pub-nlh-037 reliability and resource adequacy study page 1

10
PUB-NLH-037 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study Page 1 of 1 Q. Please provide a sample Hydro final report resulting from an Enterprise Risk Management 1 assessment. 2 3 4 A. Please refer to PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 for a sample Enterprise Risk Management 5 Assessment report. 6

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PUB-NLH-037 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 1 of 1 Q. Please provide a sample Hydro final report resulting from an Enterprise Risk Management 1

assessment. 2

3

4

A. Please refer to PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 for a sample Enterprise Risk Management 5

Assessment report. 6

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

HG

.00

1A

s a

resu

lt o

f an

un

fore

seen

sev

ere

wea

ther

eve

nt

wh

ich

inte

rru

pts

no

rmal

op

erat

ion

s (e

.g..

Hu

rric

ane

Mat

thew

/ Ig

or,

win

ter

sto

rm, l

igh

tnin

g, e

tc.)

, sev

ere

dam

age

may

be

ob

serv

ed t

hro

ugh

ou

t th

e gr

id, o

r in

iso

late

d c

riti

cal s

ites

,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- en

viro

nm

enta

l em

erge

nci

es,

- sa

fety

inci

den

ts (

emp

loye

e &

pu

blic

),

- lo

ss o

f ke

y in

fras

tru

ctu

re,

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers,

an

d/o

r

- ev

acu

atio

n o

f w

ork

sit

es a

nd

/or

surr

ou

nd

ing

com

mu

nit

ies.

Exam

ple

s in

clu

de:

Fore

st f

ire,

hu

rric

anes

an

d o

ther

flo

od

eve

nts

, sev

ere

bliz

zard

s, f

razi

l Ice

, etc

.

45

20

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: E

xten

ded

cle

an u

p

effo

rt

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce: L

oss

os

sub

stan

tial

nu

mb

er o

f

cust

om

ers,

bu

sin

ess

inte

rru

pti

on

and

det

erio

rati

on

of

pro

ject

sch

edu

le a

nd

ext

rao

rdin

ary

effo

rt b

y u

np

lan

ned

res

ou

rces

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Med

ial c

ove

rage

and

dam

age

to p

ub

lic p

rop

erty

that

en

tails

har

dsh

ips

in

loca

lized

are

a

Pas

t Ev

ents

:

- H

urr

ican

e M

atth

ew (

20

16

)

- H

urr

ican

e Ig

or

(20

10

)

- Fl

oo

d o

f 1

98

3

- #

of

can

celle

d o

r d

efer

red

or

add

ed w

ork

pla

n a

ctiv

itie

s as

resu

lt o

f d

amag

e

- $

imp

acts

on

op

erat

ing

and

cap

ital

bu

dge

ts

- Lo

ss o

f ge

ner

atin

g ca

pac

ity

resu

ltin

g fr

om

eve

nts

- Fo

reca

st o

f h

eavy

rai

nfa

ll

ove

r a

sho

rt t

ime

per

iod

.

- N

um

ber

of

seve

re w

eath

er

pre

par

dn

ess

mee

tin

gs p

er

year

.

- V

olu

me

of

ann

ual

wat

er

spill

ed.

- N

um

ber

of

ann

ual

sp

ill

even

ts.

- In

crea

se in

th

e n

um

ber

an

d

imp

act

of

extr

eme

wea

ther

even

ts o

ver

the

pas

t 3

0 y

ears

.

In P

lace

:

Dam

an

d D

yke

Mai

nte

nan

ce R

egis

ter;

DSR

Rep

ort

s; P

ETS

inte

rnal

insp

ecti

on

rep

ort

s; D

yke

Bo

ard

rep

ort

s; E

PP

's f

or

Lon

g P

on

d,

Vic

tori

a D

am, a

nd

Sn

oo

k's

Arm

; LTA

P 2

0-y

r ca

pit

al p

lan

; EM

S

- M

on

ito

rin

g o

f w

eath

er f

ore

cast

s

- W

ater

man

agem

ent

- V

eget

atio

n c

on

tro

l

- Em

erge

ncy

Pre

par

edn

ess

Pla

ns

- D

am S

afet

y P

rogr

am (

insp

ecti

on

an

d m

ain

ten

ance

)

- P

M P

rogr

am f

or

stru

ctu

res;

cap

ital

imp

rove

men

ts (

i.e.:

Bu

rnt

Fuse

plu

g)

- R

aise

d t

he

hei

ght

of

PR

V-2

by

1 m

eter

- Se

vere

wea

ther

pre

par

dn

ess

mee

tin

gs

- C

olle

ctiv

e ag

reem

ent

stan

db

y cl

ause

- P

ub

lic n

oti

fica

tio

ns

- P

rop

erty

insu

ran

ce w

hic

h p

erm

its

for

cost

rec

ove

ry r

elat

ing

to

ph

syic

al d

amag

e an

d w

ith

in t

erm

s an

d c

on

dit

ion

s o

f P

olic

y.

Pla

nn

ed:

- Ex

ecu

te 2

01

8 d

eliv

erab

les

rela

tin

g to

imp

rovi

ng

Emer

gen

cy

34

12

Like

liho

od

- m

igh

t

occ

ur

un

der

cer

tain

circ

um

stan

ces

bas

ed

on

his

tory

Ris

k tr

eatm

ents

in

pla

ce r

edu

ced

th

e

liklih

oo

d t

hat

a

wea

ther

eve

nt

will

cau

se d

amag

e, a

nd

low

er t

he

imp

act

for

even

ts t

hat

hav

e

po

ten

tial

to

cau

se

dam

age.

1. E

stab

lish

ed h

igh

PM

co

mp

lian

ce f

or

stru

ctu

re a

nd

dam

mai

nte

nan

ce a

nd

insp

ecti

on

pro

gram

2. I

mp

rove

d A

sset

Man

agem

ent

stra

tegy

3. I

mp

rove

d c

apit

al p

rogr

am:

3a.

Co

mp

lete

20

19

act

ivit

ies

rela

tin

g to

up

grad

es o

f Sa

lmo

n R

iver

sp

illw

ay (

cap

ital

pla

n).

3b

. In

crea

sed

fu

nd

ing

for

the

stru

ctu

res

reh

abili

tati

on

pro

gram

.

3c.

Rip

Rap

Reh

abili

tati

on

pro

gram

.

3d

. Co

mp

lete

20

19

act

ivit

ies

rela

tin

g to

bea

r

bro

ok

cro

ssin

g b

rid

ge c

on

stru

ctio

n.

4. M

on

ito

rin

g p

ub

lic u

sage

of

dam

s /

dyk

es

as r

oad

s.

HG

.00

1a

As

a re

sult

of

fraz

il ic

e fo

rmat

ion

on

inta

ke t

rash

rac

ks a

t H

ind

's L

ake,

Gra

nit

e

Can

al a

nd

Up

per

Sal

mo

n w

ater

flo

w t

hro

ugh

th

e in

take

into

th

e p

enst

ock

may

bec

om

e in

terr

up

ted

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- Lo

ss o

f p

rod

uct

ion

.

- Fo

rced

ou

tage

s.

- Ex

ten

ded

pro

du

ctio

n u

nav

aila

bili

ty.

- C

orr

ecti

ve m

ain

ten

ance

wo

rk f

rom

eq

uip

men

t d

amag

e.

- N

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

- In

curr

ed c

ost

s fr

om

div

ing

and

ove

rtim

e p

ay t

o r

emo

ve f

raxi

l ice

fro

m t

rack

ran

ks.

- N

on

-co

mp

lian

ce w

ith

fis

h c

om

pen

sati

on

agr

eem

ent

(Gra

nit

e C

anal

)5

21

0

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

tal:

N/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Inte

rru

pte

d

wat

er f

low

co

uld

res

ult

s in

exp

ensi

ve e

qu

ipm

ent

dam

age

is

inte

rru

pti

on

is a

bru

pt.

As

wel

l,

hig

h f

inan

cial

imp

act

to h

ave

div

e cr

ew m

ob

ilize

qu

ickl

y as

wel

l as

a cr

ew f

rom

Nl H

ydro

's

mai

nte

nan

ce d

epar

tmen

t fo

r

assi

stan

ce (

ie. o

vert

ime)

.

All

thre

e p

lan

ts h

ave

bee

n p

ron

e

to f

razi

l ice

an

nu

al;l

y d

uri

ng

the

win

ter

mo

nth

s. F

or

this

rea

son

each

un

it h

as e

xper

eicn

ed

mu

ltip

le f

orc

ed o

uta

ges

in t

he

pas

t, s

om

e lo

nge

r an

d m

ore

cost

ly t

han

oth

ers.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

* #

of

forc

ed o

uta

ge

* #

of

tim

es t

he

un

its

are

red

uce

d in

cap

acit

y to

mit

igat

e fr

azil

ice

accu

mu

lati

on

* A

nn

ual

occ

ura

nce

fo

r u

nit

s o

t

be

forc

ed o

fflin

e d

uri

ng

fraz

il

ice

con

dit

ion

s.

* N

L H

ydro

are

mo

re p

roac

tive

in c

atch

ing

fraz

il ic

e b

efo

re

accu

lula

tio

n b

y u

se o

f

mo

nit

ori

ng

equ

ipm

ent

ho

wev

er f

orc

ed o

uta

ges

still

occ

ur.

In P

lace

:

- Te

mp

erat

ure

pro

bes

at

inta

ke t

o m

easu

re w

ater

tem

p.

- G

CL

win

d s

pee

d, a

mb

ien

t te

mp

an

d w

ind

dir

ecti

on

mo

nit

ori

ng.

Oth

er s

ites

no

t eq

uip

ped

wit

h t

his

tec

hn

olo

gy.

- V

ario

us

alar

ms

to n

oti

fy o

f si

te c

on

dit

ion

s re

late

d t

o d

elta

wat

er

tem

p v

s. t

ime.

Pla

nn

ed:

- P

urc

has

e d

ata

colle

ctio

n s

oft

war

e fo

r G

ran

ite

Can

al t

o s

tart

colle

ctin

g ra

w d

ata,

sp

ecif

ical

ly d

uri

ng

fraz

il ic

e ev

ents

.

- B

uild

a f

razi

l ice

mo

del

co

nsi

stin

g o

f eq

uip

men

t to

be

inst

alle

d a

t

all t

hre

e si

tes.

Co

nsi

stan

cy a

nd

acc

ura

cy o

f th

is s

elec

ted

eq

uip

men

t

will

be

fro

nt

and

fo

rem

ost

.

- D

evel

op

a c

apit

al p

lan

fo

r in

stal

ltio

n o

f th

e eq

uip

men

t (2

02

1 F

AD

or

sup

ple

men

tal)

- In

stal

l new

tem

per

atu

re s

enso

rs f

or

mo

re a

ccu

racy

th

an c

urr

entl

y

inst

alle

d t

emp

pro

bes

.

42

8

* N

o im

med

iate

tech

no

logy

ava

ilab

le

to p

red

ict

fraz

il ic

e

form

atio

n f

or

ever

y

site

, rat

her

NL

Hyd

ro

has

to

tre

nd

cri

tica

l

dat

a fo

r ea

ch s

ite

and

then

bu

ild a

mo

del

to

det

erm

ine

wh

en f

razi

l

ice

typ

ical

ly f

orm

s at

tho

se p

arti

cula

r si

tes.

Det

erm

inin

g th

e

con

dit

ion

s fo

r fr

azil

ice

form

atio

n a

t ea

ch

site

co

uld

tak

e ye

ars

dep

end

ing

on

if t

he

dat

a co

llect

ed is

con

sist

ant.

1. C

on

tin

ue

colle

ctin

g d

ata

for

tren

din

g

pu

rpo

ses.

Ref

ine

fraz

il ic

e fo

rmat

ion

cri

teri

a

each

yea

r af

ter

colle

ctin

g an

d a

nal

yzin

g d

ata.

2. E

xecu

te f

razi

l ice

eq

uip

men

t u

pgr

ades

in

the

cap

ital

pro

gram

.

3. D

evel

op

mo

re r

igo

rou

s m

ain

ten

ance

pro

gram

s fo

r fr

azil

ice

equ

ipm

ent.

HG

.00

2A

s a

resu

lt o

f ag

ing

po

wer

ho

use

an

d g

ener

atin

g as

sets

an

d t

hei

r co

rres

po

nd

ing

con

dit

ion

, key

eq

uip

men

t (e

.g..

tu

rbin

es, g

ener

ato

rs, a

nxi

llary

an

d e

lect

rica

l

syst

ems)

may

fai

l, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s,

- u

np

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce,

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s, a

nd

/ o

r

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers.

Exam

ple

s in

clu

de:

BD

E P

enst

ock

s, U

SL f

ou

nd

atio

n m

ove

men

t, g

ove

rno

r

com

po

nen

t fa

ilure

s, e

xcit

er c

om

po

nen

t fa

ilure

s, h

ydra

ulic

str

uct

ure

gat

es,

crit

ical

sp

are

gap

s, B

DE

dra

ft t

ub

es (

con

cret

e vo

ids

/ b

ull

no

se),

tu

rbin

e

con

dit

ion

, BD

E U

nit

1 v

ibra

tio

n, e

lect

ron

ic c

on

tro

l iss

ues

(p

rim

arily

on

sta

rt-u

p /

shu

t-d

ow

n),

co

ole

r w

ear

/ fa

ilure

s. A

gin

g so

ftw

are

& o

per

atin

g sy

stem

s -

dif

ficu

lt t

o o

bta

in c

om

pu

ters

th

at a

re c

om

pat

ible

fo

r tr

ou

ble

sho

oti

ng.

OEM

sup

po

rt f

or

agin

g sy

stem

s is

no

t av

aila

ble

du

e to

ret

irem

ents

.

53

15

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce: V

ery

hig

h

fin

anci

al im

pac

t, p

roje

ct a

nd

wo

rk s

ched

ule

ext

rord

inar

y

imp

acts

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

- Fr

equ

ency

of

key

equ

ipm

ent

failu

re

- Fr

equ

ency

of

forc

ed o

uta

ges

- M

on

ito

rin

g o

f as

set

con

dit

ion

- H

isto

ry o

f ke

y eq

uip

men

t

failu

re

1. C

riti

cal s

par

es p

rogr

am

2. I

mp

rove

men

ts t

o t

he

cap

ital

pla

n

3. T

ech

nic

al c

ou

nci

ls im

pro

ve c

om

mu

nic

atio

ns

and

pro

cess

con

sist

ency

bet

wee

n a

reas

.

4. I

ncr

ease

d f

ocu

s o

n im

ple

men

tati

on

an

d t

rack

ing

of

ann

ual

wo

rk

pla

n.

5. P

rop

erty

insu

ran

ce w

hic

h p

erm

its

for

cost

rec

ove

ry r

elat

ing

to

ph

syic

al d

amag

e an

d w

ith

in t

erm

s an

d c

on

dit

ion

s o

f P

olic

y.

6. I

mp

rove

men

ts in

co

nd

itio

n m

on

ito

rin

g an

d p

red

icti

ve

mai

nte

nan

ce. S

om

e im

pro

vem

ents

to

co

nd

itio

n m

on

ito

rin

g in

BD

E

in r

ecen

t ye

ars.

IR p

rogr

am in

pla

ce, T

ran

sfo

rmer

mo

nit

ori

ng

bei

ng

dev

elo

ped

, mo

re d

etai

led

co

nd

itio

n in

spec

tio

ns

for

pen

sto

cks

bei

ng

imp

lem

ente

d.

33

9

Red

uce

d li

kelih

oo

d,

bu

t im

pac

t is

th

e

sam

e.

1. F

urt

her

wo

rk o

n c

riti

cal s

par

es a

nal

ysis

and

acq

uis

itio

n.

2. G

row

th in

tec

hn

ical

co

un

cils

.

3. F

urt

her

wo

rk o

n c

apit

al p

lan

, PM

pro

gram

imp

rove

men

ts, r

elia

bili

ty p

lan

, lin

k b

etw

een

lon

g te

rm a

nd

an

nu

al w

ork

pla

ns.

4. S

taff

tra

inin

g, s

taff

ing

anal

ysis

fo

r as

set

man

agem

ent

5. F

urt

her

imp

rove

men

ts in

co

nd

itio

n

mo

nit

ori

ng

- B

DE

PH

1, U

SL, e

tc

6. E

xplo

re s

tan

din

g co

ntr

acts

wit

h p

ote

nti

al

con

trac

tors

wh

o w

ou

ld b

e re

qu

ired

fo

r

po

ten

tial

un

fore

seen

wo

rk.

HG

.00

2a

As

a re

sult

of

the

det

erio

rate

d c

on

dit

ion

of

the

Sno

ok

Arm

gen

erat

ing

faci

lity,

ther

e is

po

ten

tial

fo

r an

ext

end

ed lo

ss o

f ge

ner

atio

n f

rom

th

is f

acilt

iilty

,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s,

- u

np

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce,

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s

- ex

cess

ive

spill

ing

do

wn

stre

am n

ear

relo

cate

d c

om

mu

nit

y

- n

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

an

d

- in

crea

sed

co

sts

to t

ran

sfer

po

wer

ove

r N

ewfo

un

dla

nd

Po

wer

lin

es

32

6

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: C

lean

up

req

uir

ed

fro

m s

pill

an

d c

han

ge in

hab

itat

e

do

wn

stre

am. E

xter

nal

reg

ula

tors

invo

lved

.

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

Un

it f

ailu

res

Ass

et c

on

dit

ion

bas

ed o

n

insp

ecti

on

Pu

blic

co

nce

rns

fro

m t

he

Loca

l Ser

vice

Dis

tric

t

Co

nsi

sten

t n

um

ber

of

failu

res

and

co

nce

rns.

Deg

rad

ing

asse

t

con

dit

ion

.

In P

lace

:

Spill

way

ch

ann

el im

pro

vem

ents

PM

Insp

ecti

on

s

DSR

Pla

nn

ed:

Ori

enta

tio

n/t

rain

ing

for

new

op

erat

or

Ice

Mo

nit

ori

ng

32

6

Min

imal

ch

ange

s to

risk

leve

ls b

ased

on

acti

viti

es

Un

it w

ill b

e d

eco

mm

issi

on

ed a

nd

surr

ou

nd

ings

ret

urn

ed t

o a

ccep

tab

le

envi

ron

men

tal l

evel

s.

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 1 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.00

2b

As

a re

sult

of

the

det

erio

rate

d c

on

dit

ion

an

d lo

ng

term

loss

of

gen

erat

ion

fro

m

the

Ven

am's

Big

ht

gen

erat

ing

faci

lity,

th

ere

is p

ote

nti

al f

or

seri

ou

s d

eter

iora

tio

n

of

this

fac

ility

, po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- a

con

trac

tor

or

emp

loye

e sa

fety

inci

den

t

- a

seri

ou

s en

viro

nm

enta

l in

cid

ent

- u

np

lan

ned

sig

nif

ican

t co

st o

f cl

ean

-up

an

d /

or

33

9

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: C

lean

up

req

uir

ed

fro

m s

pill

an

d c

han

ge in

hab

itat

e

do

wn

stre

am. E

xter

nal

reg

ula

tors

invo

lved

.

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

-Ove

rall

site

co

nd

itio

n.

-Flo

w f

rom

ho

le c

ut

in

pen

sto

ck t

o a

dd

ress

inta

ke

leak

age.

-Co

nti

nu

al d

egra

dat

ion

of

the

site

.

-Gra

du

al in

crea

se in

th

e fl

ow

fro

m t

he

pen

sto

ck h

ole

. Wat

er

star

ted

to

ove

rsh

oo

t th

e h

ole

.

- Th

e N

ove

mb

er 2

01

7

insp

ecti

on

sh

ow

ed f

urt

her

deg

rad

atio

n o

f th

e in

take

acce

ss p

latf

orm

, wo

od

ed

safe

ty r

ails

, acc

ess

trai

l

bri

dge

s, t

he

pen

sto

ck, r

ust

on

the

PH

ro

of,

an

d in

crea

sin

g

leak

age

thro

ugh

th

e in

take

.

The

mai

n d

am a

nd

sp

illw

ay

loo

k to

be

sou

nd

.

In P

lace

:

Op

erat

ion

al P

M in

spec

tio

ns

/ vi

sits

Dam

insp

ecti

on

s

Tem

po

rary

blo

ckag

e o

f fl

ow

fro

m t

he

inta

ke

Vis

ited

sit

e to

per

form

a v

isu

al in

spec

tio

n t

o m

on

ito

r d

eter

iora

tio

n

Pla

nn

ed:

Inst

all c

ind

ers

at t

he

inta

ke t

o r

edu

ce t

he

leak

age

rate

.3

39

Act

ion

s ar

e m

ost

ly

mo

nit

ori

ng

wit

ho

ut

add

ress

ing

the

risk

.

-En

gage

En

gin

eeri

ng

Serv

ices

an

d

Envi

ron

men

tal S

ervi

ces

to f

orm

ally

ass

ess

the

risk

s an

d d

evel

op

a p

lan

fo

r

refu

rbis

hm

ent

or

dec

om

mis

sio

nin

g p

lan

.

- R

eco

nn

ect

wit

h in

vest

men

t ev

alu

atio

n f

or

up

dat

ed in

form

atio

n o

n t

he

valu

e o

f en

ergy

and

inte

rest

rat

es t

o u

pd

ate

the

cost

ben

efit

anal

ysis

.

HG

.00

2c

As

a re

sult

of

det

erio

rate

d c

on

dit

ion

of

BD

E P

enst

ock

s (t

hre

e le

aks

on

Pen

sto

ck

1, c

rack

s in

Pen

sto

ck 3

wel

ds)

, fu

ture

leak

s m

ay o

ccu

r, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s d

ue

to f

ailu

res

/ le

aks

- in

crea

sed

co

st t

o s

up

ply

cu

sto

mer

s

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

to p

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce

- u

np

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce,

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s

- n

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

an

d

- im

pac

ts t

o r

epu

tati

on

al r

isk

wit

h P

UB

an

d t

he

pu

blic

.

44

16

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: C

lean

up

req

uir

ed

fro

m le

ak

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

Nu

mb

er o

f fa

ilure

sTo

dat

e th

ere

has

bee

n t

hre

e

failu

res

in t

he

sam

e ge

ner

al

area

of

pen

sto

ck 1

wit

hin

18

mo

nth

s.

In P

lace

:

- M

ore

agg

ress

ive

up

grad

e w

ork

was

co

nd

uct

ed t

o im

pro

ve t

he

stru

ctu

re o

f th

e p

enst

ock

wel

ds

on

all

thre

e p

enst

ock

s.

- P

enst

ock

1 r

up

ture

are

as w

ere

cut

ou

t an

d r

epla

ced

wit

h n

ew

stee

l, an

d t

hen

rei

nfo

rcem

ent

stee

l was

wel

ded

ove

r th

e p

atch

es.

- P

enst

ock

1 a

reas

th

at e

xper

ien

ced

inte

rnal

cra

cks

wer

e re

pai

red

and

up

grad

ed w

ith

rei

nfo

rcem

ent

pla

tes.

Ad

dit

ion

al b

ackf

ill w

as

pla

ced

in t

he

area

mo

st a

ffec

ted

by

the

stre

ss. I

nst

rum

enta

tio

n is

inst

alle

d t

o m

easu

re s

trai

n d

uri

ng

pen

sto

ck o

per

atio

n.

Pen

sto

cks

2 &

3 w

ere

insp

ecte

d a

nd

wel

ds

that

fai

led

wer

e

rep

lace

d. W

eld

rep

air

was

ext

ensi

ve a

nd

an

y w

eld

s q

ues

tio

ned

wer

e re

pla

ced

.

Pla

nn

ed:

- Le

vel 2

Co

nd

itio

n A

sses

smen

t o

f al

l th

ree

pen

sto

cks

and

rep

ort

34

12

Un

cert

ain

ty r

emai

ns

un

til t

he

con

dit

ion

asse

ssm

ent

rep

ort

is

com

ple

te a

nd

mo

re

kno

wle

dge

of

con

dit

ion

is k

no

wn

.

- C

apit

al p

rogr

am d

evel

op

ed f

or

refu

rbis

hen

t

of

Pen

sto

cks

1-3

to

ext

end

ser

vice

life

20

+

mo

re y

ears

- H

atch

rep

ort

su

bm

issi

on

by

Jun

e 2

01

9 t

o

lay

ou

t re

hab

ilita

tio

n p

rogr

am.

HG

.00

2d

As

a re

sult

of

dec

reas

ing

gro

un

d r

esis

tan

ce r

ead

ings

fro

m t

he

HLK

(7

5M

W)

roto

r

to n

ear

crit

ical

leve

ls, t

her

e lie

s an

incr

esas

ed r

isk

of

failu

re p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s d

ue

to f

ailu

re

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

to p

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s

- p

rem

ium

co

sts

for

rep

air

give

n s

ho

rt n

oti

ce w

hic

h w

ill u

tilim

atel

y b

e p

aid

by

the

cust

om

er

- n

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

- im

pac

ts t

o r

epu

tati

on

al r

isk

wit

h P

UB

an

d t

he

pu

blic

.

54

20

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

Rea

din

gs u

p t

o N

ove

mb

er 2

01

8

hav

e h

eld

rel

ativ

ely

stea

d a

t 4

00

to 5

00

ko

hm

s d

epen

din

g o

n u

nit

load

ing.

Th

e u

nit

can

op

erat

e

- M

egge

r re

adin

gs a

nn

ual

lyO

ver

the

pas

t se

vera

l yea

rs

resi

stan

ce r

ead

ings

hav

e b

een

dec

reas

ing

sign

ifia

cntl

y to

wh

ere

the

curr

ent

read

ing

is a

t

crit

ical

.

In P

lace

:

- G

ener

ato

r cl

ean

ing

wit

h r

oto

r in

pla

ce.

Pla

nn

ed:

- R

emo

ve r

oto

r fr

om

un

it f

or

PM

9

- B

reak

ro

tor

into

qu

adra

nts

to

inve

stig

ate

if a

po

le h

as g

on

e to

gro

un

d

- C

lean

sta

tor

and

ro

tor

wit

h in

dis

try

bes

t st

and

ard

pra

ctic

es

- W

inte

r re

adin

ess

chec

ks p

rio

r to

win

ter

seas

on

. Ch

ecks

incl

ud

e

meg

ger

read

ings

as

wel

l as

clea

nin

g.

34

12

Un

cert

ain

ty r

emai

ns

sin

ce r

esis

tan

ce

valu

es a

re lo

w. A

dis

rup

tio

n c

an c

ause

the

read

ings

to

fal

l

bel

ow

cri

tica

l.

Op

erat

ion

al:

- C

on

tin

ue

to p

erfo

rm m

egge

r re

adin

gs o

n

un

it P

M6

an

nu

als.

- C

on

tin

ue

dai

ly r

esis

tan

ce r

ead

ings

fro

m t

he

inst

alle

d r

elay

an

d t

ren

d t

o e

nsu

re n

o

neg

ativ

e tr

end

s ar

e d

evel

o[p

ing.

Cap

ital

:

- 2

01

9/2

02

0 p

lan

to

rew

ind

ro

tor

and

sta

tor

has

bee

n f

orm

ally

mo

ved

fo

rwar

d. F

EED

in

20

18

an

d f

ield

exe

cuti

on

in 2

01

9.

HG

.00

2e

As

a re

sult

of

dec

reas

ing

clea

ran

ces

on

Un

it 7

tu

rbin

e's

pri

mar

y se

al, r

un

ner

con

tact

wit

h t

he

seal

may

occ

ur

resu

ltin

g in

:

- p

ote

nti

al f

ailu

re o

f eq

uip

men

t

- ex

ten

sive

eq

uip

men

t o

uta

ge f

or

rep

airs

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s d

ue

to f

ailu

re

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

to p

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce

- u

pp

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s

- p

rem

ium

co

sts

for

rep

air

give

n s

ho

rt n

oti

ce w

hic

h w

ill u

tilim

atel

y b

e p

aid

by

the

cust

om

er

- n

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

- im

pac

ts t

o r

epu

tati

on

al r

isk

wit

h P

UB

an

d t

he

pu

blic

.

34

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f tr

ust

of

stak

e h

old

ers

Po

ten

tial

ru

bb

ing

of

the

run

ner

ban

d a

gain

st t

he

low

er p

rim

ary

seal

co

uld

res

ult

in g

aulin

g

and

/or

wel

din

g o

f th

e m

ater

ials

- C

lear

ance

s re

adin

gs

- R

ota

tio

nal

ch

ecks

- V

erti

calit

y ch

eck

- V

ibra

tio

n m

on

ito

rin

g

- C

apit

al c

ost

s fo

r re

pai

r

- D

ow

nto

wn

fo

r re

pai

r

- Im

pac

t o

n o

per

atin

g b

ud

get

- Im

pac

t o

n A

WP

an

d

reso

urc

es.

Ove

r la

st s

ever

al y

ears

clea

ran

ces

bet

wee

n t

he

run

ner

ban

d a

nd

low

er p

rim

ary

seal

hav

e b

een

dec

reas

ing.

Ther

e h

as b

een

no

sig

nif

ican

t

chan

ge in

un

it v

ibra

tio

n.

Ro

tati

on

ch

eclk

s in

20

18

con

firm

ed r

edu

ced

cle

aran

ce

read

ings

at

or

bel

ow

cri

tica

l.

In P

lace

:

- V

ibra

tio

n M

on

ito

rin

g

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tin

uo

us

mo

nit

ori

ng

of

un

it c

riti

cal r

ead

ings

su

ch a

s b

eari

ng

tem

per

atu

res,

vib

rati

on

an

d v

isu

al c

hec

ks f

or

abn

orm

al c

on

dit

ion

s.

- FE

ED f

or

20

19

cap

ital

ref

urb

ish

men

t p

rogr

am t

o o

pen

sea

l

clea

ran

ces

and

rep

lace

/ref

urb

ish

cri

tica

l co

mp

on

ents

(ie

. wic

ket

gate

bu

shin

gs).

34

12

Wit

h t

he

curr

ent

risk

trea

tmen

ts in

pla

ce,

the

risk

rat

ing

do

es

no

t ch

ange

. Un

til

refu

rbis

hm

ent

in

20

19

th

e ri

sks

will

rem

ain

un

chan

ged

.

20

18

ro

tati

on

al

chec

ks d

uri

ng

the

PM

6 c

on

firm

ed

clea

ran

ces

to b

e

bel

ow

cri

tica

l val

ues

.

Op

erat

ion

al:

- C

lear

ance

rea

din

gs a

nd

ro

tati

on

al c

hec

ks t

o

be

com

ple

ted

as

par

t o

f an

nu

al P

M's

.

Cap

ital

:

- 2

01

9 C

apit

al p

lan

incl

ud

es t

he

dis

-ass

emb

ly

and

mac

hin

ing

of

the

pri

mar

y se

al t

o

spec

ific

atio

n.

HG

.00

2f

As

a re

sult

of

issu

es e

xper

ien

ced

wit

h s

top

pin

g an

d s

tart

ing

GC

L u

nit

th

ere

lies

an

incr

ease

d is

sue

wit

h u

nit

op

erat

ion

, po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

lts

in:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s d

ue

to f

aile

d p

erm

issi

ve c

om

man

d

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

to p

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s

- p

rem

ium

co

sts

for

rep

air

give

n s

ho

rt n

oti

ce w

hic

h w

ill u

tilim

atel

y b

e p

aid

by

the

cust

om

er (

ie. o

vert

ime,

cal

l-in

, hel

ico

pte

r tr

ansp

ort

atio

n, e

tc)

- n

egat

ive

pre

ss c

ove

rage

- im

pac

ts t

o r

epu

tati

on

al r

isk

wit

h P

UB

an

d t

he

pu

blic

.

53

15

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: F

ish

co

mp

ensa

tio

n

agre

emen

t.

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

pay

ing

pre

miu

m t

ime

and

tran

spo

rtat

ion

. Oth

er P

M w

ork

and

pro

ject

sch

edu

les

po

ssib

ly

imp

acte

d d

epen

din

g o

n t

ime

of

year

du

e to

use

of

un

pla

nn

ed

reso

urc

es.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- N

um

er o

f w

ork

ord

ers

gen

erat

ed d

ue

to is

sues

exp

erie

nce

d w

ith

sto

pp

ing

and

sta

rtin

g G

CL.

- Sp

ora

tic

exp

erie

nce

s w

ith

star

t/st

op

fai

lure

s. H

app

ens

freq

uen

tly

bu

t n

o c

lear

tre

nd

.

In P

lace

:

- O

per

atin

g in

stru

ctio

n f

or

un

it t

o r

emai

n o

nlin

e u

nle

ss r

equ

ired

to

be

take

n o

fflin

e (i

e. u

nit

is r

elia

ble

in w

hen

in o

per

atio

n)

- N

ew A

BB

pro

gram

min

g im

ple

men

ted

to

rep

air

logi

c. F

ix h

as b

een

in p

lace

sin

e O

cto

ber

.

Pla

nn

ed:

- Te

st A

BB

pro

gram

min

g fi

x d

uri

ng

Win

ter

Rea

din

ess

chec

ks in

No

vem

ber

.

53

15

Imp

act

of

un

it n

ot

hav

ing

the

abili

ty t

o

star

t an

d s

top

do

es

no

t ch

ange

. Ris

k

trea

tmen

t w

ou

ld

red

uce

th

e lik

elih

oo

d

of

occ

urr

ence

.

- 2

01

9 o

per

atio

nal

pla

n f

or

GC

L co

ntr

olle

r

asse

ssm

ent.

- 2

02

0 C

apit

al p

lan

fo

r P

has

e 1

FEE

D t

o

rep

lace

GC

L u

nit

co

ntr

olle

r.

- 2

02

1 C

apit

al p

lan

fo

r P

has

e 2

to

rep

lace

th

e

GC

L u

nit

co

ntr

olle

r.

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 2 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.00

3A

s a

resu

lt o

f th

e u

niq

ue

haz

ard

s o

n s

ite

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

a h

ydro

gen

erat

ion

faci

lity,

saf

ety

inci

den

ts m

ay o

ccu

r o

n s

ite,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- in

jury

to

or

dea

th o

f em

plo

yees

,

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e,

- re

gula

tory

fin

es o

r p

enal

ties

,

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

le, a

nd

/or

- cu

sto

mer

dis

sati

sfac

tio

n.

Exam

ple

s in

clu

de:

Hig

h v

olt

age,

ro

tati

ng

equ

ipm

ent,

wo

rkin

g at

hei

ghts

, co

nfi

ned

sp

aces

, in

crea

sed

leve

ls o

f w

ork

(co

ntr

act

and

inte

rnal

), a

sbes

tos,

lead

pai

nt,

PC

B, v

ehic

le t

rave

l

Safe

ty -

HG

.00

3 a

dd

su

b g

rou

p(s

) fo

r in

du

stri

al h

ygin

e p

rogr

am -

Asb

esto

s, d

ust

man

agem

ent,

etc

34

12

Safe

ty: I

nju

ry r

esu

ltin

g in

med

ical

tre

atm

ent

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act,

pro

ject

an

d w

ork

sch

edu

le im

pac

ts r

equ

irin

g u

se

of

un

pla

nn

ed r

eso

urc

es

Peo

ple

: In

abili

ty t

o r

ecu

it

emp

loye

es a

nd

inex

per

ien

ced

per

son

nel

per

form

ing

wo

rk

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- LT

IFR

- A

IFR

- La

st L

T in

cid

ent

- LT

IFR

= 0

sin

ce 2

01

0.

- A

IRF

~1 (

aver

age

ove

r la

st 5

+

year

s)

In P

lace

:

- C

oac

hin

g o

f em

plo

yees

- C

orp

ora

te s

afet

y to

ols

- A

dd

ress

ing

Safe

Wo

rkp

lace

Ob

serv

atio

n P

rogr

am a

ctio

ns

- In

crea

sed

qu

anti

ty a

nd

qu

alit

y o

f P

erso

nal

Pro

tect

ive

Equ

ipm

ent

("P

PE"

)

- In

crea

sed

saf

ety

syst

ems

- In

crea

sed

sit

e sa

fety

insp

ecti

on

s

- N

ew w

eekl

y ve

hic

le in

spec

tio

n

- Sa

fety

str

ateg

ic in

itia

tive

s in

dep

artm

enta

l pla

n

-New

man

dat

ory

glo

ve p

olic

y

Pla

nn

ed:

No

ne

23

6

Like

liho

od

an

d im

pac

t

are

red

uce

d b

y

mit

igat

ion

mea

sure

s.

The

tren

ds

sho

w

po

siti

ve p

erfo

rman

ce.

- C

on

tin

uo

us

safe

ty c

ult

ure

imp

rove

men

ts

- Sa

fety

tra

inin

g

HG

.00

3a

As

a re

sult

of

the

pre

sen

ce o

f Le

ad P

ain

t at

Hyd

ro G

ener

atio

n f

acili

ties

, per

son

nel

may

be

exp

ose

d t

o le

ad d

uri

ng

wo

rk a

ctiv

itie

s, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- ac

ute

/ c

ron

ic h

ealt

h is

sues

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e,

- re

gula

tory

fin

es o

r p

enal

ties

,

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

le, a

nd

/or

- cu

sto

mer

dis

sati

sfac

tio

n.

23

6

Safe

ty: M

edic

al t

reat

men

t

req

uir

ed

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

N/A

Peo

ple

: In

abili

ty t

o r

ecru

it

resu

ltin

g in

Inex

per

ien

ced

per

son

nel

per

form

ing

wo

rk a

nd

lack

of

trai

nin

g

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- le

ad p

ain

t te

st r

esu

lts

- vi

sual

pre

sen

ce o

f re

d

pri

mer

- em

plo

yee

bas

elin

e an

d

follo

w-u

p t

esti

ng

(fu

ture

)

- A

ll su

spec

ted

pai

nt

sam

ple

s

that

hav

e b

een

tes

ted

co

nta

in

lead

.

- R

ed p

rim

er is

co

mm

on

thro

ugh

ou

t o

ur

faci

litie

s

- n

o e

mp

loye

e te

stin

g to

dat

e.

In P

lace

:

- In

form

al a

war

enes

s an

d im

pro

ved

un

der

stan

din

g o

f th

e ex

po

sure

and

ris

ks (

dis

cuss

ion

s /

e-m

ail)

- C

orp

ora

te s

afet

y to

ols

- A

dd

ress

ing

Safe

Wo

rkp

lace

Ob

serv

atio

n P

rogr

am a

ctio

ns

- In

crea

sed

qu

anti

ty a

nd

qu

alit

y o

f P

erso

nal

Pro

tect

ive

Equ

ipm

ent

("P

PE"

)

- St

aff

trai

ned

on

use

of

new

typ

e 1

lead

ab

atem

ent

equ

ipm

ent.

- Le

ad p

ain

t ab

atem

ent

pro

ced

ure

co

mp

lete

d d

etai

ling

iden

fiti

cait

on

of

typ

es o

f le

ad p

ain

t an

d h

ow

to

dis

tin

guis

h f

or

safe

wo

rk

Pla

nn

ed:

- N

o r

emai

nin

g w

ork

insi

de

of

20

18

.

13

3

Like

liho

od

red

uce

d

sin

ce p

erso

nn

el a

re

trai

nin

ed t

o id

enti

fy

and

to

per

form

typ

e 1

abat

emen

t. R

isk

do

es

no

t ch

ange

an

d

rem

ain

s th

e sa

me.

- C

on

tin

ued

tra

inin

g in

ab

atem

ent

and

use

of

new

lead

pai

nt

man

agem

ent

pro

gram

HG

.00

3b

As

a re

sult

of

the

pre

sen

ce o

f d

ust

at

Hyd

ro G

ener

atio

n f

acili

ties

, per

son

nel

may

be

exp

ose

d t

o d

ust

du

rin

g w

ork

act

ivit

ies,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- ac

ute

/ c

ron

ic h

ealt

h is

sues

,

- d

iffi

cutl

y b

reat

hin

g, a

nd

/or

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

l

23

6

Safe

ty: M

edic

al t

reat

men

t

req

uir

ed

Envi

ron

men

t: M

ino

r, n

on

per

man

ent

envi

ron

men

tal

dam

age

req

uir

ing

littl

e cl

ean

-up

effo

rts.

Is r

epo

rtab

le.

Min

or

inju

ry r

esu

ltin

g in

fir

st a

id

trea

tmen

t

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

N/A

Peo

ple

: In

exp

erie

nce

d p

erso

nn

el

per

form

ing

wo

rk a

nd

lack

of

trai

nin

g

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- ai

r sa

mp

ling

test

s-

His

tory

of

du

st c

on

tam

inat

ion

on

Hyd

ro G

ener

atio

n w

ork

site

s (i

e. S

WO

Ps)

.

In P

lace

:

- U

se r

esp

irat

ors

in d

ust

fill

ed w

ork

zo

nes

- C

on

tain

du

st b

y u

tiliz

ing

sho

p v

acs

and

sp

ecia

lized

eq

uip

men

t

wh

en n

eces

sary

22

4

Like

liho

od

an

d im

pac

t

are

red

uce

d b

y

mit

igat

ion

mea

sure

s.

- C

on

tin

ued

use

d o

f re

stp

irat

ors

- U

se o

f ai

r m

on

ito

rs in

cri

tica

l wo

rk z

on

es

pri

or

to w

ork

act

ivit

y

HG

.00

3c

As

a re

sau

lt o

f th

e p

rese

nce

of

asb

esto

s at

Hyd

ro G

ener

atio

n f

acili

ties

, per

son

nel

may

be

exp

ose

d t

o a

sbes

tos

du

rin

g w

ork

act

ivit

ies,

po

ren

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- ac

ute

/ c

ron

ic h

ealt

h is

sues

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e,

- re

gula

tory

fin

es o

r p

enal

ties

,

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

le, a

nd

/or

- cu

sto

mer

dis

sati

sfac

tio

n.

23

6

Safe

ty: C

ron

ic il

lnes

s if

exp

ose

d.

Envi

ron

men

t: E

xten

ded

cle

an u

p

effo

rt t

o m

itig

ate.

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Co

st o

f

clea

n-u

p. D

eter

iora

tio

n in

pro

ject

/wo

rk s

ched

ule

du

e to

tim

e re

qu

ired

fo

r ab

atem

ent

mea

sure

s.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- A

sbes

tos

abat

emen

t

- U

se o

f sp

ecia

lized

equ

ipm

ent

and

tec

hn

ical

wh

en w

ork

ing

wit

h a

nd

aro

un

d A

sbes

tos

con

tain

ing

mat

eria

ls

- H

isto

ry o

f A

sbes

tos

in g

aske

ts

- A

sbes

tos

surv

ey c

om

ple

ted

in

the

pas

t b

y ex

tern

al c

on

sult

ant

has

sh

ow

n m

ult

iple

are

as

wh

ere

Asb

esto

s is

pre

sen

t an

d

typ

e o

f A

sbes

tos

In P

lace

:

- N

oti

fica

tio

n t

o e

mp

loye

es e

nte

rin

g zo

nes

wh

ere

asb

esto

s is

exp

ose

d a

nd

po

ten

tial

ly c

an b

eco

me

air

bo

rn e

asily

- Eq

uip

men

t p

urc

has

ed t

o a

llow

inte

rnal

per

son

nel

to

per

form

lead

abat

emen

t o

n lo

w le

vel l

ead

pai

nt

abat

emen

t (i

e. n

on

-air

bo

rn)

Pla

nn

ed:

- N

on

e

23

4

Like

liho

od

an

d im

pac

t

are

red

uce

d b

y

mit

igat

ion

mea

sure

s.

- Sa

fety

str

ateg

ic in

itia

tive

s in

dep

artm

enta

l

pla

n

HG

.00

4A

s a

resu

lt o

f ch

alle

nge

s in

co

ord

inat

ing

wo

rk a

cro

ss in

tern

al d

epar

tmen

ts a

nd

con

trac

tors

, cap

ital

pro

ject

exe

cuti

on

may

no

t m

eet

sch

edu

le, b

ud

get

and

th

e

req

uir

emen

ts e

xpec

tati

on

s, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- ad

dit

ion

al r

eso

urc

e d

rain

to

co

mp

lete

,

- d

elay

s in

oth

er p

lan

ned

cap

ital

wo

rk,

- co

st o

verr

un

s, a

nd

/or

- in

tern

al c

on

flic

ts.

43

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Ch

ange

s in

pro

ject

s sc

hed

ule

s w

hic

h r

equ

ire

effo

rts

of

no

n p

lan

ned

res

ou

rces

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- M

on

thly

cap

ital

met

rics

- P

roje

ct d

eliv

ery

met

rics

- A

nn

ual

wo

rk p

lan

S c

urv

es

- H

isto

ry o

f p

roje

ct d

eliv

ery

In P

lace

:

- Im

pro

ved

co

mm

un

icat

ion

bet

wee

n E

ngi

nee

rin

g Se

rvic

es, P

roje

ct

Man

agem

ent

and

Wo

rk E

xecu

tio

n p

lan

nin

g d

epar

tmen

t.

- P

roje

ct c

han

ge m

anag

emen

t p

roce

ss.

- In

tegr

ated

wo

rk p

lan

del

iver

y.

- P

lan

ner

s ar

e in

pla

ce w

ith

in C

orp

ora

te t

eam

s an

d in

fie

ld

loca

tio

ns

to e

nsu

re c

oo

rdin

atio

n.

- M

aste

r o

uta

ge s

ched

ule

an

d r

egu

lar

mee

tin

gs t

o t

rack

pro

gres

s

agai

nst

det

aile

d o

uta

ge s

ched

ule

.

23

6

Red

uce

d li

kelih

oo

d,

bu

t im

pac

t is

th

e

sam

e.

A lo

t o

f p

rogr

ess

in

this

are

a in

th

e la

st

two

yea

rs. C

han

ges

in

per

son

nel

co

uld

red

uce

th

e re

cen

t

gain

s.

- H

ire

of

Pro

ject

Co

ord

inat

or.

- E

du

cati

on

of

role

s an

d r

esp

on

sib

iliti

es

wit

hin

th

e A

sset

Man

agem

ent

org

aniz

atio

nal

Stru

ctu

re.

- M

ater

ials

Man

agem

ent

Pro

fess

ion

al

trai

nin

g fo

r co

nst

ruct

ion

co

ord

inat

or

and

pla

nn

ers

/ sc

hed

ule

r

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 3 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.00

5A

s re

sult

of

issu

es w

ith

wat

er m

anag

emen

t, it

is n

eces

sary

to

sp

ill w

ater

qu

ickl

y,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- d

ow

nst

ream

dan

ger

to t

he

use

rs o

f th

e w

ater

shed

are

a, a

nd

/or

- lo

st r

even

ues

.

- en

viro

nm

enta

l dam

age

- d

amag

e to

ass

ets.

Det

ails

: Co

mp

etin

g m

etri

cs, k

no

wle

dge

of

reve

rso

irs

vs c

on

tro

l. C

han

ges

rela

ted

to in

terc

on

nec

tio

n in

clu

din

g re

lati

on

ship

par

amet

ers.

Inte

rfac

e w

ith

NLS

O.

34

12

Safe

ty: I

nju

ry t

o p

ub

lic if

in a

rea

if n

ot

info

rmed

ear

ly e

no

ugh

Envi

ron

men

t: E

xten

ded

cle

an u

p

effo

rt a

nd

rep

ort

ing

wit

h

invo

lvem

ent

fro

m e

xter

nal

regu

lato

rs

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Po

ten

tial

loss

of

cust

om

ers,

larg

e

inte

rru

pti

on

in A

WP

wh

ich

req

uir

es e

xtra

ord

inar

y ef

fort

fro

m u

np

lan

ned

res

ou

rces

an

d

larg

e fi

nan

cial

imp

act

to

rem

edia

te a

nd

ret

urn

sit

e to

serv

ice

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f st

akeh

old

er

tru

st

- R

eser

voir

Lev

els

- Ex

trem

e w

eath

er a

nd

rain

fall

freq

uen

cy

- Sp

ill f

req

uen

cy

- P

ub

lic c

om

pla

ints

/ in

qu

irie

s

- Ex

trem

e w

eath

er e

ven

t

pat

tern

s

- In

crea

se in

th

e n

um

ber

of

spill

eve

nts

- R

ain

fall

pat

tern

s

- In

crea

se in

pu

blic

inq

uir

es /

com

pla

ints

In P

lace

:

- W

eath

er f

ore

cast

ing

- Im

pro

ved

wat

er m

anag

emen

t p

ract

ices

/ a

war

enes

s

- Im

pro

ved

co

mm

un

icat

ion

s w

ith

peo

ple

in t

he

fiel

d -

wo

rksh

op

sess

ion

s, t

o im

pro

ve c

ross

ro

le u

nd

erst

and

ing

- In

crem

enta

l gat

e o

pen

ings

- C

on

sist

ent

mo

nit

ori

ng

of

rese

rvo

ir le

vels

, wee

kly

wat

er

man

agem

ent

mee

tin

gs

- Tw

o n

ew h

ires

in a

rea

of

dam

saf

ety

- P

ub

lic S

afet

y ar

ou

nd

Dam

s p

rogr

am. I

mp

lem

ente

d in

hig

hes

t ri

sk

area

s.

Pla

nn

ed:

- P

oss

ible

rea

lign

men

t o

f re

spo

nsi

bili

ties

bet

wee

n w

ater

man

agm

ent

per

son

nel

wit

h p

rod

uct

ion

.

24

8

Red

uce

d li

kelih

oo

d,

bu

t im

pac

t is

th

e

sam

e.

1. P

ub

lic S

afet

y ar

ou

nd

Dam

s -

incr

ease

d

pu

blic

aw

aren

ess

th

rou

gh s

ign

s, f

enci

ng

and

bo

om

s).

2. E

nga

gem

ent

in f

utu

re r

ealig

nm

ent

to

ensu

re s

ucc

ess.

3. E

du

cati

on

fo

r n

ew p

erso

nn

el o

n w

ater

man

agem

ent

con

cep

ts a

nd

sit

e sp

ecif

ic

geo

grap

hic

al a

spec

ts.

HG

.00

5a

As

a re

sult

of

clo

sin

g W

hit

e B

ear,

MSD

6, 7

, 8 c

an p

ote

nti

ally

ove

rto

p a

nd

cre

ate

an h

azar

d f

or

the

hab

itat

ion

do

wn

stre

am in

th

e sp

ill a

rea,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g

in:

- Lo

st r

even

ue,

- A

lter

atio

n o

f h

abit

ate

in f

loo

d a

rea,

an

d/o

r

- N

egat

ive

pu

blic

per

cep

tio

n.

43

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: E

xten

ded

cle

an-u

p

effo

rt r

equ

ired

an

d in

volv

emen

t

fro

m e

xter

nal

reg

ula

tor

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Form

al

inve

stig

atio

by

exte

rnal

reg

ula

tor

and

fin

anci

al p

enal

itie

s an

d f

ines

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Lo

ss o

f st

akeh

old

er

tru

st a

nd

med

ia a

tten

tio

n

- Eq

uip

men

t o

per

atio

nal

tren

din

g

- N

ew e

mp

loye

es u

nfa

mila

r

wit

h p

roce

ss a

nd

are

a w

ith

rega

rds

to li

mit

atio

ns

and

spec

ial o

per

atio

nal

char

acte

rist

ics

In P

lace

:

- Fo

rmal

tra

inin

g o

f w

atee

r su

pp

ly s

yste

m

Pla

nn

ed:

- N

on

e

33

9

Likl

iho

od

is r

edu

ced

bu

t st

ill p

osi

sble

give

n t

urn

ove

r w

ith

new

er le

ss

exp

erie

nce

d

emp

loye

es

- C

on

tin

uo

us

trai

nin

g

HG

.00

6A

s a

resu

lt o

f n

on

co

mp

lian

ce w

ith

saf

ety

regu

lati

on

s, in

cid

ents

or

con

dit

ion

s

on

site

may

occ

ur,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fi

nes

an

d p

enal

ties

bei

ng

incu

rred

- ad

dit

ion

al a

tten

tio

n p

aid

to

Hyd

ro b

y th

e re

gula

tor

invo

lved

- u

nfa

vora

ble

med

ia c

ove

rage

res

ult

ing

in r

epu

tati

on

al d

amag

e

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e in

cid

ents

in c

erta

in c

ases

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

le

- cu

sto

mer

/ p

ub

lic c

om

pla

ints

Exam

ple

s: e

mp

loye

e in

jury

, med

ical

tre

atm

ent,

saf

ety

syst

em P

Ms

(fir

e

exti

ngu

ish

ers,

ho

ses,

etc

). r

egu

lato

ry t

rain

ing,

veh

icle

s -

dri

vin

g b

ehav

iou

r,

34

12

Safe

ty: P

ote

nti

al f

or

inju

ry t

o

staf

f o

n s

ite

by

no

t fo

llow

ing

safe

ty r

egu

lati

on

s

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act

fro

m p

ote

nti

al la

wsu

its

fro

m n

ot

follo

win

g p

rop

er

pro

ced

ure

s

Peo

ple

: In

abili

ty t

o r

ecru

it b

ased

on

saf

ety

reco

rd a

nd

cri

tica

l

regu

lato

ry t

rain

ing

no

t

com

ple

ted

Co

mm

un

ity:

loss

of

stak

eho

lder

tru

st a

nd

neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

- Sa

fety

au

dit

res

ult

s

- Fr

equ

ency

of

no

n-

com

plia

nce

wit

h s

afet

y

regu

lati

on

- P

ub

lic C

om

pla

ints

(SW

OP

)

- V

ehic

le t

rack

ing

dev

ices

(SW

OP

)

- C

on

sist

antl

y go

od

saf

ety

aud

it r

esu

lts

- C

on

sist

antl

y g

oo

d

com

plia

nce

to

saf

ety

regu

lati

on

s

- C

yclic

al p

atte

rn o

f p

ub

lic

com

pla

ints

reg

ard

ing

veh

icle

inci

den

ts.

- o

ne

visi

t fr

om

Ser

vice

NL

to

CA

T re

sult

ing

in s

ever

al m

ino

r

dir

ecti

ves.

- re

cen

t th

ird

par

ty c

om

pla

ints

(in

take

bo

at la

un

ch, S

no

ok'

s

spill

way

, NS

spill

way

, HLK

bri

dge

(2

01

3)

In P

lace

:

- Sa

fety

rel

ated

reg

ula

tory

tra

inin

g p

rogr

ams

and

tra

inin

g d

atab

ase

- Sa

fety

an

d E

nvi

ron

men

t C

oo

rdin

ato

r to

iden

tify

reg

ula

tory

an

d

oth

er it

ems

req

uir

ing

atte

nti

on

- Sa

fety

Pro

gram

s /

com

mit

men

t.

- Sa

fety

Insp

ecti

on

s.

- Em

erge

ncy

res

po

nse

pla

ns

- P

SAD

rev

iew

s an

d c

apit

al in

vest

men

ts

- C

on

du

ct s

afet

y re

late

d t

rain

ing

- Fi

llin

g th

e sa

fety

an

d t

rain

ing

off

icer

vac

ancy

Pla

nn

ed:

- Em

erge

ncy

res

po

nse

pla

n r

evis

ion

s an

d t

able

to

p e

xerc

ises

33

9

Likl

iho

od

is r

edu

ced

,

bu

t in

th

e sa

me

ran

ge.

- Im

ple

men

t SM

S

- Fu

ture

wo

rk f

or

PSA

D

HG

.00

7A

s a

resu

lt o

f ke

y eq

uip

men

t b

eco

min

g o

bso

lete

, it

may

be

dif

ficu

lt o

r im

po

ssib

le

to p

rocu

re s

par

e p

arts

in a

tim

ely

man

ner

in t

he

even

t o

f an

op

erat

ion

al f

ailu

re,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- u

np

lan

ned

co

sts

to r

epla

ce e

qu

ipm

ent,

- ex

ten

ded

un

avai

lab

ility

of

key

infr

astr

uct

ure

, an

d/o

r

- p

ote

nti

al s

ervi

ce in

terr

up

tio

ns.

Exam

ple

s: O

ld c

om

pu

ter

tech

no

logy

, CA

T, B

DE,

Sta

r La

ke, (

Gra

nit

e is

app

roac

hin

g), A

tlas

go

vern

or

con

tro

ls a

pp

roac

hin

g, P

arad

ise

Riv

er u

nit

co

ntr

ols

,

soft

war

e u

pd

ates

are

irre

gula

r, e

xcit

er c

on

tro

ls, P

LCs,

CA

T G

ove

rno

r va

lves

,

spar

e p

arts

of

old

er v

ersi

on

s (e

g fi

rmw

are)

,

43

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Po

ten

tial

fin

anci

al im

pac

t fr

om

fee

s

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

rep

airi

ng

ob

sele

te e

qu

ipm

ent

and

extr

aord

inar

y ef

fort

s re

qu

ired

to

sou

rce

rep

air

par

ts.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

- Fr

equ

ency

an

d s

ever

ity

of

ob

sole

te e

qu

ipm

ent

failu

re

and

ser

vice

inte

rru

pti

on

(fo

rced

ou

tage

s)

- N

um

ber

of

pro

ject

s in

th

e

cap

ital

pla

n t

o r

epla

ce

ob

sole

te e

qu

ipm

ent

- V

end

or

no

tifi

cati

on

s o

f

equ

ipm

ent

in o

r ap

pro

ach

ing

ob

sole

sen

ce.

- p

arts

iden

tifi

ed a

s o

bso

lete

thro

ugh

cri

tica

l sp

are

inve

nto

ry p

rocu

rem

ent.

- o

bso

lete

eq

uip

men

t fa

ilure

had

incr

ease

d in

rec

ent

year

s,

bu

t h

as d

ecre

ased

in r

ecen

t

mo

nth

s.

In P

lace

:

- C

om

ple

tio

n o

f re

adin

ess

wo

rk in

an

tici

pat

ion

of

po

ten

tial

equ

ipm

ent

failu

res,

incl

ud

ing

the

pre

load

ing

of

soft

war

e fo

r

elec

tro

nic

sp

ares

to

imp

rove

su

cces

sfu

l fu

ture

rep

lace

men

t o

f

faile

d c

om

po

nen

ts.

- H

ave

refu

rbis

hed

so

me

elec

tro

nic

sp

ares

(ex

cite

r ca

rds)

.

- P

lan

ned

rep

lace

men

t b

ased

on

ob

sole

scen

ce d

ates

an

d e

xpec

ted

equ

ipm

ent

relia

bili

ty le

vels

.

- C

apit

al p

rogr

am id

enti

fies

req

uir

ed u

pgr

ades

.

- C

riti

cal s

par

es a

sses

smen

t an

d g

ap c

losu

re p

lan

.

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tin

ual

ly u

pd

ate

cap

ital

pla

n b

ased

on

new

co

nd

itio

n b

ased

info

rmat

ion

.

- C

riti

cal s

par

es r

evie

w a

nd

aq

uis

itio

n.

33

9

Likl

iho

od

is in

th

e

sam

e ra

nge

, bu

t at

the

low

er e

nd

of

the

scal

e. Im

pac

t h

as n

ot

chan

ged

oth

er t

han

mit

igat

ion

mea

sure

s

will

red

uce

th

e

du

rati

on

of

an e

ven

t.

- Tr

acki

ng

of

elec

tro

nic

har

dw

are

and

soft

war

e ve

rsio

ns.

- C

on

tin

ual

ly u

pd

ate

cap

ital

pla

n b

ased

on

new

co

nd

itio

n b

ased

info

rmat

ion

.

- C

riti

cal s

par

es r

evie

w a

nd

acq

uis

itio

n.

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 4 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.00

7a

As

a re

sult

of

ob

sole

te a

nd

agi

ng

elec

tro

nic

eq

uip

men

t at

th

e St

ar L

ake

faci

lity

(19

98

), in

crea

sed

or

lon

ger

forc

ed o

uta

ges

(18

MW

) m

ay o

ccu

r, p

ote

nti

ally

resu

ltin

g in

:

- u

np

lan

ned

co

sts

to r

epla

ce e

qu

ipm

ent

(co

mp

etit

ion

wit

h E

xplo

its

asse

ts f

or

fun

din

g),

- ex

ten

ded

pro

du

ctio

n u

nav

aila

bili

ty,

- p

ote

nti

al s

ervi

ce in

terr

up

tio

ns.

33

9

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Po

ten

tial

fin

anci

al im

pac

t fr

om

fee

s

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

rep

airi

ng

ob

sele

te e

qu

ipm

ent

and

extr

aord

inar

y ef

fort

s re

qu

ired

to

sou

rce

rep

air

par

ts.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

Had

tw

o f

ailu

eres

wit

h s

par

es

avai

lab

le. W

ith

ou

t an

old

com

pu

ter

(38

6)

fro

m a

n

emp

loye

e, t

he

spar

e A

VR

wo

uld

no

t h

ave

bee

n u

sab

le t

o r

epla

ce

the

faile

d in

-ser

vice

co

mp

on

ent.

- n

um

ber

of

failu

res

of

ob

sole

te e

qu

ipm

ent

- fu

nd

ing

for

cap

ital

pla

n

AV

R a

nd

go

vern

or

con

tro

ller

failu

res

in la

st 3

yea

rs.

Incr

ease

d c

om

pet

atio

n w

ith

Exp

loit

s as

sets

fo

r fu

nd

ing.

In P

lace

:

Cri

tica

l sp

ares

at

site

Pla

nn

ed:

An

nu

al In

spec

tio

n

23

6

Likl

iho

od

is in

th

e

sam

e ra

nge

. Im

pac

t

has

no

t ch

ange

d

Rep

lace

men

t o

f u

nit

co

ntr

ols

, AV

R, g

ove

rno

r

con

tro

ls, e

tc in

th

e ca

pit

al p

lan

.

HG

.00

8A

s a

resu

lt o

f in

suff

icie

nt

trai

nin

g o

r ex

per

tise

du

e to

ru

ral r

eten

tio

n c

hal

len

ges,

mo

re in

cid

ents

may

occ

ur

on

sit

e as

a r

esu

lt o

f h

um

an e

rro

r o

r la

ck o

f

un

der

stan

din

g o

f ke

y p

roto

col,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- en

viro

nm

enta

l an

d/o

r sa

fety

inci

den

ts,

- u

nin

ten

tio

nal

dam

age

to k

ey e

qu

ipm

ent,

an

d/o

r

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers.

- IA

WP

no

t b

ein

g co

mp

lete

d

Det

ails

:

- G

ap in

exp

ecta

tio

ns

for

OT

bet

wee

n m

anag

men

t an

d w

ork

ers

- Li

mit

atio

ns

of

colle

ctiv

e ag

reem

ents

to

get

wo

rk d

on

e -

shif

t ch

ange

s,

iden

tify

ing

the

righ

t p

eop

le f

or

trai

nin

g /

exp

osu

re (

OT)

, sel

ecti

ng

the

righ

t

peo

ple

fo

r th

e jo

b (

ove

rtim

e), e

tc.

- C

hal

len

ge o

f m

anag

ing

/ en

gagi

ng

peo

ple

,

- C

hal

len

ge t

o f

ill v

acan

cies

in a

tim

ely

man

ner

- e

xecu

te A

WP

bas

ed o

n f

ull

com

ple

men

t

- la

ck o

f ti

min

g an

d e

ffic

ien

cy f

or

trai

nin

g fu

nd

s ap

pro

val

43

12

Safe

ty: I

nex

per

ien

ce le

adin

g to

on

sit

e in

juri

es a

nd

po

ten

tial

ly

inju

ries

invo

lvin

g lo

st t

ime

Envi

ron

men

t: In

exp

erie

nce

in

envi

ron

men

tal r

egu

lati

on

s fo

r N

L

Hyd

ro le

adin

g to

issu

es r

equ

irin

g

clea

nu

p o

r o

uts

ide

regu

lato

r

invo

lvem

ent

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

N/A

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

-Sev

erit

y an

d f

req

uen

cy o

f

safe

ty in

cid

ents

- O

per

atio

nal

inci

den

ts

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

less

exp

erie

nce

d s

taff

- P

erce

nta

ge o

f em

plo

yees

fully

qu

alif

ied

fo

r th

eir

po

siti

on

- In

volu

nta

ry t

urn

ove

r

- Si

ck le

ave

rate

s

- V

olu

nta

ry t

urn

ove

r

- A

IFR

ave

rage

of

1M

T fo

r p

ast

5+

year

s.

- O

per

atio

nal

(h

um

an e

rro

r)

mis

take

s ar

e ra

re.

- R

edu

ced

per

cen

tage

larg

ly

du

e to

dec

reas

ed f

ocu

s o

n

trai

nin

g

- In

crea

sin

g p

erce

nta

ge o

f

reti

rem

ents

ove

r th

e p

ast

few

year

s (a

t le

ast

7 in

20

17

incl

ud

ing

3 s

up

ervi

sors

).

- P

eop

le in

key

po

stit

on

s

elig

ible

in n

ext

3 y

ears

(man

ager

s, s

up

ervi

sors

,

exp

erie

nce

d o

per

ato

rs,

In P

lace

:

- Sa

fety

tra

inin

g co

nd

uct

ed t

hro

ugh

th

e ye

ar w

ith

a h

eavy

fo

cus

du

rin

g th

e n

on

-mai

nte

nan

ce s

easo

n.

- In

crea

sin

g th

e u

se o

f p

eer

men

tori

ng

and

co

ach

ing.

- M

ore

fo

cus

on

tra

inin

g p

lan

s.

- Su

pp

ort

ind

ivid

ual

s to

att

ain

qu

alif

icat

ion

s (i

nfo

rmal

).

- Fo

rmal

ized

ap

pre

nti

cesh

ip p

rogr

am.

Pla

nn

ed:

- Fo

rmal

ize

trai

nin

g p

lan

s (t

rad

e re

late

d),

wit

h c

reat

ive

solu

tio

ns

- Su

cces

sio

n p

lan

nin

g (p

ilot

pro

ject

s)

- P

rop

ose

d s

ick

leav

e m

anag

men

t in

itia

tive

- W

ork

wit

hin

th

e p

roce

ss t

o f

ill v

acan

cies

as

qu

ickl

y as

po

ssib

le.

43

12

Trai

nin

g ac

cess

has

bee

n w

ors

e, r

ecen

t

incr

ease

in

reti

rem

ents

an

d

lon

ger

tim

es t

o f

ill

vaca

nci

es. B

ack

to

resi

du

al r

isk

fro

m a

red

uce

d r

isk

leve

l.

- C

on

tin

ue

wit

h e

xist

ing

pro

gram

s, a

nd

evo

lve

as r

equ

ired

reg

ard

ing

qu

alif

icat

ion

s

and

men

tori

ng

/ co

ach

ing

/ tr

ain

ing

to

ensu

re c

om

pet

ence

.

HG

.00

9A

s a

resu

lt o

f fi

re (

wit

hin

th

e p

lan

t o

r a

wild

fire

th

at e

ncr

oac

hes

on

Hyd

ro

faci

litie

s), k

ey e

qu

ipm

ent

(e.g

.. t

urb

ines

, gen

erat

ors

, dam

s/d

ykes

, an

cilla

ry a

nd

elec

tric

al s

yste

ms)

may

fai

l an

d/o

r ac

cess

to

th

e ef

fect

ed s

ite

may

be

effe

cted

,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s,

- u

np

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce,

- en

viro

nm

enta

l em

erge

nci

es,

- sa

fety

inci

den

ts,

- lo

ss o

f ke

y in

fras

tru

ctu

re,

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e,

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers,

an

d/o

r

- ev

acu

atio

n o

f w

ork

sit

es a

nd

/or

surr

ou

nd

ing

com

mu

nit

ies.

34

12

Safe

ty: P

ote

nti

al in

juri

es t

o o

n

site

per

son

nel

Envi

ron

men

t: E

nvi

ron

men

tal

dam

age

req

uir

ing

clea

n u

p e

ffo

rt

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

Pre

vio

us

fore

st f

ire

acro

ss t

he

tailr

ace

in 1

98

6. I

ncr

ese

in

vege

tati

on

fro

m n

atu

ral g

row

th

aro

un

d t

he

faci

lity.

- Fr

equ

ency

an

d s

ever

ity

of

fire

s in

volv

ing

Hyd

ro a

sset

s

- C

om

plia

nce

wit

h f

ire

safe

ty

regu

lati

on

s (P

M)

- N

um

ber

of

pri

ori

ty 1

an

d 2

fire

ris

k re

com

men

dat

ion

s

fro

m F

M G

lob

al

- Fo

rest

fir

e in

dex

- N

um

ber

of

fore

st f

ires

in t

he

cou

ntr

y, a

nd

pro

xim

ity

to o

ur

op

erat

ion

s

- St

age

in t

he

lifec

ycle

of

surr

ou

nd

ing

fore

sts

Rec

ent

fore

st f

ire

nea

r

mu

skra

t fa

lls (

spri

ng

20

17

).

Fore

st f

ires

in w

este

rn

Lab

rad

or

in (

20

15

), F

ore

st f

ires

in B

C t

his

yea

r (2

01

7),

an

d in

no

rth

ern

Alb

erta

last

yea

r

(20

16

).

The

nu

mb

er o

f p

rio

rity

FM

Glo

bal

fir

e re

com

men

dat

ion

s

hav

e b

een

dec

reas

ing.

Old

gro

wth

fo

rest

nea

r B

DE

asse

ts,

In P

lace

:

- A

ctiv

ate

fire

pla

n p

roto

cols

- Em

erge

ncy

res

po

nse

pla

n

- V

eget

atio

n M

anag

emen

t P

rogr

am

- P

rop

erty

insu

ran

ce w

hic

h p

erm

its

for

cost

rec

ove

ry r

elat

ing

to

ph

ysic

al d

amag

e an

d w

ith

in t

erm

s an

d c

on

dit

ion

s o

f P

olic

y.

- C

on

tact

inte

rnal

ris

k d

epar

tmen

t ar

ou

nd

sta

nd

ard

s fo

r fo

rest

fir

e

pre

ven

tio

n /

fir

e b

reak

s in

ou

r in

du

srtr

y an

d s

imila

r in

du

stri

es.

Pla

nn

ed:

34

12

Imp

rove

men

ts t

o

pla

nt

equ

ipm

ent

pro

tect

ion

,

cou

nte

ract

ed b

y

mat

uri

ng

and

exp

ansi

on

of

vege

tati

on

aro

un

d

site

s an

d li

nes

- C

on

tin

ual

imp

rove

men

t o

f as

set

pro

tect

ion

thro

ugh

imp

lem

enti

ng

FM G

lob

al

reco

mm

end

atio

ns

and

oth

er f

ire

risk

red

uct

ion

str

ateg

ies

- Ex

pan

sio

n o

f th

e an

nu

al v

eget

atio

n

man

agem

ent

pro

gram

.

HG

.01

0A

s a

resu

lt o

f ac

cess

ro

ads

to h

ydra

ulic

pla

nts

an

d a

sso

ciat

ed s

tru

ctu

res

bei

ng

imp

assi

ble

, exc

essi

ve d

elay

s m

ay b

e in

curr

ed r

esp

on

din

g to

mai

nte

nan

ce a

nd

op

erat

ion

al is

sues

, po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- en

viro

nm

enta

l em

erge

nci

es,

- sa

fety

inci

den

ts (

emp

loye

e &

pu

blic

),

- lo

ss o

f ke

y in

fras

tru

ctu

re,

- lo

ss o

f p

rod

uct

ion

, an

d /

or

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers,

53

15

Safe

ty: R

oad

s im

pas

sab

le a

nd

po

ten

tial

ris

ks t

o p

erso

nn

el

atte

mp

tin

g to

cro

ss d

amag

ed

area

s

Envi

ron

men

t: E

nvi

ron

men

tal

dam

age

req

uir

ing

clea

n u

p

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Po

ten

tial

cost

ly f

inan

cial

imp

act

to r

esto

re

acce

ss a

nd

ext

rao

rdin

ary

effo

rts

req

uir

ed f

rom

un

pla

nn

ed

reso

urc

es t

o c

arry

ou

t sc

op

e o

f

rep

airs

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss o

f

pu

blic

/sta

keh

old

er t

rust

- H

urr

ican

e M

atth

ew 2

01

6 -

cau

sed

sig

nif

ican

t d

amag

e to

acce

ss t

o t

he

BD

E, U

SL, G

CL

and

SLK

.

- #

of

ann

ual

ro

ad w

ash

ou

ts

- $

imp

acts

on

op

erat

ing

and

cap

ital

bu

dge

ts

- Lo

ss o

f ge

ner

atin

g ca

pac

ity

resu

ltin

g fr

om

no

t b

ein

g ab

le

to a

cces

s ge

ner

atin

g st

atio

ns.

- Fr

equ

ency

of

bu

sin

ess

inte

rru

pti

on

war

nin

gs

(hu

rric

ane,

win

ter/

ice

sto

rm,

etc.

)

- n

um

ber

of

tim

es

envi

ron

men

tal r

equ

irem

ents

can

no

t b

e m

et d

ue

to a

cces

s

issu

es (

GC

L fi

sh

com

pen

sati

on

str

uct

ure

sto

p

log

inst

alla

tio

n, f

uel

tan

k

PM

s, e

tc)

- In

crea

sed

fre

qu

ency

an

d

seve

rity

of

wea

ther

eve

nts

cau

sin

g ac

cess

issu

es t

o o

ur

faci

litie

s o

ver

the

pas

t 5

yea

rs.

- In

crea

sed

use

of

hel

ico

pte

r to

acce

ss s

ite

for

mai

nte

nan

ce

and

res

po

nse

.

- a

few

inst

ance

s in

th

e p

ast

few

yea

rs w

ere

ther

e w

ere

del

ays

in in

stal

ling

GC

L st

op

logs

du

e to

acc

ess

issu

es.

In P

lace

:

- Se

vere

wea

ther

pre

par

dn

ess

mee

tin

gs -

hei

ghte

ned

aw

aren

ess

- P

rovi

sio

ns

for

stan

db

y

- In

crea

sed

cu

lver

t si

ze

Pla

nn

ed:

- Im

pro

ve c

ulv

ert

and

dit

ch m

ain

ten

ance

- W

ork

ing

wit

h D

epar

tmen

t o

f Fo

rest

ry u

nd

er c

ost

sh

arin

g to

rep

air

SLK

acc

ess

road

an

d lo

ok

at p

osi

sblit

y o

f im

ple

men

tin

g m

ore

rob

ust

des

ign

in h

igh

ris

k ar

eas

33

9

Imp

act

is t

he

sam

e,

ho

wev

er t

he

liklih

oo

d

is r

edu

ced

du

e to

a

hei

ghte

ned

awar

enes

s in

ad

van

ce

of

seve

r w

eath

er

even

ts.

1. F

urt

her

imp

rove

men

ts t

o c

ulv

ert

and

dit

ch

mai

nte

nan

ce.

2. R

evie

w c

ulv

ert

sizi

ng

for

futu

re c

ulv

ert

wo

rk.

3. I

mp

rove

th

e ap

pro

ach

an

d in

crea

se

fun

din

g fo

r ve

geta

tio

n m

anag

emen

t.

4. W

ork

ing

wit

h e

xter

nal

go

vern

men

t

agen

cies

to

sh

are

cost

s o

n r

oad

up

grad

es.

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 5 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.01

0a

As

a re

sult

of

un

stab

le s

lop

e an

d s

ho

relin

e co

nd

itio

ns

alo

ng

the

cat

arm

acc

ess

road

bet

wee

n t

he

inta

ke in

ters

ecti

on

an

d t

he

po

wer

ho

use

, th

e ro

ad m

ay

bec

om

e im

pas

sab

le, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- sa

fety

inci

den

ts (

emp

loye

e &

pu

blic

),

- en

viro

nm

enta

l em

erge

nci

es,

- em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

wo

rk,

- lo

ss o

f in

fras

tru

ctu

re, a

nd

/ o

r

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers,

25

10

Safe

ty: R

oad

was

ho

uts

mak

ing

road

s im

pas

sab

le o

r d

ange

rou

s

to u

tiliz

e

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act

to r

epai

r d

amag

ed a

reas

fro

m r

ock

fal

ls

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

Seve

ral r

ock

fal

ls in

th

is a

rea

ann

ual

ly -

esp

ecia

lly d

uri

ng

free

ze /

th

aw c

ycle

s. S

om

e ro

cks

hav

e b

een

ver

y la

rge

and

dam

aged

th

e ro

ad o

n im

pac

t. N

o

on

e h

as b

een

inju

red

to

dat

e,

tho

ugh

if s

om

eon

e w

ere

ther

e at

- #

and

sev

erit

y o

f ro

ck f

alls

.

- $

imp

acts

on

op

erat

ing

and

cap

ital

bu

dge

ts

- G

ener

atio

n h

as n

ot

bee

n

affe

cted

to

dat

e.

- T

he

nu

mb

er a

nd

sev

erit

y o

f

rock

fal

ls a

pp

ear

to b

e

incr

easi

ng.

- d

ebri

s co

nti

nu

es t

o

accu

mu

late

in d

itch

es.

- la

rge

cost

incr

ease

an

d

sch

edu

le d

elay

to

on

e ca

pit

al

pro

ject

(sh

ore

line

pro

tect

ion

).

In P

lace

:

1 G

eote

chn

ical

ass

essm

ents

per

form

ed.

2 M

itig

atin

g o

per

atio

nal

mea

sure

s re

com

men

ded

by

the

stu

dy

are

in-p

lace

(ga

te, b

arri

cad

es, s

top

pin

g to

list

en f

or

rock

fal

ls b

efo

re

pro

ceed

ing,

an

d r

estr

icti

ng

traf

fic

afte

r h

eavy

rai

nfa

lls)

3. M

ore

det

aile

d C

AT

road

slo

pe

stab

ility

ass

essm

ent

into

a

per

man

ent

solu

tio

n.

Pla

nn

ed:

1. L

IDA

R s

urv

ey o

f h

igh

ris

k ar

ea

25

10

Ris

k tr

eatm

ent

to

dat

e d

oes

no

t h

ave

a

sign

ific

ant

imp

act

on

the

leve

ls f

o li

klih

oo

d

or

imp

act.

It w

ill t

ake

a m

ajo

r ch

ange

to

imp

rove

th

e ri

sk

leve

ls.

1. F

inan

ce p

erm

inen

t so

luti

on

.

2. I

mp

lem

ent

per

man

ent

solu

tio

n

3. F

ollo

w-u

p m

on

ito

rin

g an

d a

sses

smen

ts a

s

req

uir

ed.

HG

.01

1A

s a

resu

lt o

f ag

ing

infr

astr

uct

ure

an

d c

orr

esp

on

din

g as

set

con

dit

ion

, dam

s /

dyk

es a

nd

oth

er c

ivil

stru

ctu

res

may

fai

l, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- fo

rced

ou

tage

s,

- u

np

lan

ned

mai

nte

nan

ce,

- u

np

lan

ned

em

erge

ncy

cap

ital

pro

ject

s,

- in

terr

up

tio

ns

in s

ervi

ce t

o c

ust

om

ers,

- fl

oo

din

g o

f d

ow

nst

ream

are

as, a

nd

/o

r

- n

egat

ive

imp

act

on

sta

keh

old

ers.

Incr

easi

ng

exp

ecta

tio

ns

fro

m p

rovi

nci

al g

ove

rnm

ent

incl

ud

ing

pen

din

g le

gisl

ativ

e

req

uir

emen

ts.

Exam

ple

s:

Rip

Rap

det

erio

rati

ng

con

dit

ion

- H

LK M

ain

Dam

(H

D-1

), N

ort

h S

alm

on

Dam

(SD

-

2),

Lo

ng

Po

nd

Inta

ke D

am (

LD-1

) C

AT

Dam

s (4

, 6 &

7)

in 2

01

2

Hin

ds

Lake

Po

wer

Can

al. C

on

tin

uo

us

mo

nit

ori

ng

/ lo

ss o

f lin

er m

ater

ial.

His

tory

of

slo

ugh

ing

on

Bu

rnt

Sid

e H

ill C

anal

25

10

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: M

ajo

r im

pac

t w

ith

exte

nd

ed d

ura

tio

n r

equ

irin

g fu

ll

scal

e re

spo

nse

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Hig

h

fin

anci

al im

pac

t an

d lo

ss o

f

gner

atio

n t

o c

ust

om

ers

for

exte

nd

ed p

erio

ds

of

tim

e

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Med

ia a

tten

tio

n

and

ser

iou

s d

amag

e to

pu

blic

pro

per

ty

Po

ten

tial

fo

r ca

tast

rop

hic

fai

lure

if n

ot

iden

tifi

ed a

nd

co

rrec

ted

in

a ti

mel

y m

ann

er. S

om

e cr

itic

al

dam

s ar

e in

rem

ote

loca

tio

ns

so

a p

end

ing

failu

re m

ay n

ot

be

iden

tifi

ed in

a t

imel

y m

ann

er.

- #

of

new

issu

es id

enti

fied

thro

ugh

dam

su

rval

ence

, an

d

ergi

nee

rin

g in

spec

tio

ns.

- #

of

re-o

ccu

rin

g is

sues

iden

tifi

ed t

hro

ugh

dam

surv

alen

ce a

nd

en

gin

erin

g

insp

ecti

on

s.

- Ti

me

to c

om

ple

te is

sues

iden

tifi

ed a

bo

ve.

- %

of

DSR

an

d e

ngi

nee

rin

g

acti

on

s co

mp

lete

d b

y th

e

init

ial p

lan

ned

co

mp

leti

on

dat

e.

- S

om

e D

SR is

sues

are

no

t

bei

ng

add

ress

ed w

ith

in t

he

reco

mm

end

ed t

imel

ines

du

e

to h

igh

$ v

alu

e o

per

atin

g

pro

ject

co

sts

and

co

mp

etin

g

for

limit

ed f

un

ds.

- co

nsi

stan

t /

cycl

ical

leve

l of

re-

occ

uri

ng

issu

es o

r it

ems

no

t

com

ple

ted

in t

he

tim

elin

e

req

uir

ed.

In P

lace

:

Dam

an

d D

yke

Mai

nte

nan

ce R

egis

ter;

DSR

Rep

ort

s; P

ETS

inte

rnal

insp

ecti

on

rep

ort

s; D

yke

Bo

ard

rep

ort

s; E

PP

's f

or

Lon

g P

on

d,

Vic

tori

a D

am, a

nd

Sn

oo

k's

Arm

; LTA

P 2

0-y

r ca

pit

al p

lan

; EM

S

1. V

eget

atio

n c

on

tro

l

2. I

ncr

ease

d f

ocu

s o

n w

ater

man

agem

ent

and

Dam

Saf

ety

3. E

mer

gen

cy P

rep

ared

nes

s P

lan

s

4. D

am S

afet

y P

rogr

am (

insp

ecti

on

an

d m

ain

ten

ance

)

5. P

rop

erty

insu

ran

ce w

hic

h p

erm

its

for

cost

rec

ove

ry r

elat

ing

to

ph

syic

al d

amag

e an

d w

ith

in t

erm

s an

d c

on

dit

ion

s o

f P

olic

y.

6. S

tock

pile

mat

eria

l at

LD1

an

d L

D2

.

Pla

nn

ed:

1. E

xecu

te 2

01

7 d

eliv

erab

les

rela

tin

g to

imp

rovi

ng

Emer

gen

cy

Pre

par

edn

ess

/ R

esp

on

se P

lan

s

- En

sure

bri

dge

to

CER

P

2. R

evis

e st

and

ard

op

erat

ing

inst

ruct

ion

s, r

elat

ing

to s

pill

s

3.

An

nu

al m

eeti

ngs

wit

h p

ub

lic s

take

ho

lder

s o

n p

ote

nti

al s

pill

s

4. W

ater

man

agem

ent

acti

viti

es t

ran

sfer

to

BD

E O

per

atio

ns

25

10

Like

liho

od

- is

low

er,

bu

t st

ill in

th

e sa

me

ran

ge. I

mp

act

is t

he

sam

e.

1. C

on

tin

ual

imp

rove

men

t o

f A

sset

Man

agem

ent

stra

tegy

2. C

on

tin

ual

imp

rove

men

t o

f ca

pit

al

pro

gram

as

it r

elat

es t

o D

am a

sset

s.

-

20

19

act

ivit

ies

rela

tin

g to

up

grad

es o

f

Salm

on

Riv

er s

pill

way

(ca

pit

al p

lan

)

3. C

on

du

ct t

able

to

p e

xerc

ises

of

the

Emer

gen

cy p

lan

s

HG

.01

2A

s a

resu

lt o

f en

viro

nm

enta

l in

cid

ents

or

con

dit

ion

s o

nsi

te, n

on

co

mp

lian

ce w

ith

envi

ron

men

tal r

egu

lati

on

may

occ

ur,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fi

nes

an

d p

enal

ties

bei

ng

incu

rred

- ad

dit

ion

al a

tten

tio

n p

aid

to

Hyd

ro b

y th

e re

gula

tor

invo

lved

- u

nfa

vora

ble

med

ia c

ove

rage

res

ult

ing

in r

epu

tati

on

al d

amag

e

- co

sts

to in

vest

igat

e in

cid

ents

in c

erta

in c

ases

- d

amag

e to

sta

ff m

ora

le

- cu

sto

mer

dis

sati

sfac

tio

n a

nd

co

mp

lain

ts

Exam

ple

s: o

il sp

ills,

fu

el d

ips

/ ex

emp

tio

ns

34

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: E

nvi

ron

men

tal

dam

age

req

uir

ing

clea

n u

p e

ffo

rt

to r

esto

re

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act

to r

esto

re s

ite

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Lo

ss o

f tr

ust

fro

m

inte

rnal

per

son

nel

an

d

stak

eho

lder

s

PR

V o

il sp

ill in

20

16

. 4 r

epo

rtab

le

spill

s YT

D A

ug

25

th 2

01

7.

- En

viro

nm

enta

l au

dit

res

ult

s

- Fr

equ

ency

of

no

n-

com

plia

nce

wit

h

envi

ron

men

tal r

egu

lati

on

- n

um

ber

of

rep

ort

able

sp

ills

- EM

S ta

rget

co

mp

leti

on

- H

isto

ry o

f en

viro

nm

enta

l

aud

its

- P

atte

rns

in n

on

-co

mp

lian

ce

- SW

OP

reg

ard

ing

cuilv

erts

on

cab

in la

wn

, NSS

, Sn

oo

k's,

- In

crea

sed

rep

ort

ing

of

no

n-

rep

ort

able

sp

ills.

- L

eak

fro

m g

rad

er w

her

e it

was

par

ked

on

pri

vate

lan

d

(pu

blic

co

mp

lain

t).

In P

lace

:

- EM

S -

ISO

14

00

1 s

yste

m, i

ncl

ud

ing

Inte

rnal

co

mp

lian

ce a

ud

its

and

follo

w u

p

- En

viro

nm

ent

Co

ord

inat

or

to id

enti

fy r

egu

lato

ry a

nd

oth

er it

ems

req

uir

ing

atte

nti

on

- O

il d

etec

tio

n s

yste

m in

stal

led

at

PR

V

Pla

nn

ed:

- A

dd

ress

pu

blic

co

mp

lain

ts r

elat

ing

to c

ulv

erts

an

d g

rad

er o

il le

ak.

23

6

In p

lace

an

d p

lan

ned

trea

tmen

ts w

ill

red

uce

likh

oo

d a

s

wel

l as

imp

act

by

hav

ing

pro

per

pro

ced

ure

s,

equ

ipm

ent

and

resp

on

se m

eth

od

s in

pla

ce

- R

emed

iate

min

or

envi

ron

men

tal r

egu

lato

ry

item

s as

iden

tifi

ed.

- id

enti

fy o

ther

sit

es w

her

e th

e P

RV

oil

det

ecti

on

sys

tem

is r

equ

ired

.

- Id

enti

fy a

ll si

tes

wit

h o

il le

aks

and

pre

par

e

pla

n t

o m

itig

ate

leak

age

HG

.01

2a

As

a re

sult

of

the

use

d s

par

e ge

ner

ato

r m

ain

tra

nsf

orm

er s

tore

d a

t C

at A

rm

wit

ho

ut

con

tain

men

t, a

n o

il sp

ill m

ay o

ccu

r, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- fi

nes

an

d p

enal

ties

bei

ng

incu

rred

- ad

dit

ion

al a

tten

tio

n p

aid

to

Hyd

ro b

y th

e re

gula

tor

invo

lved

- u

nfa

vora

ble

med

ia c

ove

rage

res

ult

ing

in r

epu

tati

on

al d

amag

e

- co

sts

clea

n-u

p a

nd

to

inve

stig

ate

the

inci

den

t2

48

ENV

: 4 (

b&

d)

Ther

e is

a h

isto

ry o

f le

aks

wit

h

this

tra

nsf

orm

er t

hat

go

un

rep

aire

d f

or

an e

xten

ded

per

iod

of

tim

e. T

he

con

tain

men

t

is in

suff

icie

nt

for

the

freq

uen

cy

of

per

son

nel

vis

its

to t

his

sit

e.

Ther

e is

sta

inin

g o

f th

e gr

ou

nd

wh

ere

the

con

tain

men

t h

as b

een

dra

ined

of

wat

er in

th

e p

ast.

- A

war

enes

s le

vel o

f h

azar

ds

- vi

sual

an

d t

este

d c

on

dit

ion

of

the

tran

sfo

rmer

- A

leak

was

rec

entl

y re

pai

red

.

- P

rese

nce

of

stai

ned

ro

cks

in

nea

r th

e d

isch

arge

of

the

wat

er d

rain

.

In P

lace

:

- R

ecen

t tr

ansf

rom

er r

epai

rs

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tact

En

gin

eeri

ng

Serv

ices

wh

y co

nta

inm

ent

was

no

t p

art

of

the

exec

uti

on

pla

n w

hen

th

e tr

ansf

orm

er w

as r

epla

ced

.2

48

Tran

sfro

rmer

leak

s

rece

ntl

y re

pai

red

.

Iden

tify

an

d im

ple

men

t sa

tisf

acto

ry

con

tain

men

t an

d le

ak d

etec

tio

n s

olu

tio

ns.

HG

.01

2b

As

a re

usl

t o

f in

suff

icin

et o

il co

nta

inm

ent

for

the

PR

V T

1 t

ran

sfo

rmer

, an

oil

spill

may

occ

ur,

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fi

nes

an

d p

enal

ties

bei

ng

incu

rred

- ad

dit

ion

al a

tten

tio

n p

aid

to

Hyd

ro b

y th

e re

gula

tor

invo

lved

- u

nfa

vora

ble

med

ia c

ove

rage

res

ult

ing

in r

epu

tati

on

al d

amag

e

- co

sts

clea

n-u

p a

nd

to

inve

stig

ate

the

inci

den

t

24

8

ENV

: 4 (

b&

d)

Po

ten

tial

fo

r an

oil

spill

. No

con

tain

men

t. T

he

tran

sfo

rmer

was

tak

en o

ut

of

serv

ice

du

e to

con

dit

ion

. His

tory

of

leak

s

idn

etif

ied

by

FM o

n t

his

tran

sfo

rmer

.

- A

war

enes

s le

vel o

f h

azar

ds

- vi

sual

an

d t

este

d c

on

dit

ion

of

the

tran

sfo

rmer

- N

/AIn

Pla

ce:

- C

reat

ed v

isib

ility

du

rin

g th

e re

ven

t ER

M r

evie

w

Pla

nn

ed:

- D

iscu

ss t

he

situ

atio

n w

ith

TR

O (

Ass

et O

wn

er)

rega

rdin

g th

e

req

uir

emen

t to

kee

p t

his

use

d t

ran

sfo

rmer

as

a sp

are.

If r

equ

ired

,

dis

cuss

op

tio

ns

to p

rovi

de

adeq

uat

e sp

ill c

on

tain

men

t.

- A

dd

to

wee

kly

op

erat

ion

s in

spec

tio

ns

24

8

Min

imal

act

ivit

y to

dat

e to

red

uce

th

e

actu

al r

isk.

Iden

tify

an

d im

ple

men

t sa

tisf

acto

ry

con

tain

men

t an

d le

ak d

etec

tio

n s

olu

tio

ns

or

dis

po

se o

f th

e tr

ansf

orm

er

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 6 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.01

3

As

a re

sult

of

com

un

icat

ion

s sy

stem

s (c

ell,

lan

dlin

e, s

atal

lite,

VH

F, m

icro

wav

e,

inte

rnet

, etc

) w

ides

pre

ad f

ailu

re, r

esp

on

se t

o is

sues

may

be

del

ayed

, po

ten

tial

ly

resu

ltin

g in

:

- ex

ten

ded

cu

sto

mer

ou

tage

s

- in

crea

sed

imp

act

of

safe

ty in

cid

ents

- d

elay

ed r

esp

on

se t

o o

il sp

ills

21

2

Cel

l ser

vice

inte

rru

pti

on

fo

r ~5

ho

urs

in A

ugu

st o

f 2

01

7.

An

eve

nt

that

has

vir

tual

ly n

o

imp

act.

Qu

adru

ple

red

un

dan

cy

of

mo

des

of

com

mu

nic

atio

n.

- N

um

ber

of

serv

ice

inte

rru

pti

on

s

- O

ne

sign

ific

ant

even

t.

Min

imal

imp

act

on

op

erat

ion

s.

- Fr

equ

ent

com

mu

nic

atio

ns

inte

rru

pti

on

s at

PR

V a

nd

SLK

.

In P

lace

:

Alt

ern

ate

form

s o

f co

mm

un

icat

ion

are

ava

ilab

le.

21

2

Ver

y lit

tle

we

can

do

to c

han

ge t

he

situ

atio

n. E

xist

ing

red

un

dan

cy in

pla

ce

is s

uff

icie

nt.

No

pla

ns

- gr

ow

wit

h t

ech

no

logy

HG

.01

3a

As

a re

sult

of

com

un

icat

ion

s sy

stem

s (c

ell,

lan

dlin

e, s

atal

lite,

VH

F, m

icro

wav

e,

inte

rnet

, etc

) fa

ilure

, lo

ss o

f vi

sib

ility

of

pro

du

ctio

n in

form

atio

n b

etw

een

a

rem

ote

pla

nt

and

EC

C c

ou

ld o

ccu

r, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in:

- u

nkn

ow

ingl

y o

per

atin

g u

nit

s w

ith

ou

t co

ntr

ol (

no

ala

rms

retu

rned

)

- co

sts

(in

clu

din

g o

vert

ime,

an

d t

rave

l) a

sso

ciat

ed w

ith

hav

ing

to s

taff

pla

nts

.

- d

elay

ed r

esp

on

se t

o o

il sp

ills

and

-or

- lo

st p

rod

uct

ion

32

6

Mu

ltip

le o

ccu

ran

ces

in 2

01

7 o

f

lost

co

mm

un

icat

ion

in P

arad

ise

Riv

er a

nd

Gra

nit

e C

anal

th

at

req

uir

ed t

he

site

s to

be

staf

fed

and

op

erat

ed lo

cally

. On

on

e

occ

ura

nce

, we

wer

e u

naw

are

of

a lo

st c

om

mu

nic

atio

ns

even

t at

par

adis

e ri

ver

un

itl 2

day

s af

ter

it

star

ted

.

- N

um

ber

of

inte

rru

pti

on

s to

com

mu

nic

atio

ns

at r

emo

te

gen

erat

ing

stat

ion

s

- N

um

ber

of

inte

rru

pti

on

s to

com

mu

nic

atio

ns

at s

taff

ed

gen

erat

ing

stat

ion

s.

Mu

ltip

le o

ccu

ran

ces

in 2

01

7 o

f

lost

co

mm

un

icat

ion

in

Par

adis

e R

iver

an

d G

ran

ite

Can

al t

hat

req

uir

ed t

he

site

s to

be

staf

fed

an

d o

per

ated

loca

lly. O

n o

ne

occ

ura

nce

, we

wer

e u

naw

are

of

a lo

st

com

mu

nic

atio

ns

even

t at

par

adis

e ri

ver

un

itl 2

day

s af

ter

it s

tart

ed.

In P

lace

:

Mu

ltip

le c

om

mu

nic

atio

n p

ath

s

Dis

cuss

ion

s o

n n

oti

fica

tio

n o

f co

mm

un

icat

ion

fai

lure

s.

Pla

nn

ed:

Dis

cuss

op

tio

ns

wit

h N

WS

for

no

tifi

cati

on

wh

en le

vels

of

red

un

dan

cy a

re r

edu

ced

or

at r

isk.

32

6

Rec

entl

y id

enti

fied

risk

. Min

imal

act

ivit

y

to r

edu

ce t

he

risk

to

dat

e.

HG

.01

4A

s a

resu

lt o

f a

loss

of

all e

mp

loye

es in

a s

ho

p in

a s

ho

rt p

erio

d o

f ti

me

(ove

r a

few

mo

nth

s), a

loss

of

corp

ora

te k

no

wle

dge

in e

qu

ipm

ent

spec

ific

issu

es,

tro

ub

lesh

oo

tin

g, a

pp

roac

hes

to

mai

nte

nan

ce a

ctiv

itie

s, a

nd

/or

man

agin

g th

e

bu

sin

ess.

Exam

ple

s:

Lott

o 6

-49

sh

op

gro

up

s, a

veh

icle

cra

sh w

ith

mu

ltip

le k

ey p

erso

nn

el, b

ioh

azar

d

(vir

us,

fo

od

, etc

), l

eavi

ng

for

oth

er w

ork

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

(ie,

Alb

erta

bo

om

, lo

cal

meg

a p

roje

cts,

ear

ly r

etir

emen

t et

c) o

r co

mb

inat

ion

s o

f d

rive

rs.

14

4

- B

rin

co p

lan

e cr

ash

- O

ften

tim

es w

hen

larg

e

per

cen

tage

of

crew

tra

vels

toge

ther

co

mb

ined

wit

h r

ate

of

road

inci

den

ts p

rovi

nci

ally

.

- G

eogr

aph

y o

f as

sets

- C

urr

ent

and

pas

t re

ten

tio

n

issu

es

- V

ehic

le r

elat

ed S

WO

PS

- P

rovi

nci

al a

cid

ent

rate

s

- Ec

on

om

ic s

itu

atio

n o

f

pro

vin

ce a

nd

oth

er

juri

sdic

tio

ns

- em

plo

ye t

urn

-ove

r ra

tes

- ti

me

to f

ill v

acan

t p

osi

tio

ns

- H

igh

nu

mb

er o

f ve

hic

le

acci

den

ts p

rovi

nci

ally

in 2

01

7

- N

atio

nal

eco

mo

my

is la

rgel

y

in r

eces

sio

n.

- Tu

rn o

ver

rate

s ar

e re

lati

vely

con

sist

ant

and

rel

ativ

ely

hig

h

in s

om

e sh

op

s.

- So

me

vaca

nci

es h

ave

take

n a

lon

g ti

me

to f

ill (

ie m

ach

inis

t)

No

ne

14

4

No

ris

k tr

eatm

ent

acti

vity

- Tr

avel

po

licy

to r

edu

ce r

isk

imp

act

HG

.01

5A

s a

resu

lt o

f an

exp

end

ed p

erio

d o

f ti

me

wit

h lo

w r

ain

fall

(dro

ugh

t), r

eser

voir

leve

ls c

ou

ld lo

wer

to

th

e p

oin

t w

her

e p

rod

uct

ion

is li

mit

ed a

nd

insu

ffic

ien

t to

mai

nta

in c

ust

om

er r

equ

irem

ents

14

4

Exte

nd

ed d

ry p

erio

ds

is n

ot

com

mo

n in

th

e N

ewfo

un

dla

nd

Co

asta

l Clim

ate

- R

eser

voir

Lev

els

- N

um

ber

of

tim

es w

ith

low

rain

fall

- R

eser

voir

leve

ls h

ave

bee

n

rela

tive

ly h

igh

in r

ecen

t ye

ars,

tho

ugh

low

er t

han

no

rmal

th

is

rece

nt

fall

seas

on

.

No

ne

14

4

No

ris

k tr

eatm

ent

acti

vity

th

is y

ear

- C

on

nec

tio

n t

o t

he

No

rth

Am

eric

an G

rid

to

pro

vid

e al

tern

ate

sou

rces

of

gen

erat

ion

HG

.01

6A

s a

resu

lt o

f ch

ange

in o

wn

ersh

ip S

tar

Lake

(Ex

plo

its

Ass

ets)

fro

m p

rovi

nce

ow

ned

to

Hyd

ro o

wn

ed (

regu

late

d a

sset

) th

e b

ud

get

app

rova

l pro

cess

wo

uld

chan

ge, p

ote

nti

ally

res

ult

ing

in d

elay

s o

r ga

ps

in f

un

din

g (c

apit

al a

nd

Op

erat

ing

bu

dge

t) a

pp

rova

l.

23

6

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

May

res

ult

in f

inan

cial

imp

act.

Cu

rren

t

cap

ital

pro

po

sal s

yste

m d

oes

exp

erie

nce

del

ays

fro

m t

ime

to

tim

e.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- C

urr

ent

cap

ital

bu

dge

t

pro

cess

fo

r H

ydro

Gen

erat

ion

- A

pp

rova

l fo

r ca

pit

al b

ud

gets

in t

he

pas

t co

up

le o

f ye

ars

hav

e b

een

ok

ho

wev

er t

her

e

are

som

e in

stan

ces

wh

ere

the

pro

cess

was

del

ayed

an

d

ult

imat

ely

resu

lted

in p

roje

ct

sch

edu

le c

han

ges

In P

lace

:

- Sc

hed

ule

dea

dlin

es s

et o

ut

at t

he

beg

inn

ing

of

each

yea

r fo

r

sub

mis

sio

n o

f fe

ed a

ligh

men

t d

ocu

men

ts t

o r

egu

lato

ry f

or

the

follo

win

g ye

ar c

apit

al b

ud

get

revi

ew b

y P

UB

- Ex

per

ien

ced

pro

fess

ion

al e

nig

nee

rin

g d

evel

op

ing

cap

ital

bu

dge

t

pro

po

sals

Pla

nn

ed:

No

ne.

23

6

No

ris

k tr

eatm

ent

acti

vity

th

is y

ear.

- Fo

rmal

sch

edu

le p

roce

du

re c

reat

ed a

nd

sen

t o

ut

to a

ll in

volv

ed in

PI

HG

.01

7A

s a

resu

lt o

f In

tegr

atio

n t

o t

he

No

rth

Am

eric

an g

rid

, ch

ange

s to

ou

r o

per

atin

g

envi

ron

men

t co

uld

ch

ange

res

ult

ing

in:

- H

ow

we

con

du

ct m

ain

ten

ance

(ti

min

g an

d t

acti

cs)

- H

avin

g to

fo

llow

new

reg

ula

tory

req

uir

emen

ts (

NER

C)

- R

eser

voir

op

erat

ion

- Eq

uip

men

t w

ear

and

tea

r ch

ange

s.3

41

2

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Det

erio

rati

on

in p

roje

ct/w

ork

exec

uti

on

sch

edu

le, s

cop

e o

r

qu

alit

y re

sult

ing

in s

ign

ific

ant

effo

rt t

o r

edep

loy

exis

tin

g

reso

urc

es.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

No

ne

No

ne

In P

lace

:

- N

ew c

orp

ora

te d

epar

tmen

t cr

eate

d f

or

ou

tage

pla

nn

ing.

Res

ou

rce

Pro

du

ctio

n &

Pla

nn

ing

dep

artm

ent

- N

ew N

LSO

dep

artm

ent

crea

tes

for

syst

em o

per

atio

n

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tin

ued

dev

elo

pm

ent

of

com

min

icat

ion

bet

wee

n c

orp

ora

te

dep

artm

ent

and

BD

E O

per

atio

ns

34

12

- D

epar

tmen

t is

new

ly

crea

ted

wit

hin

th

e

last

12

mo

nth

s.

- C

om

mu

nic

atio

n

bet

wee

n B

DE

Op

erat

ion

s an

d n

ew

dep

artm

ent

still

in

pro

cess

of

dev

elo

pm

ent.

- Em

plo

yees

invo

lved

bec

om

e m

ore

fam

iliar

wit

h p

roce

du

red

an

d p

roce

sses

invo

lved

.

HG

.01

7a

As

a re

sult

of

Inte

grat

ion

to

th

e N

ort

h A

mer

ican

gri

d, c

han

ges

to W

ater

Man

agem

ent

will

po

ten

tial

ly o

ccu

r to

max

imiz

e ex

po

rt p

rofi

t, p

ote

nti

ally

resu

ltin

g in

:

- R

eser

voir

s o

per

ated

at

extr

eme

hig

h le

vels

to

ho

ld b

ack

wat

er w

hen

pri

ces

are

low

.

- R

eser

voir

s o

epra

ted

at

extr

eme

low

leve

ls t

o s

ell a

s m

uch

as

po

ssib

le w

hen

pri

ces

are

hig

h

- in

suff

icie

nt

wat

er r

eser

ves

to m

eet

isla

nd

dem

and

th

rou

gh d

ry p

erio

ds.

33

9

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Det

erio

rati

on

in p

roje

ct/w

ork

exec

uti

on

sch

edu

le, s

cop

e o

r

qu

alit

y re

sult

ing

in s

ign

ific

ant

effo

rt t

o r

edep

loy

exis

tin

g

reso

urc

es.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- R

eser

voir

his

tori

cal l

evel

s

- H

isto

rica

l sev

ere

wea

ther

even

ts

- Se

vere

wea

ther

eve

nts

bec

om

ing

mo

re c

om

mo

n

mak

ing

it m

ore

dif

ficu

lt t

o

con

tro

l res

ervo

ir s

tora

ge le

vels

wit

h c

urr

ent

pra

ctic

es in

pla

ce.

In P

lace

:

- N

ew c

orp

ora

te d

epar

tmen

t fo

r W

ater

Man

agem

ent

& P

rod

uct

ion

Sch

edu

ling.

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tin

ued

dev

elo

pm

ent

of

com

min

icat

ion

bet

wee

n c

orp

ora

te

dep

artm

ent

and

BD

E O

per

atio

ns

33

9

- D

epar

tmen

t is

new

ly

crea

ted

wit

hin

th

e

last

12

mo

nth

s.

- C

om

mu

nic

atio

n

bet

wee

n B

DE

Op

erat

ion

s an

d n

ew

dep

artm

ent

still

in

pro

cess

of

dev

elo

pm

ent.

- Em

plo

yees

invo

lved

bec

om

e m

ore

fam

iliar

wit

h p

roce

du

red

an

d p

roce

sses

invo

lved

.

HG

.01

7b

As

a re

sult

of

Inte

grat

ion

to

th

e N

ort

h A

mer

ican

gri

d, c

han

ges

to a

vaila

ble

ou

tage

tim

e to

co

mp

lete

mai

nte

nac

e co

uld

be

red

uce

d a

nd

at

dif

fere

nt

tim

es o

f th

e

year

, po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- Sh

ort

er t

han

tra

dit

ion

al o

uta

ges

- C

han

ges

is r

eso

urc

e re

qu

irem

ents

th

rou

gh t

he

year

(p

erm

anen

t an

d t

emp

)

wit

ho

ut

bu

dge

t

- O

T im

pac

ts

- La

bo

ur

un

rest

- C

on

trac

tors

no

t b

ein

g av

aila

bili

ty w

hen

req

uir

ed,

34

12

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Det

erio

rati

on

in p

roje

ct/w

ork

exec

uti

on

sch

edu

le, s

cop

e o

r

qu

alit

y re

sult

ing

in s

ign

ific

ant

effo

rt t

o r

edep

loy

exis

tin

g

reso

urc

es.

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- A

WP

ch

ange

s m

ade

thro

ugh

ou

t ca

len

dar

yea

rs

- A

WP

hav

e h

ad s

ign

ific

ant

chan

ges

mad

e m

ult

iple

tim

es

in 2

01

8 d

ue

to s

ho

rten

ed

ou

tage

du

rati

on

s an

d

un

fore

seen

eve

nts

.

In P

lace

:

- N

ew c

orp

ora

te d

epar

tmen

t cr

eate

d f

or

ou

tage

pla

nn

ing.

Res

ou

rce

Pro

du

ctio

n &

Pla

nn

ing

dep

artm

ent

- N

ew N

LSO

dep

artm

ent

crea

tes

for

syst

em o

per

atio

n

Pla

nn

ed:

- C

on

tin

ued

dev

elo

pm

ent

of

com

min

icat

ion

bet

wee

n c

orp

ora

te

dep

artm

ent

and

BD

E O

per

atio

ns

34

12

- D

epar

tmen

t is

new

ly

crea

ted

wit

hin

th

e

last

12

mo

nth

s.

- C

om

mu

nic

atio

n

bet

wee

n B

DE

Op

erat

ion

s an

d n

ew

dep

artm

ent

still

in

pro

cess

of

dev

elo

pm

ent.

- Em

plo

yees

invo

lved

bec

om

e m

ore

fam

iliar

wit

h p

roce

du

red

an

d p

roce

sses

invo

lved

.

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 7 of 8

Inh

ere

nt

Inh

ere

nt

R

esi

du

alR

esi

du

alR

isk

Ris

kIn

he

ren

t

Like

lih

oo

dIm

pac

tsR

isk

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

kR

isk

Ris

k #

1 t

o 5

1 t

o 5

Rat

ing

Me

asu

reTr

en

dR

isk

Tre

atm

en

t (C

urr

en

t Y

ear

)

Like

lih

oo

d

1 t

o 5

Imp

act

1 t

o 5

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k

Rat

ing

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n f

or

Re

sid

ual

Ris

k R

atin

gs

De

scri

pti

on

of

Ris

k Tr

eat

me

nt

(Fu

ture

Ye

ars)

Ris

k D

esc

rip

tio

n

Ris

k M

etr

ics

/ In

dic

ato

rs

Inh

ere

nt

Ris

k R

atin

g

Rat

ion

aliz

atio

n

HG

.01

8A

s a

resu

lt o

f In

tegr

atin

g w

ork

forc

es b

etw

een

Hyd

ro G

ener

atio

n a

nd

Exp

loit

s

Gen

erat

ion

(an

d/o

r o

ther

Nal

cor

enti

ties

) w

ith

dif

fere

nt

con

trac

t te

rms,

lab

ou

r

dis

turb

ance

s co

uld

occ

ur

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- w

ork

sto

pp

ages

- co

mm

un

icat

ion

bre

akd

ow

n

- la

ck o

f tr

ansf

er o

f kn

ow

led

ge o

f as

sets

- sa

fety

inci

den

ts

- eq

uip

men

t d

amag

e

- lo

ss o

f p

rod

uct

ion

- d

elay

s in

ret

urn

ing

equ

ipm

ent

to s

ervi

ce

22

4

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: N

/A

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

N/A

Peo

ple

: Un

able

to

rec

ruit

/ret

ain

emp

loye

e p

osi

tio

ns

in B

DE

Co

mm

un

ity:

N/A

- W

ork

per

form

ance

wh

ile

wo

rkin

g to

geth

ger

on

var

iou

s

pro

ject

s

No

ne

In P

lace

:

No

ne

Pla

nn

ed:

- P

lan

ned

an

d a

gree

d c

om

mu

nic

atio

n2

24

Hav

e n

ot

hav

e th

e

op

po

rtu

nit

y to

wo

rk

wit

h f

ron

t lin

e cr

ews

at E

xplo

its

- C

on

tin

ued

co

mm

un

icat

ion

HG

.01

9A

s a

resu

lt o

f n

ot

bei

ng

able

to

mee

t fi

sher

ies

agre

emen

ts a

t H

ydro

Gen

erat

ion

Faci

litie

s (S

LK, C

GL,

BD

E), f

ish

co

uld

die

, po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g in

:

- fi

nes

- h

arm

to

co

rpo

rate

pu

blic

imag

e

23

6

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: P

oss

ible

envi

ron

men

tal d

amag

e w

ith

invo

lvem

ent

fro

m r

egu

lato

rs

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Mo

der

ate

fin

anci

al im

pac

t

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

- C

om

plia

nce

rep

ort

sN

on

eIn

Pla

ce:

- P

reve

nta

tive

mai

nte

nan

ce p

rogr

am f

or

mo

nit

ori

ng

flo

ws

- V

ario

us

rep

ort

ing

stru

ctu

res

incl

ud

ing

Envi

ron

men

tal E

ffec

ts

Mo

nit

ori

ng

(EEM

) an

d c

om

plic

ance

rep

ort

s.

Pla

nn

ed:

- N

on

e

23

6

No

ch

ange

sN

on

e

HG

.02

0A

s a

resu

lt o

f o

il le

akin

g fr

om

Hyd

ro G

ener

atri

on

Un

its

or

equ

ipm

ent,

oil

cou

ld b

e

rele

ased

to

th

e en

viro

nem

nt

cau

sin

g a

rep

ort

able

sp

ill a

nd

po

ten

tial

ly r

esu

ltin

g

in:

- d

amag

e to

th

e en

viro

nm

ent

- en

viro

nm

enta

l no

n-c

om

plia

nce

- fi

nes

.

- d

amag

e to

th

e co

rpo

rate

bra

nd

(PR

V S

ept

20

16

)

44

16

Safe

ty: N

/A

Envi

ron

men

t: E

xten

ded

cle

an-u

p

effo

rt w

ith

po

ssib

le

envi

ron

men

tal d

amag

e w

ith

invo

lvem

ent

fro

m r

egu

lato

rs

Bu

sin

ess

Exce

llen

ce:

Fin

anci

al

imp

act

and

fo

rmal

inve

stig

atio

n

by

exte

rnal

reg

ula

tor

Peo

ple

: N/A

Co

mm

un

ity:

Neg

ativ

e m

edia

cove

rage

an

d lo

ss in

pu

blic

tru

st

- N

um

ber

of

hyd

ro c

arb

on

s

(lit

res)

co

llect

ed d

uri

ng

man

ual

ski

mm

ing

op

erat

ion

s

No

ne

In P

lace

:

- Su

mp

insp

ecti

on

s

- Su

mp

ski

mm

ing

wh

en h

ydro

car

bo

n p

rese

nce

no

ted

vis

ual

l du

rin

g

insp

ecti

on

Pla

nn

ed:

- D

evel

op

men

t o

f an

oil

loss

man

agem

ent

pro

ced

ure

- D

evel

op

men

t o

f an

inve

nto

ry t

o lo

g o

il le

aks

and

tra

ck p

rogr

ess

of

rep

airs

- In

stal

lati

on

of

auto

mat

ic s

kim

mer

in B

DE

sum

p 1

to

allo

w f

or

con

tin

uo

us

skim

min

g

- P

lan

ned

insp

ecti

on

s o

f su

mp

s d

uri

ng

un

it a

nn

ual

s

32

6

Pro

ced

ure

s,

equ

ipm

ent

and

trac

kin

g is

new

ly

dev

elo

ped

in 2

01

8

wit

ho

ut

chan

ce t

o

form

ally

try

ou

t an

d

det

erm

ine

the

fun

ctio

nal

ity.

- In

stal

ltio

n o

f au

tom

atic

ski

mm

ers

in

rem

ain

ing

BD

E su

mp

s

- R

efu

rbis

h B

DE

sum

p le

vel c

on

tro

l sys

tem

- C

on

tin

uo

us

mo

nit

ori

ng

oil

leak

s an

d o

il lo

ss

man

agem

ent

PUB-NLH-037, Attachment 1 Reliability and Resource Adequacy Study

Page 8 of 8