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1 REPUBLIC OF RWANDA MINISTRY OF INFRASTRUCTURE WITH THE SUPPORT OF THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMIC PLANNING (MINECOFIN) P.O. BOX 158 KIGALI Tel: (250) 577994; Fax (250) 574785 AND HUMAN INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENCY (HIDA) Credit No: 3955-RW CONSULTANCY SERVICES TO SUPPORT MINECOFIN IN TO GENERATE A FULLY COSTED NEEDS ASSESSMENT OF THE INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR FOR THE DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION OF AN INTEGRATED M&E FRAMEWORK ACROSS SECTORS IN LINE WITH THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY (EDPRS). END OF MISSION REPORT VOLUME II: LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS IN LINE WITH EDPRS 2007-2011 by Prof. Dr. Ir. Pascal-Firmin NDIMIRA International Monitoring/Evaluation Consultant Kigali, 14 April 2007

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1

REPUBLIC OF RWANDA

MINISTRY OF INFRASTRUCTURE

WITH THE SUPPORT OF THE

MINISTRY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMIC PLANNING (MINECOFIN)

P.O. BOX 158 KIGALI Tel: (250) 577994; Fax (250) 574785

AND HUMAN INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENCY (HIDA)

Credit No: 3955-RW

CONSULTANCY SERVICES TO SUPPORT MINECOFIN IN TO GENERATE A

FULLY COSTED NEEDS ASSESSMENT OF THE INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR FOR THE DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION OF AN INTEGRATED M&E

FRAMEWORK ACROSS SECTORS IN LINE WITH THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY (EDPRS).

END OF MISSION REPORT

VOLUME II: LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS IN LINE WITH EDPRS 2007-2011

by Prof. Dr. Ir. Pascal-Firmin NDIMIRA

International Monitoring/Evaluation Consultant

Kigali, 14 April 2007

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2

TABLE 0: ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURE OF MININFRA EDPRS LOGFRAME -------------------------------------- 3

TABLE 0 – CONTINUED: SUB-SECTOR COMPONENTS --------------------------------------------------------------------- 4

TABLE 1: GLOBAL LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 – GLOBAL OBJECTIVE------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5

TABLE 2: GLOBAL LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6

TABLE 3: LOGFRAME FOR TRANSPORT SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 ---------------------- 7

TABLE 4: LOGFRAME FOR ENERGY SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007- 2011 ------------------------- 19

TABLE 5: LOGFRAME FOR HOUSING AND URBANISM SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 -- 27

TABLE 6: LOGFRAME FOR ICT SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 --------------------------------- 34

TABLE 7: LOGFRAME FOR METEOROLOGY SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 --------------- 38

APPENDIX 8: REACTION TO THE COMMENTS FROM MINECOFIN ---------------------------------------------------- 41

APPENDIX 9: REACTION FROM MININFRA TO THE COMMENTS FROM EU ON TRANSPORT LOGFRAME 43

APPENDIX 10: FIRST DRAFT OF THE PROVISIONAL VERSION OF THE ICT LOGFRAME– INTEGRATING THE TEN 2010-NICI PILLARS - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 44

A. THE FIRST PART OF INITIAL VERSION WHICH REMAINS UNCHANGED ----------------------------------------- 45

B. THE LAST PART OF ICT INITIAL LOGFRAME WHICH CHANGED --------------------------------------------------- 46

3

Table 0: ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURE OF MININFRA EDPRS LOGFRAME

Global objective in line with EDPRS

Global objective / Devpt in relation With MININFRA Sector

Specific objectives and sector strategies

CONTRIBUTE TO SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND POVERTY REDUCTION THROUGH THE DEVELOPMENT OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROMOTION OF RELATED SERVICES IN RWANDA

ENSURE DEVELOPMENT AND PERFORMANCE OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND RELATED SERVICES IN RWANDA

Increase the volume of infrastructure and equipment

Reduce/control cost

Increase accessibility

Ensure infrastructure sustainability

Provide quality services

Ensure the security of infrastructure users

Ensure legal and regulatory institutional framework

TRANSPORT ICT

ENERGY METEOROLOGY HOUSING AND CITY

PLANNING

4

TABLE 0 – CONTINUED: SUB-SECTOR COMPONENTS

TRANSPORT

Capacity building

Dvpt and maintenance of Inland Road Network

Regulation and security apparatuses

ICT ENERGY

Infrastructure Capacity

Security and quality of supplies

Diversification of sources of energy

Cost control

METEO

Sub-sector specific objectives according to which the outputs were defined

Opening up

Cross-cutting issues: AIDS/ Environment

Transport cost.

HOUSING AND CITY

PLANNING

Infrastr, Equipt&content

Social Development

e-Govt and e-Governance

Economic Dvt

Rural and Community access

Private Sector Development

National Security, Law and Order

Legal, Regulatory, Institutional Provisions and Standards

Urban and rural access to energy

Sustainability and maintenance

Property Development

Financing System

MDP and SDP (See NB in the footnote)

Plot Production

Improvement of informal areas

Imidugudu

Cross-cutting issues: AIDS/HIV Environment

Development and Equipment Planning

Formation

Rehabilitation of 150 meteo stations

D&E Infrastructure processing and planning

Maintenance

Promotion meteo services

In Education

Human Capacity Dvt

NB.MDP: Master Development Plan – SDP: Simplified Development Plan

5

TABLE 1: GLOBAL LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 – Global objective

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

Global objective compared to EDPRS objectives: The infrastructure sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007-2001 1.

GO : 5 OVI • GO1. Infrastructure development has contributed at least at

the rate of 20 %1 to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at

least at 7% over the period 2007 and 2011 (7 % between 2001 and 2006)

BNR NIS

• GO2. Private operators’ access to infrastructure and associated services has enabled the private sector to increase its contribution to GDP from X% to 10% between 2007 and 2011 (forecast of 3.4% to 7% over the period 2001 to 2006)

FRSP RIEPA MININFRA

• GO3. Infrastructure development enabled to address the growth of non-traditional exportations which have increased by 20% per year (forecast of at least 20% per year over the period 2001 to 2006).

MINICOM MININFRA

• GO4. Infrastructure development has contributed 20% to the increase in employment over the period 2001 to 2006

2

MINIFOTRA MININFRA

• GO5. Infrastructure development has contributed by 20% to the decrease in the percentage of the populations living below the poverty line over the period 2007 to 2011

3

NIS MININFRA

1 The projected contribution of each of the sub-sectors to GDP, on the basis of the data from BNR of 2004, is at least 10 % for Transport and ICT (8.1% in 2004); 1% for Energy and

water (0.25% in 2004); 10.5% for Housing and City Planning (10.5% for construction and public works in 2004) and X% for Me

teo (not specified for 2004). 2 For MININFRA contribution to job creation, the same rate as the contribution to GDP (20%).

3 For MININFRA contribution to the increase in the poverty level, the same rate as the contribution to GDP (20%).

6

TABLE 2: GLOBAL LOGFRAME FOR MININFRA INTERVENTIONS OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011 Development objectives

4 At least 10 % for Transport; 5% for Energy; 10.5% for Housing and City Planning; 16% for ICT ; and X% for Meteorology

5 The number of new beneficiaries/users by infrastructure sub-sector in Rwanda over the period shall be determined by the baseline study expected at the end of 2007.

MININFRA set the minimal objective of improvement of the volume of services and the number of beneficiaries at least to 50% over EDPRS period. This requires the

organization of a baseline study expected at the end of 2007. 6 The principle is that MININFRA sets a minimal level of 80% of satisfaction of infrastructure sector service customers/beneficiaries.

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

MININFRA Development Objective: The volume and performance of the infrastructure sector services in Rwanda have improved over the period 2007 to 2011.

(N.B. Values associated to these OVI are from the latest version of EDPRS Log-Frame for the Transport sector,

Mininfra, Dec 2006, p.1)

DO : 6 IOV

• DO1. Infrastructure capacity has increased at least by 50% over the period 2007 to 2011 (including)

4.

MININFRA

• DO2. The volume of infrastructure sector services in Rwanda has increased at least by 50% over the period 2007 to 2011 on all segments of transport

MININFRA

• DO3. The number of new infrastructure sector service beneficiaries/users in Rwanda over the period 2006 to 2011 has reached at least 50% of the initial number, increasing from Y to Z.

5

MININFRA

• DO4. The cost of infrastructure services in Rwanda measured through its part in the consumption cost index has decreased at least by 10% over the period 2007 to 2011

MININFRA

• DO5. The percentage of beneficiaries who are satisfied with the improvement of the quality of infrastructure sector services is at least 80%

6

over the period 2007 to 2011.

MININFRA

• OD6. The number of accidents resulting from the use of infrastructure in Rwanda has decreased by half (50%) over the period 2007 to 2011.

MININFRA

7

TABLE 3: LOGFRAME FOR TRANSPORT SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011

7 For jobs, Mininfra will have to institute appropriate reports.

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicators Source of verification Assumptions(Risks)

TRANSPORT: 2 GO OVI / 7 DO OVI

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE

Under transport sector contributed to the durable economic growth and the reduction of poverty in Rwanda over the period 2007 to 2011.

• OG1. The development and operation of Transport Infrastructures and Services contributes at least to a total value of 10% at the average growth rate annual of GDP fixed at a minimum 7.2% over the period 2007 and 2011.

• NIS statistical database

• BNR Annual Report

• OG2. The number of created jobs each year by the transport sector is at least 20 % over the period 2007 to 2011.

• Baseline for actual employment status

• Mininfra reports7

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

The Maintenance, Improvement and Development of Good Quality, Cost Effective Transport Infrastructure and Services in a Safe and Environmentally Sensitive manor over the period 2007 to 2011.

• OD1-R1. Enhanced Operational Capacity of MININFRA to provide & maintain cost efficient Transport Infrastructure in place over the period 2007 – 2011. (Could be numbered as OD1-R1a).

• NIS statistical database

• Mininfra Database

• OD2-R2. A coherent and integrated strategy to improve international transport links adopted, feasibility studies completed and infrastructure development projects initiated by 2011. (Could be numbered as OD1-R1b).

• NIS statistical database

• Mininfra Databases

• OD3-R3. The Classified Road network rehabilitated and maintained over the period 2007-2011 so that 31% is in good condition by 2011.

• Mininfra Databases

• OD4-R4. Transport safety policy adopted and projects and regulations to improve the safety of transport of people and goods implemented over the period 2007-2011 (i.e. resulting in reduction of road traffic accidents by 15% by 2011).

District reports; and Mininfra Database

• OD5-R5. The cost of transport of passengers and goods nationally and internationally reduced by 10% in real terms over the period 2007-2011.

• NIS statistical database

• BNR Annual Report

• OD6-R6. A set of appropriated measures (3 kinds of measures) are in place so that the delivery of transport infrastructure and services has contributed to the fight against the Spread of HIV/AIDS, Environmental Degradation, and Gender Inequality over the period 2007-2011.

• NIS statistical database

• Baseline survey

• Mininfra Database

8

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicators Source of verification Assumptions (Rissks)

Specific objectives by sub-sector and implementation or result indicators

TRANSPORT: 10 OVI

1. Sector Transport: The infrastructures and the services of transport were developed and promoted thanks to the design and the implementation of the Master line of adequate Transport over the period 2007-2011.

At least 80% of the forecasts contained in the Directing Diagram of the Transport developed in 2007 were implemented from here 2011 so that the annual growth rate in this sector is of X% at least and in order to increase the capacities of under sector transport of at least 50%; to reduce the road cost of transport by at least 30% and to reduce the frequency of the accidents on the roads of X%.

R11

Operational Capacity of MININFRA to provide & maintain improved Transport Infrastructure enhanced over the period 2007 - 2011

• 100 MININFRA, District and Transport Agency staff with relevant masters degrees by 2011

• Adoption of a Road Maintenance Strategy by 2008

• 4 performance agreements with Transport Agencies in place and being respected by 2009

• At least 4 analytical systems (including sector policy formulation, sector statistics, planning and M&E) have established within MININFRA during period 2007-2011.

• MININFRA and Districts staff records

• Mininfra reports

• Mininfra reports

• Mininfra reports

• Enough Candidates of required academic level available and willing to apply,

• Operational capacity of FER enhanced

• Govt passing of Road Agency statute

R12

A coherent and integrated strategy to improve international transport links adopted, feasibility studies completed and infrastructure development projects initiated by 2011

• Adoption of a Transport Master-plan for Rwanda by 2009.

• Five (5) international transport infrastructure project feasibility studies completed and civil works initiated over the period 2007-2011 (Regional airports rehabilitated/upgraded; the new airport built at Bugesera and is operational from the year 2012 ; preparatory work in order to facilitate extension of the railroad from Isaka to Kigali to be built built and operational from the year 2014; preparatory work in order to facilitate a dry port on the Northern and central corridors (Isaka, Kampala) to be built and operational as the year 2015. Extension of the oil pipeline from Kampala to Kigali).

• Three lake and river transport development projects completed (2) or initiated (1) over the period 2007-2011 (6 quays of accosting arranged on the Lake Kivu and other lakes from 2008 the year 2010 ; A shipyard built on the Lake Kivu by 2010; Akagera river made navigable by 2015).

• Mininfra records

• Feasibility study & design reports and contract documents

• Signed contracts for construction

• Bi-lateral / Regional agreements for construction

• Project progress reports

• Regional co-operation

• Donor support for major infrastructure projects continues

9

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

Specific objectives by sub-sector and implementation or result indicator

TRANSPORT : 10 OVI

R13

The Classified Road network rehabilitated and maintained over the period 2007-2011 so that 31% is in good condition by 2011.

• 501Km of National Roads rehabilitated;

• All National Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

• 415 km of District roads rehabilitated;

• All District Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

• Design reports and contract documents

• Signed contracts for construction

• Consultants Progress and Project Completion reports

• Districts Progress and Project Completion reports

• District Road Condition Survey

• Annual National road condition survey

• Road fund sources increase.

• Continued development partner support.

• Continued economic growth.

• Increased operational capacity of MININFRA / Road Agency

• Increased operational capacity of District Infrastructure teams

R14

A transport safety policy adopted and projects and regulations to improve the safety of transport of people and goods implemented over the period 2007-2011.

• Transport Safety policy adopted by 2008

• 3 Transport Safety projects completed over the period 2007-2011

• 3 articles of Transport Safety legislation enacted over the period 2007-2011.

• Media campaigns on road safety issues (Radio, television and newspaper) carried out annually over the period 2007-2011.

• Transport Safety policy document

• CAA annual report/statistics

• Vehicle Testing Agency annual report

• Road safety study report, design and contract documents.

• Signed road improvement contracts

• Contract progress and completion reports

• Vehicle Testing Agency is operational

• Civil aviation regulations upgrate and RCAA staff capacity enhanced

10

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable Indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

Specific objectives by sub-sector and implementation or result indicator

TRANSPORT : 10 OVI

R15

The cost of transport of passengers and goods nationally and internationally reduced by 10% in real terms over the period 2007-2011.

• Border and customs procedures simplified and standardized regionally.

• Time of transit for goods and passengers reduced by 10% on National Road corridors.

• The cost of container transport from Kigali to Mombassa reduced by 10% in real terms by 2011

• The cost of a bus ticket from Kigali to Kampala reduced by 10% in real terms by 2011

• National statistical report,

• Corridor’s Agencies report,

• Ports Authorities reports,

• SSATP survey report

• Regional co-operation,

• Transport policy harmonized in the region

• International Roads in good conditions

• Govt support for customs reform and one stop border operational

R16

A set of appropriated measures (3 kinds of measures) are in place so that the delivery of transport infrastructure and services has contributed to the fight against the Spread of HIV/AIDS, Environmental Degradation, and Gender Inequality over the period 2007-2011.

• 4 service and rest areas with devices of fight against the AIDS were arranged on the corridors of the truck-drivers over the period 2007-2011.

• 5 clauses introduced to contract documents for protection of the environment, gender quality, HIV/AIDS prevention and employment creation.

• At least 0.5 % of total amount contract dedicated to HIV/AIDS, Gender and environmental protection

• MININFRA standard construction contract

• Signed contract documents

• Contract progress and completion reports,

• Corridor’s Agencies report

• Survey to the international driver’s association

• Clauses adopted and enforced

• Effective supervision of contracts

• Fund of Construction of 4 services and rest areas on corridor’s roads

11

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

GO1. The development and operation of Transport Infrastructures and Services contributes at least to a total value of 10% at the average growth rate annual of GDP fixed at a minimum 7.2% over the period 2007 and 2011.

Ratio between total added value from Transport sub sector and total GDP in percentage.

BNR annual reports BNR

NIS

Annual 8.1 % 10 % • Data annually provided by BNR

• Assumption that Transport sub sector added value should increase at least by 7% per year.

GO2. The number of created jobs each year by the transport sector is at least 20 % over the period 2007 to 2011.

Number of employees in public or private enterprises operating in Transport Sub sector

MININFRA MININFRA Annual ? 20 % • Such kind of data

collection has to be established in MINIFRA eventually in cooperation with MINEFOTRA

12

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

DO1-R1. Enhanced Operational Capacity of MININFRA to provide & maintain cost efficient Transport Infrastructure in place over the period 2007 – 2011. (Could be numbered as OD1-R1a).

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not capacity building is in place over the period 2007 – 2011

• Mininfra reports MININFRA Annually Na Boolean

(Yes or No)

DO2-R2. A coherent and integrated strategy to improve international transport links adopted, feasibility studies completed and infrastructure development projects initiated by 2011. (Could be numbered as OD1-R1b).

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not appropriate strategy has been defined and implemented over the period 2007 – 2011

• NIS Database

• Mininfra Database

NIS

MININFRA

Na Boolean

(Yes or No)

DO3-R3. The Classified Road network rehabilitated and maintained over the period 2007-2011 so that 31% is in good condition by 2011.

Ratio between length of classified road network in good condition and the total length of classified road network.

• Mininfra Database MININFRA Annually ? 31% Baseline study should be commissioned by end 2007

DO4-R4. Transport safety policy adopted and projects and regulations to improve the safety of transport of people and goods implemented over the period 2007-2011 (i.e. resulting in reduction of road traffic accidents by 15% by 2011).

Difference between the number of accidents in 2011 minus the number of accidents in 2006 multiplied by 100 divided by the number of accidents in 2006.

• Districts reports

• Mininfra Database

DISTRICTS

MININFRA

?

15%

Need to specify the number of accidents in 2006 through baseline study.

DO5-R5. The cost of transport of passengers and goods nationally and internationally reduced by 10% in real terms over the period 2007-2011.

Difference between the cost of transport of passengers and goods nationally and internationally in 2006 minus same cost in 2011 multiplied by 100 divided by cost in 2006 in percent.

• Mininfra Database MININFRA Annually ? 10%

Need to specify the cost of transport of passengers and goods nationally and internationally in 2006 through baseline study.

DO6-R6. A set of appropriated measures (3 kinds of measures) are in place so that the delivery of transport infrastructure and services has contributed to the fight against the Spread of HIV/AIDS, Environmental Degradation, and Gender Inequality over the period 2007-2011.

Number of appropriated measures in place

• Mininfra Database MININFRA Annually NA 3

13

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

R111 100 MININFRA, District and Transport Agency staff with relevant masters’ degrees by 2011.

Number of staff members trained and graduated under masters degree program by 2011

MININFRA reports MININFRA Annually NA 100

R112 Adoption of a Road Maintenance Strategy by 2008

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not Road Maintenance Strategy has been defined and adopted by 2008

MININFRA reports MININFRA Annual NA YES .

R113 4 performance agreements with Transport Agencies in place and being respected by 2009

Number of performance agreements with Transport Agencies by 2009

MININFRA reports MININFRA Annual 0 4

R114 At least 4 analytical systems (including sector policy formulation, sector statistics, planning and M&E) have established within MININFRA during period 2007-2011

Number of analytical systems established within MININFRA.

MININFRA reports MININFRA Annual 0 4

14

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

R121 Adoption of a Transport Master-plan for Rwanda by 2009.

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not Transport Master-plan for Rwanda has been defined and adopted by 2009

MININFRA reports MININFRA Annual NA YES

R122 Five projects of international connections were completed or initiated over the period 2007-2011

The five planned projects are: Regional airports rehabilitated / upgraded; the new airport built at Bugesera and is operational from the year 2012; Extension of the railroad from Isaka to Kigali built and operational from the year 2014; A dry port on the Northern and central corridors (Isaka, Kampala) built and operational as the year 2015; and Extension of the oil pipeline from Kampala to Kigali

MININFRA through:

• Feasibility study & design reports and contract documents

• Signed contracts for construction

• Bi-lateral / Regional agreements for construction

• Project Completion reports

MININFRA Annual Na

(non applicable)

5

R123 Three lake projects of development fluvio were completed (2) or were initiated (1) over the period 2007-2011

The three planned projects are (6 quays of accosting arranged on the Lake Kivu and other lakes from here the year 2010; A shipyard built on the Lake Kivu as from the year 2010; Akagera river made navigable as from the year 2015.

MININFRA through:

• Feasibility study & design reports and contract documents

• Signed contracts for construction

• Bi-lateral / Regional agreements for construction

• Project Completion reports

MININFRA Annual Na 3

15

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R131 501Km length of the trunk roads was rehabilitated over the period 2007-2011.

Length in Km of trunk roads in fair or bad conditions which benefited from rehabilitation activities

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annual Na

(non applicable)

501 Comparison should be made with annual performance in the past

R132 All National Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not all National Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annual na YES Baseline study needed

R133 415 km length of the District roads was rehabilitated;

Length in Km of District roads in fair or bad conditions which benefited from rehabilitation activities

*Districts reports

*District Road Condition Survey

Annual National road condition survey

MININFRA Reports

DISTRICTS Annual Na

(non applicable)

415 Comparison should be made with annual performance in the past

R134 All District Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not all National Roads in Good or Fair Condition maintained over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annual na YES Baseline study needed

16

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

R141 Transport Safety policy adopted by 2008

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not Transport Safety policy adopted by 2008

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annual na YES

R142 3 Transport Safety projects completed over the period 2007-2011

Number of Transport Safety projects completed over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annual Na (Non applicable)

3

R143 3 articles of Transport Safety legislation enacted over the period 2007-2011.

Number of articles of Transport Safety legislation enacted over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annual Na (Non applicable)

3

R144 At least 52 weekly medias campaign on road safety issues (Radio, television and newspaper) carried out annually over the period 2007-2011.

Number of Medias campaigns on road safety issues (Radio, television and newspaper) carried out annually over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Weekly ? 52 Baseline value to be provided by needed baseline study

17

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

R151 Border and customs procedures simplified and standardized regionally.

Summarized Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not Border and customs procedures simplified and standardized regionally

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annual na YES

R152 Time of transit for goods and passengers reduced by 10% on National Road corridors.

Ratio (%) of number of days spent for goods and passengers transit compared with initial duration (in days).

National statistical report

Mininfra Database MINICOM

MININFRA Annual ? 10% Need to specify

the time (in hours) of transit for goods and passengers in 2006 through baseline study.

R153 The cost of container transport from Kigali to Mombassa reduced by 10% in real terms by 2011

Indicative cost of transport in USD referring to container transport from Kigali to Mombasa

National statistical report MINICOM reports Mininfra Database

NIS MINICOM MININFRA

Annual 4,316 USD 3,021 USD

R154 The cost of a bus ticket from Kigali to Kamplala reduced by 10% in real terms by 2011

Ratio (%) of cost of a bus ticket from Kigali to Kamplala compared with initial cost.

National statistical report

Mininfra Database MINICOM

MININFRA Annual ? 10% Need to specify

the initial cost in 2006 through baseline study

18

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication )

Comment on availability of baseline value

R161 4 service and rest areas with devices of fight against the AIDS were arranged on the corridors of the truck-drivers over the period 2007-2011

Number of service and rest areas arranged in order to fight against AIDS

MININFRA through:

• standard construction contract

• Signed contract documents

• Contract progress and completion reports

MININFRA Annual ? 4

R162 5 clauses introduced to contract documents for protection of the environment, gender quality, HIV/AIDS prevention and employment creation.

Number of clauses introduced to contract documents for protection of the environment, gender quality, HIV/AIDS prevention and employment creation

MININFRA through:

• standard construction contract

• Signed contract documents

• Contract progress and completion reports

MININFRA Annual ? 5

R163 At least 0.5 % of total amount contract dedicated to HIV/AIDS, Gender and environmental protection

Percent of budget dedicated to HIV/AIDS, Gender and environmental protection compared with total budget contracted within infrastructure sector works

MiININFRA reports MININFRA Annual ? 0.5

19

TABLE 4: LOGFRAME FOR ENERGY SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007- 2011

8 This logframe integrates a series of comments in the one outlined in the provisional report of January 2007. But the discussions between MININFRA ICT services and World Bank

have not yet been concluded. The logframe taking into account the last comments will be completed by MININFRA after the mission.

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

ENERGY : GO OVI / DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE Energy sub-sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007 to 2011.

• GO1. Energy sub-sector development has contributed at least at the rate of 5% to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at least at 7% over the period 2007 to 2011.

• NIS statistical Database

• BNR Annual Report

Availability of funds

• GO2. The portion of energy expenses in the household shopping basket • Mininfra Reports8 Availability of funds

• GO3. The number of new jobs created by Energy Sub-sector over the period 2007 to 2011 is at least 10000.

• District Reports

• Mininfra Database

Availability of funds

• GO4. The number of poor communities having access to energy increased from 100 in 2006 to 1000 in 2011.

• District Reports

• Mininfra Reports

Availability of funds

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

Energy supply security in the country ensured through improvement of production and rationalisation of energy consumption

• DO1-R1a. The capacity of Energy sub-sector increases from 45 to 120 MW over the period 2007 to 2011.

• DO1-R1b. At least 10% of produced energy is from new renewable sources of energy by 2011.

• NIS statistical Database

• Mininfra Database

Availability of funds

• DO2-R2a. The rate of access to electricity has increased from 4% to 10% over the period 2007 to 2011 (the number of households having access to electricity has increased from 70 000 to 200 000);

• DO2-R2b. A decrease of 30 to 40% in the consumption of firewood through the use of improved cook stoves by 100% of rural households.

• NIS statistical Database

• Mininfra Database

Availability of funds

• DO3-R3. The price of electricity has decreased at least by 50% from 22 USC/kWh to 10 Usc/kWh over the period 2001 to 2011, in particular through the reduction of cost of electricity provision to end users.

• ELECTROGAZ Reports;

• Mininfra Database

Availability of funds

• DO4-R4. The number of institutions providing social and administrative services having access to energy (such as schools, health centres, administration offices) increases from 50% in 2006 to 70% in 2011.

• NIS statistical Database

• Mininfra Database

Availability of funds

• DO5-R5. 80 % of energy users and operators in the energy sub-sector are satisfied with the quality of services and technical capacities put in place.

• DO6-R6. 70% of operators in the energy sub-sector are satisfied with the institutional, legal and regulatory environment as well as the quality of associated services.

• MININFRA Database

Availability of funds

20

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of

verification Assumptions (Risks)

ENERGY : 19 OVI, TYPE OUTPUT (QUID DE CENTRALISATION)

OUTPUT / PRODUCT

R1a. Energy infrastructure production, and distribution capacity has increased over the period 2007-2011.

• 30 new hydroelectric sites will be operated over the period 2007-2011, increasing the current capacity of 20MW to 50MW in 2011.

• 25 MW have been installed through the valorisation of methane gas in Lake Kivu over the period 2001-2011.

• Extension of electricity network of 3230 in 2006 to 5000 km in 2011.

• Improvement of the quality of the network resulting in the reduction of 25% of losses.

MININFRA Reports Disturbance of ground water

Availability of funds

R1b. Energy production resources have been diversified and various local energy production sources are operated over the period 2007-2011.

• Strategic studies on renewable energy and energy effectiveness are carried out.

• 3000 Photovoltaic solar installations (1MW) and 15000 biogas digesters are implemented over the period 2007-2011

• Specific studies and pilot installations (wind, geothermal, peat, fuel, others) have been carried out over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA Reports

Availability of funds

R.2.a. Access of households to energy has improved.

• A programme for facilitation of access to energy for all categories has been defined and implemented over the period 2007-2011.

• 130 000 new households have access to electricity

MININFRA Reports Availability of funds

R.2.b. The cost of electricity has been reduced as a result of improvement of ELECTROGAZ management

• ELECTROGAZ’s new intervention plan has been successfully implemented (audit before implementation)

R3. Energy cost control has improved over the period 2007-2011.

20MW of energy have been saved annually over the period 2007-2011 through: 800.000 low consumption lights; 30 invertors, 10 installations of low energy consumption equipment.

MININFRA Reports Availability of funds

21

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicator Source of verification

Assumptions (Risks)

R4. Access to energy for institutions providing social and administrative services has been improved

• The number of schools having access to energy is 1000.

• The number of health centres having access to energy is 120.

• The number of administration offices having access to energy is 300.

R5. The capacities to ensure the sustainability of infrastructure are improved

• 20 energy service, supply, installation, and maintenance companies have been established over the period 2007-2011 ;

• 300 technicians have been trained over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA Reports Availability of funds

R6. The regulatory, legal and institutional framework has been put in place to ensure the security of provision and improvement of the quality of energy services over the period 2007-2011.

• An EDPRS-based sector strategic plan for the energy sub-sector has been defined and implemented according to the sector approach (SWAp) over the period 2007-2011.

• A national energy agency is operational over the period 2007-2011

• Laws pertaining to all energy fields are drafted and approved.

MININFRA Reports Availability of funds

22

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

GO1. Energy sub-sector development has contributed at least at the rate of 5% to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at least at 7% over the period 2007- 2011

The ratio of the total Energy Sector added value times one hundred divided by the national GDP

BNR annual reports

BNR

NIS

Annually < 1 % 5 % • Data is published each year in BNR reports

• This requires an absolute increase in energy added value of 7% per year.

GO2. The portion of energy expenditures in the household shopping basket has decreased at least by 10% over the period 2007-2011.

Ratio of the energy expenses weighted average compared to the average of the total household expenses

BNR annual reports

NIS annual reports

BNR

NIS

Annually ? 10 % • Data is published each year in BNR reports

• This requires the setting up of a baseline before 2007.

GO3. The number of jobs created each year by energy sub-sector over the period 2007-2011 is at least 10000.

Absolute number of employees in the Energy Sub-sector (public and private enterprises)

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annually ? 10000 • A system for data collection should be established either directly by MININFRA, or through the Ministry in charge of labour.

• This requires the setting up of a baseline before the end of 2007

GO4. The number of poor communities having access to energy has increased from 100 to 1000 in 2011.

Absolute number of poor Communities (Imidugudu, business centres, ect.) having access to energy (public and private enterprises)

NIS Data base MININFRA Reports

NIS DISTRICTS

Annually 100 1500

DO1-R1. The capacity of energy sub-sector has increased from 44 MW to 120 MW over the period 2007-2011.

Absolute number of produced MW

Mininfra data base MININFRA Reports

Mininfra Annually

44 MW 120 MW

DO1-R1b. At least 10 % of produced energy is from new renewable sources by 2011.

Ratio in % of the quantity of energy from new renewable energy compared to the total quantity of energy produced

Mininfra data base MININFRA Reports

Mininfra Annually

? 10% A baseline before the end of 2007 is required.

DO2-R2a. • The rate of access to electricity has

increased from 4% to 10% over the period 2007 to 2011 (the number of households having access to electricity has increased

from 70 000 to 200 000);

Absolute number of households having access to electricity

NIS Data base Mininfra data base Mininfra reports

NIS Annually 70000 200000

DO2-R2b. A decrease of 30 to 40% in the consumption of firewood through the use of improved cook stoves by 100% of rural households

The ratio of the number of households having access to improved cooking stoves times one hundred divided by the total number of households

NIS Data base Mininfra data base MININFRA reports

NIS Annually ? 100% A baseline before the end of 2007 would be better

23

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

DO3-R3. The price of electricity has decreased at least by 50% from 22 USC/kWh to 10 Usc/kWh over the period 2001 to 2011, through the reduction of cost of electricity provision to end users

Absolute electricity prices Reports from : ELECTROGAZ ENERGY AGENCY MININFRA NIS data base Mininfra DB

NIS Annually 22 USc/kWh 10USc/kWh .

DO4-R4. The number of institutions providing social and administrative services before access to energy (such as schools, health centres, administration offices) increases from 50% in 2006 to 70% in 2011

Number of institutions providing social and administrative services which have access to energy

Reports from: ELECTROGAZ ENERGY AGENCY MININFRA NIS Data base Mininfra DB

Districts NIS Mininfra

Annually 50% 70% A baseline before the end of 2007 would be better in order to determine the absolute number of institutions providing social and administrative services, which are beneficiaries of energy.

DO5-R5. 80 % of energy users and operators in the energy sub-sector are satisfied with the quality of services and technical capacities put in place over the period 2007-2011

The ratio (in %) of the number of energy users or operators in the energy sub-sector satisfied with the quality of services and technical capacities put in place times one hundred divided by the total number of users and operators in the sub-sector

Reports from : ELECTROGAZ ENERGY AGENCY MININFRA NIS Data base Mininfra DB

Mininfra Annually NA 80%

DO6-R6. 70% of operators in the energy sub-sector are satisfied with the institutional, legal and regulatory environment as well as the quality of associated services

The ratio (in %) of the number of energy users or operators in the energy sub-sector satisfied with the institutional, legal and regulatory environment times one hundred divided by the total number of operators in the sub-sector.

Reports from : ELECTROGAZ ENERGY AGENCY MININFRA NIS Data base Mininfra DB

Mininfra Annually NA 70%

24

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R1a1. 30 new hydroelectric sites are operated over the period 2007-2011 increasing the current capacity of 20MW to 50MW over the period 2007- 2011.

• The number of hydroelectric sites operated in 2006 and 2011

• The number of MW in place

District Reports Mininfra DB Mininfra Report

DISTRICTS Mininfra

Annually ? 20MW

30 50MW

A baseline before the end of 2007 would be better in order to determine the number of hydroelectric sites operated in 2006.

R1a2. 25 MW have been installed through the development of methane gas in Lake KIVU over the period 2001-2011

Absolute number of power capacity installed in MW.

MininfraDB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually 0 25 MW

R1a3. Extension of electricity network from 3230 in 2006 to 5000 km in 2011.

Absolute number of km of electrical power extension.

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually 3230 Km 5000 Km

R1a4. Improvement of the quality of the network resulting in the reduction of 25% of losses

The ratio (in %) of the number of KWh sent, times one hundred divided by the number of KWh paid

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually 20 à 24 % 15 %

(- 25 %)

Cfr CEDP baseline, which sets the level of electricity losses in 2005 at 24%.

R1b1. Strategic studies on renewable energy and energy effectiveness are carried out over the

period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not expected strategic studies on renewable energy and energy effectiveness have been carried out.

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA OUI

R1b21. 3000 Photovoltaic solar installations (1MW) Absolute number of solar photovoltaic installations implemented.

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually ? 3000 A baseline before the end

of 2007 would be desirable.

R1b22. 15000 biogas digesters are implemented over the period 2007-2011.

Absolute number of digesters installed. Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually ? 15000 A baseline before the end

of 2007 would be desirable

R1b3. Specific studies and pilot installations (wind, geothermal, peate, bifuel, others) have been

carried out over the period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not specific studies and expected pilot studies on renewable energy and energy effectiveness have been carried.

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA OUI

25

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R2a1. A programme to facilitate access of all categories to energy has been defined and implemented over the period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not a facilitation programme for access of all categories to energy has been defined and implemented.

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA YES

R2a2. 130 000 new households have access to electricity over the period 2007-2011

The number of new households having access to electricity

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually 70.000

(en 2005)

200.000 (+130.000)

Cfr CEDP Baseline, which sets the number of electricity subscribers at 70.187 at the end of 2005.

R2b1. ELECTROGAZ new intervention plan has been successfully implemented (audit before implementation) over the period 2007-2011

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not the new ELECTROGAZ intervention plan has been successfully implemented.

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA YES

R31 20MW of energy have been saved annually over the period 2007-2011 through: 800.000 low consumption lights; 30 invertors, 10 installations of low energy consumption equipment

Absolute number of MW saved Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA 20 MW

R41 The number of new schools having access to energy is 1000 over the period 2007-2011.

Absolute number of new schools having access to energy

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually ? 1000 A baseline is required

R42 The number of new health centres having access to energy is 120 over the period 2007-2011.

Absolute number of new health centres having access to energy

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually ? 120 A baseline is required

R43 The number of new administration offices having access to energy is 300.

Absolute number of new offices having access to energy

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually ? 300 A baseline is required

R51 20 energy service, supply, installation, and maintenance companies have been created over the period 2007-2011;

Absolute number of energy, supply, installation and maintenance service companies created

Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA 20

R52 300 technicians have been trained over the period 2007-2011

Absolute number of technicians trained Mininfra DB

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA 300

26

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R61 An EDPRS-based sector strategic plan for the energy sub-sector has been defined and implemented according to the Sector Wide Approach (SWAp) over the period 2007-2011

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not the new EDPRS-based sector strategic plan for the energy sector has been implemented according to the sector approach (SWAp)

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA YES

R62 Laws relating to all Energy fields are drafted and approved

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not laws relating to all energy fields have been formulated and approved

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA YES

R63 A national energy agency is operational over the period 2007-2011

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not the national energy agency is in place and operational over the period 2007-2011.

Mininfra Report Mininfra Annually NA YES

27

TABLE 5: LOGFRAME FOR HOUSING AND URBANISM SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011

9 For jobs, Mininfra shall institute site reports.

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

HABITAT&URBANISM : 2 GO OVI / 7 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE The housing and city planning infrastructure sub-sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007-2011.

• GO1. The development of Housing and City Planning infrastructure has contributed at least at the rate of 10.5% to the average annual growth rate of GDP fixed at least at 7% over the period 2007-2011.

• NIS statistical data base

• BNR Annual report

• GO2. The number of jobs created each year by the Housing and City Planning Sector over the period 2007-2011 is at least X

• Mininfra Reports9

• GO3. The number of vulnerable households without decent housing, which was 192 000 in 2002, and 177 000 in 2006 falls to 132 750 in 2011, that is a decrease of 25%.

• District reports; and Mininfra Data base

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

The volume and quantity of infrastructures in the Housing and City Planning sub-sector in Rwanda has increased over the period 2007- 2011. OR The objective may also be formulated as follows: “The development of this sector made it possible to house a bigger number of urban populations, and the housing conditions of communities living in rural and urban areas as well as working conditions of public services have been improved following the organization and improvement of urban and semi-urban human facilities as well as public buildings”

• OD0-R01. All districts and the central level have benefited from capacity building actions over the period 2007-2011

• District reports;

• Mininfra reports

• OD1-R1. The volume of infrastructures in the Housing and City Planning sub-sector has increased at least by 30% so as to accommodate urban population, which has increased from 17% to 22% over the period 2007-2011

• NIS statistical data base

• Mininfra data base

• DO2-R2. The % of urban population living in planned and developed areas is at least 10 to 15%, increasing from about 150,000 to 190,000 inhabitants in these areas over the period 2007-2011.

• NIS statistical data base

• Mininfra data base

• DO3-R3. The population living in imidugudu increases from 20% to 25% over the period 2007-2011.

District reports; and Mininfra data base

• DO4-R4. The housing production cost (cost per m2) has decreased at least by 20% over

the period 2007-2011. • NIS statistical data base

• BNR Annual Report

• DO5-R5. The % of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of Housing and City Planning is at least 80% over the period 2007-2011.

• NIS statistical data base

• OD6-R6. The number of vulnerable households without decent houses, which was 192 000 in 2002, and 177 000 in 2006 has fallen to 132 750 in 2011, that is a decrease of 25%.

District reports; and Mininfra data base

• DO7-R71. The percentage of offices at central level that meet the standards increases from 80% to 90%, while at decentralised level, it increases from 60% to 80% 2007-2011.

28

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

Objectively verifiable indicator

OUTPUT / PRODUCT HABITAT&URBANISM : 2 GO OVI / 7 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

R41a. Property development has been encouraged and involved over the period 2007-2011

• 50% of new real estate developers are involved in urban Development.

MININFRA/Housing and City Planning /Districts

MININFRA/Housing and City Planning /Districts

Districts

Building a reliable data base Technical Capacities strengthened

R41b. The production of house building plots has been emphasized over the period 2007-2011

• 10 000 hectares are developed: 20% high standing; 30 % medium standing; 50 % low standing.

MININFRA/ Housing and City Planning /Districts

R41c. A participatory housing financing system including, among other things, the terms of housing savings, has been defined and implemented over the period 2007-2011

• The Housing Bank has been strengthened and a financing of FRW 1000 million has been disbursed over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA/ Housing and City Planning /Districts

R42. A process aimed at providing cities with Development Master Plans or a simplified development plan has been successfully implemented over the period 2007-2011

• 18 cities have Development Master Plans or a simplified Development plan.

• Particular Development Plans resulting in 10,000 hectares have been elaborated over the period 2007-2011

10

Districts

R43 An Imidugudu promotion process has been defined and successfully implemented over the period 2007-2011

• 5700 Imidugudu11

have been created over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA/ Housing and City Planning /Districts

R44. The production cost of building materials has decreased over the period 2007-2011

• The housing cost has decreased by 20% over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA/ Housing and City Planning /Districts

10

Currently, only Kibuye City (Karongi District) has an approved plan. That of Cyangugu (Nyamasheke) is in the process of approval. The new City Development Master Plans concern Kigali City, Rwamagana, and Nyagatare 11

Imidugudu settlements comprise 100 households, that is 500 persons.

29

Logic of intervention Objectively Verifiable Indicator Source of

verification Assumptions (Risks)

Objectively verifiable indicator

OUTPUT / PRODUCT HABITAT&URBANISM : 2 GO OVI / 7 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

R45a. New public buildings have been constructed over the period 2007-2011

• 5 administrative buildings are built at central level and 5 administrative buildings at district level

MININFRA Reports District Reports

R45b. Public buildings have been rehabilitated over the period 2007-2011

• 10 administrative buildings have been rehabilitated at central level and 305 administrative buildings at District level

MININFRA Reports District Reports

R46. Informal areas or areas with indecent living conditions have been improved over the period 2007-2011

• 5 areas12

have been restructured and the displaced people have been resettled, resulting in 10% of new households connected to water and electricity; 30 km of linear roads improved; 10% houses in restructured areas are connected to drainage canals over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA Reports District Reports

R47. Facilities for the fight against AIDS and environment protection have been put in place within the framework of Imidugudu over the period 2007-2011

• 100% infrastructure sites have been accompanied by awareness campaings on the fight against AIDS over the period 2007-2011

• 100% of studies on the development of Housing and City Planning Infrastructure have integrated the environment component over the period 2007-2011.

MININFRA/Housing and City

Planning /Districts

R48 Capacity building is ensured over the period 2007-2011

• 280 Technicians are trained over the period 2007-2011 MININFRA Reports

R49. The cartography Service has been improved over the period 2007-2011

• A digital cartographic data base is put in place MININFRA Reports

12

Although these seem to be few, in this case, it is big areas such as Gitega or Kimisagara in Kigali that are targeted.

30

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

GO1. The development of Housing and City Planning infrastructure has contributed at least at the rate of 10.5% to the average annual development rate of GDP fixed at least at 7% over the period 2007-2011

Total ratio of added value of the Housing and City Planning sub-sector times one hundred divided by the national GDP

BNR Annual Reports BNR

NIS

Annually 10.5 % 10.5 % • Data is published each year in BNR reports

• This requires an absolute increase in the Housing and City Planning added value of 7% per year

GO2. The number of additional jobs created each year by the Housing and City Planning Sector over the period 2007-2011 is at least 20%

Absolute number of workers employed in the Housing and City Planning Sector (Public and private enterprises)

MININFRA Reports Districts Reports

MININFRA Districts

Annually ? 10% A baseline before the end of 2007 is required. As the Housing and City Planning Sub-sector is a job creator, it is expected that the rate of job development will be fixed at a rate that is slightly higher than the GDP target rate (7.2%).

The number of vulnerable households without decent housing, which was 192 000 in 2002, and 177 000 in 2006 falls to 132 750 in 2011, that is a decrease of 25%.

Absolute number of vulnerable households without decent housing

Districts Reports MININFRA Reports MININFRA Data base

MININFRA Districts

Annually 177.000 132.750

31

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

OD0-R01. All districts and central level have benefited from capacity building actions over the period 2007-2011

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not all districts and the central level have benefited from capacity building actions

District Reports;

Mininfra Reports

Districts Mininfra

Annually NA YES

OD1-R1. The volume of infrastructure in the Housing and City Planning sub-sector has increased at least by 30% so as to accommodate the urban population which has increased from 17% to 22% over the period 2007-2011

Using the volume of public and private infrastructure (at a stable price) in the housing, city planning and community settlement sub-sector

NIS Data base NIS Annually Rwf 3.4 billion

RWF4.4 billion (+30%)

SNI 2002 (p21) estimates that investments in this sector should increase from RWF 3.4 billon to RWF 7.3 billion in 2010 (including the land sub-sector)

OD2-R2. The % of urban population living in planned and developed areas is at least 10 to 15%, increasing from about 1.5 to 1.9 million inhabitants over the period 2007-2011.

The ratio of the population living in planned and developed areas times one hundred divided by the total number of urban population.

Mininfra Data base as numerator; Population Census Data base/NIS as denominator

Mininfra NIS RGP

Annual as numerator; annual estimates with periodic updating (Population General Census) as denominator estimations

10 % 15 % This corresponds to an increase from about 150,000 to 190,000 inhabitants in these areas over the period 2007-2011.

OD3-R3. The population living in imidugudu increases from 20% to 25% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the population living in imidugudu times one hundred divided by the total number of the population in imidugudu

District Reports; Mininfra Data base

Districts Mininfra

Annually; Periodic updating (PGS)

20 % 25% This corresponds to an increase of inhabitants in imidugudu from about 1.8 million to 2.5 million over the period 2007-2011.

OD4-R4. The housing production cost (cost per m

2) has decrease at least by 20%

over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the average annual house cost times one hundred divided by the total annual expenses of the household

NIS Database NIS Annually ? (-20%) A baseline is required before the end of 2007.

OD5-R5. The percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of Housing and City Planning is at least 80% over the period 2007-2011.

The ratio of the sample households which positively answered the question on the improvement of the quality of Housing and City Planning times one hundred divided by the total number of the sample of the survey

NIS Database NIS Annually NA 80% .

OD6-R6. The number of vulnerable households without decent houses, which was 192 000 in 2002, and 177 000 in 2006 has fallen to 132 750 in 2011, that is a decrease of 25%.

The number of households living in « sheetings and blindés »

District Reports NIS Database Mininfra Data base

Districts NIS Mininfra

Annually 177.000 144.000 .

OD7-R7a. At central level, the percentage of offices which meet the standards increases from 80% to 90% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the number of services housed in decent public buildings times one hundred divided by the total number of public services.

Mininfra Data base Mininfra Annually 80% 90%

OD7-R7b. At decentralised level the percentage of offices which meet standards increases from 60% to 80% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the number of services housed in decent public buildings times one hundred divided by the total number of public services.

Mininfra Data base Mininfra Annually 60% 80%

32

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R41a. 50% of new real estate developers intervene in urban Development at the end of the period 2007-2011.

13

The ratio of the difference between the nbr of developers in 2011 and 2006 times one hundred divided by the nbr of developers in 2011 and 2006 (idem for the nbr of independent developers)

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 50% Setting a baseline is desirable before the end of 2007.

R41b. 10 000 hectares of areas are developed; including 20% high standing ; 30 % medium standing ; 50 % low standing

Nbr of hectares with details on nbr of Ha:

+High standing

+Medium standing

+Low standing

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 10.000

2000

3000

5000

R41c. The Housing Bank has been strengthened and a financing of FRW 1000 Millions has been disbursed over the period 2007-2011

Both qualitative and quantitative variable tracking if yes or not capacity building has taken place, particularly if 1RWF billion has been disbursed.

Housing Bankt

Mininfra DB

BH

Mininfra

Annually NA 1000

R42a. 18 cities have Development Master Plans or a simplified Development plan

The ratio of the number of cities having Master Devel. Plans or a Simplified Devel. Plan times one hundred divided by the total number of cities.

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually 1/30 18 oout of 30

R42b. Particular Development Plans resulting in 10,000 hectares have been elaborated over the period 2007-2011

14

Qualitative variable tracking if yes or not PPA resulting in 10,000 ha have been achieved

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 10.000 Ha

R43. 5700 Imidugudu15 have been created over the period 2007-2011.

Number of new Imidugudu Districts

Mininfra DB

Districts

Mininfra

Annually 5486 6336

R44 The housing cost has decreased by 20% over the period 2007-2011.

The ratio of the difference between the cost of building materials in 2006 and that of 2011 times one hundred divided by the cost of building materials in 2006.

Districts

Mininfra DB

Districts

Mininfra

Annually ? 20% A baseline is required before the end of 2007.

13 So far the Government seems to have been the only developer; it is necessary to involve private developers. 14 For the moment only Kibuye City, Karongi District, has an approved plan. That of Cyangugu, Nyamasheke District, is in the process of approval. New SDAU concern Kigali City, Rwamagana and Nyagatare. 15 Umudugudu settlement has 100 households, that is 500 people.

33

OVI number

OVI formulation OVI description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comment on availability of baseline value

R45a11. 5 administrative buildings are built at central level

Number of new administrative buildings built at central level

Mininfra Reports Mininfra Annually NA 5

R45a12. 5 administrative buildings are built at district level

Number of new administrative buildings built at District level

District Reports

Mininfra DB

Districts

Mininfra

Annually NA 5

R45B11. 10 administrative buildings have been rehabilitated at central level.

Number of new administrative buildings rehabilitated at central level

Districts

Mininfra DB

Districts

Mininfra

Annually NA 10

R45B12. 305 administrative buildings have been rehabilitated at district level

Number of new administrative buildings rehabilitated at District level

Districts

Mininfra DB

Districts

Mininfra

Annually NA 305

R46. 5 areas16 have been appropriately17

restructured over the period 2007-2011.

Both qualitative and quantitative variable tracking if yes or not the expected number of areas has been restructured

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 5 A baseline is required before the end of 2007.

R47a. 100% infrastructure sites have been accompanied by awareness raising campaign for all workers on the fight against AIDS over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the number of infrastructure sites which were accompanied by awareness raising campaign on the fight against AIDS times one hundred divided by the total number of sites constructed.

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 100% A baseline is required before the end of 2007.

R47b. 100% of studies on Housing and City Planning Infrastructure development have integrated the environment component over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of studies on Housing and City Planning infrastructure development, which have integrated the environment component times one hundred divided by the total number of cities.

Mininfra DB Mininfra Annually ? 100% A baseline is required before the end of 2007.

R481 280 technicians are trained over the period 2007-2011

Number of technicians trained MININFRA/Housing and City Planning

Mininfra Annually NA 280

R491 A digital cartographic data base has been put in place

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not a digital cartographic data base is in place and is operational

MININFRA/Housing and City Planning

Mininfra Annually NA YES

16

Although these seem to be few, in this case it is big areas such as Gitega or Kimisagara in Kigali that are targeted. 17 The qualifier ‘appropriate’ means that 10% of new households have been connected to water and electricity; 30 linear km of roads have been improved; 10 % of houses in restructured areas are connected to drainage canals

34

TABLE 6: LOGFRAME FOR ICT SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-201118

18 This logframe is still at the stage of the one presented in the provisional report of January 2007 because, for instance, discussions between MININFRA ICT services and the Word Bank have not yet been concluded. The logframe taking into account the last comments shall be finalized by MININFRA. But the new structure combining the old logframe and with the first results of discussions, notably in order to include the NICI-2010 Plan is presented for information in Appendix 10. 19 This number seems not to be realistic because in 2004, transport and ICT represented only about 8.1% of the GDP. 20 For jobs, Mininfra shall institute site reports.

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

ICT : 2 GO OVI/ 5 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE

The Information and Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure and Service Sub-sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007-2011.

GO1. The development of ICT infrastructure and services has contributed at least at the rate of 16%

19 to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at least at 7.2% over

the period 2007-2011.

(or ICT GDP has doubled amounting to RWF 62 billion)

• NIS statistical data base

• BNR Annual Reports

Support shall continue from the top in the government hierarchy.

Sustainable and increased support from development partners

GO2. The number of jobs created each year by ICT Sector has increased from 7,000 to 20,000 over the period 2007-2011

• RITA data base and reports

• Mininfra20 DB

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

The ICT Industry has been promoted and access of active population to ICT at a low price has been improved over the period 2007-2011 OR The volume and quality of the ICT sub-sector infrastructure in Rwanda has been improved over the period 2007-2011

DO1. The volume of investments in the ICT sub-sector shall increase from X% to y% over the period 2007-2011

RIEPA Environment conducive to investment shall be further supported and developed

DO2-a. 100% of the national territory has been covered by a Communication and digital radio/television broadcast network over the period 2007-2011

DO2-b. X% of the national territory has been covered by the postal network over the period 2007-2011

RURA Report IPOSITA Report

Investment in the ICT sector shall be supported and increased. The cost of technology will continue to decrease

DO3.a. The number of people who have access to communication services which is 4% in 2005 and X% in 2006 has risen to 12% by 2011.

DO3.b. Access to communication service access points shall be reduced to 5 km over the period 2007-2011

DO3.c. The percentage of Rwandans who have a mobile phone shall increase from 3.21% to 12% over the period 2007-2011

DO3.d. The percentage of Rwandans who have access to Internet shall increase from 0.45% to 10% over the period 2007-2011

NICI Plan Review Report RURA Report NIS

Government sustainable support to the promotion of rural areas and private sector investment

• DO4. The cost of access to telecommunication services has decreased at least by 50% over the period 2007-2011 (the cost of the international bandwidth shall fall from USD 4000 to USD 900 over the period 2006-2011; the cost of access to the television channel shall decrease from USD X to USD Y over the period 2006-2011; the unit price for access to communication services shall fall from RWF 120 to RWF 60).

RURA Report NIS

Competition in ICT sector will be real; a stronger and independent regulator as well as the price of the international bandwidth)

DO5. The percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of ICT services has increased at least by X% over the period 2007-2011.

NIS statistical data base RURA Report

35

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

R1. The legal and regulatory framework has been strengthened over the period 2007-2011 so as to create a competitive and balanced environment

• An electronic legislation shall be put in place over the period 2007-2011

• X statutory orders have been published over the period 2006-2011

MININFRA/RURA/ Sustainable support of ICT sector in the development of the legal and regulatory framework by judicial organs Harmonisation of the regional legal and regulatory framework shall continue

R2. The volume of communication, radio and television broadcast infrastructure has increased over the period 2006-2011

• The number of post offices per district

• The number of telecentres per sector shall be 300.

RURA Report IPOSITA Report NICI Plan Review Report NIS

R3. A competitive and regulated environment shall be created over the period 2006-2011 so as to reduce the service cost

• X regional communication infrastructure projects shall be implemented over the period 2006-2011

• The number of operators in the ICT sector has increased from X to Y over the period 2006-2011

• A system strengthening ICT regulations has been put in place.

RURA Report NICI Plan Review Report NIS

R4. Accessibility has been made easier and promoted over the period 2006-2011

The distance from one communication service access point to another has been reduced from X to 5 km.

RURA Report NICI Plan Review Report NIS

R5. Each ICT service contract shall lead to « SLA »

The number of SLA signed will increase from X to 100 over the period 2006-2011

RURA The development of a Qos framework by the regulator shall continue

36

OVI number

OVI Formulation OVI Description Source of information Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comments on availability of baseline value

GO1. ICT infrastructure and services development has contributed at the rate of X% to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at least at 7.2% over the period 2007-2011. (Or ICT GDP has doubled amounting to RWF 62 billion)

Ratio of the total added value of the ICT sub-sector times one hundred divided by the value of the national GDP

NIS statistical data base BNR

NIS

Annually X0% X % Data published annually in BNR reports combined with Transport GDP (8.1% in 2004). Il would be better to separate information for both.

GO2. The number of jobs created each year by ICT sector has increased from 7,000 to 20,000 over the period 2007-2011

Absolute number of workers employed in ICT sub-sector (public and private enterprises).

RITA data base and report

Mininfra DB21

MININFRA Annually ? ? A data collection system should be set up either at MININFRA directly or through the Ministry In charge of Labour

DO1 The volume of investment in the ICT sub-sector will increase from X% to y% over the period 2007-2011

The volume in RWF of public and private investments (at a constant price) in the ICT sub-sector.

NIS DB MINICOM MININFRA

NIS MININFRA

Annually ? ? Refer also to SNI

DO2-a. 100% of the national territory has been covered by a Communication and digital radio/television broadcast network over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the national territory covered times one hundred divided by the total area of the territory

RURA Report

RURA MININFRA DB

Annually ? 100 %

DO2-b. X% of the national territory has been covered by the

postal network over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the area of the territory covered times one hundred divided by the total area of the territory

IPOSITA Report RURA MININFRA DB

Annually ? ?

DO3.a. The number of people who have access to communication services which is 4% in 2005 and X%

in 2006 has risen to 12% by 2011.

Absolute number of people having access to ICT services

NICI Review Report RURA Report NIS

RURA Annually

4% 12% Reference = 2005.

DO3.b. Access to communication service access points shall be reduced to 5 km over the period 2007-2011

Average distance between users and ICT service access points

NIS DB NIS Every 5 years ? 5km EICV organised by NIS

DO3.c. The percentage of Rwandans who have a mobile phone shall increase from 3.21% to 12% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the number of Rwandans who have a mobile phone times one hundred divided by the total number of Rwandans..

NICI Review Report RURA Report

RURA Annually

3.2% 12 %

DO3.d. The percentage of Rwandans who have access to the Internet shall increase from 0.45% to 10% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the number of Rwandans who have access to the Internet times one hundred divided by the total number of Rwandans

NICI Review Report RURA Report NIS

RURA Annually

0.45 % 10 %

DO4 The cost of access to telecommunication services has decreased at least by 50% over the period 2007-2011 (the cost of the international bandwidth shall fall from USD 4000 to USD 900 over the period 2006-2011; the cost of access to the television channel shall decrease from USD X to USD Y over the period 2006-2011; the unit price for access to communication services shall fall from RWF 120 to RWF 60).

Absolute cost of:

• Bandwidth • Television channel • Communication/min.

NICI Review Report RURA Report NIS

RURA Annually

4.000 X ? 120

900 Y ? 60

DO5 The percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of ICT services has increased at least by X% over the period 2007-2011

The ratio of the survey sample households who positively answered the question on the improvement of the quality OF ICT services times one hundred divided by the

NIS Data base NIS Annually ? ? .

21

For jobs, Mininfra should institute site reports.

37

total number of the sample population Number of OVI

Formulation of OVI Description of OVI Source of information

Responsible for information collection

Frequency of information collection

Reference value in 2006 (unless otherwise stated)

Target value in 2011 (unless otherwise stated)

Comments on the existence of reference values

R41.a. An electronic legislation will be put in place over the period 2006- 2011

Both qualitative and quantitative variable tracking if yes or not the electronic legislation has been put in place

Gazette

Mininfra

Mininfra Annually Na (Not applicable)

1

R41.b. X statutory orders have been published over the period 2006- 2011

Absolute number of statutory orders published

Gazette

Mininfra

MININFRA Annually Na ?

R42.a. The number of post offices per district

Absolute number of post offices per district

IPOSITA Report IPOSITA Annually ? ?

R42.b. The number of telecentres per sector will be 300

Absolute number of telecentres per sector

MININFRA/RURA ? 300

R43.a. X regional communication infrastructure projects shall be implemented over the period 2006- 2011

Absolute number of regional communication infrastructures implemented

RURA Report

Mininfra Archives

MININFRA Annually ? ?

R43.b. The number of operators in the ICT sector has increased from X to Y over the period 2006- 2011

Absolute number of operators in ICT sectors

RURA/MININFRA Reports

RURA Annually ? ?

R43.c. A mechanism aimed at strengthening TIC regulations has been put in place.

Both qualitative and quantitative variable tracking if yes or not a mechanism aimed at strengthening ICT regulations has been put in place.

RURA/MININFRA Reports

RURA Annually ? ?

R44. The distance from one communication service access point to an other will be reduced from X to 5 km

Average distance declared by the households from the closest communication service access point.

NIS BD

Mininfra DB

NIS Annually ? 5 Km

R45. The number of SLA signed shall increase from X to 100 over the period 2006- 2011

Absolute number of SLA that will be signed

Mininfra DB MININFRA Annually ? 100

38

TABLE 7: LOGFRAME FOR METEOROLOGY SUB-SECTOR OVER EDPRS PERIOD 2007-2011

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

H&U : 1 GO OVI / 2 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE

The meteorology sub-sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007-2011.

• GO1. Data from the meteorology sector is sold from 2008. • NIS statistical data base

• BNR Annual Report

N. B : The establishment of a Meteorology Agency with autonomous management is essential for successful attainment of meteorology objectives

PURPOSE / DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE / METEOROLOGY OUTCOME: 4 OVI

Availability of reliable current and past information necessary for the current needs of various sectors, and forecasts have been improved over the periodd 2007-2011.

• DO1-R1. Meteorology service infrastructures have been strengthened to meet 100% of demand

• DO2-R2. Reliable statistical data for the management of various sectors and forecasts are available to 100% of the territory.

Meteorology Data bank

Financing

OUTPUT

R1. A legal and regulatory framework has been put in place

• A national meteorology agency is put in place over the period 2007 -2011

• Meteorology laws are elaborated and approved

• The meteorology policy and strategy are formulated in 2008

R2. The meteorology service infrastructure has been rehabilitated and strengthened over the period 2007-2011

• 150 planned meteorology stations are rehabilitated (that is an annual growth rate of 18% of fully equipped and operational meteorology stations, increasing stations in good condition from 10% to 100% of the total number of 200 stations)

• 50 new meteorology stations are built over the period 2007-2011

Monitoring &Evaluation / MININFRA

District monograph

- Meteorology Data bank

Respect action plan

Financing

- Respect action plan

R3. Reliable meteorology data are available to 100% of the territory over the period 2007-2011

• Three mechanisms have been put in place to improve data collection and processing over the period 2007-2011 (One data processing centre is operational in 2008; 1 System for phenomena detection and weather remote parameter measuring is put in place; 1 Data Distribution System Satellite (SADIS) is put in place over the period 2007-2011)

Meteorology Service Annual Report

Availability of funds

R4. Infrastructure is maintained • A maintenance mechanism combining the establishment of a maintenance workshop and involvement of districts in meteorology station surveillance is set up over the period 2007-2011.

Maintenance workshop

Availability of funds

R5. Meteorology service promotion for public and private sectors.

• A meteorology data dissemination system is put in place so as to have at least one weekly broadcast from 2009.

ORINFOR

(Private Press Agencies)

Budget

R6. Human capacity is strengthened over the period 2007-2011

• 15 meteorology executives and 55 technicians have been trained over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA Budget

39

OVI number

OVI Formulation OVI Description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comments on availability of baseline value

OG1. Data from the Meteorology sector is sold from 2008 so as to ensure self-sufficiency, at least partially.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not data from the meteorology sector is sold from 2008 so as to ensure self-sufficiency at least partially

MININFRA/H&U

MININFRA Annually NA YES

OD11. The meteorology service infrastructure has been strengthened to meet 100% of demand

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not meteorology service infrastructures have been strengthened so as to meet 100% of demand.

MININFRA/H&U

MININFRA Annually NA YES

OD21 Reliable meteorology data for the management of various sectors and forecast are available to 100% of the territory.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not reliable meteorology data for the management of various sectors and forecast are available at least at about 100%.

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annually NA

YES

R11 A meteorology policy accompanied by a clear and relevant meteorology strategy are formulated and implemented over the period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not a meteorology policy accompanied by clear and relevant meteorology strategy are formulated and implemented

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annually NA

YES

R12 Meteorology laws are drafted, approved and implemented over the period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not meteorology laws have been drafted, approved and implemented

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annually NA

YES

R13 A national meteorology agency is established and is operational over the period 2007-2011.

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not a national meteorology agency is in place and operational

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Annually NA

YES

40

OVI number

OVI Formulation OVI Description Source of information

Responsible for data collection

Frequency of data collection

Baseline value in 2006 (except other given specific indication)

Target value for 2011 (except other given specific indication)

Comments on availability of baseline value

R21 150 planned meteorology stations are rehabilitated (increasing stations in good condition from 10% to 100% of the total number).

Ratio of the difference between the number of operational equipment of the meteorology sub-sector in 2011 times one hundred divided by the equivalent number in 2006.

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annually NA

10%

150

100%

R22 50 new meteorology stations are built over the period 2007-2011

Absolute number of new stations built

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annually NA

50

R32 Three mechanisms have been put in place to improve data collection and processing over the period 2007-2011 (One data processing centre is operational in 2008 ; 1 System for phenomena detection and weather remote parameter measuring is put in place ; 1 Data Distribution System Satellite (SADIS) is put in place over the period 2007-2011)

It is possible to use the Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not there is a maintenance mechanism including its setting up.

Absolute number mechanisms put in place and operational to improve data collection and processing

MININFRA Reports MININFRA Reports

MININFRA MININFRA

Annually Annually

NA NA

YES

3

R41 A maintenance mechanism combining the establishment of a maintenance workshop and involvement of districts in meteorology stations surveillance is put in place over the period 2007-2011

Boolean indicator tracking if yes or not a maintenance mechanism includes a setting-up mechanism

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annually NA

YES

R51 A meteorology data dissemination system is put in place so as to have at least one weekly broadcast from 2009 (i.e. at least 52 broadcasts per year)

Absolute number of broadcasts produced each year from 2009 and later

ORINFOR Private Press Agencies MININFRA Archives

MININFRA Annually NA

52

R61 15 meteorology executives and 55 technicians have been trained over the period 2007-2011

Absolute number of executives and technicians trained over the period 2007-2011

MININFRA Reports

MININFRA Annually ? 70 including 15 executives. 55 technicians.

Setting a baseline would be desirable before 2007.

41

APPENDIX 8: REACTION TO THE COMMENTS FROM MINECOFIN

1) Ensure the link between the different outcomes/development objectives and the seven

strategic areas: for instance we have 6DO-R while there are 7 strategic areas, are there

some areas that are not concerned by the Transport Sector? ANSWER 1: YES, FOR EXAMPLE, THE DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WORLD BANK AND THE

EUROPEAN UNION ACCORDING TO WHICH THE COMPONENT OF INCREASING THE VOLUME OF

INFRASTRUCTURE SHOULD NOT REQUIRE THE SAME PRIORITY AS THE COMPONENT OF

MAINTENANCE. NEITHER WAS THE COMPONENT OF ACCESSIBILITY PUT FORWARD. BUT

COSTING WAS.

An attempt to bring together (a simple analysis, to confirm if yes or not it is correct) DO-

R and the MININFRA strategic objectives may provide orientation on adjustments and

complements):

- DO1-R1 –Ensure legal and regulatory institutional framework

- DO2-R2 –Can it be made closer to: “increase the volume of infrastructure and/or

increase accessibility”? ANSWER 2: (THIS OUTPUT WHICH IS RELATED TO THE FORMULATION AND IMPLEMENTATION

OF THE STRATEGY –COMPONENT 1 – COULD BE RENUMBERED AS DO1-R1B); BECAUSE IT IS

LINKED TO CAPACITY BUILDING. BUT THE DISTORTION IN THE NUMBERING APPEARS LATER

WITH THE INTRODUCTION OF THIS NEW ASPECT FOLLOWING THE DISCUSSIONS WITH THE

WORLD BANK. COMPONENT 2 RELATING TO INCREASING THE VOLUME HAS DISAPPEARED.

- DO3-R3-Increase the volume of infrastructure and/or Ensure the sustainability of

infrastructure? ANSWER 3 : THIS OUTPUT CONCERNS MAINTENANCE (COMPONENT 6). THERE IS A PROBLEM

OF A DISCREPANCY IN NUMBERING (FOLLOWING ANSWER 2), WHICH WE PREFER TO KEEP AS

SUCH.

- DO4-R4-Ensure quality services? ANSWER 4 : THIS OUTPUT CONCERNS SECURITY (COMPONENT 7). THERE IS A PROBLEM OF A

DISCREPANCY IN NUMBERING (FOLLOWING ANSWER 2), WHICH WE PREFER TO KEEP AS SUCH

- DO5-R5-Reduce and control the cost …OK

- DO6-R6-in relation with cross-cutting issues… OK

2) DO6-R6: is not well formulated and does not clearly reflect the contribution of the

transport sector to HIV/AIDS prevention, environment protection and gender equality. ANSWER 5: THERE HAS BEEN A REFORMULATION TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF THE

INDICATOR.

3) For R11: OVI « 4 analytical systems established within MININFRA” is not clear. Which

sort of system is it? ANSWER 6 : THERE HAS BEEN A REFORMULATION TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF THE

INDICATOR BY SPECIFYING THE AREAS OF CONCERN FOR THE WORLD BANK WHICH IS THE

INITIATOR OF THE REFORMULATION OF THIS OUTPUT, NOTABLY POLICY FORMULATION ;

STATISTICS ANALYSIS ; PLANNING AND M&E.

4) For R12, which, apparently, concerns only studies, some OVI related to it go beyond the

studies and cover the period after EDPRS; aren’t they integrated in the third PRSP

generation? (Example: extension of the railroad from Isaka to Kigali built and operational

from the year 2014, Akagera river made navigable by 2015, etc).

ANSWER 7: THERE HAS BEEN A REFORMULATION TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF THE

INDICATOR BY SPECIFYING THAT THIS IS PREPARATORY WORK; “PREPARATORY WORK IN

42

ORDER TO FACILITATE EXTENSION OF THE RAILROAD FROM ISAKA TO KIGALI TO BE BUILT

AND OPERATIONAL FROM THE YEAR 2014; PREPARATORY WORK IN ORDER TO FACILITATE A

DRY PORT ON THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CORRIDORS (ISAKA, KAMPALA) TO BE BUILT

AND OPERATIONAL FROM THE YEAR 2015. EXTENSION OF THE OIL PIPELINE FROM KAMPALA

TO KIGALI”.

5) Now, R13/DO3-R3 concerns only roads (that is why the airport and inland waterway/lake

transport are included in R12/DO2-R2). But what is really the objective of R12/DO2-R2?

It would be better either to clarify the formulation or change the OVI (see 4). Is it

necessary to have something separate for non-road transport, or is it necessary to include it

in R13/DO-R3 ? ANSWER 8 : THE CONSULTANT DID NOT UNDERSTAND THE MEANING OF THIS COMMENT, NOR

DID HE PROVIDE ANY RESPONSE TO IT.

--------------------------------------

NB. COMMENTS IN THE FORM OF DIRECT ANNOTATION IN OTHER LOGFRAMES HAVE BEEN

INCLUDED IN THE FINAL VERSION OF THESE TABLES.

43

APPENDIX 9: REACTION FROM MININFRA TO THE COMMENTS FROM EU ON TRANSPORT LOGFRAME

We should include in the Log Frame, under institutional strengthening, the formulation and implementation of a maintenance policy and prioritisation system. Actions will include data collection and creation of a prioritisation model (and a data base). The Classified road network includes National Roads, both paved and unpaved, and District roads which are either gravel or earth. The unclassified network is made up of rural feeder roads and tracks. The term Trunk Road should be replaced with National Road as it includes both paved and unpaved. The figures for the size of the road network are based on the DHV reclassification exercise and an estimation of the feeder road network at 8,500km. It is a priority of the Ministry to survey the feeder road network to establish accurate records of it’s size and condition. We should include in the Log Frame, under institutional strengthening, the formulation and implementation of a maintenance policy and prioritisation system. Lengths specified for Maintenance are cumulative as this is the only way to get correct cost figures as the unit cost (per km) is multiplied by the TOTAL length to give a total cost for the 5 years. This could be explained with a footnote. We need to check the figures for lengths of road to be maintained and rehabilitated included in the log frame as it’s unclear whether these should be for the baseline or unconstrained scenario. We do not have a baseline or any way of collecting data on Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC). Therefore this should be dropped from the Log Frame and we will rely on transport costs, for goods and passengers (container to Mombasa and a bus ticket to Kampala ). 100 professional staff to be recruited will be in the district, approx 80, and in the Road Agency, approx 20. They will all be responsible for planning and management of infrastructure development and maintenance contracts and supervision of works. Philippe needs to report on the reasons behind the formulation of the 2

nd generation FER.

Philippe also needs to report on the reasons for Bugesara Airport. The establishment of Axle load control systems should be included as one of the activities under safety.

The reduction in transport costs should be for a container to Mombasa and a bus ticket to

Kampala and the reduction should be 10% rather than 30% which is too high.

Richard and Amil will investigate the targets for maintenance and rehabilitation, whether they

are for the baseline or unconstrained scenario and how achievable they are.

The Akegera River scheme will include a feasibility study.

Bridges have been included in road maintenance and rehabilitation and do not need a separate

inclusion. Richard Smith Roads Expert MININFRA

44

APPENDIX 10: FIRST DRAFT OF THE PROVISIONAL VERSION OF THE ICT LOGFRAME– INTEGRATING THE TEN 2010-NICI PILLARS -

45

A. THE FIRST PART OF INITIAL VERSION WHICH REMAINS UNCHANGED

22

The figures seem not to be realistic because in 2004, transport and ICT represented only about 8.1% of the GDP. 23

For jobs, MININFRA will have to institute site reports.

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

TIC : 2 GO OVI / 5 DO OVI (QUID DECENTRALISATION)

GOAL / IMPACT / WIDER OBJECTIVE / GLOBAL OBJECTIVE

The ICT service infrastructure sub-sector has contributed to sustainable economic development and poverty reduction in Rwanda over the period 2007-2011.

GO1. The development of ICT infrastructure and services has contributed at the rate of 16%

22 to the average annual growth of GDP fixed at least at 7.2% over the

period 2007-2011.

(Or TIC GDP has doubled amounting to RWF 62 billion).

• NIS statistical data base

• BNR Annual Reports

Support shall continue from the top in the government hierarchy.

Sustainable and increased support from development partners

GO2. The number of jobs created each year by the ICT sector increases from 7,000 to 20,000 over the period 2007-2011.

• RITA Database and report

• Mininfra DB23

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

ICT industry has been promoted and access of the population to ICT at the lowest cost has been improved over the period 2007-2011. OR The volume and quality of ICT sub-sector infrastructure in Rwanda have been improved over the period 2007-2011.

DO1. The volume of investment in the ICT sub-sector will increase from X% to Y% over the period 2007-2011.

RIEPA An environment conducive to investment shall be further supported and developed

DO2-a. 100% of the national territory has been covered by a Communication and digital radio/television broadcast network over the period 2007-2011

DO2-b. X% of the national territory has been covered by the postal network over the period 2007-2011

RURA Report IPOSITA

Investment in the ICT sector shall be supported and increased. The cost of technology will continue decreasing

DO3.a. The number of people who have access to communication services which is 4% in 2005 and X% in 2006 has risen to 12% by 2011.

DO3.b. Access to communication service access points shall be reduced to 5 km over the period 2007-2011

DO3.c. The percentage of Rwandans who have a mobile phone will increase from 3.21% to 12% over the period 2007-2011

DO3.d. The percentage of Rwandans who have access to the Internet shall increase from 0.45% to 10% over the period 2007-2011

NICI Plan Review Report RURA Report NIS

Government continuous support to the promotion of rural areas and private sector investment

• DO4. The cost of access to telecommunication services has fallen at least by 50% over the period 2007-2011 (the cost of the international bandwidth shall fall from USD 4000 to USD 900 over the period 2006-2011; the cost of access to the television channel shall decrease from USD X to USD Y over the period 2006-2011; the unit price for access to communication services shall fall from RWF 120 to RWF 60).

RURA Report NIS

Competition in ICT sector will be real; a stronger and independent regulator as well as the price of the international bandwidth

DO5. The percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of ICT services has increased at least by X% over the period 2007-2011

NIS statistical data base RURA Report

46

B. THE LAST PART OF ICT INITIAL LOGFRAME WHICH CHANGED

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

GENERAL OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE

GOO – GENERAL OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE

The efficiency and effectiveness of the processes of the Government of Rwanda to deliver applications, services and information through the judicious use of technology; as a cross-cutting approach, use of ICT will foster improvements in all sectors, including financial, legal, and regulatory and also

in the social sectors. (re-check this)

ICT sector (All pillars)

1. The number of government institutions quoted (by RITA or RURA) deliver improved services and information to citizen and businesses has increased passing from X% to 80% of total government institutions within EDPRS period 2007-2011 2. The quality of services has improved resulting in 50 % of delivery time reduction within EDPRS period 2007-201 3. Percent of citizen who express satisfaction with improved services and access to information delivery has increased from X% to 80%.

47

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

PURPOSE / OUTCOME/ DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE

ICT industry has been promoted and access of the population to ICT at the lowest cost has been improved over the period 2007-2011 OR The volume and quality of the ICT sub-sector infrastructure in Rwanda have been improved over the period 2007-2011

The volume of investment in the ICT sub-sector will increase from X% to Y% over the period 2007-2011 DO1.b The number of operators in the ICT sub-sector will increase from X to Y over the period 2007-2011

RIEPA An environment conducive to investment shall be further supported and developed

DO2-a. 100% of the national territory has been covered by a Communication and digital radio/television broadcast network over the period 2007-2011

DO2-b. X% of the national territory has been covered by the postal network over the period 2007-2011

RURA Report IPOSITA Report

Investment in the ICT sector shall be supported and increased. The cost of technology will continue to decrease

DO3.a. The number of people who have access to communication services which is 4% in 2005 and X% in 2006 has risen to 12% by 2011.

DO3.b. Access to communication service access points shall be reduced to 5 km over the period 2007-2011

DO3.c. The percentage of Rwandans who have a mobile phone will increase from 3.21% to 12% over the period 2007-2011

DO3.d. The percentage of Rwandans who have access to Internet shall increase from 0.45% to 10% over the period 2007-2011

NICI Plna Review REport RURA Report NIS

Government continuous support to the promotion of rural areas and private sector investment

DO4. The cost of access to telecommunication services has decreased at least by 50% over the period 2007-2011 (the cost of an international bandwidth shall fall from USD 4000 to USD 900 over the period 2006-2011 ; the cost of access to the television channel shall decrease from USD X to USD Y over the period 2006-2011 ; the unit price for access to communication services shall fall from RWF 120 to RWF 60).

RURA Report NIS

Competition in ICT sector will be real ; a stronger and independent regulator as well as the price of the international bandwidth

DO5. The percentage of beneficiaries satisfied with the improvement of the quality of ICT services has increased at least by X% over the period 2007-2011

NIS statistical data base RURA Report

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Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO1 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 1

The capacity of the GoR to use ICT for decision making on all levels and as a means of improving services and information to the citizens has been improved by 2008 KA # 1: Institutional and Legal (including CB) EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: Egovernment and egovernance; Legal, Regulatory, and Institutional Provisions and Standards; Human Capacity Development; ICT in Education

• Updated and improved legal and regulatory framework in

place (through X number of Acts adopted; adoption of the communication master plan) by 2007 and over the period 2007 – 2011

• Enhanced capacity in three leading institutions (Mininfra ICT Services to formulate and follow up implementation of ICT Policy; regulatory Capacity of RURA; coordination Capacity of RITA to NICI Plan) in place by 2008 and over the period 2008 – 2011

• Percent of middle to senior level civil servants trained in the various Government ministries and PSOs in the area of management, policy formulation, execution and monitoring passes from X% in 2007 to 80 %in 2011

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Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO2 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 2

The communication facilities and diversification of the means of access through the utilization of appropriate telecommunication system has been improved

KA # 2: Volume of Infrastructures EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS:

Infrastructure, Equipment, and Content; Private Sector Development

• The communication facilities and diversification of the means of access through the utilization of appropriate telecommunication system has improved (through installation of at least X number of post offices per District and 300 telecenters per Sector???; improvement of bandwidth which has increased from X Gbps to Y Gbps) within 2007-2011 EDPRS period.

• Karisimbi integrated project in place and providing network coverage of at least X% by 2011 (or earlier???)

• X regional ICT infrastructure projects have been implemented within 2007-2011 EDPRS period

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Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO3 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 3

The government's ability to delivery services and information to citizens has been improved

KA # 3: Service Delivery EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: Social Development

• The number of web based public services and government services to the citizens increases from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

• At least X hospitals and Y health centers have fully adopted telemedicine practices by 2011.

• Full implementation of Integrated Management Information Systems in X (or all) key social sectors by 2011

• At least X % of Government Institutions are kinked to the national fiber backbone network by 2011

51

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO4 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 4

The amount of resources (cost, time) to delivery government services; reduction in the amount of resources government is improved KA # 4: Service Costs EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: Economic Development

• Tax management, budget management Human resource management, postal services and their related applications are automated by 2011

• The number of automated parliamentary operations increases from X% in 2007 to Y% in 2011

• The national information centre established by 2011

52

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO5 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 5

The citizen's ability to gain access to services and information, particularly in the rural areas is improved KA # 5: Accessibility EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: Rural and Community Access

• installation of at least X number of post offices per District

• installation of at least X number of telecenters (or Multipurpose Community Telecenters- MCT)

• The number of free information access point has passed from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

• The number of women enrolled in ICT-related educational and training program has increased from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

53

Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO6 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 6

The investments in technology are fully deployed and maintained and to engage the private sector in partnerships which result in strengthening of both the ICT sector and the Government's ability to manage contracts KA # 6: Sustainability and maintenance EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: Private Service Development

• At least 5 new kinds of ICT based business and services are established (ICT business start up advisor center, a National Business development service network , ICT park and incubators, a web based Trade information center, software certification agency)

• The number of trade point in Rwanda has increased from X trade points in 2007 to Y trade points in 2011

• A 6 month vocational course on computer hardware targeting school leavers is developed within 2007-2011 period

• The number e-Commerce resource service centers (ERSCs) established has passed from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

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Logic of intervention Objectively verifiable indicator Source of verification Assumptions (Risks)

SOO7 – SPECIFIC OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE # 7

The GoR's data protection laws and to insure integrity of national and individual information and reduce cybercrime KA # 7: Security or safety EQUIVALENT TO PILLARS: National Security, Law and Order

• The number of national security staff trained on ICT security issues has increased from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

• The number of ICT training labs set up has increased from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

• The number of penetration of professional mobile radio in the security sector and associated agencies has increased from X in 2007 to Y in 2011

• Number of SLA signed has passed from X by 2007 to 100 by 2011