prospects for high tech economic partnerships between cuba and the u.s. – some observations...
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Prospects for High Tech Economic Partnerships Between
Cuba and the U.S. – Some Observations
Symposium
“Shared Visions for Cuba-US Relations”
The University of Texas at Austin
29-30 January 2009
©Dr. Ramon C. Barquin
AGENDA Introduction Preliminary clarifications The issue of competitiveness Some scenarios Caveats Conclusion
Today’s
Topic
Preliminary Clarifications
ProspectsHigh-TechPartnership
Preliminary Clarifications
Prospects What is the time horizon?
High-Tech How do we define it?
Partnership Are we talking about business?
Prospects
Any time in the future when it is Desirable to the partnersLegally possiblePolitically sustainable
High-Tech
Loosely defined Focus on
Information technology Biotechnology
Let’s not forget low-tech
Partnership
Business relationshipsOwnership Legal structureManagement control Physical locationTax regimes
If someone tells you the world is changing tell them it’s not true...
Because the world has already changed
What has changed?
TIME names “YOU”
Person of the Year
2006
The name of the game will be
entrepreneurship, creativity and
innovation
Then there is competitiveness
In order for Cuba to be attractive to U.S. business entities or investors it must be able to compete favorably
with many others.
…And there is a new agenda for the world’s nations
1. Knowledge is the new organizing principle for society
2. Cyberspace is the new medium for knowledge transmission and capture
3. Competitiveness depends on collaboration and knowledge sharing through cyberspace
Knowledge is the new organizing
principle for society
Land
Factory
Office
Knowledge
Society has always developed around a basic organizing principle
Cyberspace is the new medium for knowledge
transmission and capture
What is happening?
We live in a world where knowledge is the most important of all
commodities, hence we are trying to capture all knowledge
What are the new modes of knowledge capture?
The Internet Google Collaboration mechanisms Wikis/Wikipedia Social Networking: MySpace, FaceBook,
Linked-In Blogs YouTube
Google Facts
Google controls 65.1% of all searches in the U.S. at the end of 2007 and 86% of all searches in the UK.
Google was searched 4.4 billion times in the U.S. alone in October, 2007. Average searches per searcher: 40.7.
Google’s sites had 112 million U.S. visitors in November, 2007.
Google earned $15 billion revenue and $6.4 billion profit in 2007, a profit margin of 26.9%.
Google controls 79% of the pay-per-click ad market and 40% of all online advertising.
Google became the No. 1 brand in the world in 2007.
Source: J. Jarvis, BUZZMACHINE, http://www.buzzmachine.com/2007/12/29/google-is-god/
• Created in 2001
• Working on over 10 million articles
• 75,000+ contributors
• Over 260 languages
• Arguably similar reliability to Encyclopedia Britannica
WIKIPEDIA:
“The Free Encyclopedia”
The Blogosphere
Source: Technorati, 2008 Report
YouTube Statistics 78.3 Million: Total videos uploaded Over 150,000: Videos uploaded per day 2 min 46 sec: Average Video Length 412.3 years: Time it would take to view all YouTube
material 26.6: Average Age of Uploader
Uploads by Country: USA: 34.5%UK: 6.9%Philippines: 3.9%Turkey: 3.4%Spain: 3.4%
Uploads by Language: English: 48.1%Spanish: 13.6%Dutch: 3.9%German: 2.9%
Source: Prof. M. Wesch, Kansas State Univ. (As of 3/17/08) http://ksudigg.wetpaint.com/page/YouTube+Statistics?t=anon
On-Line Content Means that
Knowledge Must be Managed and
Exploited On-Line
Top fifteen countries by % Population on line
1. Netherlands 90.1%2. Norway 87.7%3. Iceland 84.8%4. Canada 84.3%5. New Zealand 80.5%6. Australia 79.4%7. Sweden 77.4%8. Japan 73.8%9. Portugal 72.9%10. United States 72.5%11. Korea, South 70.7%12. Hong Kong 69.5%13. Switzerland 69.0%14. United Kingdom 68.6%15. Denmark 68.6%
Source: www.tofocus.info (As of 6/2008)
Internet Usage WorldwideChina 19.0%
Japan 73.8%
India 5.2%
Netherlands 90.1%
Chile 44.9%
Kenya 5.9%
Hong Kong 69.5%
Dominican Republic 22.1%
Brazil 26.1%
Russia 23.2%
Source: www.tofocus.info (As of 6/2008)
Source: www.tofocus.info (As of 6/08)
Competitiveness depends on
collaboration and knowledge sharing through cyberspace
Global Competitiveness Index
Subindex A: Basic requirements 1st pillar: Institutions 2nd pillar: Infrastructure 3rd pillar: Macroeconomic stability 4th pillar: Health and primary education
Subindex B: Efficiency enhancers 5th pillar: Higher education and training 6th pillar: Goods market efficiency 7th pillar: Labor market efficiency 8th pillar: Financial market sophistication 9th pillar: Technological readiness 10th pillar: Market size
Subindex C: Innovation and sophistication factors 11th pillar: Business sophistication 12th pillar: Innovation
Source: World Economic Forum (Davos, Switzerland)
Competitiveness Rankings 2007
Top Ten1. United States 2. Switzerland3. Denmark 4. Sweden5. Germany6. Finland7. Singapore8. Japan9. United Kingdom 10. Netherlands
Source: World Economic Forum (Davos, Switzerland)
Bottom Ten114. Zambia115. Ethiopia116. Lesotho117. Mauritania118. Guyana119. Timor-Leste120. Mozambique121. Zimbabwe122. Burundi123. Chad
An economy that creates, acquires and uses knowledge effectively for its economic
and social development
World Bank
Knowledge Economy
The Four Pillars Of The Knowledge Economy
Economic and Institutional Regime Education Information Infrastructure Innovation
Source: WORLD BANK
GLOBAL RANKING: K4D (World Bank)
Knowledge Economy vs Competitiveness
Knowledge Economy (WB K4D)1. Denmark2. Finland3. Sweden4. Iceland5. Norway6. United States 7. Australia8. Netherlands 9. Canada10. United Kingdom
Competitiveness (GCR Rankings)
1. United States 2. Switzerland3. Denmark 4. Sweden5. Germany6. Finland7. Singapore8. Japan9. United Kingdom 10. Netherlands
Knowledge Economy & Competitiveness vs % Population On-Line
K + C Rankings1. United States 2. Switzerland3. Denmark 4. Sweden5. Germany6. Finland7. Singapore8. Japan9. United Kingdom 10. Netherlands11. Iceland12. Norway13. Australia14. Canada
% Population On-Line1. Netherlands2. Norway 3. Iceland4. Canada5. New Zealand6. Australia7. Sweden8. Japan9. Portugal10. United States11. Korea, South12. Hong Kong13. Switzerland14. United Kingdom15. Denmark
Some Scenarios
Information Technology ASP’s SaaS Help desks Call centers Translation utilities
Some Key Cuban Information Technology Institutions
Universities Universidad de La Habana Universidad de las Ciencias Informáticas (UCI) Instituto Superior Politécnico José Antonio Echeverría (CUJAE-ISPJAE) Other universities
Research Centers ICID (Instituto Central de Investigación Digital) CUJAE CIME (Centro de Investigación en MicroElectrónica) CUJAE CEIS (Centro de Investigación en Ingeniería de Sistemas)
Networks INFOCOM (Ministerio de Informática y Comunicaciones) CENIAI (CITMATEL) INFOMED
ITC Enterprises – Research Centers ETECSA SOFTCAL (Ministerio de Informática y Comunicaciones) CITMATEL (Academia de Ciencias)
Some IT Gatekeepers
Miguel Katrib (Universidad de La Habana) Rafael Bello (Universidad de Las Villas) Ramón Basilio Zubillaga (ICID) Orestes Llanes (ISPJAE) Juan Febles (BIOINFO)
Biotechnology Teleradiology Remote patient monitoring Health care analytics Immunology research Proteomics
Some Key Cuban Biotechnology Institutions
Universities/Schools of Medicine Universidad de La Habana Universidad de Santiago Universidad de Holguín Universidad de Santa Clara
Research Institutions CIMEQ Centro Nacional de Bioinformática (BIOINFO) Pedro Kouri Institute
Research Network INFOMED (Red Telématica de Salud)
Research Hospital Hospital Hermanos Almejeiras
Potential Cuban competitive advantages
The proximity of geography A rich human infrastructure Solid educational institutions in high
tech Potentially attractive labor costs Multiple entry points into the U.S.
economy through the Cuban-American community
Caveats When and how should these partnerships start to be
explored? How would they be owned and managed? Who makes what money and where is it kept or
invested? How would they address the need to protect
intellectual property? Where and how would disputes be resolved? Could high-tech business relationships prosper
without a significant increase in economic openness, bandwidth and connectivity?
Conclusion
There are very significant and real opportunities in the future for Cuba-U.S. business partnerships in
high-tech…but
There are real and significant opportunities
for future high-tech business partnerships
between Cuba and the U.S.
There are very significant and real opportunities in the future for Cuba-U.S. business partnerships in
high-tech…but
But…both sides will have to be creative and
innovative in providing answers to the previous
questions
Prospects for High Tech Economic Partnerships Between
Cuba and the U.S. – Some Observations
Symposium
“Shared Visions for Cuba-US Relations”
The University of Texas at Austin
29-30 January 2009
©Dr. Ramon C. Barquin
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Barquin International
1750 K Street NW, Suite 450Washington, DC 20006Phone: (202) 296-7147Fax: (202)296-8903