residential hvac brown bag march 15, 2016 · 2016-03-15 · residential hvac brown bag march 15,...
TRANSCRIPT
Residential HVAC Brown Bag
March 15, 2016
Presenters:
Sarah F. Moore, Residential Sector Lead
Jessica Kramer, Residential Senior Program Support
Bonnie Watson, HVAC Market Research Lead
Michelle Lichtenfels, Commercial Program Manager
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Discussion Topics
PTCS
Quality
Assurance
• Improving Installation Performance
• Informing Program Design
Market Research
• Leveraging HVAC Sales Data
• Informing Program Design
PTCS &
Air NW
• Collaboration between Residential and Commercial HVAC
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Pre May 2015
Post May 2015
Inspectors: 9 utilities and CLEAResult
History & Evolution of QA Process
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Gains from Grading Model
More Detail on Failures
Identify Trends
Improve Trainings & Outreach
Review Inspection
Results
Revisit Failing Criteria
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
2015 Projects: Passes & Fails
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
PTCS Duct Seal "F" Grades FY 2015
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
ASHP Inspection "F" Grades FY 2015
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Next Steps
Review data
quarterly
Identify trends
Update team on the findings and trends: +Quality Inspector and PTCS Trainer Meetings +PTCS Trainings/Exams +PTCS Communications
Review program design
HVAC Market Research
A preview into what we learned about
the HVAC market
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Residential HVAC Supply Chain
Manufacturers Distributors Contractors
& Builders
End Users
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Consolidated Market Players
Manufacturers Distributors
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Fragmented Market Players
Contractors
& Builders
End Users
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
When do People
Need a New Heat Pump?
When new homes
are built When units
burn out
~56% ~44%
Source: Momentum Savings model, PENRES (1992) and RBSA (2011) data
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
What Utilities Touch Today
Source: Regional utility program data (publics and IOUs) and AHRI shipment data
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
High-Efficiency HVAC Sales
Need a Boost
AT OR ABOVE
PROGRAM
MINIMUM
EFFICIENCY
(≥9.0 HSPF) BELOW PROGRAM
MINIMUM EFFICIENCY
(<9.0 HSPF) 82%
18%
Source: Distributor sales data for 2013 and 2014
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
ASHP Efficiency Requirements
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018*
HS
PF
Federal Standards Program Requirements
CURRENT
SAVINGS PAST
SAVINGS
FUTURE
SAVINGS
POTENTIAL
*Projection
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Conclusion
Opportunity to engage with partners
that influence decision-making
Still lots of opportunity to help the
HVAC industry become more efficient
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Next Steps
Further Research
Program collaborating with Market Research,
NEEA, Commercial
Review program design with
Utility Engagement
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Residential and Commercial HVAC
Collaboration
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
QUESTIONS? DISCUSSION
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Contact
• Sarah F. Moore, [email protected]
• Jessica Kramer, [email protected]
• Bonnie Watson, [email protected]
• Michelle Lichtenfels, [email protected]
Appendix
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
PTCS Duct Seal "F" Grades FY 2015
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
ASHP Inspection "F" Grades FY 2015
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
CR Inspectors vs. Utility Inspectors
Time period reviewed: Since Grading System Implemented
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Example of Grading Model
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
• DS and HP add the total projects slides…
• Is it possible to show in the HP that is VSHP
please do this.