remedia ana iglesias
DESCRIPTION
presentación oral invitada en el workshop REMEDIA 2012 en la temática de mitigación de GEi transversalTRANSCRIPT
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Exploring the role of stakeholders in mitigation and adaptation decisions
Ana Iglesias, UPM
Remedia Workshop, 8 March 2012, Bilbao
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Acknowledgements87 scientists Ábalos D, Agulló E, Albiac J, Aranda X, Artetxe A,
Benito-Garzón M, Biel C, Bravo C, Bustamante MA, Castrillón L, Chadwick DR, Chirinda N, Cunningham R, De Herralde F, Del Hierro O, Del Prado A, Doltra J, Domingo F, Durán JM, Fernández J, Fernández Nava Y, Fons, Funes I, Gallejones P, García MA, Garcia-Martinez S, Gómez-Aparicio L, Guimaraes AC, Hernández S, Herrera I, Iglesias A, Kahil MT, Khatun K, Kowalski AS, Lægdsmand M, Lago C, Lechón Y, Marañón E, Martín J, Medina F, Merino P., Milego R, Misselbrook T, Moral R, Moran D, Navas LM, Newbold C J, Ojea E, Olesen JE, Omaña JM, Ormaechea P, Orús F, Oyonarte C, Pardo G, Pardo N, Paredes C, Paredes V, Pascual D, Pérez IA, Perez-Espinosa A, Perez-Murcia MD, Pérez-Priego O, Pinto M, Pinto M, Pla E, Quiroga G, Quiroga S, Romero L, Ruiz JJ, Ruiz-Benito P, Sáez R, Sanchez B, Sánchez J, Sánchez LF, Sánchez ML, Sánchez-Cañete E, Sanz MJ, Sanz-Cobeña A, Savé R, Scholefield D, Serrano-Ortiz P, Tapia J, Topp C, Vallejo A, Were A, Wu L, Zavala MA
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technology, ec. efficiency
information, knowledgegovernance
forests, drylands
foodenergy
adaptationmotivation barriers
A view of the problem from the academic side
MO
DEL
S
EXPE
RIM
ENTS
SURV
EYS
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Water Drylands, C storage 20-30% of the terrestrial global total Forests and trees contain 70% C of total vegetation global Inventario Forestal Nacional Español (IFN) y del CORINE Land
Cover Basque Country grasslands (about 30 % of the total area) Mitigation policies in the Huesca province of Aragon. Environmental policies: emission taxes, input-based taxes
(irrigation water and nitrogen), reduction of irrigation water by 25 percent, improved feed of swine herd, and reduction of swine herd by 15 percent
There is not a unique preferred measure. Local characteristics and social acceptability Many economic assessment: models, assumptions
The south of the north
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Iglesias et al. (2005-2012)
Projects: PICCMAT, Smart Soils, Animal Change, Climate Cost
Understand social, institutional and behavioural motivation and barriers
Participatory evaluation Economic valuation (efficiency, equity) Understand cost of action and cost of inaction
Influences on mitigation decisions(Iglesias, Medina, PICCMAT, 2009;
Iglesias et al., ANIMAL CHANGE, ongoing)
Knowledge, information
Mitigation action
Motivation
Barriers
Tools: Behavioural economics
Bar
riers
to
impl
emen
tatio
n
Potential benefit of the measures
Very small Very large
None
Very high
no
highno
low medium
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Guidelines for improving SOC(Iglesias, Sanchez, Quiroga, SMART SOILS, ongoing)
Full costs of climate change =
cost of inactioneconomic costs (impacts, baseline)
- cost of action+ costs of mitigation + costs of adaptation - benefits from mitigation - benefits from
adaptation
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Iglesias et al., 2011, Looking into the future of agriculture, European Review of Agricultural Economics, 2011, Ciscar et al., 2011, PNAS --- Project: ClimateCost
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Scenario A1B_avIrrigation water demand change (% of baseline)
0 2 10 20 30 80
Adaptation 1&3
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Scenario A1B_avNitrogen fertiliser change (% of baseline)
0 25 50 100 200 300
Adaptation 2
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Reasons to be optimistic? (my own view)
Optimistic Pesimistic
Technology x
Competitiveness, efficiency x x
Trade and prices x x
Equity x
Information, knowledge x
Mitigation policy x x
Adaptation policy x x
Lack of Governance x
A view of the role of REMEDIA and how may influence mitigation decisions
Societal values
Legisla-tion
Research progra-mmes
Economic goals
Political attention
Research funding
Human resources
Scientific know-ledge
Technical expertise
Perceived solutions
Interested parties
Public discourse
Presence of leader