presented by bill cloud julian scheer term associate professor school of journalism and mass...
TRANSCRIPT
Presented by Bill Cloud
Julian Scheer term associate professor
School of Journalism and Mass
Communication
University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill
American Copy Editors Society Convention
Denver, 2008
No Calculators
Required
Joe Nuxhall, age 15, is shown in a Cincinnati Reds uniform in Cincinnati, Ohio, on June 10, 1944, when he entered a game and pitched two-thirds of an inning to become the youngest player to ever participate in a major league game. (AP Photo)
A football field is 120 yards long (endline to endline)
Either way, the Baltic would not have covered two football fields and most of a third.
The fastest Indianapolis 500 ever:
185.981 mph, Arie Luyendyk, in 1990
Or 200 mph.
Sgt. J .M. Praskey told the Syracuse Herald American that t he race began Saturday morning in Boston and that some of the people arrested covered the 1 75 miles from the Massachusetts-New York line to Syracuse in 90 minutes — averaging 115 mph.
300 miles in 90 minutes = 100 miles every 30 minutes
How heavy is a paperweight?
Addition = sum
Subtraction = difference
Multiplication = product
Division = quotient
If 50 percent more is X + 0.5X …
Then isn’t 6 times more equal to X + 6X?
350 + (6*350) =2,450, not 2,100
If 50 percent as much is X * 0.5 …
Then, isn’t 6 times as much equal to X* 6?
350 *6 = 2,100
A distinction worth preserving?
“The average (mean) score for blacks in percentage terms was 49, and that for whites was 72.”
Less than half as well?
200,000 km2 * 0.386102159 = 77,220.4318 square miles.
An imprecise estimate (200,000) becomes a precise figure (77,220)
Chernobyl
Another estimate becoming exact?558 feet = 170 meters
902 feet = 275 meters
3,000 Miles
3,000 Miles
3,000 * 3,000 = 9 million square miles
Wikipedia: 3,718,695 square milesAtlapedia: 3,618,784 square miles Enchanted Learning: 3,537,441 square milesCIA: 9,826,630 km2, or 3,794,083.1 square milesTake your pick!
Area of United States?
But it was labeled mcf!
So much for a trend!
• In 2001, there were 79 train-vehicle crashes.
• In 2002, there were 78.
• In 2003, there were 72.
The chart belies the lede
A good rule of thumb:
A trend is three measurements in the same direction.
The M&M ChallengeCourtesy of Phil MeyerKnight Chair in Journalism
Regression toward the mean:
A school district views with pride that its lowest-scoring school in 2006 on a standardized text shows improvement in 2007.
But that’s what’s most likely to happen. Extremely high or extremely low scores tend to regress toward the mean simply because of random luck.