proposition for a funceme’s participation in project claris
TRANSCRIPT
Proposition for a FUNCEME’s Participation in Project CLARIS
FUNCEME = Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hidrícos
Fortaleza, Ceará
Brazilian Semi-Arid = 788.000 Km2 (= 48 % of Nordeste, 9.3 % of Brazil)
Cearense Semi-Arid = 136.000 Km2 = 92 % of Ceará
Ceará
Ceará
Semi-Arid = 17% of the non covered
terrestrial surface by the oceans
50N
00
50S
100S
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550W 500W 450W 400W 350W 300W 250W
0
C
R
CLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTECLIMATIC REGIME OF NORDESTE
AMJJNDJF
FMAM
(P. Nobre & N. da Silva Melo, 2004, Pers. Com.)
OLR Anomalies
OLR Anomalies
ENSO 1982-83
ENSO 1997-98
Dry
Wet
(Ronchail, 2005, Pers. Comm.)
Pacific Teleconnection
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS According Five Tasks:
A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: A Contribution for Providing Regional Daily Data Base for Climate Trends and Extreme Event Studies (Nordeste)Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-Borne Epidemics: Action on Dengue in Nordeste
B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: Action in the Nordeste Semi-Arid
C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Observation Facility
A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:
Task 1: CLARIS-WP3.2: High-quality regional daily data base for climate trends and extreme event studies
Principal investigator: Meiry Sayuri Sakamoto (FUNCEME)
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
Conventional Rain Gauge Network
548 Rain Gauges
Site Map of Conventional Rain Gauges
Fortaleza
Automatic Data Collection Platform (DCP) Network
A total of 76 DCP´s
Meteorological
Hydrometeorological
Agrometeorological
Agroyidrometeorological
Other FUNCEME´s Projects
Meteorological
Hydrometeorological
Agrometeorological
Agroyidrometeorological
Other FUNCEME´s Projects
Fortaleza
Agro-Hydro-Meteorological DCP Sensors
- Air Temperature - Relative Humidity- Pressure - Solar Radiation - Wind Velocity- Wind Direction- Precipitation
- Evapotranspiration (estimate)- Soil Temperature in three levels- Soil Heat Flux- Soil Humidity
Umidade do Solo(Estação de Jaguaribe)
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Dias de Abril 2000
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) Daily Soil Humidity
Jaguaribe Station
Days of April, 2003
Soil
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idit
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(%)
- Water level (pressure sensor)- Water level (ultrasonic sensor)
Precipitação(Estação de Jaguaribe)
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taçã
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m)
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Jaguaribe Station
Days of April, 2003Pre
cip
itati
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mm
)
FUNCEME DATA BANK
- Rain Gauges Network: since 1974
- DCP Network: since 1999
- Meteosat and NOAA Satellites Images: since1990
Data Request:
www.funceme.br
A) Effective Participation in CLARIS 2005-2006:
Task 2: CLARIS-WP4.2: Climate and Vector-borne Epidemics: A Pilot Action on Dengue in Brazil (Fortaleza, Ceará)
Principal investigators: Jacques Servain (IRD) and Nicolas Degallier (IRD)
= An new IRD-FUNCEME-SESACE-CEVEPI Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq)
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
Experimentation
Climat Mosquito Dengue
Impact
(hourly/daily)
Main objective: To establish a system of alert for the dengue outbreaks
Dengue em Fortaleza, 1998-2003
Casos e Pluviometria por Mês
Fonte: FUNCEME SMS/ COPS/ Célula de Vigilância Epidemiológica 2003 dados até 20.05.03
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J/98F M A M J J A S O N DJ/99F M A M J J A S O N DJ/00F M A M J J A S O N DJ/01F M A M J J A S O N DJ/02F M A M J J A S O N DJ/03F M A M
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1000Pluviometria mm3
Casos
Chuvas&
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Precipitações diárias (mm)
Casos de dengue diários
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Casos de dengue diários, precipitações diárias e repartição horária da Temperatura de 1999 a 2004
Horas
Statistical analysis of meteo data (hourly) and daily cases of dengue
(1999-present)
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Montese
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Tem
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atu
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°C)
Serrinha
First Experimentation: 18 Feb 2005 – 26 Apr 2005
26 Apr: two surviving mosquitos
B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)
Task 3: CLARIS-WP3.1: Climate Change Downscalling in the Sub- Tropical (and Tropical) South America
Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
From now:Strong collaboration with CPTEC/INPE, IRI, ECMWF, Other Nordeste’ States, …
PC Cluster withPC Cluster with30 CPUs30 CPUs(P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM)(P4 2.8 GHz ; 512 MB RAM)
Total: 7.2 TBytesTotal: 7.2 TBytes
Computer Facility at FUNCEME for Downscalling Experiments
Regional Climate Forecast by downscalling:
AGCM ECHAM-4.5 (Max Plank Institute) at IRI
RSM-97 (NCEP) at FUNCEME
Forcing:- Predicted SS- Persisted SST
Downscalling:J-F-M-A-M-J
IRI
RSM= 16°N-21°S, 56°W a 2°E
Global CPTEC Global ECHAM 4.5
RAMS
RSM-97
Climatic
Forecast
Perspective:
The “Super-Ensemble”
B) Expertise – Processing Collaboration in CLARIS 2005-2006 (Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006)
Task 4: CLARIS-WP4.1: Climatic Regional Impacts in Agriculture: A Pilot Action in Nordeste Semi-Arid
Principal Investigator: Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins (FUNCEME)
= In Collaboration with an IRD-FUNCEME Cooperation including in CATIN (IRD-CNPq)
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
MethodologyMethodology
FUNCEME is working within a research and delivery network (CRAMALA) which fully integrates scientists and stakeholders to address comprehensively the issue of climate related risks in agriculture for improving productivity, profitability and risk management
Sponsor: IAI
Cooperation: IRI
See the note « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » for details
C) Effective Participation in Post-CLARIS - after 2006
Task 5: CLARIS-WP4.3: Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interaction
Principal investigator: Alexandre Araujo Costa (FUNCEME)
Proposition for a Participationof FUNCEME in Project CLARIS
FUNCEME participates in a scientific program of cloud physics and aerosols observations using the facilities of the State University of Ceará (UECE) that includes an instrumented aircraft
This aircraft participated in different field campaigns over Northeast Brazil (“Ceará Experiment”) and the Amazon (LBA-SMOCC-EMfiN!)
Bandeirante
Parâmetro Medido Sensor(es)
Temperatura Rosemount 102AU1AF
Pressão Estática Rosemount 1201F
Pressão Dinâmica Rosemount 1221F
Latitude e Longitude Trimble GPS
Temperatura do Ponto de Orvalho
EG&G 137-C3-S3
Água Líquida Csiro-King LWC, Johnson Williams CT43
Aerossóis CCNC UW 83-1
Hidrometeoros FSSP-100, OAP-200X, OAP-200Y
Radiação de Onda Curta
EPPLEY PEP
Radiação de Onda Longa
EPPLEY PEP
With that instrumented aircraft, FUNCEME could contribute significantly to better understand the physical processes concerning cloud and precipitation development over distinct places in South America
See the notes « FUNCEME’s Potential Participation in CLARIS » and “avião-escopo.doc” (in portuguese) for details
The Participation of FUNCEME in CLARIS (and Post-CLARIS) Could Bring:
• A Complete Agro-Hydro-Meteorological Data Set (Ceará, Nordeste)
• Extension of the Knowledge in the Climat-DengueRelationship (with different climatic conditions)
• Competence and Cooperation in Downscalling Processes (RSM, RAMS, …)
• Experience in Climate-Agriculture Relationship (in association with other partners: IRI, …)
• Technical and Scientific Contribution in the Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Studies (different regions, different conditions)
In conclusion …
Furthermore …
FUNCEME proposes to organize,
at Fortaleza, in June 2006,
A Dedicated South America Climate Congress
(including CLARIS-2)
in collaboration with the EGS (European Geophysical Society)
and the CLARIS Community