preparatory survey on chittagong area - jicaopen_jicareport.jica.go.jp/pdf/12233847.pdf ·...

778
Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition Book 1 For Publishing March 2015 Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Tokyo Electric Power Services Co., LTD Tokyo Electric Power Co., LTD Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources People's Republic of Bangladesh

Upload: others

Post on 10-Mar-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development

    Project in Bangladesh

    Final Report on

    Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road /

    Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    Book 1 For Publishing

    March 2015

    Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

    Tokyo Electric Power Services Co., LTD Tokyo Electric Power Co., LTD

    Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources

    People's Republic of Bangladesh

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development

    Project in Bangladesh

    Final Report on

    Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road /

    Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    Book 1 For Publishing

    March 2015

    Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

    Tokyo Electric Power Services Co., LTD Tokyo Electric Power Co., LTD

    Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources

    People's Republic of Bangladesh

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    i

    Table of Contents Table of Contents List of Tables and Figures Abbreviations

    Page

    Book 1

    Chapter 1 Preface ............................................................................................................................ 1-1 1.1 Background of the Study ...................................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Objective and Duration of the Study .................................................................................... 1-2

    1.2.1 Objective of the study ............................................................................................................ 1-2 1.2.2 Scope of the study .................................................................................................................. 1-2 1.2.3 Duration of the study ............................................................................................................. 1-3

    1.3 Assignment of the Study Team ............................................................................................. 1-3

    Chapter 2 Basic Concept of the Project ......................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Configuration of the Basic Concept ...................................................................................... 2-1

    2.1.1 1st unit with state-of-the-art technology ............................................................................... 2-1 2.1.2 Environmental friendly .......................................................................................................... 2-3 2.1.3 Power system stability ........................................................................................................... 2-5 2.1.4 Future potential expansion .................................................................................................... 2-5 2.1.5 Social community development ............................................................................................ 2-6

    Chapter 3 Current Situation of Bangladesh and Necessity, Justification of the Project ........... 3-1 3.1 Outline of Bangladesh .......................................................................................................... 3-1

    3.1.1 Topography and population .................................................................................................. 3-1 3.1.2 Climate ................................................................................................................................... 3-2 3.1.3 Political system and government structure ........................................................................... 3-2

    3.2 Macro Economy of Bangladesh ............................................................................................ 3-3 3.2.1 Economic overview ............................................................................................................... 3-3

    3.3 Brief of Power Sector in Bangladesh .................................................................................... 3-5 3.3.1 Organization of power sector in Bangladesh ........................................................................ 3-5 3.3.2 Current situation of power sector .......................................................................................... 3-7

    3.4 Donor Activities and Performance of Implemented Projects .............................................. 3-10 3.4.1 Donor activities .................................................................................................................... 3-10 3.4.2 Performance of power entities and implemented projects ................................................. 3-17

    3.5 Brief of “The Master Plan on Coal Power Development (PSMP2010)” ............................ 3-22

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    ii

    3.5.1 Power demand forecast ....................................................................................................... 3-22 3.5.2 Energy balance and power development scenario .............................................................. 3-23 3.5.3 Coal power development plan ............................................................................................. 3-26

    3.6 Energy Option (Necessity of Coal) ..................................................................................... 3-27 3.6.1 Energy balance ..................................................................................................................... 3-27 3.6.2 Comparison of energy option for generation ...................................................................... 3-28 3.6.3 Environmental load reducing measures on using coal ....................................................... 3-31 3.6.4 Justification of using import coal ........................................................................................ 3-37

    3.7 Unit Capacity ...................................................................................................................... 3-38 3.7.1 Economy .............................................................................................................................. 3-39 3.7.2 Possibility of a system collapse ........................................................................................... 3-40 3.7.3 Reliability level .................................................................................................................... 3-42 3.7.4 Environment (CO2) .............................................................................................................. 3-43 3.7.5 Operation and maintenance ................................................................................................. 3-43 3.7.6 Overall evaluation ................................................................................................................ 3-44

    3.8 Economic Effect Brought by the Project ............................................................................ 3-44 3.8.1 Impact to GDP ..................................................................................................................... 3-44 3.8.2 Impact to the power sector’s finances ................................................................................. 3-45 3.8.3 Effects to the community people ......................................................................................... 3-46

    Chapter 4 Selection of the Suitable Site ......................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Study Areas ........................................................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Site Location ......................................................................................................................... 4-1 4.3 Design Conditions ................................................................................................................ 4-2

    4.3.1 Flow chart of the study .......................................................................................................... 4-2 4.3.2 Environmental situation......................................................................................................... 4-3 4.3.3 Design condition of the port and harbor planning ................................................................ 4-8

    4.4 Layout Planning (Port & Harbor Facilities) .......................................................................... 4-9 4.5 Comparison of the Candidate Sites ..................................................................................... 4-12

    4.5.1 Study of harbor (water calmness) ....................................................................................... 4-12 4.5.2 Computer simulation of sediment transport ........................................................................ 4-30 4.5.3 Site selection result (from the viewpoint of port and harbor engineering) ........................ 4-46

    4.6 Layout Planning (Port & Harbor Facilities) ........................................................................ 4-49 4.6.1 General ................................................................................................................................. 4-49 4.6.2 Study of adoption of offshore unloading system ................................................................ 4-51

    4.7 Consideration of Alternatives ............................................................................................. 4-55 4.8 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 4-69

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    iii

    Chapter 5 Site Conditions ............................................................................................................... 5-1 5.1 Cyclone ................................................................................................................................. 5-1 5.2 Topography ........................................................................................................................... 5-3 5.3 Geology ................................................................................................................................. 5-5 5.4 Sediment ............................................................................................................................... 5-8 5.5 Water Quality ...................................................................................................................... 5-10 5.6 Water Depth ........................................................................................................................ 5-10 5.7 Tidal .................................................................................................................................... 5-13 5.8 Wave ................................................................................................................................... 5-15 5.9 Seismic Coefficient ............................................................................................................. 5-16 5.10 Tsunami ............................................................................................................................... 5-20 5.11 Flood Types ......................................................................................................................... 5-22

    Chapter 6 Fuel Supply Plan ............................................................................................................ 6-1 6.1 Amount of Coal Resources, Reserves ................................................................................... 6-1

    6.1.1 Classification of coal ............................................................................................................. 6-1 6.1.2 Proven reserves of coal in the world ..................................................................................... 6-1

    6.2 Demand and Supply Situation of Imported Coal in the International Market ...................... 6-2 6.2.1 Global coal demand ............................................................................................................... 6-2 6.2.2 Global coal production .......................................................................................................... 6-4 6.2.3 Seaborne trade in coal............................................................................................................ 6-5 6.2.4 Thermal coal export countries ............................................................................................... 6-5 6.2.5 Thermal coal import countries .............................................................................................. 6-5

    6.3 Possibility of Coal Supply to the Matarbari CFPP ............................................................... 6-6 6.3.1 Australia ................................................................................................................................. 6-7 6.3.2 Indonesia .............................................................................................................................. 6-10 6.3.3 South Africa ......................................................................................................................... 6-13 6.3.4 Mozambique ........................................................................................................................ 6-14

    6.4 Coal Supply Plan to Matarbari CFPP ................................................................................. 6-15 6.4.1 The calorific value of import coal and summary of imported coal .................................... 6-15 6.4.2 Coal quality of design coal .................................................................................................. 6-17 6.4.3 Investigation of coal suppliers ............................................................................................. 6-19 6.4.4 Coal price ............................................................................................................................. 6-26 6.4.5 Transportation and loading port for the coal ....................................................................... 6-33 6.4.6 Allocation plan of ships ....................................................................................................... 6-44

    Chapter 7 Conceptual Design ......................................................................................................... 7-1 7.1 Outline of the Project ............................................................................................................ 7-1 7.2 Basic Study of the Plant System ........................................................................................... 7-1

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    iv

    7.2.1 Candidate steam cycles .......................................................................................................... 7-1 7.2.2 Materials of main components .............................................................................................. 7-1 7.2.3 Expected performance of each steam cycle .......................................................................... 7-3 7.2.4 Economic evaluation on steam cycles .................................................................................. 7-7

    7.3 Scope of Works ................................................................................................................... 7-11 7.3.1 General ................................................................................................................................. 7-11 7.3.2 Works and services to be provided by the Contractor ........................................................ 7-12 7.3.3 400 kV transmission lines and substation facilities ............................................................ 7-20 7.3.4 Works and services to be provided by Employer ............................................................... 7-22

    7.4 Plant Design Consideration ................................................................................................ 7-22 7.4.1 Design criteria ...................................................................................................................... 7-22 7.4.2 Expected plant performance ................................................................................................ 7-23 7.4.3 Codes and standards ............................................................................................................ 7-24 7.4.4 Site layout ............................................................................................................................ 7-25 7.4.5 Environmental requirements ............................................................................................... 7-31 7.4.6 Boilers and flue gas treatment facilities .............................................................................. 7-34 7.4.7 Steam turbine and auxiliaries .............................................................................................. 7-40 7.4.8 Coal and ash handling facilities .......................................................................................... 7-49 7.4.9 Water treatment system ....................................................................................................... 7-60 7.4.10 Wastewater treatment system .............................................................................................. 7-66 7.4.11 Fire fighting system ............................................................................................................. 7-69 7.4.12 Electrical equipment ............................................................................................................ 7-70 7.4.13 Instrumentation and control system .................................................................................... 7-76

    7.5 Operational Requirements .................................................................................................. 7-77 7.5.1 General ................................................................................................................................. 7-77 7.5.2 Plant duty ............................................................................................................................. 7-77 7.5.3 Control and operation philosophy ....................................................................................... 7-78

    7.6 Comparison Summary for Each Design Option ................................................................. 7-79

    Chapter 8 Study on Civil and Construction Work........................................................................ 8-1 8.1 Study of Power Plant Ground Level ..................................................................................... 8-1

    8.1.1 Design tidal level ................................................................................................................... 8-1 8.1.2 Design storm surge height ..................................................................................................... 8-2 8.1.3 Anti-inundation measures ...................................................................................................... 8-8 8.1.4 Amount of dredged soil ....................................................................................................... 8-10 8.1.5 Power plant ground level ..................................................................................................... 8-11

    8.2 Port and Harbor Planning ................................................................................................... 8-14 8.2.1 Vessel specification and port facilities ................................................................................ 8-14

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    v

    8.2.2 Dimensions of target vessel ................................................................................................. 8-14 8.2.3 Dimensions of navigation channel and mooring basin ....................................................... 8-14 8.2.4 Comparison of layout .......................................................................................................... 8-15 8.2.5 Maintenance dredging ......................................................................................................... 8-18 8.2.6 Outline of design .................................................................................................................. 8-22 8.2.7 Study of dredging work ....................................................................................................... 8-25 8.2.8 Construction procedure for the dredging and land development work .............................. 8-31

    8.3 Cooling Water Facilities ..................................................................................................... 8-33 8.3.1 Intake water volume ............................................................................................................ 8-33 8.3.2 Selection of water intake and discharge system ................................................................. 8-33 8.3.3 Discharge system ................................................................................................................. 8-35

    8.4 Screen Pump Pit .................................................................................................................. 8-36 8.5 Circulating Water Pipe ........................................................................................................ 8-38 8.6 Discharge Tunnel ................................................................................................................ 8-39 8.7 Outlet .................................................................................................................................. 8-40 8.8 Building .............................................................................................................................. 8-41 8.9 Stacks .................................................................................................................................. 8-42 8.10 Service Roads ..................................................................................................................... 8-43 8.11 Rainfall Drainage Facilities ................................................................................................ 8-44 8.12 Ash Pond ............................................................................................................................. 8-45 8.13 Transportation of Heavy Equipment and Materials ............................................................ 8-47 8.14 Soil Improvement ............................................................................................................... 8-48

    Chapter 9 Power System Analysis and Transmission Line/Substation Plan .............................. 9-1 9.1 Power System Analysis ......................................................................................................... 9-1

    9.1.1 Conductor selection ............................................................................................................... 9-1 9.1.2 Objective of the power system analysis ................................................................................ 9-9 9.1.3 Study cases and assumptions ............................................................................................... 9-10 9.1.4 Power flow analysis ............................................................................................................. 9-12 9.1.5 N-1 contingency analysis .................................................................................................... 9-15 9.1.6 Fault circuit analysis ............................................................................................................ 9-15 9.1.7 Transient stability analysis .................................................................................................. 9-16

    9.2 Transmission Line ............................................................................................................... 9-18 9.2.1 Outline of the transmission line route ................................................................................. 9-18 9.2.2 Conceptual design of the transmission line ........................................................................ 9-25 9.2.3 Quantities of transmission line materials ............................................................................ 9-31 9.2.4 Spare parts, tools and measuring devices............................................................................ 9-32

    9.3 400kV Anowara Substation (connection point with the existing network) ........................ 9-32

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    vi

    9.3.1 Outline of the substation ...................................................................................................... 9-32 9.3.2 Conceptual design of the substation .................................................................................... 9-35

    Chapter 10 Project Construction Plan ........................................................................................... 10-1 10.1 Project Implementation Schedule ....................................................................................... 10-1 10.2 Project Implementation ....................................................................................................... 10-3

    10.2.1 Bidding method ................................................................................................................... 10-3 10.2.2 Procurement package comparison of power plant and port & harbour

    construction .......................................................................................................................... 10-5 10.2.3 Prequalification(PQ) for the bidders of power plant construction ..................................... 10-7 10.2.4 Expected construction schedule .......................................................................................... 10-8 10.2.5 Main construction activity ................................................................................................. 10-11 10.2.6 Project implementation procedure .................................................................................... 10-14

    10.3 The Implementation Plan of Consulting Services for Power Plant and Port & Harbour Construction ...................................................................................................................... 10-15

    10.3.1 Scope of service of the consultant ..................................................................................... 10-15 10.3.2 Reports and documents ..................................................................................................... 10-22 10.3.3 Expertise requirements ...................................................................................................... 10-22 10.3.4 Requirement(criteria) for the Consultant .......................................................................... 10-24 10.3.5 Organization for project implementation .......................................................................... 10-25

    10.4 Implementation and Procurement for 400 kV Transmission Line Construction .............. 10-25 10.4.1 Implementation policy ....................................................................................................... 10-25 10.4.2 Procurement policy ............................................................................................................ 10-27 10.4.3 Scope of services of the Consultant .................................................................................. 10-27 10.4.4 Implementation schedule of the transmission line and substation (Lot 2) ....................... 10-30

    10.5 The Implementation Plan of Management Consulting Services ....................................... 10-32 10.5.1 Scope of service of the Consultant .................................................................................... 10-32 10.5.2 Expertise requirements ...................................................................................................... 10-33

    10.6 The Implementation Plan of Coal Procurement Consulting Services ............................... 10-34 10.6.1 Scope of service of the Consultant .................................................................................... 10-34 10.6.2 Expertise requirements ...................................................................................................... 10-36

    10.7 The Implementation Plan of Consulting Services for Access Road ................................. 10-37 10.7.1 Scope and service of the Consultant ................................................................................. 10-37 10.7.2 Reports and documents ..................................................................................................... 10-43 10.7.3 Expertise requirements ...................................................................................................... 10-45 10.7.4 Requirement (criteria) for the Consultant ......................................................................... 10-46 10.7.5 Organization for project implementation .......................................................................... 10-47

    Chapter 11 Project Implementation System ................................................................................. 11-1

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    vii

    11.1 Project Implementation System .......................................................................................... 11-1 11.1.1 Basic policy .......................................................................................................................... 11-1 11.1.2 Main operator of the project implementation ..................................................................... 11-2 11.1.3 Project implementation system plan ................................................................................... 11-2 11.1.4 Project implementation system plan after commercial operation date (COD) .................. 11-6 11.1.5 Possibility of public-private partnership (PPP) application ............................................... 11-7

    11.2 Function and Role of Each Organization Related to the Project ...................................... 11-10 11.2.1 Project promotion .............................................................................................................. 11-10 11.2.2 Financing ........................................................................................................................... 11-11 11.2.3 Power sales ........................................................................................................................ 11-13

    11.3 Comparative Analysis of Financial Conditions of the Public Sector Institutions ............. 11-14 11.3.1 Profiles of power sector institutions .................................................................................. 11-14 11.3.2 Financial performance viewed on management efficiency .............................................. 11-19 11.3.3 Financial strength of public power entities ....................................................................... 11-33

    11.4 Organogram and Manpower Allocation of Main Related Organization ........................... 11-39 11.4.1 PGCB ................................................................................................................................. 11-39 11.4.2 IPP cell of BPDB ............................................................................................................... 11-42 11.4.3 Power division ................................................................................................................... 11-42

    11.5 Roadmap for Corporatization and Project Implementation .............................................. 11-44 11.5.1 Short term .......................................................................................................................... 11-44 11.5.2 Middle term........................................................................................................................ 11-47

    Chapter 12 Management of New Power Generation Company .................................................. 12-1 12.1 CPGCBL Corporate Directivity .......................................................................................... 12-1

    12.1.1 Ideal figures of CPGCBL .................................................................................................... 12-1 12.1.2 Vision statement of CPGCBL ............................................................................................. 12-2

    12.2 Corporate Governance ........................................................................................................ 12-4 12.2.1 Applicable laws and regulations in Bangladesh ................................................................. 12-4 12.2.2 Key findings from corporatization review phase ................................................................ 12-6 12.2.3 Establishment of fundamental framework in the corporate governance system ............... 12-7

    12.3 Human Resource Management ......................................................................................... 12-15 12.3.1 Policy of human resource management ............................................................................ 12-15 12.3.2 Organizational management system ................................................................................. 12-16 12.3.3 Recruitment ........................................................................................................................ 12-22 12.3.4 Career development and training system .......................................................................... 12-37

    12.4 Accounting and Financial Management ........................................................................... 12-43 12.4.1 Accounting system ............................................................................................................ 12-43 12.4.2 Financial management ....................................................................................................... 12-60

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    viii

    12.4.3 Financing of project costs .................................................................................................. 12-67 12.4.4 Financing of working capital ............................................................................................. 12-70 12.4.5 Budget control ................................................................................................................... 12-73 12.4.6 Financial simulation .......................................................................................................... 12-80

    12.5 Risk Management ............................................................................................................. 12-82 12.5.1 Identification of risks ......................................................................................................... 12-82 12.5.2 Analyses of risks ................................................................................................................ 12-82 12.5.3 Contractual safeguards and prevailing practices in Bangladesh .................................... 12-100 12.5.4 Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) ................................................................................. 12-104 12.5.5 Measures for minimization of risks ................................................................................. 12-106

    12.6 Coal Procurement ........................................................................................................... 12-113 12.7 Information Management ............................................................................................... 12-123

    12.7.1 Dispatching information .................................................................................................. 12-123 12.7.2 Feedback to O&M activities: Introduction of the performance management

    system .............................................................................................................................. 12-124 12.7.3 Public relationships .......................................................................................................... 12-126

    12.8 Management Plan ........................................................................................................... 12-127

    Chapter 13 Operation and Maintenance Management ................................................................ 13-1 13.1 Organizational Management System .................................................................................. 13-1

    13.1.1 Basic policy .......................................................................................................................... 13-1 13.1.2 Organizational chart and job description ............................................................................ 13-2

    13.2 Operations and Maintenance Management ......................................................................... 13-7 13.2.1 Basic policy .......................................................................................................................... 13-7 13.2.2 Characteristics of a coal-fired power plant ......................................................................... 13-9 13.2.3 Technical capacity in Bangladesh ..................................................................................... 13-10 13.2.4 Countermeasures for individual issues ............................................................................. 13-14

    13.3 Career Development and Training in Power Plant ........................................................... 13-22 13.3.1 Basic policy ........................................................................................................................ 13-22 13.3.2 The training method of power plant staff .......................................................................... 13-22 13.3.3 Operator training ................................................................................................................ 13-24 13.3.4 Improvement of operation management capability by introducing the

    operating simulator ............................................................................................................ 13-27 13.3.5 Outline of training plan and necessary facilities ............................................................... 13-30

    13.4 Environmental Management ............................................................................................. 13-32 13.4.1 Organizational framework ................................................................................................. 13-32 13.4.2 Environmental preservation measures .............................................................................. 13-32 13.4.3 Environmental monitoring management .......................................................................... 13-36

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    ix

    13.4.4 Harmonious coexistence with the local community ......................................................... 13-37 13.5 Safety Management .......................................................................................................... 13-40

    13.5.1 Basic policy ........................................................................................................................ 13-40 13.5.2 Current analysis ................................................................................................................. 13-40 13.5.3 Approach for achieving reduction of risk ......................................................................... 13-43 13.5.4 Proposal of organizational and institutional aspects ......................................................... 13-45 13.5.5 Ex-ante activity (preventive activities) ............................................................................. 13-50 13.5.6 Ex-post activity .................................................................................................................. 13-52 13.5.7 Safety equipment ............................................................................................................... 13-54 13.5.8 Strengthening the safety management system during the new construction and

    the major inspection and maintenance period ................................................................... 13-54 13.6 Future Direction of Operation and Maintenance .............................................................. 13-56

    13.6.1 Current issues ..................................................................................................................... 13-56 13.6.2 Long-term maintenance plan ............................................................................................. 13-58 13.6.3 Organizational structure for maintenance ......................................................................... 13-62 13.6.4 Operation structure ............................................................................................................ 13-67 13.6.5 O&M cost for power plant ................................................................................................ 13-69

    13.7 Operation and Maintenance of Transmission Line ........................................................... 13-77 13.8 Implementation, Operation and Maintenance of Access Road ......................................... 13-79

    13.8.1 Implementation agency ..................................................................................................... 13-79 13.8.2 Organogram of project implementation unit .................................................................... 13-84 13.8.3 Related agencies ................................................................................................................ 13-87

    Chapter 14 Economic and Financial Analysis ............................................................................... 14-1 14.1 Project Costs <Blank> ..................................................................................................... 14-1

    14.1.1 Basic calculation method <Blank> .................................................................................. 14-1 14.1.2 Construction costs of the project <Blank> ...................................................................... 14-1 14.1.3 Estimation of construction costs <Blank> ....................................................................... 14-1

    14.2 Financial and Economic Evaluation <Blank> ................................................................. 14-1 14.2.1 Basic assumptions <Blank> ............................................................................................. 14-1 14.2.2 Financial simulation <Blank> .......................................................................................... 14-1

    14.3 Financial Evaluation <Blank> ......................................................................................... 14-1 14.3.1 Methodology of evaluation and basic parameters <Blank> ........................................... 14-1 14.3.2 Financial cost <Blank> .................................................................................................... 14-1 14.3.3 Financial benefit <Blank> ................................................................................................ 14-1 14.3.4 FIRRs <Blank> ................................................................................................................ 14-2 14.3.5 Sensitivity analysis <Blank> ............................................................................................ 14-2 14.3.6 Conclusion and recommendation <Blank> ..................................................................... 14-2

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    x

    14.4 Economic Evaluation <Blank> ........................................................................................ 14-2 14.4.1 Methodology of evaluation and basic parameters <Blank> ........................................... 14-2 14.4.2 Economic costs <Blank> ................................................................................................. 14-2 14.4.3 Economic benefits <Blank> ............................................................................................. 14-2 14.4.4 Economic analysis <Blank> ............................................................................................ 14-2 14.4.5 Sensitivity analysis <Blank> ............................................................................................ 14-2

    14.5 Key Performance Indicators ............................................................................................... 14-3 14.5.1 Quantitative effect ............................................................................................................... 14-3

    Book 2

    Chapter 15 Environmental and Social Consideration

    Book 3

    Chapter 16 Plan and Design of Access Road

    Chapter 17 Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    Book 4

    Appendices for Chapter 5 Chapter 10 Chapter 12 Chapter 15

    Book 5 Appendices for

    Chapter 16 Chapter 17

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xi

    List of Tables

    Page

    Table 1.2-1 Implementation Schedule of the Study ····················································· 1-3 Table 2.1-1 Track Record of USC Coal Fired Power Plant in Japan ·································· 2-3 Table 3.2-1 Major Macro Economy Indicator ···························································· 3-4 Table 3.3-1 Electricity Consumption per Capita ························································· 3-7 Table 3.4-1 ADB’s Activities ············································································ 3-11 Table 3.4-2 World Bank’s Activities ···································································· 3-13 Table 3.4-3 Projects Assisted by Other Donors ························································ 3-15 Table 3.5-1 Long Term Demand Forecast by 2030 ··················································· 3-23 Table 3.6-1 Energy Balance of Bangladesh (2009) ··················································· 3-28 Table 3.6-2 Comparison of Fuel Option for Thermal Power Generation for

    Bangladesh ····················································································· 3-31 Table 3.7-1 Case for Comparison ········································································ 3-39 Table 3.7-2 Generating Cost (Sending end) ···························································· 3-40 Table 3.7-3 Reliability Level ············································································· 3-43 Table 3.7-4 CO2 Emission ················································································ 3-43 Table 4.3-1 Current around Sonadia Island ······························································· 4-7 Table 4.3-2 Tidal Levels of Sonadia Island······························································· 4-7 Table 4.3-3 Dimensions of Target Vessels ······························································· 4-8 Table 4.3-4 Dimensions of Channel and Mooring Basin ··············································· 4-8 Table 4.3-5 Conditions of Harbor Calmness ····························································· 4-8 Table 4.4-1 Layout Planning ··············································································· 4-9 Table 4.5-1 Wave Height Ratio at the Port (without Breakwater) ··································· 4-13 Table 4.5-2 Wave Height Ratio at the Port (Breakwater Construction) ···························· 4-13 Table 4.5-3 Rate of Effective Working Days at Port (without Breakwater) ······················· 4-16 Table 4.5-4 Rate of Effective Working Days at Port (Breakwater Construction) ················· 4-16 Table 4.5-5 Composite Frequency of Significant Wave Height and Period (at

    Mooring Basin, Annually) ··································································· 4-17 Table 4.5-6 Frequency of Significant Wave Height and Period (at Mooring Basin,

    in July) ·························································································· 4-18 Table 4.5-7 Frequency of Significant Wave Height and Period (at Mooring Basin,

    in June) ························································································· 4-18 Table 4.5-8 Wave Height Ratio at the Port (without Breakwater) ··································· 4-19 Table 4.5-9 Rate of Effective Working Day at Port (without Breakwater) ························ 4-23 Table 4.5-10 Composite Frequency of Significant Wave Height and Period (at

    Mooring Basin, Annually) ··································································· 4-24

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xii

    Table 4.5-11 Wave Height Ratio at the Port (without Breakwater) ··································· 4-25 Table 4.5-12 Rate of Effective Working Day at Port (Breakwater Construction) ·················· 4-28 Table 4.5-13 Composite Frequency of Significant Wave Height and Period (at

    Mooring Basin, Annually) ··································································· 4-29 Table 4.5-14 Comparison of Sediment Transport Model Analysis Result ··························· 4-32 Table 4.5-15 Site Selection Result (from the viewpoint of port and harbor

    engineering) ··················································································· 4-46 Table 4.5-16 Study of the Optimal Port and Harbor ···················································· 4-48 Table 4.6-1 (1) Examples of Offshore Unloading Sites ·················································· 4-50 Table 4.6-1 (2) Examples of Offshore Unloading Sites ·················································· 4-51 Table 4.7-1 Comparison of Matarbari & Maheshkhali from Natural Environment

    Conditions ····················································································· 4-56 Table 4.7-2 Main Results of Simulation on Environmental Issues (Project Sites) ················ 4-56 Table 4.7-3 Comparison of Project Alternative Sites ················································· 4-57 Table 4.7-4 Main Results of Simulation on Environmental Issues (Alternative

    Types) ·························································································· 4-58 Table 4.7-5 Comparison of the Alternative Types ····················································· 4-59 Table 4.7-6 Specifications of Located Unions ························································· 4-63 Table 4.7-7 Comparison of Project Alternative Sites ················································· 4-65 Table 4.8-1 Results of the Site Selection································································ 4-69 Table 5.1-1 List of Major Cyclonic Storms from 1960 to 2011 ······································· 5-1 Table 5.3-1 Pilling List ······················································································ 5-5 Table 5.3-2 The Stratigraphy of the Project Site ························································· 5-6 Table 5.4-1 (1) Seabed Materials (Rainy Season) ·························································· 5-8 Table 5.4-1 (2) Seabed Materials (Dry season) ····························································· 5-9 Table 5.5-1 Total Suspended Solids in Water ·························································· 5-10 Table 5.7-1 Component Tide ············································································· 5-14 Table 5.7-2 Tidal Current Observation Point/Line ···················································· 5-15 Table 5.9-1 Seismic Zone Coefficients (Z) ····························································· 5-18 Table 5.9-2 Structure Importance Coefficients (I) ····················································· 5-18 Table 5.9-3 Site Coefficient (S) ·········································································· 5-18 Table 5.9-4 Response Modification Coefficient for Structural Systems (R) ······················· 5-19 Table 6.1-1 Proven Reserves of Coal in the World ······················································ 6-2 Table 6.2-1 Coal Demand by Region and Scenario ····················································· 6-4 Table 6.2-2 Global Coal Production ······································································· 6-4 Table 6.2-3 Countries with a Higher Export Volume of Coal ·········································· 6-5 Table 6.2-4 Top Coal Importers ············································································ 6-6

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xiii

    Table 6.3-1 Freight Rate and Navigation Day ··························································· 6-6 Table 6.3-2 Australian Coal Supply and Demand Outlook ············································· 6-7 Table 6.3-3 Number of Australian Coal Projects ························································ 6-9 Table 6.3-4 Australian Coal Production Increase Plan ·················································· 6-9 Table 6.3-5 Australia’s By-Coal Type Coal Exports Outlook ········································· 6-9 Table 6.3-6 Indonesia’s Coal Production Increase Plan ·············································· 6-12 Table 6.3-7 Indonesia’s By-Coal Type Coal Exports Outlook ······································· 6-12 Table 6.3-8 South Africa’s Coal Production Increase Plan ··········································· 6-14 Table 6.3-9 South Africa’s By-Coal Type Coal Exports Outlook ··································· 6-14 Table 6.3-10 Mozambique’s Coal Production Increase Plan ·········································· 6-15 Table 6.3-11 Mozambique’s By-Coal Type Coal Exports Outlook ·································· 6-15 Table 6.4-1 Candidate for Design Coal ································································· 6-18 Table 6.4-2 Summary of Single Brand ·································································· 6-18 Table 6.4-3 Summary of Blending Coal ································································ 6-19 Table 6.4-4 Production of the Moolarben Coal Mine ················································· 6-20 Table 6.4-5 The Production of Each Pit of KIDECO Coal Mine ···································· 6-23 Table 6.4-6 Coal Quality ·················································································· 6-23 Table 6.4-7 Coal Quality and Production ······························································· 6-24 Table 6.4-8 Coal Quality ·················································································· 6-25 Table 6.4-9 Actual and Planned Production (1,000t) ·················································· 6-26 Table 6.4-10 Long-term Coal Price Scenario for OECD Countries ·································· 6-27 Table 6.4-11 FOB Price Forecast of 6,300kcal/kg & 4,700 kcal/kg ·································· 6-31 Table 6.4-12 Coal Price of Australian Coal to Matarbari CFPP (US$/t) ····························· 6-32 Table 6.4-13 Coal Price of Indonesian Coal to Matarbari CFPP (US$/t) ···························· 6-32 Table 6.4-14 Actual Production in Newcastle Port ····················································· 6-34 Table 6.4-15 Capacity of PWCS Terminal ······························································· 6-37 Table 6.4-16 Capacity of NCIG Terminal ································································ 6-38 Table 6.4-17 Proven Reserves in Indonesia ······························································ 6-39 Table 6.4-18 Typical Size of Bulk Carriers ······························································ 6-52 Table 6.4-19 Navigation Days from the Main Port in Australia and Indonesia ····················· 6-56 Table 7.2-1 Typical Steam Cycles for Large Capacity Thermal Power Plants ······················ 7-1 Table 7.2-2 Comparison of Expected Performance between Sub-critical,

    Supercritical and USC Power Plants ························································· 7-7 Table 7.2-3 Net Present Value of Coal Costs ···························································· 7-9 Table 7.2-4 Breakdown of Construction Costs of Power Plants ····································· 7-10 Table 7.2-5 Economic Evaluation Comparing Subcritical and USC Power Plants ··············· 7-11 Table 7.4-1 Tentative Design Criteria ··································································· 7-22

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xiv

    Table 7.4-2 Tentative Specification of Design Coal ·················································· 7-23 Table 7.4-3 Expected Plant Performance ······························································· 7-23 Table 7.4-4 Location and Required Area ······························································· 7-28 Table 7.4-5 Emission Limits of Pollutants ······························································ 7-31 Table 7.4-6 Noise Standards for Industrial Areas ····················································· 7-31 Table 7.4-7 Industrial Effluent Standards ······························································· 7-32 Table 7.4-8 Sanitary Effluent Standards ································································ 7-34 Table 7.4-9 Boiler Design Criteria ······································································· 7-35 Table 7.4-10 Comparison between Limestone/Gypsum FGD and Seawater FGD ················· 7-38 Table 7.4-11 Required Performance for Flue Gas Treatment Facilities ······························ 7-39 Table 7.4-12 Comparison between TC and CC Shaft Configurations ································ 7-42 Table 7.4-13 Specifications of Steam Turbine and Auxiliaries ······································· 7-47 Table 7.4-14 Boiler Feed-Water Treatments for Once-Through Boilers ····························· 7-48 Table 7.4-15 Comparison between Grab Type and Continuous Bucket Type ······················ 7-51 Table 7.4-16 Comparison between Flat Type and Pipe Type ········································· 7-55 Table 7.4-17 Comparison between MSF, MVC and RO ··············································· 7-61 Table 7.4-18 Overview Specification of the Generator ················································ 7-73 Table 7.4-19 Comparison of Types of Transformers ··················································· 7-74 Table 7.6-1 Comparison Summary for Each Design Option ········································· 7-80 Table 8.1-1 22 Years of Water Level Data (for reference) ············································· 8-1 Table 8.1-2 Storm Surge Height (statistical analysis result) ··········································· 8-3 Table 8.1-3 List of Major Cyclones ······································································· 8-4 Table 8.1-4 Design Surge Heights at the Sea Coast ····················································· 8-6 Table 8.1-5 Design Storm Surge Height ·································································· 8-8 Table 8.1-6 Comparison of Anti-inundation Measure ·················································· 8-9 Table 8.1-7 Amount of Dredged Soil ···································································· 8-10 Table 8.2-1 Dimensions of Target Vessels ····························································· 8-14 Table 8.2-2 Dimensions of Channel and Mooring Basin ············································· 8-14 Table 8.2-3 Comparison of Port Types ·································································· 8-17 Table 8.2-4 Seabed Materials ············································································· 8-21 Table 8.2-5 Dredging Method ············································································ 8-26 Table 8.2-6 Brief Explanation of Dredging Methods ················································· 8-26 Table 8.3-1 Comparison of Different Intake System Characteristics ······························· 8-34 Table 8.3-2 Comparison of Different Discharge System Characteristics ··························· 8-35 Table 8.8-1 Description of Each Building ······························································ 8-41 Table 8.10-1 Road Width and Radius ····································································· 8-43 Table 9.1-1 Cost of 400kV Bibiyana – Kaliakoir Transmission Line ································· 9-1

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xv

    Table 9.1-2 List of Conductors ············································································· 9-2 Table 9.1-3 Cost Estimation of Each Transmission Line ··············································· 9-2 Table 9.1-4 Assumptions for Loss Factor Calculation ·················································· 9-4 Table 9.1-5 Calculation Conditions for Current Carrying Capacity ··································· 9-4 Table 9.1-6 Current Carrying Capacity for each Transmission Line ·································· 9-4 Table 9.1-7 Calculation Conditions for Annual Cost of Transmission Lines ························ 9-5 Table 9.1-8 Characteristics of Transmission Lines at 600 MW Power Flow per

    Circuit ···························································································· 9-5 Table 9.1-9 Annual Costs of Each Transmission Line at Loss Factor 0.85 (line

    loss for 600 MW) ··············································································· 9-7 Table 9.1-10 Characteristics of Transmission Lines at 1,200 MW Power Flow per

    Circuit ···························································································· 9-8 Table 9.1-11 Annual Costs of Each Transmission Line for 800 and 1,000 MW

    Power Flow ······················································································ 9-8 Table 9.1-12 ACSR Finch VS LL-TACSR 490mm2 ····················································· 9-8 Table 9.1-13 Items to be Studied in the Power System Analysis ······································· 9-9 Table 9.1-14 List of Power Stations in the South of Hathazari from around 2020 ················· 9-10 Table 9.1-15 Power Supply Demand Balance in South area of Hathazari from

    around 2020 ···················································································· 9-11 Table 9.1-16 Assumed Generation and Demand Patterns from around 2020 ······················· 9-11 Table 9.1-17 Assumed 400kV Transmission Line Constants ········································· 9-12 Table 9.1-18 Machine ······················································································· 9-12 Table 9.1-19 Generator ····················································································· 9-12 Table 9.1-20 Exciter ························································································· 9-12 Table 9.1-21 Governor ······················································································ 9-12 Table 9.1-22 Results of the Contingency Analysis ····················································· 9-15 Table 9.1-23 Fault Currents ················································································ 9-16 Table 9.1-24 Results of the Transient Stability Analysis ··············································· 9-17 Table 9.2-1 Coordinate of the Major Angle Points ···················································· 9-20 Table 9.2-2 Rough Sectional Length ···································································· 9-21 Table 9.2-3 Technical Characteristics of Conductor ·················································· 9-27 Table 9.2-4 Technical Characteristics of Ground-wire ··············································· 9-27 Table 9.2-5 Insulator Size ················································································· 9-27 Table 9.2-6 Minimum Safety Factors of Insulator Sets ··············································· 9-28 Table 9.2-7 Minimum Clearances of the Conductor ·················································· 9-28 Table 9.2-8 Tower Types and Applied Conditions ···················································· 9-29 Table 9.2-9 Number of Towers ··········································································· 9-31

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xvi

    Table 9.2-10 Quantities of Conductor and Ground Wire ··············································· 9-31 Table 9.2-11 Quantities of Insulator and Insulator Assemblies for LL-ACSR/AS

    490mm2 ························································································· 9-31 Table 9.2-12 Quantities of Insulator and Insulator Assemblies for Finch ··························· 9-32 Table 9.3-1 Quantity of Main Equipment ······························································· 9-38 Table 10.2-1 Comparative Analysis for Project Packages ············································· 10-6 Table 10.2-2 Criteria of Prequalification for USC Plant Suppliers ··································· 10-8 Table 10.2-3 Expected Construction Schedule for the Project ········································ 10-9 Table 10.7-1 List of Submission Report ································································· 10-43 Table 10.7-2 Qualification of key Team Members ···················································· 10-45 Table 11.1-1 Composition of Members of IMSC ······················································· 11-4 Table 11.1-2 PPP Options for the Project ································································ 11-8 Table 11.3-1 Power Entities in Public Sector ··························································· 11-15 Table 11.3-2 Financial Performance of Public Power Entities ······································· 11-19 Table 11.3-3 Bulk Sales of Electricity at BPDB ······················································· 11-21 Table 11.3-4 Total Electricity Cost at BPDB ··························································· 11-21 Table 11.3-5 Average Supply Cost, Sales Price and Bulk Tariff ···································· 11-27 Table 11.3-6 Tariffs of QRPPs ············································································ 11-28 Table 11.3-7 Changes in Bulk Tariff ····································································· 11-30 Table 11.3-8 Retail Tariff (effective as of September 1, 2012) ······································ 11-30 Table 11.3-9 Performance of BPDB ····································································· 11-33 Table 11.3-10 Performance of APSCL ···································································· 11-35 Table 11.3-11 Performance of PGCB ····································································· 11-36 Table 11.3-12 Performance of DESCO ··································································· 11-38 Table 11.4-1 On-going Projects ·········································································· 11-40 Table 11.4-2 Project Implementation Unit of T/L ····················································· 11-41 Table 11.5-1 Short-term Roadmap-1 (Preparation of the corporate governance

    system) ························································································ 11-44 Table 11.5-2 Short-term Roadmap-2 (Human resource management) ······························ 11-46 Table 11.5-3 Short-term Roadmap-3 (Application of project approval procedure) ··············· 11-47 Table 11.5-4 Middle-term Roadmap-1 (Application of legal procedures) ·························· 11-48 Table 11.5-5 Middle-term Roadmap-2 (Preparation of tender and construction

    phases) ························································································· 11-48 Table 11.5-6 Middle-term Roadmap-3 (Coal procurement) ·········································· 11-49 Table 11.5-7 Middle-term Roadmap-4 (Reinforcement of corporate framework) ················· 11-50 Table 11.5-8 Middle-term Roadmap-5 (Selection of new employees for P/P and

    O&M) ························································································· 11-51

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Access Road / Execution Survey of Natural Condition

    xvii

    Table 12.1-1 Case of Power Sector Corporatization in Bangladesh until Now ····················· 12-1 Table 12.2-1 Bangladesh Corporate Governance Code 2004 Key Highlights ······················ 12-5 Table 12.2-2 Comparative Chart on Bangladesh Public Utilities Corporate

    Governance Practices ········································································· 12-7 Table 12.2-3 Rules and Regulations to be Introduced at CPGCBL ·································· 12-11 Table 12.3-1 Schedule of Each Step ····································································· 12-18 Table 12.3-2 Content of the Execution Work in Each Step ··········································· 12-19 Table 12.3-3 Staff Number List of Each Step (Draft) ················································· 12-20 Table 12.3-4 Comparison of the Recruitment Process and the Employment

    Conditions of the Bangladesh Public Utilities ··········································· 12-23 Table 12.3-5 Recruitment Examination (EGCB case) ················································· 12-27 Table 12.3-6 Comparison of Compensation (Basic Pay) and Incentive System of

    Bangladesh Public Utilities ································································· 12-29 Table 12.3-7 Comparison Matrix of Basic Pay of Bangladesh Public Utilities ···················· 12-33 Table 12.3-8 Relation between Basic Salary and Fringe Benefit ···································· 12-34 Table 12.3-9 Comparison of Training System of Bangladesh Public Utilities ····················· 12-38 Table 12.4-1 Adoption of IAS and IFRS ································································ 12-45 Table 12.4-2 Areas of Professional Capability Required ············································· 12-52 Table 12.4-3 Draft Chart of Accounts (Balance Sheet) ··············································· 12-54 Table 12.4-4 Draft Chart of Accounts (Income Statement) ··········································· 12-55 Table 12.4-5 Standard Functions to be Covered by the Integrated Computer System ············ 12-59 Table 12.4-6 Delegation of Financial Power at Power Sector Entities ······························ 12-64 Table 12.4-7 Budget and Actual Performance at BPDB for FY 2010-11 ··························· 12-75 Table 12.4-8 Budget Time Table ········································································· 12-78 Table 12.5-1 Identification of Risks by Causes (prior to COD) ······································ 12-83 Table 12.5-2 Identification of Risks by Causes (post COD) ·········································· 12-90 Table 12.5-3 List of Important Contracts to be Involved for Power Development

    Projects ······················································································ 12-101 Table 12.6-1 Comparative Analysis for Each Option ··············································· 12-116 Table 12.7-1 Type of Information Data ······························································· 12-126 Table 12.8-1 Example of KPIs at Generation Company (APSCL) ································ 12-127 Table 13.1-1 O&M Work Allocation ····································································· 13-1 Table 13.1-2 Job Description of a Coal Fired Thermal Power Plant in Japan ······················· 13-3 Table 13.1-3 Job Description of the Coal Fired Thermal Power Plant ······························· 13-5 Table 13.2-1 Comparison between Coal-fired Boiler and Gas-fired Boiler ························· 13-9 Table 13.2-2 Current Operation Status of Ghorasal and Ashuganj Power Plant ··················· 13-10 Table 13.2-3 Work Period (the shortest case) ·························································· 13-18

  • Preparatory Survey on Chittagong Area Coal Fired Power Plant Development Project in Bangladesh Final Report on Power Plant / Port / Transmission Line / Ac