[email protected] p.1 statements on societal implications rational you itri-iek-nems...
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![Page 1: RationalYou@sinamail.com p.1 Statements on Societal Implications Rational You ITRI-IEK-NEMS 2001/08/16 Source: NSF (2001/03)](https://reader036.vdocuments.mx/reader036/viewer/2022062519/5697bfa21a28abf838c964cf/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
p.1
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Statements on Societal Implications
Rational You
ITRI-IEK-NEMS
2001/08/16
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.2
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
S-Curve of Technology
• The concept of an S-curve of technology
• Present position on the S-curve of technology
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
A Secure Nation in a Secure World• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Open System Biosphere
• A city model for sustainable energy, agriculture, and climate.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Creating Small, Smart Swarms of Devices• Nanotechnology may be a Key Enabling Element to Creating
Small, Smart Swarms of Devices that sense, think, act, and communicate — resulting in emergent behavior of collective systems.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Disruptive Technologies • Nanotechnology may fall into the category of disruptive
technologies where significant new capabilities and industrial systems bring large-scale changes, which may result in the betterment of society or may create new problems.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
A computer integrates structure and function on many length scales.
• A transistor includes some layers of differentiated materials only a few atoms thick.
• However, our ability to impart structure at scales less than 180 nm is limited.
• In contrast, biological systems are richly structured all the way to the atomic scale.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
A recent example from IBM Research(a) Careful control and steering of p
rocess conditions can produce technologically useful structures on several length scales.
• Here chemical synthesis of uniformly sized nanocrystals and subsequent deposition of the particles from liquid solution forms a nanocrystal superlattice.
(b) Comparison of current “state-of-the-art” magnetic storage medium with a nanostructured magnetic storage medium.
• Such nanostructured materials may contribute to cost-performance improvements in hard disk drives in the next few years.
Source: IBM (Sun et al. 2000), NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Electronic Devices using Organic Molecules
A world-wide community of researchers is currently pursuing the dream of printing or stamping electronic devices using organic molecules chosen to take advantage of natural assembly processes.
(a) Transistors fabricated from the organic semiconductor pentacene exhibit performance comparable to the amorphous silicon transistors used in flat panel displays. (Dimitrakopoulos et al. 1999)
(b) Yellow light from a diode made from a hybrid organic-inorganic compound, which was crystallized at room temperature from liquid solution (Chondroudis and Mitzi 1999).
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Societal Impact of IC “Scaling” via Pervasive, Affordable Electronics
• Economic Growth– Development of “High-Tech” Industries and Workforce
– High-Productivity Economy
• Personal Equality/Opportunity– Global/Portable Communications
– Personal Access to Vast Information On-Demand (News, Education, Entertainment)
– Empowerment of Individuals to Process Information (Networked PCs and PDAs vs. Mainframe Computers)
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Manufacturing Cost Projection(for Logic at silicon-area and transistor levels)
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Smaller Features Lower Cost/Function Larger market
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
How to Manufacture Nano-Electronic ICs In the future, how do we cost effectively manufacture
“almost atomically-perfect” Nano-Electronic ICs ? (based on silicon, nanotubes, or whatever)
1. Nano-Tool Arrays ?– Multiple-Tip AFM lithography ?
2. Self-Assembly ? (perhaps DNA + Enzymes !)– Processing in a low-cost “beaker” ?
– “Defect immunity” and/or self repair ?
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Suggested Guiding Principles for Long-Range Nanotechnology Research
‧Start Early!
‧Maximize Inter-disciplinary Collaboration
‧Use/Extend the ITRS as a Consensus-Building Forum on“Long-Range Research Needs” for Nanoelectronics
‧Encourage Broad Cooperation
‧Involve Industry as Stakeholders/Customers
‧Utilize University Research Capability
‧Leverage Federal/National Laboratories
‧Emphasize Pre-competitive Results (e.g., not proprietary)
‧Include Studies on Technology Choices/Down-Selection and Technology Migration/Displacement
Source: Texas Instruments (R. Doering), NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Internet/Comm. driving IC demand to the next level
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Approaching a “Red Brick Wall?” Challenges/Opportunities for Semi R&D
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Is Lg @ 25 nm the CMOS Limit?
• ---
Source: IBM, (Wong, Frank, and Solomon 1998 IEDM), NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Shipments of U.S. Pharmaceutical Products• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03), McConnell (1998)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Technologies — Bio, Info and Nano• The first is “tele-
presence.”
• The second is health care.
• The third is conversing with our machines.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.20
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Quantum Phenomena
(a) Scanning tunneling micrograph of a square Fe atom corral on a Cu substrate.
(b)Fluorescence emission spectra of semiconductor nanoparticles of different sizes and composition (red = InAs (2.8-6.0 nm dia.), green = InP (3.0-4.6 nm), blue = CdSe (2.1-3.6 nm)).
‧The inset shows a set of different-sized, fluorescing CdSe particles in aqueous solution excited by a single UC source.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
The Science of Large Numbers of Objects• FePt colloidal particles
• a CdSe tetrapod
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Colloidal crystal of 100 nm polystyrene spheres
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Applications of liquid and supercritical CO2 (1)• Challenges in Nano-scale Device Fabrication—Capillary
Forces of Process Solvents Destroy!
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Applications of liquid and supercritical CO2 (2)• Defect Density of Microelectronics vs Film Thickness
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Applications of liquid and supercritical CO2 (3)
• Capillary forces of manufacturing/processing solvents are more challenging as structures become smaller
• Surface tension and viscosity of CO2 are more “gas-like” than “liquid-like”
• Environmentally sustainable
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
NanoManipulator interface
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Life Cycle Implications of $1 million Sale by Sector
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Number of Open Literature Articles, 1999-July 24, 2000 • ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
---• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
---• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
---• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
---• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Nano-publication Database: SPRU Main Fields
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Nano-publication Database: SPRU Sub-Fields
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Distribution of Nano-Patents (Over Time and by Technological Fields Period filed)
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
The different data sets and their overlap
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Patent Citations By Organizational Categories (1) • ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Patent Citations By Organizational Categories (2) By Other Machinery
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Patent Citations By Organizational Categories (3) Metal Products, e.g., Machines
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Patent Citations By Organizational Categories (4)Electronics
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
--• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.42
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Search Terms Used by Braun et al.
Source: NSF (2001/03)
All terms searched begin with nano: ~crystalline, ~structure, ~particle, ~scale, ~composite, ~tube, ~crystal, ~gram, ~meter-Size, ~phase, ~cluster, ~size, ~capsule, ~crystallite, ~sphere, ~flagellate, ~metric, ~filtration, ~lithography, ~fabrication, ~indentation, ~technology, ~colloid, ~porous, ~wire, ~bridge, ~crystallization, ~tubule, ~electronics, ~vid, ~particulate, ~tribology, ~foam, ~diffraction, ~tip, ~aggregate, ~crystallized, ~flare, ~material, ~dispersed, ~filament, ~powder, ~rheology, ~architecture, ~layer, ~lithographic, ~channel, ~device, ~electronic, ~fiber, ~granular, ~heterogeneous, ~meter-Thick, ~peptide, ~space, ~-Y-TZP/Al2O3, ~droplet, ~feature, ~gold, ~grained, ~mechanics, ~multilayer, ~pore, ~probe, ~whisker, ~analysis, ~ball, ~cavity, ~characterization, ~column, ~constriction, ~disperse, ~dispersion, ~electrode, ~fibrillar, ~manipulation, ~precipitate, ~radian, ~system, ~technique, ~template, ~topography, ~world, ~analytical, ~band, ~cell, ~cermet, ~chemical, ~chemistry, ~coll, ~crack, ~cyrstalline, ~diamond, ~dissection, ~domain, ~engineering, ~friction, ~grain, ~granule, ~hardness, ~heterostructure, ~laminate, ~layered, ~machined, ~mechanical, ~metal, ~meter-Particle, ~meter-Thickness, ~molecular, ~photonics, ~physics, ~porosity, ~processing, ~replica, ~rod, ~science, ~titanate, ~twin, ~vision, ~wear, ~-AMP, ~-Mg2Si, ~-NMR, ~-Na-15, ~composite, ~-SnO2, ~-Tin, ~-ZrO2, ~-object, ~-optical, ~amorphous, ~anatomy, ~anodization, ~apatite, ~battery, ~body, ~building, ~cage, ~capillarity, ~capsular, ~carbon, ~carrier, ~catalysis, ~ceramics, ~climate, ~compound, ~conductor, ~cone, ~construction, ~contact, ~crystal-Doped, ~cube, ~cyclitic, ~deformation, ~dimension, ~dimensional,~disk, ~dislocation, ~displacement, ~drop, ~droplet-ABA, ~dynamical, ~elastohydrodynamics, ~electromechanical, ~electron, ~element, ~encapsulated, ~environment, ~equivalent, ~etching, ~fabricated, ~fibril, ~filtered, ~gate, ~gauge, ~glass, ~heterogeneity, ~heterotrophic, ~hole, ~inclusion, ~ionics, ~junction, ~kinematics, ~laminated, ~lithographically, ~machine, ~machining, ~magnetism, ~mask, ~matrix, ~mechanism, ~mental, ~meric, ~meter-Structure, ~meter-T, ~meter-Thin, ~meter-Width, ~metersized, ~modification, ~optics, ~pattern, ~pinhole, ~pipe, ~pit, ~polar, ~polyhedra, ~porous, ~positioner, ~precipitation, ~programmed, ~reaction, ~reactor, ~rheological, ~roughness, ~scaffolding, ~scatterer, ~sled, ~slider, ~solid, ~source, ~spacing, ~spectroscopy, ~strain, ~strip, ~subharmonics.
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p.43
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Patent citations and their context• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.44
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Distribution of Papers by Major Field by SPRU Classification
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.45
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
The Subfield Distribution of Nano-Papers by SPRU-Classification (1)
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.46
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
The Subfield Distribution of Nano-Papers by SPRU-Classification (2)
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.47
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Early electric car• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.48
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Polymer rods embedded (with cadmium selenide nanocrystals, fluorescing at various wavelength
s)
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)
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p.49
工業技術研究院產業經濟與資訊服務中心Industrial Technolgy Research InstituteIndustrial Economics & Knowledge Center
Two Representations of Quantum Confinement
• ---
Source: NSF (2001/03)