res integration challenges: market and grid problems and potential solutions
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RES Integration Challenges: Market and Grid Problems and Potential Solutions October 11, 2013, Thessaloniki, Greece. Dr. Alex Papalexopoulos, CEO and Founder, ECCO International, San Francisco, CA. Power Market Challenges & Opportunities. Where is the Problem?. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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RES Integration Challenges: Market and Grid Problems and Potential Solutions
October 11, 2013, Thessaloniki, GreeceDr. Alex Papalexopoulos, CEO and Founder, ECCO International, San Francisco, CA
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Power Market Challenges & Opportunities
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Where is the Problem? Load is stochastic, variable and uncertain
PV solar output is also stochastic, variable and uncertain
Supplies can also be stochastic
Need to know size, probability and duration of any shortfalls in both capacity and ramping capability
System needs flexible capacity to deal with the increased uncertainty and variability
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Where is the Problem?The penetration of Solar PV will continue to increase as more countries adopt Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) and continue to enforce more stringent targets
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The Anatomy of the “Duck”
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Implications for the Power Market Solar PV complicates the power market
clearing process (Day-Ahead, Hour-Ahead, Real-Time)
Solar PV suffers from lack of dispatchability
Current practices treat Solar PV energy outside the market process
Solar PV puts substantial downward pressure on market clearing prices (the number of negative prices is increasing)
The transmission grid is becoming increasingly congested
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Key Tools Available to the Power Market
Change the Power Market design rules to accommodate solar PV
Invest in flexible generation (gas fired power plants)
Implement demand response
Develop storage facilities
Curtailment of Solar PV
Improve transmission planning and expansion
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Power Market Design Rule Changes Develop Ancillary Services products for better
balancing, better price signals, better incentives (Performance based Frequency Regulation service, Ramping products, Load Following, etc.)
Allow very large negative bids to clear the market
Develop better forecasting tools for load, solar PV, ramping requirements, etc.
Develop Intra-Hour Scheduling financially binding Markets (every 15 minutes)
Develop centralized Capacity Markets that reward flexible generation to ensure security of supply (i.e., we cannot rely on scarcity pricing)
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Performance based Frequency Regulation Traditional approaches typically include
a capacity payment (usually based on shadow price)
an energy payment (for the net energy injected/withdrawn in/from the system)
The new market design
a capacity payment (usually based on shadow price)
Mileage Payments adjusted for accuracy
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Performance based Frequency Regulation We replace the net energy payments by a mileage
payment for the ACE correction provided
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Incorporating Flexibility Requirements Introduction of an Expected Flexibility Deficiency (EFD) function
To determine the anticipated amount of un-served energy caused by a lack of flexibility in the generating fleet
The EFD is a function of the ramp and reserve policies in any given region
The EFD is computed before executing the MIP-Based Unit Commitment It is derived from historical system load/renewable data, as well as the
forecasts associated with a given unit commitment window
Ramp and reserve policies must be defined, in order to determine the EFD
Expected Flexibility Deficiency Function
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Sample EFD calculation:An example of a ramp policy is that the average ramp of
the system is equal to the forecasted ramp plus some constant, x [MW/min].
An example reserve policy might be that y% of the forecasted net load is held in reserves
For these policy formulations, the EFD surface is built as a function of x and y
Note that the x and y variables are optimized within the MIP-Based Unit Commitment problem
Expected Flexibility Deficiency Function
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Expected Flexibility Deficiency Function
The EFD surface is built as a function of ramping and reserve policies. These are optimized within the MIP-based Unit Commitment Scheduling problem
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Flexible Deficiencies
Computing Flexible Deficiencies using Historical Net Load Data
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Day-Ahead Market Formulation:Standard Constraint EquationsEquations are used to enforce all standard equality and
inequality constraints, such as: Energy Balance (generation = load) Unit output limits Spinning Reserve Requirements Regulation Reserve Requirements Ramp rate limits (units, hydro, imports) Unit temporal constraints (min up, min down, min run, …) Hydro, Imports, and Pumped Hydro Energy Limits
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Network Constraint Modelling
Optionally, the network constraints may be included in the simulation
Monte-Carlo dispatch model iterates with full power flow model (AC or DC) to enforce network constraints, including contingency constraints
Zonal model may also be used to enforce flow constraints
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Other Constraints & Flexibility Mitigation Strategies Modelling All relevant constraints are modeled (energy
balance, over-generation, curtailment limits, capacity, UC constraints, ramping rates, hydro, imports/exports, EFD constraints, etc.)
Relative cost penalties impose flexibility mitigation strategy “loading order”
Costs will depend on specific system and applicable policies
Assuming that all renewables must be delivered is equivalent to placing an infinite penalty on curtailment and over-generation
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Solution Methodology of the Flexibility Problem
Power FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowOptimizationEngineOptimizationEngine Power FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowsPower Flows
Schedules
PTDFs
Loss marginal rates
Separate power flows for each time interval from the economics
Iterate with optimization engine
Execute modified Monte-Carlo simulations using minute-by-minute Solar PV data
The math here is very complicated
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We need an Modified Monte-Carlo Simulation
Unit Outages are simulated using random draws of
outages based on unit MTTF and MTTR
We need other profilesLoad profiles Wind profilesSolar profiles
They are all selected by Monte-Carlo draws from selected bins
Monte Carlo Simulation Modeling
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Example Draw: High Load Weekday in August
Day-Type Bins - WindDay-Type Bins - Load Day-Type Bins - SolarLow Load High
Load
WeekdaysWeekends/Holidays
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Low Load High Load
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Low Load
High Load
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Example Draw: High Load Weekday in August
Within each bin, choose each (load, wind, and solar) daily profile randomly, and independent of other daily profiles
Wind BinLoad Bin Solar Bin
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Three Market Simulations Day ahead, hour ahead and real-time markets
are simulated sequentially
Load forecast inaccuracy of the day ahead market vs hour ahead is also simulated via Monte-Carlo draws
In hour ahead simulation only short start units may be committed
In real-time simulation, only units that were on-line in the HA market may be re-dispatched
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MIP Based Flexible SCUC Results Flexibility violations that may occur, because the
penalty cost of these violations is less than the commitment of additional resources
Optimal levels of reserves and ramp-rate capability based on ramp/reserve policy in each Power Market determined by the Regulator and policy makers
Economic “pre-curtailment” of Solar PV that avoids flexibility violations and/or commitment of excessive fast-ramping generation
Requirements for flexible capacity
Optimal Procurement decisions
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Solar PV Curtailment Could Play a Significant Role
Power FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowOptimizationEngineOptimizationEngine Power FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowPower FlowsPower Flows
Schedules
PTDFs
Loss marginal rates
Scheduled curtailment of Solar PV can help position conventional resources to meet ramping requirements How does the cost of curtailment compare to the cost of procuring new flexible resources?
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Proposed Metrics with High Solar Penetration Resource Adequacy metrics:
LOLP, LOLE, EENS
Flexibility Deficiency metrics: Expected Ramp Not Served (ERNS) Expected Regulation not Served, etc. Flexibility Shortage Induced Curtailment
How does the cost of curtailment compare to the cost of procuring new flexible resources?
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Demand Response: Power Markets in Pain
No Price-Sensitive Demand -> Inefficiency, Everyone Pays For
Price Marginal Wholesale Rate
…If we could use just 5% less power for the current hour….
Power Demand (MW)
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Demand Response: Energy Demand Cloud
Energy Demand CloudEnergy Demand Cloud
Individual WirelessControllers
Home/Facility Management
Systems
Smart Buildings,Commercial & Industrial
DR client is ~10kb—virtually any embedded device can run it
Special Programs
Reliability SignaledReliability Signaled
Price Sensitive
Renewable ChoiceDistributed Generation
Energy StorageElectric Vehicles
Electric VehicleChargers
Smart Appliances
Distributed Energy & Storage
Demand Monitoring & Feedback over Internet Broadband/CellularDemand Monitoring & Feedback over Internet Broadband/Cellular
Affinity Programs
TODAY FUTUREFUTURE
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Demand Response Software in Devices
Today - Retrofit Future - EmbedExternal Load ControllerOEM Products to Seed Market
Internal Load Controller
WiFi Router
INTERNETINTERNET
80% of US householdshave broadband (as of 2011*)
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Storage Technologies Storage is the game changer
Pumped Hydroelectric Storage is important but is highly site-constrained
Other technologies that have shown promise are a) Compressed Air Electric Storage (CAES), flywheels, hydrogen electrolysis
Plug-In-Electric Vehicles in Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) mode (could serve as a major distributed storage resource)
Problem: What is the value proposition?
Develop incentives mechanisms to account for risk and reward sharing (need a regulatory framework)
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Transmission Capacity New transmission capacity is required
Implement technologies to permit increased utilization of the existing transmission infrastructure
Dynamic Thermal Rating
Power Flow Controls (FACTS devices)
Fault current controllers
Intelligent protection systems (adaptive relaying)
Advanced stochastic modeling and planning tools
Increased reliance on DC links
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Conclusions High penetration of RES creates major power market
challenges
The issues involved can be viewed as a coordination problem at multiple scales in both space and time
The problems are solvable but the solutions are neither trivial nor cheap
The infrastructure upgrade costs in the legacy power system and the public’s willingness to socialize these costs could emerge as an important issue
The power market response involves solutions including a) power market design changes, b) demand response, c) Storage technologies, d) PV curtailment, e) flexible market products
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Grid Integration Challenges & Opportunities
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Solar PV Grid ChallengesGrid Stability & ReliabilityGrid Stability & Reliability
Msec to Minutes Years
Power Systems Planning & Design
Power Systems Planning & Design
Hours to Days
Load BalancingLoad Balancing
Milliseconds to Minutes
Grid Stability & ReliabilityGrid Stability & Reliability
CONCERNCONCERN
Develop smart inverters to mimic the intrinsically stable inertial behavior of a rotating machine
Develop Low-Voltage or Fault Ride Through Inverters
Develop plant controllers to react to grid frequency
LEARNINGLEARNING
The effects of large additions of Solar PV generation on the ac grid stability and system oscillations are not well understood
They could exacerbate pre-existing wide-area stability problems
Solar PV erodes the mechanical inertia
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Modern Solar PV Plants Need to Contribute to the Reliability to the Grid
Voltage, VAR control and/or power factor regulation
Fault Ride Through (FRT)
Real power control, ramping, and curtailment
Primary frequency regulation
Frequency droop response
Short circuit duty control
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Automatic active power frequency control: What is Needed
Potential Issue: The frequency must be kept constant within strict limits
What is needed:
A plant controller to react to grid frequency increase by an automatic active power reduction
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Dynamic Grid Support
Potential Issue: When a grid failure occurs many PV plants may be disconnected immediately
What is needed:
Inverters with dynamic grid support functions to act within milliseconds in such events
Devices with full LVRT or FRT behavior (Low-Voltage or Fault Ride Through) can feed reactive power into the grid during grid voltage drops
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What Makes a PV Plant “Grid Friendly”?
Potential Issue: When a grid failure occurs many PV plants may be disconnected immediately
What is needed:
Critical for Managing Grid Reliability & Stability
Regulates power factor and plant voltage/VAR controlsReactive Power Capability
Curtails active power when necessary Active Power Regulation
Limits the ramp rate from variations in irradianceRamp Rate Control
Prevents faults and other disturbances Ride Through Capability
Monitors, tracks, and reacts to changes in grid frequencyFrequency Droop Control
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Hours to Days
Load BalancingLoad Balancing
Solar PV Grid Challenges
Solar Generation is not fully dispatchable
Adds variability and uncertainty . . . complicates daily dispatch
Years
Power Systems Planning & Design
Power Systems Planning & DesignGrid Stability & ReliabilityGrid Stability & Reliability
Msec to Minutes Hours to Days
Load BalancingLoad Balancing
CONCERNCONCERN
Integrate forecasting into daily operation
Improved operating procedures – balancing area, frequent updates, ramping support
LEARNINGLEARNING
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Single Location
20 Bundled Locations
One-minute Global Irradiance (W/sq.m)
One-minute Global Irradiance (W/sq.m)
Aggregation Effect Between Plants Reduces Variability
Source: “Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short-Term Variability of Solar Power”; Andrew Mills and Ryan Wiser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, September 2010
Source: Hoff et al. 2008
Mathematically, if the short term ‐output time series of N locations experiencing a similar level of variability are uncorrelated (i.e., if they vary independently from each other), the resulting variability of the ensemble should be 1/√N times that of a single location
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Grid Integration Challenges & Opportunities: Key Lessons Learned
Grid Stability & ReliabilityGrid Stability & Reliability
Milliseconds to Minutes
Need grid controls and smart inverters to support reliability and grid security
Hours to Days
Load BalancingLoad Balancing
Integrate forecasting into daily operation
Improved operating procedures – balancing area, frequent updates, etc.
Need flexible capacity
Years
Power Systems Planning & DesignPower Systems Planning & Design
Adopt diverse resource portfolio to increase flexibility and reduce risks
Ned flexible capacity
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Protection The legacy protection equipment were no designed for
the presence of Solar PV (or for DG)
Solar PVs complicate protection coordination:
Reverse power flow: A fault must now be isolated not only from the substation power souce but also from the Solar PV
Fault current contribution: Until a fault is isolated, Solar PV contributed a fault current that must be modeled and managed
Relay desentitization: The presence of Solar PVs may delay of prevent the actuation of protective devices
Need transfer trip strategies to allow communication between devices
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Islanding Current practices do not allow power islands supported
by Solar PV (very conservative policy to ensure safety, power quality, cultural issues, etc.)
Current interconnection rules for Solar PV simply require that Solar PV shall disconnect in a specific time (e.g., 10 cycles) in response to disturbances
This conflicts with the ability of the Solar PV to offer benefits to the grid if it is equipped with LVRT
Our industry needs a new set of rules, regulations and procedures to allow solar PV to support power islands
There is substantial research now in smart grids and microgrids to allow effective coordination of Solar PV with storage devices and intelligent controls so that heterogeneous power quality is achieved
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Conclusions High penetration of RES creates grid integration
challenges
The issued involved can be viewed as a coordination problem at multiple scales in both space and time
The problems are solvable but the solutions are neither trivial nor cheap
The infrastructure upgrade costs in the legacy power system and the public’s willingness to socialize these costs could emerge as an important issue
The grid integration challenges can be resolved by deploying smart inverters that enable Voltage/VAR control , Fault Ride Through, Real Power Control, Ramping, and Curtailment, Primary Frequency Regulation, smart grid and microgrid concepts, etc.