quantifying economic benefits from aviation weather support introduction

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[ 1 ] Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION Bryce Ford SpectraSensors Friends and Partners of Aviation Weather FPAW 2012 Meeting, Orlando, FL Nov 1, 2012 - Segment 10

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Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION. Friends and Partners of Aviation Weather FPAW 2012 Meeting, Orlando, FL Nov 1, 2012 - Segment 10. Bryce Ford SpectraSensors. Agenda. Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support. Introduction - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

[ 1 ]

Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support

INTRODUCTION

Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support

INTRODUCTION

Bryce FordSpectraSensors

Friends and Partners of Aviation WeatherFPAW 2012 Meeting, Orlando, FL

Nov 1, 2012 - Segment 10

Page 2: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

AgendaAgenda

Introduction–Bryce Ford, SpectraSensors, Inc. (5 min)

U.S. Government Activities–Kevin Stone; NWS Aviation Services Branch (8 min)

–Mike Robinson, AvMet for FAA Metrics Programs (8 min)

Business Aircraft and General Aviation Activities–John Kosak; NBAA ATM, representing BA and GA (8 min)

Airline Activities–Tom Fahey; Manager of Meteorology, Delta Air Lines (8 min)

–Randy Baker; Senior Meteorologist, UPS Airlines (8 min)

–Rick Curtis; Chief Meteorologist, Southwest Airlines (8 min)

Discussion–Bryce Ford (7 min)

Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support

Page 3: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Goals of This Panel Last Year Goals of This Panel Last Year

What data can be Regularly collected to Quantify the operational benefits

How often do we think we can collect metrics What kind of Methodology should we use for regularly

collecting data How do we resolve the really contentious Issues

How do we minimize the cost involved in routinely collecting metrics

What info can we Share and what needs to be kept Private How do we support data being Aggregated at higher levels Can a single set of Common metrics really support

Technical, Operational, Financial, and Political decision making

The Goal of the 2011 Panel was to The Goal of the 2011 Panel was to Initiate Industry Dialogue OnInitiate Industry Dialogue On

We’re Still Here – So the Dialogue Appears to be InitiatedWe’re Still Here – So the Dialogue Appears to be Initiated

Page 4: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

End UsersEnd Users

Who are the End Users of this InformationWho are the End Users of this Information(aka Why do We Need This?)(aka Why do We Need This?)

Government Decision Makers Funding Decisions for Aviation Weather/Climate Services Measure of Effectiveness for Gov Weather/Climate Services Supplement Existing FAA and NWS Economic Benefits Metrics

Aviation Industry Decision Makers Opportunities to Improve Operational Effectiveness Improved Marketing and Public Relations Improvements to the Bottom-Line

Other Weather and Climate Enterprise Participants Increased Research Opportunities for Academia Members Improved Marketing and Public Relations for Commercial

Members General Public – Improved Forecasts for a Weather Ready

NationValuable Information Used By Many Decision MakersValuable Information Used By Many Decision Makers

Page 5: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Related EffortsRelated Efforts

AMS Commission on Weather and Climate Enterprise (CWCE)

– Beginning with Measurement of Weather/Climate Enterprise SIZE

– Next will address Weather/Climate Enterprise Economic IMPACT

AMS National Network of Networks (NNON)– Early work on Modeling Economic Benefits from Sensor

Networks World Meteorological Organization AMDAR Programme

– Supporting Individual Business Case Analyses for AMDAR Met Office (UK)

– Study of Economic Impacts of Wx Forecasts on UK Energy Sector

Etc, etc, etc

Related Efforts with Similar Goals

Similar Efforts Show We Are Not Alone Out ThereSimilar Efforts Show We Are Not Alone Out There

Page 6: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Weather and Climate Products and

Services:General and Sector

Tailored

Weather and Climate Products and

Services:General and Sector

Tailored

Wx Economic Benefits FrameworkWx Economic Benefits Framework

Weather/Climate Information Provides Critical Economic Benefit to the NationWeather/Climate Information Provides Critical Economic Benefit to the Nation

Transportation

State & Local

Governments

Financial

Education &

ResearchInsurance

Civil Defense

Energy

Aviation

RailMariti

meRoadw

ay

National Defense

Agriculture

Manufacturing &

ConstructionHealthcare

Media Telecomm

Business &

General

Passenger

FreightAirport

Ops

National Economic Benefits

Framework to Measure Framework to Measure Weather/ClimateWeather/Climate Economic BenefitsEconomic BenefitsEtc.

Etc.Etc.

Page 7: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

IDEAS on What Economic Benefits AviationIDEAS on What Economic Benefits Aviation couldcould Report?Report?

Standard Economic Benefits for all Sectors

Economic Gains/Losses ($$) Net Present Value ($$) Jobs Created (#) Return on Investment (%)

Aviation Sector Unique Benefits Passenger Value of Time ($$) Fuel Usage Reduced (Gal) CO2 Reduced (Tons)

Standard Benefits Metrics from All Sectors, Plus Sector Unique Benefits Standard Benefits Metrics from All Sectors, Plus Sector Unique Benefits

Page 8: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

Next Steps for FPAWNext Steps for FPAW Determine the Value and Priority Determine Who will Work the Issues

- Requires significant coordination from both Government and Industry

Identify an Initial set of Variables which can be Easily Measured

Identify what Information the Enterprise can Routinely Collect

Determine How we get the Process StartedPossible ApproachPossible Approach

Industry/Government Define an Initial Set of Variables Each group Internally Researches ways to Report data Compare Data Sets and Harmonize Begin to Store and Report Results

Start Small – Continuously Add New Data/Results to the ProcessStart Small – Continuously Add New Data/Results to the Process

Page 9: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

Thank You!Thank You!

The Time for Action is NOW!The Time for Action is NOW!

Page 10: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

Backup InformationBackup Information

Page 11: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

Aviation Benefits Attributed to Wx Support Aviation Benefits Attributed to Wx Support ImprovementsImprovements

Standard Wind & Temp Forecasts Convective Storm Forecasts Fog Forecasts Winter Storm Forecasts Turbulence Observations and Forecasts Wind Shear Observations and Forecasts Icing Observations and Forecasts Jetstream Observations and Forecasts Tropical Forecasts Etc.

Measuring Benefits from Specific Observation and Forecast TypesMeasuring Benefits from Specific Observation and Forecast TypesFacilitates Targeted Improvements for the Highest ReturnFacilitates Targeted Improvements for the Highest Return

Page 12: Quantifying Economic Benefits from Aviation Weather Support INTRODUCTION

Aviation Wx Economic BenefitsAviation Wx Economic Benefits

Examples of Measureable Benefits to Aviation Examples of Measureable Benefits to Aviation Flight Operations Benefits

Fuel Savings Route and Altitude Selection Continuous Descent

Flight Crew Related Savings Ground Crew Related Savings Reduced Cost from Passenger Missed Connections Airport Services Related Savings (e.g. reduction of unnecessary

deicing) Business Operations Benefits

Reduction in Unplanned Overtime or Lost Time Reduced Emissions or Noise Penalties Reduced Insurance Claims Reduced Litigation Reduced Wx Related Incidents

Other Benefits Improved Passenger Satisfaction Leading to Improved Sales Public Relations Benefits Leading to Improved Sales Improved Employee Moral Leading to Better Performance

Benefits Come from Many Sources, and Not Always the Most ObviousBenefits Come from Many Sources, and Not Always the Most Obvious