regional economic integration. levels of economic integration among nations economic and political...
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Regional Economic IntegrationRegional Economic Integration
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Regional Economic IntegrationRegional Economic Integration
Levels of economic integration among nations Economic and political arguments for/against History/scope, scope and future prospects for:
– EU– NAFTA– MERCOSUR, and – APEC
Implications for business
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Regional Economic IntegrationRegional Economic Integration
Agreements among geographically proximate countries to reduce/remove tariff and non-tariff barriers to free flow of:– Goods– Services– Factors of production
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Levels of Economic IntegrationLevels of Economic Integration
Free Trade Area (FTA):– removes tariffs among members– members retain own trade policies toward others
Customs Union (CU): FTA+– common trade policy toward others
Common Market (CM): CU+– eliminates intra-market factor of production movements
Economic Union (EU): CM+– full integration of member economies (common policy)
Political Union: EU+– political and economic integration
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Reasons for Regional IntegrationReasons for Regional Integration
Economic enhancement of the member states– Free trade– Fee FDI
Political Reasons– Linkages of economies create interdependencies that
reduce the potential for violent conflict– Grouping gives countries more political clout world-wide
Impediments– Painful adjustments in certain segments of economy– Threat to national sovereignty
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European UnionEuropean Union 25 member countries; 450mm people; GDP >
US 1951 6 members of coal and steel community
– France, Germany (W.), Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Luxembourg
1957 Treaty of Rome: European Community– Common market– Elimination of internal trade barriers– Common external tariff– Free movement of factors of production
1973 1st enlargement: Britain, Ireland, Denmark
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European UnionEuropean Union 1981 2nd enlargement: Greece 1983 3rd enlargement: Portugal, Spain 1992 single European act
Remove all frontier controls Principle of mutual recognition to product standards Open public procurement to non-national suppliers Lift barriers of competition to banks and insurance Remove restrictions on foreign exchange transactions Abolish restriction on cabotage (trucking)
1994 Maastricht treaty: European Union 1996 4th enlargement: Austria, Finland, Sweden 2003 5th enlargement: Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic,
Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta, Slovakia
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The Euro (€)The Euro (€)
Maastricht treaty:– European common currency adopted 1/1/99– Common foreign and defense policy– Common citizenship– EU parliament with “teeth”
€ now used by 12 countries (since 1/1/02) – Sweden, Denmark, Britain opted out– 10 new countries have to qualify
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Benefits of the Euro (€)Benefits of the Euro (€)
Lower transaction costs for individuals / business
Prices comparable across the continent; increased competition
Rationalization of production across Europe to reduce cost
Pan-European capital market Increase range of investment options available
to both individuals and institutions
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Costs of the Euro (€)Costs of the Euro (€)ECB has monetary policy control not nations
Sets interest rates, monetary policy (Frankfurt, Ger.) Is independent; instructs national central banks
EU is not an optimal currency area Few similarities in structure of economic activity
(e.g., Finland vs Portugal) Interest rates too high in depressed regions or too low
for economically booming regions May need fiscal transfers from prosperous to
depressed regions
Economic and political issues may conflict
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Early Experience of the Euro (€)Early Experience of the Euro (€)
Volatile trading history
– 1999 -- €1 = US$1.17
– 10/2000 -- €1 = US$0.83
– 10/2004 -- €1 = US$1.24
EU enlargement will complicate Euro adoption;
new members with weaker economies
Major members ignoring monetary union rules to
retain control over their fiscal and monetary
policies
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Enlargement of the EUEnlargement of the EUMore member disparity, more difficult
governance Norway opted out of the EU (1994)Membership applications pending: Turkey,
Bulgaria, Rumania, Croatia– Turkish application controversial (economic
development, religion, labor movement problems)Other non-European countries will seek
membershipUS and Asian countries fear that EU will
become protectionist (“fortress Europe”)
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The AmericasThe Americas North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA): USA, Mexico, Canada The Andean Pact: Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador,
Colombia, Peru MERCOSUR (FTA): Brazil, Argentina,
Paraguay, Uruguay Central American Free Trade Agreement
(CAFTA): Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
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The AmericasThe Americas
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ElsewhereElsewhere
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN)
– Brunei, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia,
Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore,
Thailand, Vietnam
Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation
– USA, Japan, China + 15 Pacific nations
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NAFTANAFTA
USA, Canada, Mexico (FTA-1988)
– USA-Canada is world’s largest trading
relationship
– USA is Mexico’s largest trading partner
– Mexico, USA’s third largest trading partner
Trade opening process through tariff
elimination
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NAFTA - Key provisionsNAFTA - Key provisions General (effective 1/1/94)
– Tariffs of all sectors reduced by 99% over 10 yrs– FDI unrestricted (x-oil and railways in Mexico,
Culture in Canada, airlines-communications US)– No free movement of labor (x-white collar
easement)– Protection of intellectual property rights– Cross-border flow of services unrestricted– Application of environmental standards– Two commissions have the right to impose
penalties on issues of health/safety, child labor, minimum wages
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Implications for BusinessImplications for Business
Opportunities– Less protectionism; higher economic growth– Lower cost of doing business (fewer borders)
Threats– Cultural differences persist– Increased price competition within blocks– Across-trading-block rivalry can increase
barriers– Improvement of competitiveness of many
local firm within the blocks