quarterly hogs and pigs 03/26/2020...all inventory and pig crop estimates for march 2019 through...

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released March 26, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of

Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Up 4 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2020 was 77.6 million head. This was up 4 percent from

March 1, 2019, but down 1 percent from December 1, 2019.

Breeding inventory, at 6.38 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from the previous quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 71.3 million head, was up 4 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.

The December 2019-February 2020 pig crop, at 34.7 million head, was up 5 percent from last year. Sows farrowing

during this period totaled 3.16 million head, up 2 percent from previous year. The sows farrowed during this quarter

represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high of 11.00 for the December

2019-February 2020 period, compared to 10.70 last year.

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States: March 1

2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million sows farrow during the March-May 2020 quarter, down slightly

from the actual farrowings during the same period one year earlier, but up 2 percent from the same period two years

earlier. Intended farrowings for June-August 2020, at 3.13 million sows, are down 4 percent from the same period one

year earlier, and down 1 percent from the same period two years earlier.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 49 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up 2 percent from the previous year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2019 through December 2019 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The revision made to the December 2019 all hogs and pigs

inventory was 1.7 percent. A revision of 2.6 percent was made to the September-November 2019 pig crop. The net

revision made to the September 2019 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent. A net revision of 3.0 percent was made

to the June-August 2019 pig crop.

Records Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 13.

This report was approved on March 26, 2020.

Secretary of Agriculture

Designate

Robert Johansson

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020 .......................................................................... 5

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 ................. 5

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 ............................................... 6

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................... 6

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 .................................................. 7

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 ....................................................... 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ........................................ 8

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ............................................. 8

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 ......................................... 9

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 .............................................. 9

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019 and 2020 ............... 10

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020 .................................. 10

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018-2020 ................................. 11

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

September-November 2018 and 2019 ................................................................................................................................... 11

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 12

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................. 12

Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 13

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 13


Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory .................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory ....................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory ............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory .............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

74,661 6,349

68,313

21,373 19,168 15,001 12,771

75,725 6,410

69,316

22,210 19,693 14,396 13,017

78,583 6,431

72,153

23,376 21,224 14,654 12,899

78,658 6,471

72,187

22,648 20,301 15,321 13,916

77,629 6,375

71,254

22,221 19,853 15,581 13,598

104 100 104

104 104 104 106


Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2018 2019 2020 2020 as percent of

2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing ........................................ December-February ............................. March-May 2 ........................................ December-May 1 3 ................................ June-August 2 ...................................... September-November .......................... June-November 1 ................................. Pig crop ................................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 1 .................................

2,977 3,064 6,041

3,172 3,205 6,377

31,497 32,556 64,053

34,019 34,496 68,515

3,099 3,133 6,233

3,275 3,247 6,522

33,163 34,454 67,617

36,369 36,007 72,377

3,158 3,119 6,277

3,134

34,734

106 102 104

99

110

102 100 101

96

105

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter ........................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May .................................... June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November ...................................

10.58 10.63 10.60

10.72 10.76 10.74

10.70 11.00 10.85

11.11 11.09 11.10

11.00

104

103

1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Intentions for 2020. 3 Actual farrowings for December 2019-February 2020 plus intentions for March-May 2020.

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December ........................ January ........................... February .......................... March .............................. April ................................. May ................................. June ................................ July .................................. August ............................. September ....................... October ........................... November ........................ Total ................................

1,041 1,037 1,022 1,075 1,027 1,032 1,115 1,086 1,074 1,115 1,080 1,052

12,755

1,080 1,056 1,022

10.72 10.68 10.71 10.85 11.01 11.13 11.02 11.10 11.20 11.00 11.10 11.17

10.98

10.98 10.95 11.07

11,153 11,070 10,939 11,662 11,310 11,482 12,294 12,048 12,027 12,262 11,989 11,757

139,994

11,854 11,564 11,316

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.


Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 560 260

1,030 170 120 580 470 450 900

190 450 120 245 150 80

419

6,349

155 580 250 980 180 120 560 470 440 870

200 450 150 285 155 80

450

6,375

100 104 96 95

106 100 97

100 98 97

105 100 125 116 103 100

108

100

645 4,690 3,940

22,670 1,880 1,110 8,220 3,080 3,150 8,100

2,460 1,720 1,150 1,595

940 670

2,293

68,313

585 4,820 3,900

23,620 1,920 1,130 8,740 3,280 3,360 8,330

2,600 1,810 1,210 1,745

965 870

2,369

71,254

91 103 99

104 102 102 106 106 107 103

106 105 105 109 103 130

103

104

800 5,250 4,200

23,700 2,050 1,230 8,800 3,550 3,600 9,000

2,650 2,170 1,270 1,840 1,090

750

2,711

74,661

740 5,400 4,150

24,600 2,100 1,250 9,300 3,750 3,800 9,200

2,800 2,260 1,360 2,030 1,120

950

2,819

77,629

93 103 99

104 102 102 106 106 106 102

106 104 107 110 103 127

104

104

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,415 1,040 5,510

480 330

2,590 1,555 1,060 3,190

720 800 315 590 275 295

918

21,373

290 1,370

980 5,920

460 340

2,830 1,520 1,140 3,210

750 830 340 695 280 325

941

22,221

135 1,555 1,100 7,510

440 300

2,400 560 880

1,700

640 360 325 390 260 120

493

19,168

110 1,605 1,100 7,530

500 305

2,560 670 905

1,810

690 365 355 395 275 180

498

19,853

105 1,000

920 5,630

395 225

1,890 505 690

1,590

520 210 245 320 180 130

446

15,001

70 1,045

950 5,640

390 230

2,020 595 710

1,700

580 250 250 345 185 180

441

15,581

115 720 880

4,020 565 255

1,340 460 520

1,620

580 350 265 295 225 125

436

12,771

115 800 870

4,530 570 255

1,330 495 605

1,610

580 365 265 310 225 185

488

13,598



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018


Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 570 250

1,040 165 120 580 460 430 910

190 460 120 240 145 80

405

6,320

160 590 260

1,000 175 120 570 480 460 900

200 445 120 265 155 80

430

6,410

103 104 104 96

106 100 98

104 107 99

105 97

100 110 107 100

106

101

605 4,730 3,700

21,460 1,865 1,070 7,820 3,040 3,070 7,990

2,460 1,690 1,170 1,440

995 450

2,356

65,911

620 4,760 4,040

22,900 1,845 1,130 8,230 3,170 3,290 8,300

2,550 1,715 1,100 1,605

935 750

2,376

69,316

102 101 109 107 99

106 105 104 107 104

104 101 94

111 94

167

101

105

760 5,300 3,950

22,500 2,030 1,190 8,400 3,500 3,500 8,900

2,650 2,150 1,290 1,680 1,140

530

2,761

72,231

780 5,350 4,300

23,900 2,020 1,250 8,800 3,650 3,750 9,200

2,750 2,160 1,220 1,870 1,090

830

2,805

75,725

103 101 109 106 100 105 105 104 107 103

104 100 95

111 96

157

102

105


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,525

935 5,510

410 300

2,560 1,500 1,050 3,360

670 785 310 510 300 175

891

21,081

295 1,465 1,090 5,920

460 320

2,630 1,590 1,135 3,370

730 800 305 580 285 325

910

22,210

120 1,435 1,150 7,030

515 290

2,380 590 840

1,840

630 400 355 380 275 90

526

18,846

130 1,530 1,180 7,520

490 320

2,590 530 875

1,830

660 365 345 430 235 150

513

19,693

95 930 780

5,200 375 220

1,760 475 600

1,440

580 215 250 270 165 90

453

13,898

100 945 840

5,430 385 230

1,730 525 630

1,500

590 220 235 290 145 140

461

14,396

100 840 835

3,720 565 260

1,120 475 580

1,350

580 290 255 280 255 95

485

12,085

95 820 930

4,030 510 260

1,280 525 650

1,600

570 330 215 305 270 135

492

13,017



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018


Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 570 250

1,040 170 120 580 465 430 910

190 460 120 245 145 80

400

6,330

160 590 250

1,010 175 120 580 490 450 900

200 460 120 265 155 80

426

6,431

103 104 100 97

103 100 100 105 105 99

105 100 100 108 107 100

106

102

625 4,880 3,950

22,460 1,860 1,100 7,920 3,285 3,020 8,390

2,360 1,820 1,190 1,475

985 525

2,381

68,226

630 4,910 4,150

23,990 1,915 1,120 8,620 3,160 3,350 8,700

2,600 1,790 1,140 1,735 1,045

880

2,418

72,153

101 101 105 107 103 102 109 96

111 104

110 98 96

118 106 168

102

106

780 5,450 4,200

23,500 2,030 1,220 8,500 3,750 3,450 9,300

2,550 2,280 1,310 1,720 1,130

605

2,781

74,556

790 5,500 4,400

25,000 2,090 1,240 9,200 3,650 3,800 9,600

2,800 2,250 1,260 2,000 1,200

960

2,843

78,583

101 101 105 106 103 102 108 97

110 103

110 99 96

116 106 159

102

105


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019


Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

305 1,570

990 5,875

445 330

2,695 1,605 1,010 3,450

650 845 325 520 310 220

895

22,040

305 1,510 1,110 6,360

490 310

2,950 1,530 1,190 3,440

780 805 315 655 345 355

926

23,376

150 1,580 1,240 7,675

530 290

2,455 640 865

2,000

640 385 340 405 275 105

524

20,099

130 1,650 1,230 8,010

510 310

2,850 590 890

2,140

690 465 330 450 290 175

514

21,224

95 890 870

5,210 385 220

1,700 530 570

1,520

500 230 270 275 150 105

466

13,986

95 900 860

5,520 375 225

1,710 545 670

1,580

540 225 265 305 185 175

479

14,654

75 840 850

3,700 500 260

1,070 510 575

1,420

570 360 255 275 250 95

495

12,100

100 850 950

4,100 540 275

1,110 495 600

1,540

590 295 230 325 225 175

499

12,899



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018


Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 560 260

1,020 170 120 570 470 440 900

200 445 120 255 150 80

411

6,326

155 590 250

1,010 180 120 570 490 440 900

210 450 140 280 155 80

451

6,471

100 105 96 99

106 100 100 104 100 100

105 101 117 110 103 100

110

102

595 4,840 3,990

22,580 1,880 1,060 8,530 3,180 3,110 8,300

2,350 1,755 1,190 1,495

960 630

2,300

68,745

605 4,860 4,200

23,990 1,980 1,120 8,830 2,860 3,410 8,500

2,740 1,840 1,190 1,730

985 880

2,467

72,187

102 100 105 106 105 106 104 90

110 102

117 105 100 116 103 140

107

105

750 5,400 4,250

23,600 2,050 1,180 9,100 3,650 3,550 9,200

2,550 2,200 1,310 1,750 1,110

710

2,710

75,070

760 5,450 4,450

25,000 2,160 1,240 9,400 3,350 3,850 9,400

2,950 2,290 1,330 2,010 1,140

960

2,918

78,658

101 101 105 106 105 105 103 92

108 102

116 104 102 115 103 135

108

105


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

270 1,555 1,035 5,650

455 320

2,880 1,625 1,065 3,290

670 755 335 575 270 240

868

21,858

280 1,485 1,130 6,040

475 340

2,850 1,270 1,200 3,400

840 780 305 680 300 320

953

22,648

125 1,525 1,225 7,450

515 280

2,510 575 805

1,780

610 390 335 365 260 125

494

19,369

130 1,580 1,170 7,620

475 310

2,670 570 875

1,930

760 485 340 400 275 185

526

20,301

85 910 820

5,260 380 210

1,830 510 610

1,600

520 280 265 285 170 135

453

14,323

100 975 930

5,750 420 220

1,860 540 650

1,610

550 260 275 330 170 185

496

15,321

115 850 910

4,220 530 250

1,310 470 630

1,630

550 330 255 270 260 130

485

13,195

95 820 970

4,580 610 250

1,450 480 685

1,560

590 315 270 320 240 190

491

13,916



Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019 and 2020 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ....................... Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas .......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina ............... Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ............................ Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

78 270 125 530 86 56

300 245 185 455

93

205 55

119 66 40

191

3,099

72 290 120 520 87 57

300 250 190 450

100 210 53

141 69 40

209

3,158

92 107 96 98

101 102 100 102 103 99

108 102 96

118 105 100

109

102

9.20 10.65 10.20 11.20 10.60 10.90 11.60 10.55 11.55 9.90

10.70 10.65 10.80 11.85 10.20 9.20

9.96

10.70

10.30 10.95 10.60 11.25 10.40 11.10 11.85 11.00 11.60 10.50

11.00 10.40 11.00 12.10 10.35 11.00

10.49

11.00

718 2,876 1,275 5,936

912 610

3,480 2,585 2,137 4,505

995

2,183 594

1,410 673 368

1,906

33,163

742 3,176 1,272 5,850

905 633

3,555 2,750 2,204 4,725

1,100 2,184

583 1,706

714 440

2,195

34,734

103 110 100 99 99

104 102 106 103 105

111 100 98

121 106 120

115

105

1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2020 3 2020 as percent of 2019

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 2 ........... United States ............

75 275 110 550 76 52

305 240 190 455

88

205 50

110 64 34

185

3,064

78 275 120 530 86 54

295 242 200 460

98

215 54

123 66 43

194

3,133

74 280 120 510 91 58

275 250 190 450

103 205 53

140 69 41

210

3,119

95 102 100 96

106 107 93

103 95 98

105 95 98

114 105 95

108

100

9.60 10.70 10.30 11.10 10.10 10.90 11.20 10.20 11.30 10.10

11.00 10.70 10.50 11.70 9.80 7.60

10.04

10.63

10.70 10.75 10.70 11.45 10.70 11.00 11.85 10.65 11.50 10.50

11.20 10.55 11.10 11.95 10.50 10.70

10.32

11.00

720 2,943 1,133 6,105

768 567

3,416 2,448 2,147 4,596

968

2,194 525

1,287 627 258

1,854

32,556

835 2,956 1,284 6,069

920 594

3,496 2,577 2,300 4,830

1,098 2,268

599 1,470

693 460

2,005

34,454

116 100 113 99

120 105 102 105 107 105

113 103 114 114 111 178

108

106

1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3 Intentions.


Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018-2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2018 2019 2020 3 2020 as percent of 2019

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado .................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa ........................... Kansas ...................... Michigan .................... Minnesota .................. Missouri ..................... Nebraska ................... North Carolina ........... Ohio ........................... Oklahoma .................. Pennsylvania ............. South Dakota ............. Texas ........................ Utah ........................... Other States 2 ............ United States .............

79 265 125 575 87 57

300 255 185 485

89

210 51

117 68 39

185

3,172

79 290 120 550 90 55

300 260 194 500

102 230 51

129 71 44

210

3,275

74 280 130 510 91 54

270 255 190 450

100 210 51

139 70 41

219

3,134

94 97

108 93

101 98 90 98 98 90

98 91

100 108 99 93

105

96

9.50 10.65 10.50 11.20 10.90 10.80 11.15 10.45 11.30 10.30

10.90 10.65 10.70 11.10 10.10 11.00

10.05

10.72

10.70 10.95 11.00 11.35 10.90 11.10 11.95 11.10 11.65 10.50

11.30 10.90 11.30 11.85 10.90 11.00

10.44

11.11

751 2,822 1,313 6,440

948 616

3,345 2,665 2,091 4,996

970

2,237 546

1,299 687 429

1,864

34,019

845 3,176 1,320 6,243

981 611

3,585 2,886 2,260 5,250

1,153 2,507

576 1,529

774 484

2,189

36,369

113 113 101 97

103 99

107 108 108 105

119 112 105 118 113 113

117

107

1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States. 3 Intentions.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

75 280 130 570 85 54

310 255 195 475

99

205 52

127 67 37

189

3,205

76 285 125 540 92 56

305 260 195 470

104 220 57

139 69 41

213

3,247

101 102 96 95

108 104 98

102 100 99

105 107 110 109 103 111

113

101

9.60 10.65 10.60 11.20 10.90 10.50 11.40 10.60 11.45 10.15

10.60 10.60 11.00 11.65 10.40 10.00

10.15

10.76

10.60 10.95 10.50 11.35 10.75 10.85 11.85 11.10 11.70 10.55

11.40 10.85 11.20 12.00 10.40 11.50

10.47

11.09

720 2,982 1,378 6,384

927 567

3,534 2,703 2,233 4,821

1,049 2,173

572 1,480

697 370

1,906

34,496

806 3,121 1,313 6,129

989 608

3,614 2,886 2,282 4,959

1,186 2,387

638 1,668

718 472

2,231

36,007

112 105 95 96

107 107 102 107 102 103

113 110 112 113 103 128

117

104

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.


Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 5,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2020, data were

collected from about 3,600 operations, 70.1 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic

data reporting, mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were

asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2020.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for

reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 77.6 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 1.7 percent.

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous 20 quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Quarters

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop ......................................... Expected farrowings Second intentions ...................... First intentions ............................

1.0

1.7

2.2

2.3

1.7

2.9

3.8

4.0

630

460

53

58

60

13

2

8

1,365

1,063

129

145

12

13

16

15

8

7

4

5


Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present [This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]

Item Estimate Record high Series began

(1,000 head) (year) (year)

All hogs and pigs March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Market March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Pig crop December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

77,629 75,725 78,583 83,741

71,254 69,316 72,153 72,187

34,734 34,454 36,369 36,007

2020 2019 2019 1943

2020 2019 2019 2019

2020 2019 2019 2019

1988 1964 1988 1866

1988 1964 1988 1963

1970 1970 1970 1970

(number) (year) (year)

Pigs per litter December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

11.00 11.00 11.11 11.09

2020 2019 2019 2019

1970 1970 1970 1970

1 December preceding year.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].

Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632

Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585

Heidi Lanouette – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................................................. (202) 720-3040

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Suzanne Richards – Dairy Products ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-4448

Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov

Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free

subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above “search”

box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.

Cornell’s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS’s and other agency’s archived reports. The

new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new

website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. To continue receiving the reports via e-mail, you will have to go to the

new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or

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esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program

or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or

employment activities.)

If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or

at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the

information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of

Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax

(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].

https://www.nass.usda.gov/

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https://usda.library.cornell.edu/

https://usda.library.cornell.edu/

https://usda.library.cornell.edu/help

mailto:[email protected]



http://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdf

http://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdf

http://www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer


USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting

Virtual Meeting Tuesday, April 21, 2020

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a virtual meeting for users of U.S. domestic and

international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 2020 Data Users’ Meeting in cooperation with five other

USDA agencies – Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign

Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board – and the Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade

Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and

information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data

users.

For registration details or additional information about the Data Users’ Meeting, see the meeting page on the

NASS website (https://www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.php). Contact Vernita

Murray (NASS) at 202-690-8141 or [email protected] or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at 202-720-2248 or

[email protected] for information.

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.php



quarterly hogs and pigs 03/26/2020...all inventory and pig crop estimates for march 2019 through...

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