reliability of indonesia electrification infrastructure · reliability of indonesia electrification...

RELIABILITY OF INDONESIA ELECTRIFICATION INFRASTRUCTURERELIABILITY OF INDONESIA ELECTRIFICATION INFRASTRUCTURE

MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCESDIRECTORATE GENERAL OF ELECTRIFICATION

Presented by

Hasril NuzaharHasril NuzaharDirector for Electrification Program Advancement

In the agenda:

Annual Meeting on National Energy ManagementJakarta, 3rd December 2012

ESDM untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat

PRESENTATION OUTLINEPRESENTATION OUTLINE1. Posture of Economic Corridor in MP3EI 2011 – 20252. Illustration of Economic Corridor in MP3EI3. Policy of Electrification Sector4. Condition of Electric Power Supply Today5. Projection of Indonesia Electricity Requirement6. Realization of Electrification Ratio7. National Electric Power Supply Infrastructure8. Power Plant Development Plan9. Prediction of Electrification System Condition in the Next 10 Years10. Development of Transmission and Distribution Network11. Investment Requirement12. Energy Mix Target of Electric Power Generation13. Electrification Development Priority until 202014. Obstacles in Electric Power Supply Infrastructure Development

ESDM for People’s Welfare


Development of economic corridor requires a very great supply ofelectric power. To support MP3EI, an additional power plantcapacity of around 90.000 MW is required from 2011 to 2025

1. Sumatra Corridor “Center ofNational Production andProcessing of AgriculturalProducts and Energy Barn”

2. Java Corridor “Stimulus ofNational Industry and Service”

3. Kalimantan Corridor “Center ofNational Production andProcessing of Mining Products &Energy Barn”

4. Sulawesi Corridor “Center ofNational Production andProcessing of Agricultural,Plantation, Fishery, Oil and Gasand Mining”

5. Bali – Lesser Sundas Corridor“National Tourism Gate and FoodSupport”

6. Papua –Maluku IslandsCorridor “Center of NationalFood, Fishery, Energy and MiningDevelopment”

PosturPosture of Economic Corridor ine of Economic Corridor in MP3EI 2011MP3EI 2011--20252025

Mega Economic Center

Economic Center



Illustration of Economic Corridor inIllustration of Economic Corridor in MP3EI 2011MP3EI 2011 -- 20252025

Electricity plays the role as one of the supporters of economic corridor developmentESDM for People’s Welfare

PKE: Indonesia economic corridor development is the main economic activity in the economic growth centers provided with connectivity confirmation between economic centers andlocations of main activity activities and their support facilities.

Main ConnectivityConnecting economiccenters (actual andpotential)

SupportingInfractructuresHarbor, energy, etc.

Economic CenterCommercial and TradeCenter (provincecapital city)

Support ConnectivityConnecting focus sector to supportinfrastructures

Focus sectorsSectors prioritized inEconomic Corridor

KEK proposed areas willestablish a new node or beintegrated with the existing

nodes/hubs Special Economic Area

Electricity, Water and Optic Fibre

Sea Port and Airport

Development ofElectricity, Water and OpticFiber

Support Connectivity

Main Connectivity

Industry Cluster

Economic Center


Additional Power Plant Capacities untilAdditional Power Plant Capacities until 20202020to Supportto Support MP3EIMP3EI

MP3EIMP3EI

ByBy PLNPLN:Ø FTP I : 9.361 MWØ FTP II : 3.757 MWØ Regular Program : 18.302 MW

TOTAL : 31.370 MW

By PrivateBy Private:Ø IPP in FTP II : 6.290 MWØ IPP in PPP : 5.060 MW *)

Ø IPP Regular Program : 12.725 MWTOTAL : 23.975 MW

Required Power

*) including PLTA Karama 450 MW, West Sulawesi

55.79555.795MWMW



Policy of Electrification SectorPolicy of Electrification Sector(Based on Law 30/2009on Electrification)(Based on Law 30/2009on Electrification)

q Objective of Electrification DevelopmentTo secure the availability of electric power in adequate quantity, goodquality and fair price in order to increase people’s welfare and prosperityjustly and evenly and to materialize sustainable development (Article 2paragraph (2)).

q Utilization of Primary Energy Sources§ Primary energy sources available domestically and/or originated from

overseas should be utilized optimally according to the National EnergyPolicy to secure sustainable electric poser supply (Article 6 paragraph(1)).§ Utilization of primary energy sources available domestically is prioritized

for requirement of national electrification (Article 6 paragraph (3)).



q Installed Capacities: 43,528 MW (PLN 73%, IPP 23%, and PPU 4%)q Ratio of Electrification: 74,60%q Energy mix of electric power generation: Coal 51%, Gas 22%, BBM

16%, Water 6%, Geothermal 5%q Investment of Electrification Sector: USD 9,6 miliar per annum

INSTALLED CAPACITY

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012PPU 1,321 1,354 1,414 1,414 1,448 1,704 1,729IPP 5,012 5,835 6,017 6,179 6,197 7,667 9,856PLN 23,355 23,664 24,031 24,366 26,338 30,529 31,943

INSTALLED CAPACITIES Investment Requirement(based on RUKN Draft 2010-2029)

MillionUSD

Note:RUKN : National Electrification General Plan

Condition of Electric Power Supply TodayCondition of Electric Power Supply Today

29.688 30.853 31.462 31.95933.983

39.900

43.528


Power plant

Distribution network

Transmission net workand main power house

FACILITIES OutsideJAMALI


Assumption (average in 20 years) :• Economic growth : 6,9 %• Population growth : 1,4 %• Reserve Margin : 35 %

Projection results (average in 20 years) :• Electric power growth : 9,5 %/tahun• Additional power requirement : 7.816 MW/tahun

Electricity consumption in 2010 is around 743kWh/capita, increasing to around 788 kWh/capital in2011.

*) Installed capacities that are decreasing (derating)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Kebutuhan tambahan daya 4 8 12 16 20 25 30 36 42 48 54 62 70 79 89 100 112 125 140 156

Kapasitas Existing *) 30 30 29 28 28 27 26 26 25 24 24 23 23 22 22 22 21 21 20 20

Beban Puncak 26 28 31 33 36 39 42 46 50 54 58 64 69 76 83 91 99 109 119 131

Kebutuhan Tenaga Listrik 145 157 169 183 198 215 233 253 274 298 325 353 385 419 458 500 546 597 653 716

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200TWh

GW

ProProjectionjection of Indonesia Electricity Requirementof Indonesia Electricity Requirement((based onbased on RUKN 2010RUKN 2010--2029)2029)

Additional power requirement(GW)Existing Capacity*) (GW)

Peak Load (GW)

Electric Power Requirement(TWh)


Aceh89,28% Sumut

86,25%

Sumbar80,19%

Riau77,53%

Sumsel65,21%

Bengkulu68,45%

Babel90,03%

Lampung66,57%

Jakarta99,9%

Banten78,54%

Jabar74,08%

Jateng78,46%

Jambi68,53%

DIY76,54%

Jatim73,53%

Bali72,44%

NTB50,95%

NTT47,11%

Kalbar85,36%

Kalteng55,35%

Kalsel73,91%

Kaltim73,07%

Sulut74,98%

Gorontalo56,93%

Sulteng64,04%

Sultra66,36%

Sulsel79,71%

Malut63,50%

Maluku67,51%

Papua31,41%

Category:

> 60 %

41 - 60 %

20 - 40 %

Sulbar88,65%

Kepri72,69%

Papua Barat62,93%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sep 2012 2012 2013 2014RasioElektrif ikasi

63% 64,3% 65,1% 65,8% 67,2% 72,95% 74,60% 75,30% 77,65% 80,0%

TargetRealisasi

Realization of Electrification RatioRealization of Electrification Ratio((untiluntil September 2012)September 2012)

Realization Target

Electrification Ratio


: Existing transmission network

: Planned transmission network

: Power generation•• POWER PLANT INSTALLED CAPACITY:POWER PLANT INSTALLED CAPACITY: 43.52843.528 MWMW•• LENGTH OF TRANSMISSION NETWORK :LENGTH OF TRANSMISSION NETWORK :-- 500 KV :500 KV : 55..052052 kmskms-- 275 KV :275 KV : 11..510510 kmskms-- 150 KV :150 KV : 2266..282282 kmskms-- 70 KV :70 KV : 4.4.457457 kmskms

•• LENGTH OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORK:LENGTH OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORK:-- JTM : 2JTM : 2888.719 kms8.719 kms-- JTR : 390JTR : 390..705705 kmskms

SUMATERA :• Pembangkit: 7.310 MW (17%)• 275 kV : 1.028 kms• 150 kV : 8.597 kms• 70 kV : 332 kms• JTM : 79.472 kms• JTR : 88.024 kms

JAMALI :• Power Generation: 31.592 MW (73%)• 500 kV : 5.052 kms• 150 kV : 12.977 kms• 70 kV : 3.474 kms• JTM : 143.941 kms• JTR : 237.297 kms

Lesser Sundas:• Power Plant: 484 MW (1%)• JTM : 8.468 kms• JTR : 8.362 kms

KALIMANTAN :• Power Plant: 1.833 MW (4%)• 150 kV : 3.028 kms• 70 kV : 528 kms• JTM: 24.384 kms• JTR: 23.382 kms

SULAWESI :• Power Plant: 1.773 MW (4%)• 275 kV: 482 kms•150 kV : 2.988 kms• 70 kV : 528 kms• JTM: 24.925 kms• JTR : 27.284 kms

PAPUA :• Power Plant: 251 MW (0,6%)• JTM : 2.718 kms• JTR : 3.637 kms

MALUKU :• Power Plant: 286 MW (0,7%)• JTM : 4.813 kms• JTR : 2.718 kms

q Total installed capacity of the national power plants until early October 2012 reached 43.528MW, transmission network of 37.301 kms long and distribution network of 679,424 kms long.

q The electric power systems well-interconnected are Java-Bali system and Sumatera system.

Status: Awal Oktober 2012

National Electric Power Supply InfrastructureNational Electric Power Supply Infrastructure



q Based on PLN’s RUPTL 2011-2020, the growth of electric power requirement is projectedaround 8.46% per annum.

q In the frame of meeting electric power requirement and supporting MP3EI, it is planned toincrease the power plant capacity of 55.795 MW until 2020 or in the average 5.580 MW perannum.

4,777

4,662

18.59

6

9.641

20.33

2

19.73

9

47.68

1

38.74

2

2012 2020

1,161

1,134

3.355

2.718

2012 20202012 2020

1,340

1,156

4.463

2.992

2012 2020

332

331

2.051

767

2012 2020

133

105

591

273

184

156

563

533

2012 2020 2012 2020

Source : PLN’s RUPTL 2011-2020 and PLN’s Statistik 2011

LEGEND:: Capacity Power (MW)

: Peak Load (MW)Electricity Consumption

14.6

%

76.5

%

3.7%

3.6%

0.8%

0.3%

0.5%

Prediction of Electrification System Condition in the Next 10 YearsPrediction of Electrification System Condition in the Next 10 Years



-

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EBT Skala Kecil 1 0 - 8 - - 1 - 1 -PLTD - 1 33 41 41 22 - 22 17 18

PS - - - - - 1.040 - - 450 950PLTM 20 38 234 139 51 4 6 5 2 2PLTA 18 220 8 49 312 804 581 362 294 135PLTP 24 63 115 258 1.090 426 957 1.290 1.610 415PLTGU 594 873 296 - - - - - 750 750

PLTG 222 509 1.132 790 140 30 85 480 75 630

Power Plant Development PlantPower Plant Development Plant

for People’s Welfare

Small scale EBT


(dalam kms)

q Until 2020, the total length of transmission network to be constructed is around 49.299kms, consisting of transmission network of 500 kV and 150 kV for Java-Bali system andtransmission network of 500 kV, 275 kV, 150 kV, and 70 kV for system outside Java-Bali.

q Until 2020, the total length of distribution network to be constructed is around 416.906 kms.The distribution network development is intended to maintain the system reliability and toaccommodate new consumers addition.

transmisi distribusi

Source: RUPTL PLN 2011-2020transmisi distribusi



transmisi distribusi transmisi distribusi


9.957

28.05

7

2012 2020

21.50

3

40.55

8

2012 2020

1.843

9.995

2012 2020

3.997

9.867

2012 2020

2.419

2012 2020

1.018

2012 2020

918

2012 2020

167.4

96 268.0

77

2012 2020

381.2

38 555.2

04

2012 202047

.766 15

1.558

2012 2020

52.20

9

80.56

6

2012 2020

16.83

0

22.25

5

2012 2020

7.531 11

.243

6.355

10.12

6

Development ofDevelopment of TrasmissionTrasmission & Distribution Network& Distribution Network


Transmission DistributionTransmission Distribution

Transmission Distribution


Source PLN’s RUPTL 2011-2020

(dalam USDJuta)

q Until 2020, the total investment requirement for development of electric power supplyinfrastructure will reach 96.205 million (average USD 9.621 Million per annum) consisting ofUSD 67.815 Million for power plants, USD 14.928 Million for transmission and main powerhouses and USD 13.461 Million for distribution system.

q The biggest investment requirement is for development of power plants, followed bytransmission and main power houses and distribution system.

22.534

4.321 3.469

PowerGeneration

Transmission& Substation

Distribution

33.920

8.374 6.933

PowerGeneration


Distribution

3.904921 1.682

PowerGeneration


Distribution

4.817

910 894

PowerGeneration

Transmission &Substation

Distribution

1.491223 247

PowerGeneration


Distribution

439 94 125

PowerGeneration


Distribution

710 85 112

PowerGeneration


Distribution

Investment RequirementInvestment Requirement


SUMMARY OF PROGRESS OFSUMMARY OF PROGRESS OF 10.000 MW10.000 MW PHASEPHASE IIII PROGRAMPROGRAM((STATUSSTATUS OFOF SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER 2012)2012)

Phase Total Capacity

Construction*) 2 projects (1,1%) 40 MWPra Construction**) 3 projects (35%) 1.314 MW

Exploration 5 projects (8,5%) 320 MWFunding Process 1 project (26,6%) 1.000 MW

Tender Process 13 projects (26,8%) 1.008 MWProcess of WKP Designation 1 project (0,5%) 20 MW

Feasibility Study 1 project (1,5%) 55 MWTotal 26 projects 3.757 MW

PLN Project:

Note:*) Projects in construction phase : PLTU Ketapang (2x10 MW), PLTU Bau-Bau (2x10 MW)**) Projects in pre-construction phase : PLTA Upper Cisokan (4x260 MW), PLTA Asahan 3 (2x87 MW), and PLTU Parit Baru (2x50MW)

SUMMARY OF PROGRESS OFSUMMARY OF PROGRESS OF 10.000 MW10.000 MW PHASEPHASE IIII PROGRAMPROGRAM((STATUSSTATUS OFOF SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER 2012)2012)

IPP Project:

Phase Total Capacity

Construction*) 2 projects (1,67%) 105 MWExploitation 3 projects (4,29%) 270 MWExploration 7 projects (13%) 820 MW

Funding Process 3 projects (6,1%) 381 MWPPA Process 26 projects (47,9%) 3.013 MW

Business Feasibility GuaranteeProcess

2 projects (4,2%) 267 MW

Letter of Intent (LOI) Process 4 projects (2,9%) 184 MWNegotiation Process 7 projects (4,1%) 258 MW

Direct Appointment Process 1 project (1,3%) 83 MWWKP Tender Process 13 projects (12,8%) 805 MWPLTU Tender Process 5 projects (1,7%) 104 MW

Total 72 projects 6.290 MWNote:*) Projects in construction: PLTA Wampu (3x15 MW), PLTP Patuha #1 (60 MW)


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