European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation

Research Challenges for Next Generation ATM Systems

The Road for European ATM Research

AIAA’s Aviation Technology, Integration and Operations conference Belfast, 18th September 2007

Pierre ANDRIBETDeputy Director EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre

ObjectivesObjectives

A consistent, focussed and userA consistent, focussed and user--driven projectdriven project

Ambitious but realistic objectives for the European ATM infrastrAmbitious but realistic objectives for the European ATM infrastructure:ucture:Triple capacityTriple capacityReduce by 50% ATM costsReduce by 50% ATM costsIncrease safety by a factor of 10Increase safety by a factor of 1010% reduction of environmental impact per flight10% reduction of environmental impact per flight

Consistent (and Consistent (and eveneven more more ambitiousambitious) ) withwith ACAREACARE

A European programme with worldwide reachA European programme with worldwide reach

3 phases3 phases

DeploymentDeploymentDevelopmentDevelopmentDefinitionDefinition

200820082008 201620162016 2020 >2020 >2020 >200420042004

We are here

We are here

SESAR Definition Phase will identify Research needs

AirTransport

Framework:The

CurrentSituation

AirTransport

Framework:The

CurrentSituation

ATM Performance

Targets

ATM Performance

TargetsATM

TargetConcept

ATM Target

Concept

ATMDeploymentSequence

ATMDeploymentSequence

ATMMaster Plan

of Action

ATMMaster Plan

of Action

WorkProgramme

for 2008-2012

WorkProgramme

for 2008-2012

07/06 12/06 06/07 11/07 02/08 03/08

D 5 D 6

WP 3.4.2: R&D Master Plan

The ATM The ATM The ATM

Target Target Target ConceptConceptConcept

WP 4.3.2 &4.3.3:Research Work Programme

3 R&D Work Programme Streams

2010 2015 2020

2010 2015 2020

DeploymentResearch Development

DeploymentDev

elopmen

t.

Operation

Operation

Short-term Implementation Stream

2020 System Development Stream

Long-term Innovative Research Stream

DeploymentResearch Development Operation

2010 2015 2020

2010 2015 2020

DeploymentResearch Development

DeploymentDev

elopmen

t.

Operation

Operation

Short-term Implementation Stream

2020 System Development Stream

Long-term Innovative Research Stream

DeploymentResearch Development Operation

Scope of R&D in the SESAR Joint Undertaking (JU)

From vision to implementation Research - a mandatory step

R & D

Concept ValidationConcept Validation

Technology Development and Validation

Technology Development and Validation

D 306/2007

Concept Selection

Concept Selection

DeploymentDeployment

2013 2020

Systems and Equipment Development

Systems and Equipment Development

Research Development

ResearchThings that must be achievedConcept ValidationConcept Validation

R & D•New concept will impact operators & organisation:

• Collaborative processes (Airlines/ Airports / ANSPs/ CFMU) for Capacity / Demand balancing (from 1 year before the flight up to the morning of the flight)

• Separation between Aircraft (in the air and on the ground) delegated to pilots

• …=>•Validation of working procedures:

• Simulations, Prototyping• Modelisation of actors’

behaviours• Live trials

•Validation of optimisation algorithms:

• Optimisation of trajectories• Controllers aids Tools

Operational Viability Assessment

Operational Viability Assessment

Performance and Environment Impact Assessment

• Provide evidence that the system can attain the required level of performances:

• Threefold increase in Capacity

• Environmental impact –minus 10%

• Predictability -1mn/+3mn• Using 2020 traffic forecast:

• Analytical modelling• Fast time simulation• Noise and emission

modelling,• ATFM modelling• …

Performance and Environment Impact Assessment

• Provide evidence that the system doesn't increase number of incidents/accidents with traffic increase:

• Same number of incidents/accidents with 3 times more traffic

• Assigning Target Levels of Safety to sub systems:

• Using a holistic top-down modelling (Integrated Risk Picture-IRP)

• As a first step of the certification process

Safety Assessment

Safety Assessment

ResearchThings that must be achieved

R & D

Concept ValidationConcept Validation

Technology Development and Validation

Technology Development and Validation

D 306/2007

Concept Selection

Concept Selection

DeploymentDeployment

2013 2020

Systems and Equipment Development

Systems and Equipment Development

Research Things that must be achievedTechnology Development

and ValidationTechnology Development

and Validation

RTA

AUTHORIZEDRBTA

Current Pos

EXECUTEDRBTX

PLANNEDRBTP

RTA

AUTHORIZEDRBTA

Current PosCurrent Pos

EXECUTEDRBTX

PLANNEDRBTP

Copy

right

Airb

usCo

pyrig

ht A

irbus

• System of Systems Architecture design

• Assessment of Architecture evolution

• Modelling of Architecture performances

• Design and prototyping of network-centric backbone:

• Exchange Mechanism• Middleware

System Architecture Studies

System Architecture Studies

Technology Feasibility

• Identification and feasibility studies (prototyping) of critical elements:

• A/G trajectory exchanges• FMS / TP accuracy• CDM mechanisms• Controller tools• Cockpit evolutions• …

Technology Feasibility

• Sub-systems integration• Large scale trials

System Integration

System Integration

Time

An iterative process to control risks and to integrate R&D activities in a consolidated programme

All these phases being overseen by Programme Management and System Engineering activities that will:

• Derive all R&D activities from the concept selection

• Integrate results in a set of System and sub-Systems specifications validated for the deployment phase

System

Arch

itectu

re stu

dies

System of Systems

Architecture Specifications

Sub-Systems specifications

Architecture modeling

SWIM M/W Studies

Validated SoSarchitecture

feedbackSESAR CONOPS

PerformanceAssessment

Operability assessment

Safety assessment

Concept refinement

Validated Concept(OSEDs)Concept Validation

feedback

Validated Technical choices

specifications

Technical issues

identification

Sub systems modeling

Sub systems Prototyping

Technical experimentations

feedback

Tech

nolog

ical S

tudies

Validated Systems specification

Integrated Test bed

specifications

Integrated Test bed

Development

Large scale trials

feedback

System

integ

ratio

n

2010 2015 2020

2010 2015 2020

DeploymentResearch Development

DeploymentDev

elopmen

t.

Operation

Operation

Short-term Implementation Stream

2020 System Development Stream

Long-term Innovative Research Stream

DeploymentResearch Development Operation

Scope of R&D in theSESAR Joint Undertaking (JU)

Long term innovative researchLong term innovative research

Preserve Resources for the Longer-TermStimulate Creativity

Research

Long term innovative researchLong term innovative research

Imagining a greenergreener and smartersmarter Air Transport Systemenabling sustainablesustainable development

BottomBottom--up studiesup studies focused on an initial visionvision of the future Air Transport System

Coherency Coherency with the air transport community’s views

Inspired byInspired by ACAREACARE SRA and building upon NextGen and SESAR concept SESAR concept (as (as baselines)baselines).

All activities performed in partnershippartnership

Research must be integrated in a full programme that establishes the link with implementation.

SESAR JU will organise an adequate management structure, for this programme.

Worldwide cooperation in ATM R&D will be THE precursor to a truly harmonised global concept and the basis for acceptance of fully interoperable onboard and ground based systems

ConclusionConclusion

Thank YouThank You