presentation title / audience / location / date / © george wimpey 2002
TRANSCRIPT
Presentation title / Audience / Location / Date / © George Wimpey 2002
Disclaimer
This presentation is being made only to and is directed at (a) persons who have
professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article
19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order
2001 (the "Order") or (b) any other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be
communicated, falling within Article 49(1)of the Order (all such persons being
referred to as "relevant persons").
Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this
presentation or any of its comments.
The financial information set out in this document does not constitute the
Company's statutory accounts. Statutory accounts for 2003, which received an
auditors' report that was unqualified and did not contain any statement concerning
accounting records or failure to obtain necessary information and explanations,
have been filed with the Registrar of Companies.
Contents
Market and trading update Pete Redfern
George Wimpey UK strategy Pete Redfern
Laing Homes David Livingstone
-integration
-future strategy
Laing Homes South West Thames Gerry McCormack
Queen Elizabeth Park Gerry McCormack
Market and trading update
Visitor levels and quality remain good
Underlying demand remains good
-continued undersupply
-affordability remains healthy
But lack of urgency to reserve
-uncertainty about interest rates
-media focus on house price scares
-absence of significant price increases
Autumn “rebound” myth anyway
Sales rates updated from July
0.30
0.40
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0.60
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0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 28
Market trends - selling price on sales
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
£ 0
00s
North Mids South
Market and trading update
South remains most challenging; North and Midlands slowing
Higher price properties affected more than lower
More incentives are being offered but in line with normal
practice
Good sites with the right presentation and products are
standing up well.
Over 95% sold for 2004 across GWUK
Incentives / advertising
Incentives and targeted advertising are a normal part of market
Used selectively to
-generate traffic
-target key plots
Most used in Autumn to secure remaining year end volumes
Usage higher than 2003 – but still selective
Just launched special interest rate offer
-only for specific plots on certain developments
-in many cases replaces existing incentives
Part exchange
Continues to be strictly controlled
-well below prior year levels (and half year level)
Disadvantages for cash and increased risk if over used
Used selectively where required by competitive pressure:
-on higher value plots to free up long chains
-an industry-wide tool at Laing price points
-focus in George Wimpey is on Assisted Purchase Plan
Might well hear it talked about today, given the nature of QEP
product
Laing Homes’ market
Laing is in the toughest sector of our market
-higher average selling prices and southern bias
Sales rates have been affected by this
-on average somewhat below 2003
Very much about having right location, product and price
Gerry will tell you about the experience at QEP
-Shows many factors are in our own control
We believe we were right to reduce exposure to higher price points –
this process will continue
Still significant cost saving opportunities within Laing
GWUK strategy
Sustain margins
Create the capacity for growth
Deliver growth
-but not at the expense of margin
Sustain margins
Doesn’t mean do nothing – root and branch review of operations
-focus on reducing build/overhead costs
-review house types to drive out higher cost/lower added value
-focus on basic disciplines of the business:
- plotting and planning
- efficient build programs and
times
- sales people not order
takers
-our key strengths in build efficiency and customer service stand
us in good stead for any market
Buy in from our management teams is outstanding
Customer service
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Rec
om
men
dat
ion
rat
e
2003 2004
George Wimpey recommendation rate
Barker Report recommendation rate target for 2007Industry average recommendation rate (from Housing Forum results - 2003)
Land market
Land market has become softer
-some competitors seeking to generate profit
-one or two backing away in certain locations
Hurdle rates raised again in key risk categories
-short term risk/opportunity management
Continue to avoid the high price ‘oven ready’ market unless
special terms negotiated
Valuation is partly about price and build costs – but also about
making sure that the product is right
Create the capacity for growth -GW
Converting short term land bank growth and strategic land into
completions
Stronger focus on growing number of outlets
New business satellites
-builds on successful South Wales model
-low risk, low cost way to increase market penetration
-suitable for markets that do not support a full business
-immediate plans for three (target is to build them up to c 350 units)
-potential to split off as a full businesses eventually
-creates growth with limited overhead cost
Create the capacity for growth -Laing
Key element for long-term profit growth
-grow margins to at least GW levels
-provide scope for significant volume growthGives a second option on land purchase Tougher market in this price bracket today - however
-strong potential as market recoversBusiness model
-better locations, higher asp than GW, but not radically different
-same cost and overhead structure
Dave will give more detail on our plans, but
-existing businesses have potential for 2,000 completions
-specific plans to add 3 businesses for further 1,500 completions
-potential to add further 3 businesses to take total to ~5,000
Delivering growth
Capacity for growth:
-through existing businesses
-through George Wimpey satellites
-through Laing expansion
These plans give us options not commitments
Most are about creating the potential for 2007-8, rather than
2005-6
Timing will be affected by the nature of the market - we have
strongly stated we will not drive growth at the expense of
margin
Conclusions
Market is and probably will continue to be tougher
However it is not collapsing - we have things under control
We are re-examining our costs and efficiencies – there is
potential
We remain committed to growing our outlets – but continue to
be selective about land
We are creating the capacity for growth – but this is a medium
term objective and delivery will be flexed depending on the
market