Recent Inward Migratory Trends to Edinburgh – Challenges and

Opportunities

Nick Croft – Corporate Projects Manager (Equalities, Diversity and Human Rights)Performance Strategy and Policy Division

Corporate ServicesCity of Edinburgh Council

1. Data sources

• The General Register Office for Scotland - components of change analysis

• National Insurance Registrant figures - non UK nationals

• EU accession states worker registration scheme• Census 2001• Service access• School roll data• Community information

However, a totally accurate picture cannot be formed because:

• data are often limited to economic migrants and therefore certain migrant groups are not captured;

• there is little differentiation between local and international migration; and

• data do not distinguish between long and short term inward migrants and exclude those who return to their country of origin.

2. Inward Migration – Summary

• Edinburgh has a far higher net migration gain than any other Scottish local

• Edinburgh accounted for nearly 20% of the total migration gain in Scotland

• Between 2001 and 2006 evidence indicates that Edinburgh’s population grew by 14,500 from 449,000 to 463,500 this included net migration gain of 14,000

Net migration population change – absolute numbers 2001 - 2006

Net migration population change as % of total population 2001 - 2006

Geographical origins of inward migrants 2002 – 2007

Annual net migration into Edinburgh

Recent trends in international migration by area of origin

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2002-3 2003-4 2004-5 2005-6 2006-7

EU New Member States EU 15

Australasia Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka

North America Africa

China & Taiwan Remainder

• In respect of EU A8 migrants hourly pay rates:

o 48.1% were paid £4.50 to £5.34o 31.6% £5.35 to £5.99 o 14.6% £6.00 to £7.99

• The proportion of inward migrants claiming state benefit in Edinburgh during 2006 / 2007 was around 1%, compared to the GB average of 3% and the Scottish average of 1%

• 73% of A8 migrants worked 30 to 40 hours

• In respect of EU A8 migrants, from May 2004 to September 2007:

o 48.1% were employed in hospitality and catering

o 16.8% in administration, business and managerial services

o 7.8% in construction and land services

• The intended length of stay of migrants in the UK suggests that 34.9% of inward migrants intend to stay for less than three months, 8.1% intend to stay for more than 2 years and 48.9% don’t know how long they will stay.

Advice and Information Advice Shop• 2007 / 2008 – 30 enquiries per month from EU A8• 2006 / 2007 – 25 enquiries per month from EU A8

Ethnic Minority Law Centre – January 2008Edinburgh cases- Ethnic Origin

INDIAN8%

PAKISTANI17%

BANGLADESHI3%

CHINESE8%

TURKISH4%

EUROPEAN9%

MIDDLE-EAST8%

AFRICAN30%

OTHERS13%

INDIAN

PAKISTANI

BANGLADESHI

CHINESE

TURKISH

EUROPEAN

MIDDLE-EAST

AFRICAN

OTHERS

Interpretation and Translation

• In 2005/2006 interpretation and translation support to the Polish community alone was 1,428 units

• During 2006 / 2007 service delivery increased to 2,142 units (50% growth)

• Increase on previous years for all translation (%)

02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07

12.97 13.55 5.76 21.53 49.96

Schools and education

• English as an additional language - Late 2006 = 225 pupils from EU A8 countries / Early 2008 = 766

• Information from the school pupil census identified

14 asylum seekers and 18 refugees

• 91 different languages spoken; 477 pupils who were new to the English language and 534 pupils who were at an early stage in their acquisition of English

• Increased access to ESOL classes and Community Capacity Building Services

Individuals and Families with No Recourse to Public Funds (NRPF)

• There is a small number of unaccompanied asylum seeking children currently supported by the Council

• The Council’s specialist Asylum and Immigration Service currently has 56 cases in this category

• Cases constitute a mixture of ongoing asylum seeker cases and failed asylum seekers, domestic violence concession applicants, Human Rights Act (article 3) cases, terminally ill foreign nationals and others

Housing

• 1% homelessness amongst A8 EU inward migrants

• Increase in access to housing advice and information

• Overwhelming evidence that identifies private sector housing as primary option

• 3 / 4 households per week seen by houses in multiple occupation teams

3. Future trends and impacts?

EU / Non EU migration

City Vision 2015

Immigration Legislation

The National Conversation / more devolution – independence

Economic buoyancy / Labour supply

Community Relations / Cohesion

Service pressures

No Recourse to Public Funds

Immigration data / Census 2011http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/migration/index.html

Nick Croft

Performance, Strategy and Policy Division

Corporate Services

0131 469 3726

nick.croft@edinburgh.gov.uk