rafajlovski_energieeffizienz_potentiale

Energieeffizienz und Potentiale fr den Einsatz erneurbarer Energien in Mazedonien 27./28. Mrz 2009 Vortrag: Prof. Dr. Goran Rafajlovski, Universitt Skopje

Tema I: ENERGIESICHERHEITglobale Herausforderungen wo stehet SOE Staaten und Mazedonien

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZFall-MazedonienTema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIEPotenziele fr den Einsatz

Tema I: ENERGIESICHERHEIT globale Herausforderungen

Energy Community treaty Athens October 25, 20054. goals and objectives:1.create a single regulatory space for energy trade and develop Network Energy market competition2.establish common integrated electricity and gas market

Tema I: ENERGIESICHERHEIT globale Herausforderungen

3. Enhance the security of supply of the single regulatory space by providing a stable investment climate in which connections to Caspian, North African and Middle East gas reserves can be developed4. Improving the environmental situation in relation to gas and electricity, related energy efficiency and renewable energy sources

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien

Sustainable Energy Definition:... Effectively, the provision of energy such that it meets the needs of the future without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs ...Sustainable Energy has two key components: Renewable Energy Energy Efficiency

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien General Background

Economy profile positive aspectsModest economic growth 3-6% GDPLow inflation rate < 2%Macroeconomic stability steadily increasedPrivat sector is growing (share of 65% of GDP)Tax reform to attract FDI coorporate income tax 12% personal income tax 10% abolished reinvested profit tax


Economy profile negative aspects Unemploument is excessive 36% (2008)Investment rate < 20% of GDP (last in the Region)FDI flow lowest rates among transition CountriesLow living standards GDP is 25% of the EU averageBelow absolute poverty line - 21% of population


Primary Energy SupplyCoal 49% and Crude oil 35%10 % based on renewable energy sources: hydro energy, fire wood, geothermalImport energy dependance 46%Major energy resorce lignite coal

Primary Energy Intensity (TPES/GDP) 40% higher level of primary consumption than average level in OECD Countries

Total primary energy supply by Fuel 1992-2005


Final Energy use:Industry with metalurgy (iron and steel industry)largest energy consuming sector 59% of total energy use

Residential sector second largest sector electricity is major energy used including space heating!!!

Total Final Consumption by Fuel 1992-2005

Total Final Consumption by Sector Structure of energy consumption in Industry by subsector

Co2 emmison in sectors

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Energy Policy

New Energy Low adopted in Parlament 20061. provide Legal framework for energy market 2. Straightening the legal basis of the independet energy regulator established 2003Electricity sector restructured - partial privatizationGas sector restructured - advanced privatizationOil sector privatisation completed - competitive mark

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Energy Policy

Prices for oil gas and electricity regulated (no direct social subsidies) (electricity price low)Lack of comprehensive Long term Energy StrategyIntensiv Focus on RENEWABLES expecially small Hydro Power

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Energy Efficiency Policy

No Energy Efficiency Low (Strategy Adoptet 2004) - technical regulation, Secondary legislation

Limited budget for Energy Efficiency Sustainable Energy Project by: Goverment and Global Enviroment Facilty (GEF) - Aimed: finaced instruments based on maret principal Responsible:Ministry of Economy - Energy Department - Unit energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Sources ) with limited capacity one man!!!!

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Energy Efficiency Policy

PROBLEMS:1.Wide use of electricity for domestic heating2. Inefficient energy consumption in buildings3. Energy low involved local authorities in planing and imlementation .Howerever bulding relavant capacities is progressing slowly

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Financing Energy Efficiency

Onlu through intenational cooperation:1.Netherlands PSO Programme (3mil EUR)2.Austrian Develop. Agency (Solar and geotermal 1.12 mil EUR)3. Switzerland SECO (energy efficient distribution 1.21.mil CHF)4. USAID (Energy efficient Strategy 2020)5. EBRD (power sector reform,industrial energy efficiency project)

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Financing Energy Efficiency

Main Opstacles to expand investment in Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy:1. Limited access to medium-term financing2. Lack of expirience of the local financing inctitution3. Limited development of local energy services industry4. Low awareness of the economic benefits5. Low energy pricesTo adress these barriers Goverment of Macedonia initated some Project:

Tema II: ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ Fall-Mazedonien Energy Efficiency Projects

World Bank Projekts:

Sustainable Energy Project (March 2007 to Sept 2010) - Global Enviroment Facility GEF (5.85 mil USD grant) - Macedonian Goverment (2,8 mil USD) - Macedonian finacial intermediaries? (18.7 mil. USD) - Other local sources? (6.8 mil USD) Power System HP Improvement Project (closed 2005) - Increase the efficiency and capacity of 6HP, - modern energy management system, - begin distribution losses reduction


World Bank Sustainable Energy Project:

Component 1: Market Framework capacity Building in strategic/legislative/Institutional/Technical/AdvisoryComponent 2: Support to Utillity-based Energy Service Company (ESCO)Component 3: Sustainable Energy Financing Facility SEFF co-financing basis with Macedonian Bank for Development Promotion


EBRD Projects:

Distribution Grid Efficiency Investmen Project (100 mil.EUR -EVN 50 mil.EUR and IFC 50 mil.EUR) Upgrade of grid lies and connections Upgrade of substations and transformers Roll out of metering

Energy Efficiency Improvements in Mittal Steel Skopje (25 mil.EURO)

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Potenziele fr den Einsatz

First-generation technologies: hydropower, biomass, geotermal power - (Macedonia) Second-generation technologies: solar heating, wind power, bioenergy,solar photovoltaics. Third-generation technologies: (under development): advanced biomass gasification, biorafinery technologies, concentrating solar thermal power, hot dry rockgeothermal energy and ocean energy, Advances in nanotechnology

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Renewable Energy Potential

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Energy Balance 2008

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Renewable Energy Policy

Legal Framework is the Energy Low (Strategy for Renewable Energy Sources is foreseen for 2009) Goverment considers the constraction of small hydro power plants SHP as great importance Intern.public competition: 60 SHP DBOT 2007; 27 SHP SHP 2009

The GEF/World Bank Sustainable Energy Project is greatly focused on developing the market enviroment for utilisation of renewable energy

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIEPotenziele fr den Einsatz Price Policy

Energy Low stipulates the establishment of preferential tarrifs for electricity sold by preferential producers.

Regulatory Commison for Energy (independent body) determinate the privileged tariffs for sale and purchase of electricity generated by renewable energy sources: Hydropower, geothermal energy, biomass and wind energy (but no budget allocation)


Hydro 15 to 18% of the annual electricity production comes from HPP 6 big and 22 small one = 540MW capacity Significant potential for SHPP


Geothermal Geothermal energy accounts for 2.4% of the heat production sector 7 main geothermal fields; 18 localities with thermal water; 50 springstemperatures vary from 24-27 to 70-78 oC

15 geothermal projects have been development 1970-80 still in operation but below designed capacity


Solar Solar energy is being used at a simbolic level for domestic water heating. Solar collectors 11MW=17.000 m2 x 0.7 No PV for electricity production Average solar radiation: high intensity and long duration daily 3.4kwh/m2; annual 1385 kWh/m2 Geographical positon and climate very good potential


Biomasscontributes 5.6% of the primary energy supply used exclusively in domestic sector !!!! 1.3 mil. m3 woodcuttingmass (firewood 80%) biogas, biofuel: high potential low implementation


Wind Preliminary Atlas of the winds was developed 15 possible location (capacity 25-33MW) were identified Monitoring program of the wind potential 4 location Sveti NIkole, Stip. Bogdanci. KozuvNorvegian Goverment, ELEM, Faculty of Electrical Engineering

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Renewable Energy Projects

Small Hydro power Plants Austrian Development Cooperation in Macedonia 1.geothermal system GEOTERMA in Kocani cumulative production of 20 mil m3 thermal water for grenhouses, district heating 2. solar water heaters. Goverment support 500 hausholders with 30% (150,000 EUR budget allocation) Makpetrol Biodissel Plant 8 mil EUR investment; EN 14214 standard; annual capacity 30000 tonnes biodisel.

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Conclusions

Goverment to bridge the gap between energy efficiency policy development and its implementation energy prices should be cost reflective and sustainable exploring opportunities for financing energy efficiency projects through CDM capacity building in local Authorities for implementing renewable and energy efficiency projects supporting information and awareness improving energy performance of buildings no electricity production from PV, wind, biomass.......

Tema III: REGENERATIVE ENERGIE Conclusions

Carl Cristian von Weizscker: Klimapolitik kompatibel machen mit einer marktwirtschaftlichen Ordnung britische konom Nicholas Stern: Schden eines Klimawandels einen konomischen Gegenwert haben, der um eine Grenordnung hher liegt als die Kosten einer stabilisierung des Klimas

rafajlovski_energieeffizienz_potentiale

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