predictive analytics in the cloud - the art of the possible
DESCRIPTION
This is the presentation I did last week at the USGIF Technology Day event. The presentation was in the Ignite format and talked about how to model human behavior like hurricanes and weather patterns to help build and calibrate a predictive model of where events will happen and what other impacts they will have on neighboring geographies.TRANSCRIPT
Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible
@tonyquartararo
why people do what they do where they do it?
how can we anticipate (predict) this with greater confidence, precision & accuracy at
any scale for any geography over time?
what data + model is needed to succeed?
what does it mean to shift from reactive to predictive?
• Demographics
• Economy
• Education
• Ethnicity
• Groups
• Land-Use
boiling the ocean• Language
• Medical / Health
• Religion
• Climate
• Significant Events
• Transportation
• Communications
wwhgd.org
the premise
2nd & Laws of Thermodynamicshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/laws_of_thermodynamics
•highly complex variables•data fidelity & currency•rate of change accelerates
unevenly•business models
(monetization)•big data (25 zettabytes by
2020)
obstacles to success
•open vs. proprietary vs. interoperability
•enterprise vs. SaaS vs. hybrids•mobile devices as producer &
consumer •data disparity across geographies•UX is everything...
obstacles to success
did i mention big, big data
the solution
chaos theory + data + math + GEOINT + internet + UX
credit: @mapbox
credit: @mapbox
• natural events
• economics• geopolitics• climate• migration• food
security
July 2012
August 2012
Sept 2012
Oct 2012
Nov 2012
Jan 2013
July 2013
or something like this
http://hint.fm/wind
