republic of the philippines department of energy coal market outlook in the apec region alejandro f....
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![Page 1: Republic of the Philippines DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY COAL MARKET OUTLOOK IN THE APEC REGION Alejandro F. Oanes Geothermal & Coal Resources Development Division](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022081603/56649dd05503460f94ac50c2/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Republic of the PhilippinesDEPARTMENT OF ENERGYDEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
COAL MARKET OUTLOOK
IN THE APEC REGION
Alejandro F. Oanes
Geothermal & Coal Resources Development Division
Energy Resource Development Bureau
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OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
I. Introduction
II. Current Coal Market Situation in APEC
III. Energy Outlook within APEC
IV. Coal Market Outlook for Major Players
V. Coal Price
VI. Conclusion
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THE BOGOR GOALS OF APEC
• Trade and investment liberalization that works for the elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade and investment
• Business facilitation to work for improved access to trade information and aligned policy and business strategies for trade
• Economic and technical cooperation for capacity building to enable members to meet their economic potential
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Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
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Coal Proven Reserves, Million Tonsat end 2005
APEC Countries68%
Non-APEC Countries
32%
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APEC Countries
75%
Non-APEC Countries
25%
Coal Production (million TOE)as of end 2005
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Coal Consumption (million TOE)as of end 2005
APEC Countries
73%
Non-APEC Countries
27%
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CURRENT COAL MARKET
SITUATION IN APEC
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Australia13%
China19%
Indonesia1%
Russia26%
USA39%
Others1% Canada
1%
APEC Coal Reserves as of end 2005
615.309 Million Tons
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Australia9%
China51%Indonesia
4%
Russia6%
USA26%
Vietnam1%
Others1%
Canada2%
APEC Coal Production2,175 MTOE
APEC Coal Production
as of end 2005
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China50%
USA27%
Australia2%
Japan6%
Russia5%
Indonesia1%
South Korea3%
Canada2%
Chinese Taipei2%
Thailand1% Others
1%
APEC Coal Consumption2,133.7 MTOE
APEC Coal Consumptionas of end 2005
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Net coal
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
Australia
Indonesia
China
Russia
Canada
New
Zealand
United S
tates
Peru
Mexico
Chile
Philippines
Thailand
Malaysia
Hongkong
Chinese T
aipei
S. K
orea
Japan
Mil
lio
n T
on
s O
il E
qu
iva
len
t (M
TO
E)
Net Coal as of end 2005
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ENERGY OUTLOOK
WITHIN APEC
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Source: Asia Pacific Energy Research Center (2005)
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Primary Energy Supply Outlook 2002-2020
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Others
1999 2005 2010 2015 2020
MT
OE
Source: Asia Pacific Energy Center 2002
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COAL MARKET OUTLOOK
FOR MAJOR PLAYERS
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Coal Consumption Forecast to 2030
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
United States Canada Japan South Korea Australia/NewZealand
Russia China
Milli
on
Sh
ort
To
ns
2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Source: Reference Case Projections, InternationalEenergy Outlook 2006, EIA
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AVERAGE PRICE PER METRIC TON (C & F)TO THE PHILPPINES
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006
YEAR
PR
ICE
(U
S$
) Australia
China
Indonesia
South Africa
Vietnam
Source: Philippine Department of Energy
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Panian Pit, Semirara Mining Corporation, Philippines
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TERIMA KASIHTERIMA KASIHSalamat Po!
Thank You!