rencontres de moriond (6 th march 2005) c. mariani (infn rome) for k2k collaboration march 6 th,...
DESCRIPTION
Rencontres de Moriond (6 th March 2005) 1995 Proposed to study neutrino oscillation for atmospheric neutrinos anomaly. 1999 Started taking data. 2000 Detected smaller number of neutrinos than the expectation at a distance of 250 km. Disfavored null oscillation at the 2 level. 2002 Observed indications of neutrino oscillation. The probability of null oscillation is less than 1%. 2004 Confirm neutrino oscillation with both a deficit of and the distortion of the E spectrum. Confirm neutrino oscillation with both a deficit of and the distortion of the E spectrum. 1. Introduction and history of K2KTRANSCRIPT
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
C. Mariani (INFN Rome)for K2K collaboration
March 6th, 2005@XLth Rencontres de Moriond
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K K2K CollaborationCollaboration
250km250km
JAPAN: High Energy Accelerator Research Organization (KEK) / Institute for Cosmic Ray Research (ICRR), Univ. of Tokyo / Kobe University / Kyoto University / Niigata University / Okayama University / Tokyo University of Science / Tohoku University
KOREA: Chonnam National University / Dongshin University / Korea University / Seoul National University
U.S.A.: Boston University / University of California, Irvine / University of Hawaii, Manoa / Massachusetts Institute of Technology / State University of New York at Stony Brook / University of Washington at Seattle
POLAND: Warsaw University / Solton Institute
Since 2002JAPAN: Hiroshima University / Osaka University U.S.A.: Duke UniversityCANADA: TRIUMF / University of British ColumbiaITALY: Rome FRANCE: Saclay SPAIN: Barcelona / Valencia SWITZERLAND: Geneva RUSSIA: INR-Moscow
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
1995 Proposed to study neutrino oscillation for atmospheric neutrinos
anomaly. 1999
Started taking data. 2000
Detected smaller number of neutrinos than the expectation at a distance of 250 km. Disfavored null oscillation at the 2 level.
2002 Observed indications of neutrino oscillation. The probability of
null oscillation is less than 1%. 2004
Confirm neutrino oscillation with both a deficit of Confirm neutrino oscillation with both a deficit of and the distortion of the Eand the distortion of the E spectrum. spectrum.
1. Introduction and history of K2K
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
2. K2K experiment
monitormonitor Near detectors
(ND)
+
Target+Horn200m
decay pipe
SK
100m ~250km
12GeV protons~1011/2.2sec(/10m10m)
~106/2.2sec(/40m40m)
~1 event/2days
Signal of oscillation at K2K Reduction of events Distortion of energy spectrum
(monitor the beam center)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Neutrino beam and the directional
control~1GeV neutrino beam by a dual horn system with 250kA.
<1mrad
The beam direction monitored by muons
Y centerX center
≤1 mrad
~5 years
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Accumulated POT (Protons On Target)
prot
ons/
puls
e(×
1012
)Ac
cum
ulat
ed P
OT
(×10
18)
K2K-I K2K-II
10.5x1019 POT, 8.9×1019 POT for Analysis
Jan 03 Oct-Nov 04
K2K-I K2K-II
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Neutrino spectrum and the far/near ratio
beam 250km
10-6
1.0 2.0
Far/Near Ratio
E(GeV)
beam MC w/PION Monitor
E (GeV)
energy spectrum
@ K2K near detector
622 10)250250()()(
Kmm
LLEfR
far
near
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
SK Events
(BG: 1.6 events within 500s 2.4×10-3 events in 1.5s)
TSKTspill
GPS
SKTOF=0.83msec
107 events
Decay electron cut.
20MeV Deposited Energy
No Activity in Outer DetectorEvent Vertex in Fiducial VolumeMore than 30MeV Deposited Energy
Analysis Time Window
500sec
5sec
TDIFF. (s)
-0.2TSK-Tspill-TOF1.3sec
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
3. Analysis Overview
Observation #, p and
interaction MC
Measurement(E), int.
KEK
Far/Near Ratio (beam MC with mon.)
Observation# and E
rec.Expectation# and E
rec.
(sin22, m2)
SK
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
NEUT: K2K Neutrino interaction MC
CC quasi elastic (CCQE) CC (resonant) single (CC-
1)
DIS
NC
/E (10-38cm2/GeV)
Total (NC+CC)
CC Total
CC quasi-elastic
DISCC single
NC single 0
E (GeV)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
4. Near detector measurements
1KT Water Cherenkov Detector (1KT) Scintillating-fiber/Water sandwich Detector (SciFi) Lead Glass calorimeter (LG) before 2002 Scintillators Bar Detector (SciBar) after 2003 Muon Range Detector (MRD)
Muon range detector
LG calorimeter
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
4.1 1KT Flux measurement
The same detector technology as Super-K. Sensitive to low energy neutrinos.
KT
SK
KT
SK
KT
SKobsKTSK M
MdEEE
dEEENN
)()(
)()(exp
Far/Near Ratio (by MC)~1×10-6
M: Fiducial mass MSK=22,500Kton, MKT=25ton: efficiency SK-I(II)=77.0(78.2)%, KT=74.5%
expSKN =150.9 N =107+12
-10obsSK
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
4.2 SciBar neutrino interaction study Full Active Fine-Grained detector (target: CH).
Sensitive to a low momentum track. Identify CCQE events and other interactions (non-QE)
separately.
p
CCQE Candidate
CCQE non-QE
25 p (degree)
p =obs -CCQE
DATACC QECC 1CC coherent-CC multi-
2 track events
p
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Neutrino energy reconstruction
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
A hint of K2K forward deficit.
SciBarnon-QE Events
K2K observed forward deficit. A source is non-QE events. For CC-1,
Suppression of ~q2/0.1[GeV2] at q2<0.1[GeV2] may exist.(0.1GeV2 value comes from fitting 2 track nonQE sample in SciBar)
For CC-coherent , The coherent may not exist.
We do not identify which process causes the effect. The MC CC-1 (coherent ) model is corrected phenomenologically.
Oscillation analysis is insensitive to the choice.
q2rec
(Data-MC)/MC
DATACC 1CC coherent-
Preliminary
q2rec (GeV/c)2
q2rec (GeV/c)2
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
4.3 Near Detector Spectrum Measurements
1KT Fully Contained 1 ring (FC1R) sample.
SciBar 1 track, 2 track QE (p≤25), 2 track nQE 2 track nQE
((pp>25>25)) where one track is SciFi
1 track, 2 track QE (p≤25), 2 track nQE (p>30) where one track is
After applying the low q2 suppression of nQE observed in SciBar, the angular distributions of all other samples are reasonably reproduced.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
1KT: momentum and angular distributions.
with measured spectrum
(deg.)0 20 90
flux measurement
low q2 corr.
p (MeV/c)0 1600800
1Kt -like sampleQuasi elasticSingle pion
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
4.4 Near Detectors combined measurements
(p) for 1track, 2trackQE and 2track nQE samples (E), nQE/QE
Fitting parameters (E), nQE/QE ratio Detector uncertainties on the energy scale and the track
counting efficiency. The change of track counting efficiency by nuclear effect
uncertainties; proton re-scattering and interactions in a nucleus …
Strategy① Measure (E) in the more relevant region of 20 for 1KT
and 10 for SciFi and SciBar. ② Apply a low q2 correction factor to the CC-1 model (or
coherent ). ③ Measure nQE/QE ratio for the entire range.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
0-0.5 GeV
0.5-0.75GeV
0.75-1.0GeV
1.0-1.5GeV
E QE (MC) nQE(MC)
MC templatesKT data
P (MeV/c)
(M
eV/c
)
• flux KEK(E) (8 bins)• interaction (nQE/QE)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Flux measurements
2=638.1 for 609 d.o.f
( E< 500) = 0.78 0.36 ( 500 E < 750) = 1.01 0.09 ( 750 E <1000) = 1.12 0.07 (1000 E <1500) = 1.00 (1500 E <2000) = 0.90 0.04 (2000 E <2500) = 1.07 0.06 (2500 E <3000) = 1.33 0.17 (3000 E ) = 1.04 0.18 nQE/QE = 1.02 0.10
The nQE/QE error of 10% is assigned based on the sensitivity of thefitted nonQE/QE value by varying the fit criteria.
>10(20 ) cut: nQE/QE=0.95 0.04 standard(CC-1 low q2 corr.):
nQE/QE=1.02 0.03 No coherent: =nQE/QE=1.06 0.03
(E) at KEK
E
preliminary
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
SciFi (K2K-IIa with measured spectrum)
P 1trk
P 2trkQE
P 2trknon-QE
1trk
2trkQE
2trknon-QE
0 2 (GeV/c) 0 40 (degree)
flux measurement
10
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
SciBar (with measured flux)
P 1trk
P 2trk QE
P 2trk nQE
1trk
2trk QE
2trk nQE
flux measurement
10
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
5. Super-K oscillation analysis
Total Number of events E
rec spectrum shape of FC-1ring- events Systematic error term
)(),2sin,(),2sin,(
),2sin,(22
2
xsyst
xshape
xnorm
x
fLfmLfmL
fmL
f x : Systematic error parameters
Normalization, Flux, and nQE/QE ratio are in fx
Near Detector measurements, Pion Monitor constraint, beam MC estimation, and Super-K systematic uncertainties.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K-SK events
K2K-all(K2K-I, K2K-II)
DATA(K2K-I, K2K-II)
MC(K2K-I, K2K-II)
FC 22.5kT 107(55, 52)
150.9(79.1*, 71.8)
1ring 67 (33, 34)
93.7(48.6, 45.1 )
-like 57(30, 27)
84.8(44.3, 40.5)
e-like 10(3, 7)
8.8(4.3, 4.5)
Multi Ring 40(22, 18)
57.2(30.5, 26.7)
for Efor Erecrec
(56)
*Updated from the previous analysis
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
)( xnorm fL
150.9107
#SK Events
)( xshape fL
Expected shape(No Oscillation)
Erec[GeV]
KS probability=0.08%
cos)(
22)( 22
pEVmVVmmEVm
EN
NNrec
V: Nuclear potential
Toy MCToy MC
CC-QE assumption
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Best fit values. sin221.51 m2 [eV2] = 2.1910-3
Best fit values in the physical region. sin221.00 m2 [eV2] = 2.7910-3
logL=0.75
6. Results
sin22=1.51 can occur due to a a statistical fluctuation with 12.6%.
A toy MC
sin22
m2
1.00
2.79
1.51
12.6%
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
NSKobs=107
NSKexp (best fit)=150.9
Erec[GeV]
Best FitKS prob.=36%
m2 [
eV2 ]
sin22
Data are consistent with the oscillation.
Based on lnL
preliminary
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Log Likelihood difference from the minimum.
mm22<(1.87~3.58)×10<(1.87~3.58)×10-3-3 eV eV22 at sin at sin2222=1.0 (90% =1.0 (90% C.L.)C.L.)
lnL lnL
- 68%- 90%- 99%
- 68%- 90%- 99%
m2[eV2] sin22
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
disappearance versus E shape distortion
sin22sin22
m2 [
eV2 ]
m2 [
eV2 ]
NSK (#) E shape
Both disappearance of Both disappearance of and the distortion of and the distortion of EE spectrum have the consistent result. spectrum have the consistent result.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K-I vs K2K-II
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Null oscillation probability
K2K-I K2K-II K2K-all disappearance 2.0% 3.7% 0.26%(3.0)E spectrum distortion 19.5% 5.4% 0.74% (2.6)Combined 1.3%*
(2.5)0.56%(2.8)
0.0050%(4.0)
K2K K2K confirmsconfirms neutrino oscillationneutrino oscillation discovered in Super-K atmospheric neutrinos.discovered in Super-K atmospheric neutrinos.
Disappearance of Disappearance of and distortion of the energy and distortion of the energy spectrum as expected in neutrino oscillation.spectrum as expected in neutrino oscillation.
The null oscillation probabilities are calculated based on lnL.
*: The value is changed from the previous one.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
8. Summary With 8.91019 POT, K2K has confirmedhas confirmed neutrino
oscillations at 4.04.0(hep-ex/0411038)(hep-ex/0411038). Disappearance of 3.03.0 Distortion of E spectrum 2.62.6
- 68%- 90%- 99%
K2K new resultsK2K new resultspreliminary
0.006
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.002
0.004
m2[eV2]
sin22
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Backup slide
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Additional Error on nonQE
nonQE value depends on fitting condition. Small angle cut: 0.979 CC1 re-weighting: 1.056 No coherent : 1.093 CC1 re-weighting factor +/– 0.03 (1)
(SciBar only fit): +/– 4% In total, ~10% uncertainty exists.
Fitting error is ~5% add 10% to nonQE error.
Official value8%
3.5%
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
7. Other Physics in K2K (K2K-I data only)
CCall
NC
01
M(MeV)
+H2ONC10
sin22em
2 [eV
2 ]
90%CL limit
90%CL sensitivity
e search
PRL 93 (2004) 051801 =0.064 (our MC)=0.0650.0010.007
not NC10
1KT
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
NEUT: K2K Neutrino interaction MC
CC quasi elastic (CCQE) Smith and Moniz with
MA=1.1GeV CC (resonance) single (CC-1)
Rein and Sehgal’s with MA=1.1GeV
DIS GRV94 + JETSET with Bodek and
Yang correction. CC coherent
Rein&Sehgal with the cross section rescale by J. Marteau
NC+ Nuclear Effects
/E (10-38cm2/GeV)
Total (NC+CC)
CC Total
CC quasi-elastic
DISCC single
NC single 0
E (GeV)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Overall normalization error on Nsk for Nov99~
(Event)Stat 0.28 0.37%KT 3.32 4.37%SK 2.28 3.00%Flux +2.81
-2.59F/N +4.26
-5.55NC/CC +0.15
-0.23nQE/QE +0.38
-0.61CT 0.46 0.60%Total +6.53
-7.37
Central Value76.05evts
Take errors notconsidered in matrix
5.34%
KT: dominated by FV errorSK: also.
Errors
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Null oscillation lnL
K2K-I K2K-II K2K-all disappearance 2.72 2.18 4.55E spectrum distortion 1.63 2.91 4.90Combined 4.33 5.19 9.90
K2K K2K confirmedconfirmed neutrino oscillationneutrino oscillation discovered in Super-K atmospheric neutrinos.discovered in Super-K atmospheric neutrinos.
Disappearance of Disappearance of and distortion of the energy and distortion of the energy spectrum as expected in neutrino oscillation.spectrum as expected in neutrino oscillation.
The null oscillation probabilities are calculated based on lnL.
preliminary
*: The value is changed from the previous one.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
The change of NSKexp in K2K-I
(Bugs)
The detector position 295m 294m -1%
MC difference between KT and SK KT; MA(QE)=1.1 (NCel)KT=1.1×(NCel)SK SK; MA(QE)=1.0 Efficiency change! -1%
NSKexp Change ~2%
295m294m
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
CC-1 suppression versus coherent
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Systematic Bias without the MC correction.
Oscillation Results
ND (SciBar) measurement
DATA; MC w/ CC-1 suppressionMC template; Default MC
systematic bias
flux nQE/QE
Toy MC
MC w/o low q2 correction sin22=1.00m2=2.65 ×10-3 eV2
Prob.(null oscillation)=0.0049%
Corrected MC for low q2
sin22=1.00m2=2.73×10-3eV2
Prob.(null oscillation)=0.011%
There is a small bias in nQE/QE There is a small bias in nQE/QE and the low energy flux.and the low energy flux.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Oscillation result with a default MC
Without low q2 MC correction
The result w/o low q2 MC correction gives the better (biased) measurement due to the more low energy flux and the smaller nQE/QE.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K-I vs K2K-II
Best fit values. sin221.08, 1.51 m2 [eV2] = 2.7310-3, 2.1910-3
Best fit values in the physical region. sin221.00, 1.00 m2 [eV2] = 2.8610-3 , 2.7910-3 logL=0.02, 0.75 KSK2K-I & K2K-II =77%
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Erec for K2K-I and K2K-II
K2K-I K2K-II
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K-I vs K2K-II
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
1KT sys error summary and the change. SciBar sys. error …
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Systematic error Fiducial: updated +-4.0% (<- 4.0%) : Smy’s analysis Escale : updated +-0.3% FADC (scale) updated +-0.8% FADC(cut position) +-1.5% (New) : Shaomin’s
analysis Background +-0.5% Multi-event +-0.7% Event rate(New) +-2.0% Profile (New) +-0.3% KT origin +-4.9% (Prev. 4.4%) SK efficiency +-3.0% CT norm. +-0.3 % for K2K-II ±0.6% for K2K-I Far/Near +5.6 -7.3%
1KT sys. error
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
SciBar Systematic Error (2track/1track)
Detector oriented Vertex Matching Efficiency +2.7% -1.0% Threshold Effect (+-15%) +0.7% Xtalk Effect (2%/4%/6%) +1.1% -1.1% Finding Efficiency +0.9% -4.3% Total (Detector) +3.1% -4.5%
Nuclear Effect Proton Re-scattering +2.9% -2.6% Pion Absorption +1.7% -1.7% Pion inelastic scattering +2.3% -2.9% Total (Nuclear) +4.1% -4.2%
Total +5.1% -6.2%
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Detector oriented Angle resolution +1.0% X-talk Effect +2.2% -2.9% Momentum scale (+-2.7%) +1.5% -4.3% Total (Detector) +2.8% -5.2%
Nuclear Effect Proton Re-scattering +2.9% -2.8% Pion Absorption -5.4% Pion inelastic scattering +0.3% -4.7% Total (Nuclear Effect) +2.9% -7.7%
Total +4.0% -9.3%
SciBar Systematic Error (2track
QE/2track nQE)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Track finding Efficiency 2nd Track Efficiency (MC)
MC true 2nd Track (NHITX/Y 3Hit)≧
Detected! (= 1. Could Find 2nd Track 2. Rec.track overlap with more than 1 true Hit)
Overall Eff. 59.0% >20Hit 85.3% >40Hit 91.1%
(This can be improved!)
Evaluated DATA/MC w/ Eye scan.
1.00.80.60.40.2
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 (NHIT)
Find
ing
Eff
icie
ncy
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Eye scan Result
● Data (Eye)□ MC (Eye)
Integrated bin (>40Hits)
Eye scanners (M.Hasegawa ,K.Hiraide Y.Takubo,S.Yamamoto)
1.35 0.93 0.97 1.01 1.00 0.96 0.98 0.98
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Entry <5 5 - 9 10 -14 15 -19 20 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 – (each bin MC) 0 265 2257 3824 3976 3654 3027 2406 8009 27418 DATA/ MC 0 1.35 0.93 0.97 1.01 1.00 0.96 0.98 0.98 0 0.54 0.10 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 (stat.err) Total 0 358 2108 3719 4034 3659 3017 2364 7849 27034 0 143 226 229 199 146 91 72 160 475
2track/1track : 0.5032 (27418/54106) 0.496 +/- 0.013 (27034/54490)
Systematic Error (Track finding Eff.) : + 0.9% , -4.3%
Systematic error (Finding Eff.)
2Track/1Track (default MC) vs 2Track/1Track (MC* )DATA
MC
Compared
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Same as previous one except binning size is 125/2 nsec that is a half of intervals of two bunches.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Residual of K2K-SK event timing relative to neutrino beam bunches. Timing correlation is clearly seen and a sigma is obtained as about 30nsec.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Number of observed events (F.C. in fid. vol.) as a function of integrated CT
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Number of observed events (F.C. in all inner volume) as a function of integrated CT
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Results (without small angle) 1kt > 20deg., SciFi and SciBar > 10deg. In each E bin, fitted flux is consistent each other.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)A
A=0.10 +/– 0.03
CC1q2/0.10
(Data–MC)/MCAgree quite well
By using SciBar 2track-nonQE and fitted flux, I looked for the best value of CC1 suppression.
Suppression factorq2/A (q2>A)
Scan A value and calculate 2 of distribution.
Calculate
2
SciBar 2track nonQE
CC1 suppression factor tuning
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Results (CC1 re-weighted) CC1 re-weighting factor : q2/0.10 (q2<0.10) Flux is fixed nonQE value : 0.979( cut) 1.056(this result) (+8%)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Results (no coherent ) for comparison Coherent production removed.
Flux is fixed. nonQE value: 1.093(this results)
(CC1 re-weighting : 1.056 3.5% difference)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Results (no cut, no re-weighting)for comparison
Flux is consistent with cut results. nonQE is significantly small, and 2 is bad. nonQE : 0.856, 2 / dof = 773.8 / 595 = 1.30
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Flux v.s. fitting condition
Official fluxFor comparison
For comparison
Fitted flux from cut, CC1 re-weighting and no coherent are consistent each other.
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
NonQE v.s. CC1 re-weighting factor (SciBar
only fit) CC1 re-weighting factor +/– 0.03 (1)
nonQE +/– 4%SciBar Only Fit
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Likelihood for Oscillation analysis
2 2 2 2 2 2norm shape syst( ,sin 2 ; ) ( ,sin 2 ; ) ( ,sin 2 ; ) ( )x x xL m f L m f L m f L f
obsexpexp
obs
( ) exp( )!
N
normNL N
N
Poisson prob. for FC events
obs obs obs
exp e
obs
ep x px e xp
II
II
Ia Ib
Ia Ib
N N N
N
N
NN N
: # of observed events
: # of expected events
Period flux SK parametersK2K-Ia Ihorn = 200 kA
SK-IK2K-IbIhorn = 250 kAK2K-II SK-II
f x : Systematic error parameters
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Likelihood for Normalization
KTobsexp
KT 250kA KT KT KTint
,SK 250kA SK-I 2 2 SKint
,
( )
( ) ( ,sin 2 , )
Ib
IbIb j
i ij ij Ibi j
R ji i ij ij j i Ib
i j
NN f
f f N M CT
f f f N P m E CT
KT 250
KTobsexp
KT
SK-II
kA KT KTint
,SK 250kA 2 2int
,
SK
( )
( ) ( ,sin 2 , )
IIj
i ij iji j
II
IIII
ij IIR j
i i ij j ii j
ff f N M
f f f N P
N
m
C
TE
NT
C
i: energy binj: Interaction mode
KTobsexp
KT 200kA KT KT KTint
,SK 200kA SK-I 2 2 SKint
,
( )
( ) ( ,sin 2 , )
Ia
IaIa j
ij ij Iai j
jij ij j i Ia
i j
NN f
f N M CT
f N P m E CT
Data/MC for# of events in KT
flux
Far/Near
# of interaction in MC
SK efficiency
1 ( )( )
jnQE
j QEf f j nQE
nQE/QE
2 2
2 2 2
( ,sin 2 , )
1 sin 2 sin (1.27 / ) ( )1 ( )
jP m E
m L E j CCj NC
1 ( )( )
( )CCnQE
NC
j CC QEf j CC nQE
j NCf
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Likelihood for Spectrum Shape
1
1
2 2
2 2
( ; ,sin 2 ;
( ; ,sin 2 ; , , , ,
, , , , )
)
SK I
SK IIR
SK IISK II
RSK I
SK I
N
NER nQE
sha
ER nQEi
i
pe ii
L P
P E m
E m f f
f f
f f
f f
f
f
N: Normalization factor
?
??2 2
rec
2 2true
?rec true
( ; ,sin 2 , , ,
( ,
, , )1 d ( ; ,sin )2 )
S
SK I
KSK
SK
Ei R nQE
Rj true
E ij
j
SKf N f
P E m f f f f f
E f f E EP E mN
1 ( )( )nQE
j QEf j nQE
Nj (Erec,Etrue): Event fraction in MC
flux Far/Near nQE/QESKefficiency
SKEnergy Scale
1 ( )( )
( )CCnQE
NC
j CC QEf j CC nQE
j NCf
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Likelihood for Systematic parameters
SK-I
, , 1 , ,, ,
1
1
Ia 2 Ib 2
2 2Ia Ib
E
1
I
2
I 2
2II
exp
exp
exp
( ) ( )exp2 2
( )
exp
( )2
exp2
SK II SSK I SK I
SK I
K II
SK II
t nQE NC nQE NCsyst nQE NC
t R RR
tt f M f
L f M f
f M f
M f
f f
f
f
f
SK-II
SK-IISK-I
2E
E 2
2E
( )2f
Overall Normalization
SK Energy Scale
neutrino flux, nQE/QE,NCFar/Near Ratio
SK efficiency
Systematic parameters for flux are common for SK-Ib and SK-II
# of free parameter in fit: 25 33 34 (fnQE fCC-nQE, fNC)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
K2K-1 K2K-2
Reconstructed vertex distribution for r2 vs Z
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Visible energy distribution for F.C. events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Visible energy distribution for F.C. events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Visible energy distribution for F.C. events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed muon momentum distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed muon momentum distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed muon momentum distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
The distribution of the reconstructed direction of muons relative to the direction from KEK to SK for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
The distribution of the reconstructed direction of muons relative to the direction from KEK to SK for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
The distribution of the reconstructed direction of muons relative to the direction from KEK to SK for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed neutrino energy distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed neutrino energy distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Reconstructed neutrino energy distribution for F.C. 1ring mu-like events in the fiducial volume in data (closed circle), M.C. expectation with no oscillation (solid histogram), oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=2.0×10-3eV2 (dashed histogram), and oscillated with sin22=1.0,m2=3.0×10-3eV2 (dotted histogram).
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Summary of SK-2 absolute energy calibration
• Data agree with MC within +/-1.9%
• Time variation : +/-0.9% total uncertainty : +/- 2.1%
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Ring-counting likelihood for SK-2 -
like events
sub-GeV P<400MeV/c sub-GeV P>400MeV/c multi-GeV
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
PID distributions for SK-2
sub-GeV(Evis<1330MeV)
multi-GeV(Evis>1330MeV)
C.Mariani@XLth Rencontres de Moriond (6th March 2005)
Systematic error on spectrumK2K-1
ring counting
PID
vertex
E scale
0.-0.51.9%
1.1%
2.0%
0.5-1.02.1%
0.5%
2.0%
1.-1.52.5%
0.7%
2.0%
1.5-2.05.9%
0.6%
2.0%
2.0-2.55.9%
0.7%
2.0%
2.5-5.9%
0.7%
2.0%
2.7%
K2K-2
ring counting
PID
vertex
E scale
0.-0.52.6%
2.5%
2.0%
0.5-1.02.2%
0.9%
2.0%
1.-1.57.9%
0.6%
2.0%
1.5-2.07.5%
0.5%
2.0%
2.0-2.57.1%
0.5%
2.0%
2.5-7.1%
0.5%
2.0%
2.1%