rancho santiago community college district chancellor’s community advisors
TRANSCRIPT
Rancho Santiago Community College District Chancellor’s Community Advisors
2
2008- 2009 Workforce Report
• Demographic projections about Orange County’s current and future workforce
• Information on Orange County’s students, with a particular emphasis on science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM)
• Employment trends in Orange County’s major industry clusters, newly defined this year and including emerging clusters such as biotechnology and nanotechnology
• Projections of occupations showing fastest growth
• Housing and rental costs from a workforce perspective
3
Recent Economic Challenges
• Orange County’s unemployment rate currently stands at 5.7% in July 2008, up from 4.2% a year ago and 3.4% in 2006
• The financial and construction sectors accounted for nearly 2/3rds of job losses in the last year
• Median home prices are down 28.5% in the last 12 months
4
How Our Neighbors Have Fared
• San Diego County’s current unemployment rate is 6.4%. Orange County has nearly 200,000 more jobs
• Los Angeles County’s unemployment rate is 7.8% versus 4.9% a year ago
• San Bernardino County’s unemployment rate is 8.5%, Riverside County’s is 9.5%, with median home prices down over 35%
5
Orange County Has Been Here Before
• In 1990, Orange County’s unemployment rate stood at 3.5%, rising to 5.3% in 1991, 6.7% in 1992, and peaking at 6.9% in 1993
• From then on, the Orange County economic engine began to create jobs, jobs, jobs
• Beginning in the latter half of 1993, by 1999 Orange County created over 230,000 jobs taking the unemployment rate down to 2.7%
6
Are Demographics Destiny? Projected Age in OC 2000-
2050
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
0-4
5-14
15-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
ag
e
percent of population20502000
7
Are Demographics Destiny? Projected Ethnicity in OC
2000-2050
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050White Hispanic Asian Pacific IslanderBlack American Indian Multirace
8
2008 Workforce Clusters
• Business and Professional Services– Management and
Administration (sub-cluster)
• Construction• Finance, Insurance, Real
Estate• Healthcare• Information Technology• Logistics and
Transportation– Transportation (sub-
cluster)
• Manufacturing– Advanced
Manufacturing (sub-cluster)
• Hospitality and Tourism– Hospitality (sub-cluster)
Emerging Clusters• Biotechnology and
Nanotechnology• Energy, Environment and
Green Technologies
Orange County Cluster Employment -- 2007
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Tra
nsp
ort
atio
n
En
erg
y a
nd
En
vir
on
me
nt
Info
rma
tio
n
Te
ch
no
log
y
Bio
tech
no
log
y
Co
nstr
uctio
n
Lo
gis
tics a
nd
Tra
nsp
ort
atio
n
Ad
va
nce
d
Ma
nu
factu
rin
g
Bu
sin
ess a
nd
Pro
fessio
na
l
He
alth
ca
re
Fin
an
ce
Ho
tels
an
d
Re
sta
ura
nts
Ma
na
ge
me
nt
an
d
To
uri
sm
Ma
nu
factu
rin
g
I ndustry
Em
plo
ym
en
t
Orange County Cluster Average Annual Salaries --
2007
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
Hot
els
and
Res
taur
ants
Tour
ism
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Man
agem
ent a
nd
Adm
inis
trat
ion
Hea
lthca
re
Ene
rgy
and
Env
ironm
ent a
nd …
Con
stru
ctio
n
Man
ufac
turin
g
Logi
stic
s an
d Tr
ansp
orta
tion
Info
rmat
ion
Tech
nolo
gy
Adv
ance
d M
anuf
actu
ring
Bio
tech
nolo
gy
Bus
ines
s an
d P
rofe
ssio
nal S
ervi
ces
Fin
ance
Sal
ary
Industry
11
Top 10 OC Growth Occupations – Absolute Job
Growth Next 10 Years
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Re
tail
Sa
lesp
ers
on
s
Ca
shie
rs
Wa
iters
an
d W
aitr
ess
es
Co
mb
ine
d F
oo
d P
rep
ara
tion
an
d
Se
rvin
g W
ork
ers
, In
clu
din
g F
ast
Fo
od
Offi
ce C
lerk
s, G
en
era
l
La
bo
rers
an
d F
reig
ht,
Sto
ck, a
nd
Ma
teri
al M
ove
rs, H
an
d
Cu
sto
me
r S
erv
ice
Re
pre
sen
tativ
es
La
nd
sca
pin
g a
nd
Gro
un
dsk
ee
pin
g
Wo
rke
rs
Jan
itors
an
d C
lea
ne
rs, E
xce
pt
Ma
ids
an
d H
ou
seke
ep
ing
Cle
an
ers
Ge
ne
ral a
nd
Op
era
tion
s M
an
ag
ersN
um
ber
of
New
Jo
bs
12
0
10
20
30
40
50
60N
etw
ork
Sys
tem
s an
d D
ata
Com
m.
Ana
lyst
s
Hom
e H
ealt
h A
ides
Elem
enta
ry S
choo
l Te
ache
rs
Bio
med
ical
Eng
inee
rs
Mid
dle
Sch
ool
Teac
hers
Fash
ion
Des
igne
rs
Com
pute
r S
oftw
are
Engi
neer
s,A
pplic
atio
ns
Dat
abas
e A
dmin
istr
ator
s
Com
pute
r S
oftw
are
Engi
neer
s,S
yste
ms
Sof
twar
e
Net
wor
k &
Com
p. S
yste
ms
Adm
inis
trat
ors
Pe
rcen
tage G
row
th
Top 10 OC Growth Occupations –
% Job Growth Next 10 Years
13
Projected OC Employment -- Minimum Training Required
Minimum Training Required
Percent of County Employment, 2004
Estimated Number of Jobs, 2007
Estimated Percent Increase, 2004-2014
Estimated Number of Jobs, 2014
High School Diploma or Less
70.4% 963,887 16.0% 1,109,882
Post-Secondary Education
7.5% 102,522 21.9% 121,084
Bachelor’s or Higher 22.1% 302,459 23.2% 373,612
Training Level Not Classified
0.0% 268 9.7% 320
14
% of Population (25 or older) without a High
School Diploma
15
% of Population (25 or older) with a Bachelor’s
Degree or Higher
16
High School Four Year Drop-Out Rate 2007
12.0%
18.7%20.2%
22.9% 23.5% 23.7% 24.2%
27.8%29.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
OrangeCounty
Alameda Santa Clara San DiegoCounty
SanFrancisco
RiversideCounty
Statew ide LosAngelesCounty
SanBernardino
County
Orange County Statewide
17
OC High School Exit Exam
Trend 2001-2007
71%
63%
72%
54%
43%
53%
81%
72%69%
83%82% 73%70% 83%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
English-Language Arts Math
18
2007 UC / CSU Eligible Graduates, OC Compared to
State
45.3
26.6
53.8
18.123.9
44.5
25.6
38.435.3
64.8
39.1
26.427.5
23.5
46.0
61.3
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
American
Indian / Alaska
Native
Asian Pacific Islander Filipino Hispanic /
Latino
African
American
White (not
Hispanic)
Total
Pe
rce
nt o
f Stu
de
nts
Orange County California
19
SAT Scores 2007: OC Compared to Peers
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Santa ClaraCounty
OrangeCounty
Raleigh Austin San DiegoCounty
UnitedStates
California LosAngelesCounty
Critical Reading Math Writing
Orange County
United States
California
20
SAT Scores By OC School District, 2007
1347
1481
1493
1569
1589
1594
1597
1612
1613
1613
1630
1633
1637
1668
1511
14971590
1773
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Santa Ana
Garden Grove
Anaheim
Orange
Tustin
Newport-Mesa
Los Alamitos
Placentia-Yorba Linda
Huntington Beach
Brea-Olinda
Capistrano
Fullerton
Saddleback Valley
Laguna Beach
Irvine
US
State
County
SAT Score
CountyStateUSA
21
OC English Language Learners 1996-2007
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
English LearnerFluent English ProficientRedesignated Fluent English Proficient
22
English Learners – OC Compared to Neighboring
Counties
22%
24%
25%
25%
28%
30%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
San Bernardino County
San Diego County
Riverside County
California
Orange County
Los Angeles County
Orange County
California
23
English Learners By OC School District 2007
54.4
46.5
30.728.1
25.5 25.1 2522.6
14.812.6 11.5 11.1 10.1
7.5
2.9 2.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Santa
Ana
Gard
en G
rove
Fullert
on J
oin
t H
igh
County
New
port
-Mesa
Anaheim
Unio
n H
igh
Tustin
Ora
nge
Pla
centia-Y
orb
a L
inda
Irvin
e
Saddle
back V
alley
Capis
trano
Bre
a-O
linda
Huntingto
n B
each H
igh
Laguna B
each
Los A
lam
itos
County
24
2008 STEM 11th and 12th Grade AP Enrollment – OC Compared to
Peers
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%O
rang
e
Los
Ang
eles
Riv
ersi
de
San
Ber
nard
ino
San
Die
go
San
Fra
ncis
co
San
ta C
lara
Ala
med
a
Computer Science A Computer Science A B Calculus AB Calculus BC Statistics General biology General chemistry Physics B Physics C Environmental science
Ora
nge
25
2007 OC Enrollment in Upper Level Science and Math Courses by
Gender
18.5%
20.7%
15.6%
6.7% 6.8%
13.4%
18.7%
16.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Intermediate Algebra Advanced Math 1st Year Chemistry 1st Year Physics
Female Male
26
% Passing (3 or Greater) AP Test Scores – OC School
Districts 2007
21.3
46.348.055.7
27.2
37.9
77.1
54.8
37.9
53.3
39.545.9
39.2
14.6
44.838.4
25.8
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
Anaheim
Unio
n H
igh
Bre
a-O
linda U
nifi
ed
Capis
trano
Unifi
ed
Fulle
rton
Join
t U
nio
n H
igh
Gard
en G
rove U
nifi
ed
Huntin
gto
n B
each U
nio
n H
igh
Irvin
e U
nifi
ed
Laguna B
each U
nifi
ed
Los A
lam
itos U
nifi
ed
New
port
-Mesa U
nifi
ed
Ora
nge U
nifi
ed
Pla
centia
-Yorb
a L
inda U
nifi
ed
Saddle
bac
k V
alle
y U
nifi
ed
Santa
An
a U
nifi
ed
Tustin
Unifi
ed
County
(O
RA
NG
E )
Sta
tew
ide
Ora
nge C
ou
nty
Sta
tew
ide
27
Is School or District Preparing Students for Future Jobs? (School
Leaders)
Response National
OC
Yes 57% 69%No 14% 10%Not Sure 17% 13%No Opinion 2% 3%I have not thought about this before
1% 0%
Source: Project Tomorrow NetDay Survey
28
Is School Preparing You for a Good Job in the Future?
(Students)
Response
G6-8 National
G9-12 National
G6-8 OC
G9-12 OC
Yes 50% 49% 54% 50%
Source: Project Tomorrow NetDay Survey
Thank You!