類消費物價指數 乙類消費物價指數 丙類消費物價指數

開支權數 Expenditure Weights (%)

9

Page 10: Results of the 1999/2000

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加入Add

減除Remove

. 壽司

. 家居保險

. 電動按摩椅

. 筆記簿型電腦

. 數碼相機

. 互聯網服務

SushiHome insuranceMassage chairNotebook computerDigital cameraInternet service

. 火水爐

. 租用影音設備

. 打字機

Kerosene stoveRental of audio-visual equipmentTypewriter

例子 Examples

消費籃CPI

Basket

Page 11: Results of the 1999/2000

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按月零售物價統計調查Monthly Retail Price Survey搜集的價目總數 45 000No. of price quotations collected訪問的零售商店數目 4 000No. of retail outlets visited消費籃的組成Composition of the consumption basket

9 類別97 組別

984 項目SectionsGroupsItems

Page 12: Results of the 1999/2000

12

綜合消費物價指數Composite Consumer Price Index

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

110

八月

Aug

1998

十一月

Nov

1998

二月

Feb

1999

五月

May

1999

八月

Aug

1999

十一月

Nov

1999

二月

Feb

2000

五月

May

2000

八月

Aug

2000

十一月

Nov

2000

二月

Feb

2001

指數 In

dex

以 1994/95 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數 ( 按比例換算至 1999/2000 年 =100)1994/95-based Composite CPI (re-scaled to 1999/2000 = 100)

以 1999/2000 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數1999/2000-based Composite CPI

(10/1999 - 09/2000 =100)

0

Page 13: Results of the 1999/2000

13

綜合消費物價指數Composite Consumer Price Index

9296

100104108112

116120

十月

Oct

1994

二月

Feb

1995

六月

Jun

1995

十月

Oct

1995

二月

Feb

1996

六月

Jun

1996

十月

Oct

1996

二月

Feb

1997

六月

Jun

1997

十月

Oct

1997

二月

Feb

1998

六月

Jun

1998

十月

Oct

1998

二月

Feb

1999

六月

Jun

1999

十月

Oct

1999

二月

Feb

2000

六月

Jun

2000

十月

Oct

2000

二月

Feb

2001

指數 In

dex

以 1994/95 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數1994/95-based Composite CPI

0

Page 14: Results of the 1999/2000

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1999/2000 重訂基期—消費物價指數基期由 1994/95( 舊數列 )重訂至 1999/2000 ( 新數列 )1999/2000 Rebasing Exercise – CPI rebased from 1994/95 (old series)

to 1999/2000 (new series)綜合

Composite CPI甲類

CPI(A)乙類

CPI(B)丙類

CPI(C)新

New舊old

差別Difference

新New

舊old

差別Difference

新New

舊old

差別Difference

新New

舊old

差別Difference

月/年Month/year

(%) (%)(% point百分點) (%) (%)

(% point百分點) (%) (%)

(% point百分點) (%) (%)

(% point百分點)

10/2000 -3.1 -2.7 -0.4 -2.7 -2.1 -0.6 -3.2 -2.8 -0.4 -3.4 -3.5 0.111/2000 -2.3 -2.0 -0.3 -1.9 -1.3 -0.6 -2.4 -2.1 -0.3 -2.5 -2.7 0.212/2000 -2.1 -1.8 -0.3 -1.9 -1.4 -0.5 -2.1 -1.8 -0.3 -2.3 -2.3 001/2001 -1.5 -1.2 -0.3 -1.4 -1.0 -0.4 -1.7 -1.3 -0.4 -1.4 -1.3 -0.102/2001 -2.4 -2.1 -0.3 -2.5 -1.9 -0.6 -2.5 -2.2 -0.3 -2.3 -2.0 -0.303/2001 -1.9 -1.3 -0.6 -2.1 -1.4 -0.7 -2.0 -1.4 -0.6 -1.5 -1.1 -0.4

Page 15: Results of the 1999/2000

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綜合消費物價指數的按年變動率在新舊數列的差別比較Comparison of differences in year-on-year (YOY) rates ofchange between the old and new series of Composite CPI

1994/95 消費物價指數重訂基期1994/95 CPI rebasing exercise

1999/2000 消費物價指數重訂基期1999/2000 CPI rebasing exercise

10/1995

11/1995

12/1995

01/1996

02/1996

03/1996

差別 Difference

(% point 百分點 )

8.4 8.8 -0.4

8.1 8.4 -0.3

7.0 7.2 -0.2

6.5 6.8 -0.3

6.9 7.3 -0.4

7.0 7.3 -0.3

-3.1 -2.7 -0.4

-2.3 -2.0 -0.3

-2.1 -1.8 -0.3

-1.5 -1.2 -0.3

-2.4 -2.1 -0.3

-1.9 -1.3 -0.6

月 / 年Month/year

差別Difference

(% point 百分點 ) 按年變動率 YOY 按年變動率 YOY新 New 新 New舊 Old 舊 Old

10/2000

11/2000

12/2000

01/2001

02/2001

03/2001

月 / 年Month/year

Page 16: Results of the 1999/2000

16

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

以一九九四至九五年及以一九九九至二零零零年為基期的綜合消費物價指數的按年變動率的比較Comparison of year-on-year rates of change for

the 1994/95-based and 1999/2000-based Composite CPI

按年變動

率Y

ear-

on-y

ear

rate

of c

hang

e

(%)

以 1994/95 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數1994/95-based Composite CPI

以 1999/2000 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數1999/2000-basedComposite CPI

Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar9 月 12 月 3 月 6 月 9 月 12 月 3 月 6 月 9 月 12 月 3 月

1998 1998 1999 1999 1999 1999 2000 2000 2000 2000 2001

Page 17: Results of the 1999/2000

17

綜合消費物價指數住戶每月平均開支Average monthly expenditure for households in Composite CPI

住戶每月平均開支($)Average monthly household expenditure ($)

1994/95 1999/2000

個人電腦及軟件Personal computers andsoftware

66 190

流動電話服務Mobile phone service

31 358

互聯網服務Internet service

- 39

流動電話Mobile phones

11# 122# ( 包括有線電話 including corded phones)

Page 18: Results of the 1999/2000

18

按消費物價指數類別住戶劃分的每月平均開支 ($)Average monthly expenditure by type of CPI households($)

甲類消費物價指數住戶 乙類消費物價指數住戶 丙類消費物價指數住戶 CPI(A) households CPI(B) households CPI(C) households

1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000個人電腦及軟件Personal Computers 15 75 96 252 219510and software

流動電話服務 10 254 44 462 94515Mobile phone service

互聯網服務 - 25 - 49 - 70Internet service

流動電話 4 # 66 18 # 176 20 #209

Mobile phones

# 包括有線電話 including corded phones

Page 19: Results of the 1999/2000

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在以 1994/95 年及以 1999/2000 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數按年變動率之差別中佔較大比率的商品服務組別Commodity/ service groups contributing to the differences in the YOY in Composite CPI

between 1994/95-based and 1999/2000-based series

商品服務組別權數Weight (%) 價格按年變動率

YOY of prices (%)差別 Difference

Commodity/service groups 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 (% pt百分點)

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E)

電腦及通訊設備Computers and telecom.equipment

0.47 1.62 -10.7 -17.6 -0.24

租金(連差餉及地租)Rent, incl. rates and govt.rent

26.32 26.66 -4.5 -4.7 -0.05

旅遊 Package tours 1.56 1.61 21.6 18.0 -0.05

其他 Others +0.04淨值 Net -0.30

[ 2001 年 1 月 Jan 2001 ]

Page 20: Results of the 1999/2000

20

商品服務組別權數Weight (%) 價格按年變動率

YOY of prices (%) 差別 Difference

Commodity/service groups 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 (% pt百分點)

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E)

電腦及通訊設備Computers and telecom.equipment

0.47 1.62 -10.8 -16.1 -0.21

電話及其他通訊服務Telephone and othercommunications services

2.04 3.27 5.3 0.4 -0.10

其他 Others +0.01

淨值 Net -0.30

以 1994/95 年及以 1999/2000 年為基期的綜合消費物價指數按年變動率之差別中佔較大比率的商品服務組別Commodity/ service groups contributing to the differences in the YOY in Composite CPI

between 1994/95-based and 1999/2000-based series

[ 2001 年 2 月 Feb 2001 ]

Page 21: Results of the 1999/2000

21

商品服務組別權數

Weight (%)價格按年變動率

YOY of prices (%) 差別

DifferenceCommodity/service groups 1994/95 1999/2000 1994/95 1999/2000 (% pt百分點)

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E)

電腦及通訊設備Computers and telecom.equipment

0.47 1.62 -11.6 -21.9 -0.31

電話及其他通訊服務Telephone and othercommunications services

2.04 3.27 5.5 0.7 -0.09

女裝外衣Women’s outerclothing

2.49 1.50 0.0 -3.7 -0.06

租金(連差餉及地租)Rent, incl. rates and govt.rent

26.32 26.66 -3.6 -3.8 -0.04

電力 Electricity 1.48 1.70 -23.3 -22.1 -0.04雜項物品Miscellaneous goods

6.72 5.70 2.2 2.0 -0.03

購買車輛Purchases of motor vehicles

0.23 0.30 -6.6 -11.5 -0.02

旅遊 Package tours 1.56 1.61 1.8 0.6 -0.02其他 Others +0.01

淨值 Net -0.60

佔以 1994/95 為基期與以 1999/2000 為基期的綜合消費物價指數按年變動率比較之差別中較大比率的商品服務組別Commodity/ service groups contributing to the differences in the YOY in Composite CPI

between 1994/95-based and 1999/2000-based series[ 2001 年 3 月 Mar 2001 ]

Page 22: Results of the 1999/2000

22

一九九九年十月October 1999

二零零一年十二月December 2001

為基期的消費物價指數數列 based-CPI series1994/95

停止編製及發表Discontinue for compilation an

d publication

為基期的消費物價指數數列 based-CPI series1999/2000 …...

27 月 months

Page 23: Results of the 1999/2000

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Available around early June 2001

詳細報告將於二零零一年六月初出版